TS Aggregated Median Absolute DeviationTS Aggregated Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) Indicator Explanation
Overview
The TS Aggregated Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) is a powerful indicator designed for traders looking for momentum-based strategies. By aggregating the Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) across multiple timeframes, it provides a comprehensive view of market dynamics. This indicator helps identify potential reversal points, overbought/oversold conditions, and general market trends by leveraging the concept of MAD, which measures price dispersion from the median.
Signal Generation:
Long Signal: Triggered when the price moves above the aggregated upper band
Short Signal: Triggered when the price moves below the aggregated red band
Alerts:
Real-time alerts are integrated to notify the user of long or short signals when confirmed:
Long Signal Alert: "TS MAD Flipped ⬆LONG⬆"
Short Signal Alert: "TS MAD Flipped ⬇Short⬇"
Optimization:
Adjust thresholds, MAD lengths, and multipliers for each timeframe to suit the specific asset and market conditions.
Experiment with enabling/disabling MAD components to focus on particular timeframes.
Volatility
VIX Spike StrategyThis script implements a trading strategy based on the Volatility Index (VIX) and its standard deviation. It aims to enter a long position when the VIX exceeds a certain number of standard deviations above its moving average, which is a signal of a volatility spike. The position is then exited after a set number of periods.
VIX Symbol (vix_symbol): The input allows the user to specify the symbol for the VIX index (typically "CBOE:VIX").
Standard Deviation Length (stddev_length): The number of periods used to calculate the standard deviation of the VIX. This can be adjusted by the user.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (stddev_multiple): This multiplier is used to determine how many standard deviations above the moving average the VIX must exceed to trigger a long entry.
Exit Periods (exit_periods): The user specifies how many periods after entering the position the strategy will exit the trade.
Strategy Logic:
Data Loading: The script loads the VIX data, both for the current timeframe and as a rescaled version for calculation purposes.
Standard Deviation Calculation: It calculates both the moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the VIX over the specified period (stddev_length).
Entry Condition: A long position is entered when the VIX exceeds the moving average by a specified multiple of its standard deviation (calculated as vix_mean + stddev_multiple * vix_stddev).
Exit Condition: After the position is entered, it will be closed after the user-defined number of periods (exit_periods).
Visualization:
The VIX is plotted in blue.
The moving average of the VIX is plotted in orange.
The threshold for the VIX, which is the moving average plus the standard deviation multiplier, is plotted in red.
The background turns green when the entry condition is met, providing a visual cue.
Sources:
The VIX is often used as a measure of market volatility, with high values indicating increased uncertainty in the market.
Standard deviation is a statistical measure of the variability or dispersion of a set of data points. In financial markets, it is used to measure the volatility of asset prices.
References:
Bollerslev, T. (1986). "Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity." Journal of Econometrics.
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy.
Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend)The Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge technical analysis tool designed to evaluate and classify market volatility regimes. By leveraging Gaussian filtering and clustering techniques, this indicator provides traders with clear insights into periods of high and low volatility, helping them adapt their strategies to evolving market conditions. Built for precision and clarity, it combines advanced mathematical models with intuitive visual feedback to identify trends and volatility shifts effectively.
👽 How the Indicator Works
👾 Volatility Classification with Gaussian Filtering
The indicator detects volatility levels by applying Gaussian filters to the price series. Gaussian filters smooth out noise while preserving significant price movements. Traders can adjust the smoothing levels using sigma parameters, enabling greater flexibility:
Low Sigma: Emphasizes short-term volatility.
High Sigma: Captures broader trends with reduced sensitivity to small fluctuations.
👾 Clustering Algorithm for Regime Detection
The core of this indicator is its clustering model, which classifies market conditions into two distinct regimes:
Low Volatility Regime: Calm periods with reduced market activity.
High Volatility Regime: Intense periods with heightened price movements.
The clustering process works as follows:
A rolling window of data is analyzed to calculate the standard deviation of price returns.
Two cluster centers are initialized using the 25th and 75th percentiles of the data distribution.
Each price volatility value is assigned to the nearest cluster based on its distance to the centers.
The cluster centers are refined iteratively, providing an accurate and adaptive classification.
👾 Oscillator Generation with Slope R-Values
The indicator computes Gaussian filter slopes to generate oscillators that visualize trends:
Oscillator Low: Captures low-frequency market behavior.
Oscillator High: Tracks high-frequency, faster-changing trends.
The slope is measured using the R-value of the linear regression fit, scaled and adjusted for easier interpretation.
👽 Applications
👾 Trend Trading
When the oscillator rises above 0.5, it signals potential bullish momentum, while dips below 0.5 suggest bearish sentiment.
👾 Pullback Detection
When the oscillator peaks, especially in overbought or oversold zones, provide early warnings of potential reversals.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Oscillator Settings
Sigma Low/High: Controls the smoothness of the oscillators.
Smaller Values: React faster to price changes but introduce more noise.
Larger Values: Provide smoother signals with longer-term insights.
👾 Window Size and Refit Interval
Window Size: Defines the rolling period for cluster and volatility calculations.
Shorter windows: adapt faster to market changes.
Longer windows: produce stable, reliable classifications.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EGARCH Volatility Estimator
EGARCH Volatility Estimator (EVE)
Overview:
The EGARCH Volatility Estimator (EVE) is a Pine Script indicator designed to quantify market volatility using the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model. This model captures both symmetric and asymmetric volatility dynamics and provides a robust tool for analyzing market risk and trends.
Key Features:
Core EGARCH Formula:
ln(σ t 2 )=ω+α(∣ϵ t−1 ∣+γ⋅ϵ t−1 )+β⋅ln(σ t−1 2 )
ω (Omega): Captures long-term baseline volatility.
α (Alpha): Measures sensitivity to recent shocks.
γ (Gamma): Incorporates asymmetric effects (e.g., higher volatility during market drops).
β (Beta): Reflects the persistence of historical volatility.
The formula computes log-volatility, which is then converted to actual volatility for interpretation.
Standardized Returns:
The script calculates daily log-returns and standardizes them to measure deviations from expected price changes.
Percentile-Based Volatility Analysis:
Tracks the percentile rank of current volatility over a historical lookback period.
Highlights high, medium, or low volatility zones using dynamic background colors.
Dynamic Normalization:
Maps volatility into a normalized range ( ) for better visual interpretation.
Uses color gradients (green to red) to reflect changing volatility levels.
SMA Integration:
Adds a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of either EGARCH volatility or its percentile for trend analysis.
Interactive Display:
Displays current volatility and its percentile rank in a table for quick reference.
Includes high (75%) and low (25%) volatility threshold lines for actionable insights.
Applications:
Market Risk Assessment: Evaluate current and historical volatility to assess market risk levels.
Quantitative Strategy Development: Incorporate volatility dynamics into trading strategies, particularly for options or risk-managed portfolios.
Trend and Momentum Analysis: Use normalized or smoothed volatility trends to identify potential reversals or breakouts.
Asymmetric Volatility Detection: Highlight periods where downside or upside volatility dominates.
Visualization Enhancements:
Dynamic colors and thresholds make it intuitive to interpret market conditions.
Percentile views provide relative volatility context for historical comparison.
This indicator is a versatile tool for traders and analysts seeking deeper insights into market behavior, particularly in volatility-driven trading strategies.
RSI BB StdDev SignalOverview
The RSI BB StdDev Signal Indicator is a powerful tool designed to enhance your trading strategy by combining the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Bollinger Bands (BB). This unique combination allows traders to identify potential buy and sell signals more accurately by leveraging the strengths of both indicators. The RSI helps in identifying overbought and oversold conditions, while the Bollinger Bands provide a dynamic range to assess volatility and potential price reversals.
Key Features
— RSI Calculation: The indicator calculates the RSI based on user-defined parameters, allowing for customization to fit different trading styles.
— Bollinger Bands Integration: The RSI values are smoothed using a moving average, and Bollinger Bands are applied to this smoothed RSI to generate buy and sell signals.
— Divergence Detection: The indicator includes an optional feature to detect and alert on bullish and bearish divergences between the RSI and price action.
— Customizable Alerts: Users can set up alerts for buy and sell signals, as well as for divergences, ensuring they never miss a trading opportunity.
— Visual Aids: The indicator plots the RSI, Bollinger Bands, and signals on the chart, making it easy to visualize and interpret the data.
How It Works
1. RSI Calculation:
— The RSI is calculated using the change in the source input (default is close price) over a specified period.
— The RSI values are then plotted on the chart with customizable overbought and oversold levels.
2. Smoothing and Bollinger Bands:
— The RSI values are smoothed using a moving average (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) selected by the user.
— Bollinger Bands are applied to the smoothed RSI to create dynamic upper and lower bands.
3. Signal Generation:
—Buy signals are generated when the RSI crosses above the lower Bollinger Band.
—Sell signals are generated when the RSI crosses below the upper Bollinger Band.
—These signals are plotted on both the RSI pane and the main price chart for easy reference.
4. Divergence Detection:
— The indicator can detect and alert on regular bullish and bearish divergences between the RSI and price action.
— Bullish divergences occur when the price makes a lower low, but the RSI makes a higher low.
— Bearish divergences occur when the price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high.
Usage
1. Setting Up:
— Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
— Customize the RSI length, source, and other parameters in the settings panel.
— Enable or disable the divergence detection based on your trading strategy.
2. Interpreting Signals:
— Use the buy and sell signals generated by the RSI crossing the Bollinger Bands as potential entry and exit points.
— Pay attention to divergences for additional confirmation of trend reversals.
3. Alerts:
— Set up alerts for buy and sell signals to receive notifications in real-time.
— Enable divergence alerts to be notified of potential trend reversals.
Conclusion
The RSI BB StdDev Signal Indicator is a comprehensive tool that combines the strengths of the RSI and Bollinger Bands to provide traders with more accurate and reliable signals. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this indicator can enhance your trading strategy by offering clear visual cues and customizable alerts.
Note
This indicator is provided with open-source code, allowing users to understand its logic and customize it further if needed. The detailed description and customizable settings ensure that traders of all levels can benefit from its unique features.
Volatility Signaling 50SMAOverview of the Script:
The script implements a volatility signaling indicator using a 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). It incorporates Bollinger Bands and the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust the SMA's color based on volatility conditions. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Components of the Script:
1. Inputs:
The script allows the user to customize key parameters for flexibility:
Bollinger Bands Length (length): Determines the period for calculating the Bollinger Bands.
Source (src): The price data to use, defaulting to the closing price.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (mult): Scales the Bollinger Bands' width.
ATR Length (atrLength): Sets the period for calculating the ATR.
The 50-period SMA length (smaLength) is fixed at 50.
2. Bollinger Bands Calculation:
Basis: Calculated as the SMA of the selected price source over the specified length.
Upper and Lower Bands: Determined by adding/subtracting a scaled standard deviation (dev) from the basis.
3. ATR Calculation:
Computes the Average True Range over the user-defined atrLength.
4. Volatility-Based Conditions:
The script establishes thresholds for Bollinger Band width relative to ATR:
Yellow Condition: When the band width (upper - lower) is less than 1.25 times the ATR.
Orange Condition: When the band width is less than 1.5 times the ATR.
Red Condition: When the band width is less than 1.75 times the ATR.
5. Dynamic SMA Coloring:
The 50-period SMA is colored based on the above conditions:
Yellow: Indicates relatively low volatility.
Orange: Indicates moderate volatility.
Red: Indicates higher volatility.
White: Default color when no conditions are met.
6. Plotting the 50-Period SMA:
The script plots the SMA (sma50) with a dynamically assigned color, enabling visual analysis of market conditions.
Use Case:
This script is ideal for traders seeking to assess market volatility and identify changes using Bollinger Bands and ATR. The colored SMA provides an intuitive way to gauge market dynamics directly on the chart.
Example Visualization:
Yellow SMA: The market is in a low-volatility phase.
Orange SMA: Volatility is picking up but remains moderate.
Red SMA: Higher volatility, potentially signaling significant market activity.
White SMA: Neutral/default state.
DT Bollinger BandsIndicator Overview
Purpose: The script calculates and plots Bollinger Bands, a technical analysis tool that shows price volatility by plotting:
A central moving average (basis line).
Upper and lower bands representing price deviation from the moving average.
Additional bands for a higher deviation threshold (3 standard deviations).
Customization: Users can customize:
The length of the moving average.
The type of moving average (e.g., SMA, EMA).
The price source (e.g., close price).
Standard deviation multipliers for the bands.
Fixed Time Frame: The script can use a fixed time frame (e.g., daily) for calculations, regardless of the chart's time frame.
Key Features
Moving Average Selection:
The user can select the type of moving average for the basis line:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA/RMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
Standard Deviation Multipliers:
Two multipliers are used:
Standard (default = 2.0): For the original Bollinger Bands.
Larger (default = 3.0): For additional bands.
Bands Calculation:
Basis Line: The selected moving average.
Upper Band: Basis + Standard Deviation.
Lower Band: Basis - Standard Deviation.
Additional Bands: Representing ±3 Standard Deviations.
Plots:
Plots the basis, upper, and lower bands.
Fills the area between the bands for visual clarity.
Plots and fills additional bands for ±3 Standard Deviations with lighter colors.
Alerts:
Generates an alert when the price enters the range between the 2nd and 3rd standard deviation bands.
The alert can be used to notify when price volatility increases significantly.
Background Highlighting:
Colors the chart background based on alert conditions:
Green if the price is above the basis line.
Red if the price is below the basis line.
Offset:
Adds an optional horizontal offset to the plots for fine-tuning their alignment.
How It Works
Input Parameters:
The user specifies settings such as moving average type, length, multipliers, and fixed time frame.
Calculations:
The script computes the basis (moving average) and standard deviations on the fixed time frame.
Bands are calculated using the basis and multipliers.
Plotting:
The basis line and upper/lower bands are plotted with distinct colors.
Additional 3 StdDev bands are plotted with lighter colors.
Alerts:
An alert condition is created when the price moves between the 2nd and 3rd standard deviation bands.
Visual Enhancements:
Chart background changes color dynamically based on the price’s position relative to the basis line and alert conditions.
Usage
This script is useful for traders who:
Want a detailed visualization of price volatility.
Use Bollinger Bands to identify breakout or mean-reversion trading opportunities.
Need alerts when the price enters specific volatility thresholds.
Crypto Price Volatility Range# Cryptocurrency Price Volatility Range Indicator
This TradingView indicator is a visualization tool for tracking historical volatility across multiple major cryptocurrencies.
## Features
- Real-time volatility tracking for 14 major cryptocurrencies
- Customizable period and standard deviation multiplier
- Individual color coding for each currency pair
- Optional labels showing current volatility values in percentage
## Supported Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Avalanche (AVAX)
- Dogecoin (DOGE)
- Hype (HYPE)
- Ripple (XRP)
- Binance Coin (BNB)
- Cardano (ADA)
- Tron (TRX)
- Chainlink (LINK)
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)
- Toncoin (TON)
- Sui (SUI)
- Stellar (XLM)
## Settings
- **Period**: Timeframe for volatility calculation (default: 20)
- **Standard Deviation Multiplier**: Multiplier for standard deviation (default: 1.0)
- **Show Labels**: Toggle label display on/off
## Calculation Method
The indicator calculates volatility using the following method:
1. Calculate daily logarithmic returns
2. Compute standard deviation over the specified period
3. Annualize (multiply by √252)
4. Convert to percentage (×100)
## Usage
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart
2. Adjust parameters as needed
3. Monitor volatility lines for each cryptocurrency
4. Enable labels to see precise current volatility values
## Notes
- This indicator displays in a separate window, not as an overlay
- Volatility values are annualized
- Data for each currency pair is sourced from USD pairs
Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator [AVSO] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator (AVSO) is a dynamic trading indicator that measures and visualizes volatility-adjusted market behavior. By scaling various metrics (such as volume, price changes, standard deviation, ATR, and Yang-Zhang volatility) and applying adaptive smoothing, AVSO helps traders identify market conditions where volatility deviates significantly from the norm.
This indicator uses standardized scaling (Z-Score logic) to highlight periods of abnormally high or low volatility relative to recent history. With gradient coloring and clear volatility zones, AVSO provides a visually intuitive way to analyze market volatility and adapt trading strategies accordingly.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaling Metrics: The indicator scales user-selected metrics (e.g., volume, ATR, standard deviation) relative to the market and price, providing a standardized volatility measure.
⚪ Z-Score Standardization: The scaled metric is normalized using a Z-Score to measure how far current volatility deviates from its recent mean.
Positive Z-Score: Above-average volatility.
Negative Z-Score: Below-average volatility.
⚪ Adaptive Smoothing: An Adaptive EMA smooths the Z-Score, dynamically adjusting its length based on the strength of the volatility. Stronger deviations result in shorter smoothing, increasing responsiveness.
█ Unique Feature: Yang-Zhang Volatility
The Yang-Zhang volatility estimator sets this indicator apart by providing a more robust and accurate measure of volatility compared to traditional methods like ATR or standard deviation.
⚪ What Makes Yang-Zhang Volatility Unique?
Comprehensive Calculation: It combines overnight price gaps (log returns from the previous close to the current open) and intraday price movements (high, low, and close).
Accurate for Gapped Markets: Traditional volatility measures can misrepresent price movement when significant gaps occur between sessions. Yang-Zhang accounts for these gaps, making it highly reliable for assets prone to overnight price jumps, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
Adaptable to Real Market Conditions : By including both close-to-open returns and intraday volatility, it provides a balanced and adaptive measure that captures the full volatility picture.
⚪ Why This Matters to Traders
Better Volatility Insights: Yang-Zhang offers a clearer view of true market volatility, especially in markets with price gaps or uneven trading sessions.
Improved Trade Timing: By identifying volatility spikes and calm periods more effectively, traders can time their entries and exits with greater confidence.
█ How to Use
Identify High and Low Volatility
A high Z-Score (>2) indicates significant market volatility. This can signal momentum-driven moves, breakouts, or areas of increased risk.
A low Z-Score (<-2) suggests low volatility or a calm market environment. This often occurs before a potential breakout or reversal.
Trade Signals
High Volatility Zones (background highlight): Monitor for potential breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Low Volatility Zones: Anticipate range-bound conditions or upcoming volatility spikes.
█ Settings
Source: Select the price source for scaling calculations (close, high, low, open).
Metric Measure: Choose the volatility measure:
Volume: Scales raw volume.
Close: Uses closing price changes.
Standard Deviation: Price dispersion.
ATR: Average True Range.
Yang: Yang-Zhang volatility estimate.
Bars to Analyze: Number of historical bars used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the scaled metric.
ATR / Standard Deviation Period: Lookback period for ATR or Standard Deviation calculation.
Yang Volatility Period: Period for the Yang-Zhang volatility estimator.
Smoothing Period: Base smoothing length for the adaptive smoothing line.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Crypto Market Cap Momentum Analyzer (AiBitcoinTrend)The Crypto Market Cap Momentum Analyzer (AiBitcoinTrend) is a robust tool designed to uncover trading opportunities by blending market cap analysis and momentum dynamics. Inspired by research-backed quantitative strategies, this indicator helps traders identify trend-following and mean-reversion setups in the cryptocurrency market by evaluating recent performance and market cap size.
This indicator classifies cryptocurrencies into market cap quintiles and ranks them based on their 2-week momentum. It then suggests potential trades—whether to go long, anticipate reversals, or simply hold—based on the crypto's market cap group and momentum trends.
👽 How the Indicator Works
👾 Market Cap Classification
The indicator categorizes cryptocurrencies into one of five market cap groups based on user-defined inputs:
Large Cap: Highest market cap tier
Upper Mid Cap: Second highest group
Mid Cap: Middle-tier market caps
Lower Mid Cap: Slightly below the mid-tier
Small Cap: Lowest market cap tier
This classification dynamically adjusts based on the provided market cap data, ensuring that you’re always working with a representative market structure.
👾 Momentum Calculation
By default, the indicator uses a 2-week momentum measure (e.g., a 14-day lookback when set to daily). It compares a cryptocurrency’s current price to its price 14 bars ago, thereby quantifying its short-term performance. Users can adjust the momentum period and rebalance period to capture shorter or longer-term trends depending on their trading style.
👾 Dynamic Ranking and Trade Suggestions
After assigning cryptos to size quintiles, the indicator sorts them by their momentum within each quintile. This two-step process results in:
Long Trade: For smaller market cap groups (Small, Lower Mid, Mid Cap) that have low (bottom-quintile) momentum, anticipating a trend continuation or breakout.
Reversal Trade: For the largest market cap group (Large Cap) that shows low momentum, expecting a mean-reversion back to equilibrium.
Hold: In scenarios where the coin’s momentum doesn’t present a strong contrarian or trend-following signal.
👽 Applications
👾 Trend-Following in Smaller Caps: Identify small or mid-cap cryptos with low momentum that might be poised for a breakout or sustained trend.
👾 Mean-Reversion in Large Caps: Pinpoint large-cap cryptocurrencies experiencing a temporary lull in performance, potentially ripe for a rebound.
👽 Why It Works in Crypto
The cryptocurrency market is heavily driven by retail investor sentiment and volatility. Research shows that:
Small-Cap Cryptos: Tend to experience higher volatility and speculative trends, making them ideal for momentum trades.
Large-Cap Cryptos: Exhibit more predictable behavior, making them suitable for mean-reversion strategies when momentum is low.
This indicator captures these dynamics to give traders a strategic edge in identifying both momentum and reversal opportunities.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Rebalance Period: The frequency at which momentum and trade suggestions are recalculated (Daily, Weekly, Monthly).
Shorter Periods (Daily): Fast updates, suitable for short-term trades, but more noise.
Longer Periods (Weekly/Monthly): Smoother signals, ideal for swing trading and more stable trends.
👾 Momentum Period: The lookback period for momentum calculation (default is 14 bars).
Shorter Periods: More responsive but prone to noise.
Longer Periods : Reflects broader trends, reducing sensitivity to short-term fluctuations.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Median Deviation Suite [InvestorUnknown]The Median Deviation Suite uses a median-based baseline derived from a Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) and layers multiple deviation measures around it. By comparing price to these deviation-based ranges, it attempts to identify trends and potential turning points in the market. The indicator also incorporates several deviation types—Average Absolute Deviation (AAD), Median Absolute Deviation (MAD), Standard Deviation (STDEV), and Average True Range (ATR)—allowing traders to visualize different forms of volatility and dispersion. Users should calibrate the settings to suit their specific trading approach, as the default values are not optimized.
Core Components
Median of a DEMA:
The foundation of the indicator is a Median applied to the 7-day DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average). DEMA aims to reduce lag compared to simple or exponential moving averages. By then taking a median over median_len periods of the DEMA values, the indicator creates a robust and stable central tendency line.
float dema = ta.dema(src, 7)
float median = ta.median(dema, median_len)
Multiple Deviation Measures:
Around this median, the indicator calculates several measures of dispersion:
ATR (Average True Range): A popular volatility measure.
STDEV (Standard Deviation): Measures the spread of price data from its mean.
MAD (Median Absolute Deviation): A robust measure of variability less influenced by outliers.
AAD (Average Absolute Deviation): Similar to MAD, but uses the mean absolute deviation instead of median.
Average of Deviations (avg_dev): The average of the above four measures (ATR, STDEV, MAD, AAD), providing a combined sense of volatility.
Each measure is multiplied by a user-defined multiplier (dev_mul) to scale the width of the bands.
aad = f_aad(src, dev_len, median) * dev_mul
mad = f_mad(src, dev_len, median) * dev_mul
stdev = ta.stdev(src, dev_len) * dev_mul
atr = ta.atr(dev_len) * dev_mul
avg_dev = math.avg(aad, mad, stdev, atr)
Deviation-Based Bands:
The indicator creates multiple upper and lower lines based on each deviation type. For example, using MAD:
float mad_p = median + mad // already multiplied by dev_mul
float mad_m = median - mad
Similar calculations are done for AAD, STDEV, ATR, and the average of these deviations. The indicator then determines the overall upper and lower boundaries by combining these lines:
float upper = f_max4(aad_p, mad_p, stdev_p, atr_p)
float lower = f_min4(aad_m, mad_m, stdev_m, atr_m)
float upper2 = f_min4(aad_p, mad_p, stdev_p, atr_p)
float lower2 = f_max4(aad_m, mad_m, stdev_m, atr_m)
This creates a layered structure of volatility envelopes. Traders can observe which layers price interacts with to gauge trend strength.
Determining Trend
The indicator generates trend signals by assessing where price stands relative to these deviation-based lines. It assigns a trend score by summing individual signals from each deviation measure. For instance, if price crosses above the MAD-based upper line, it contributes a bullish point; crossing below an ATR-based lower line contributes a bearish point.
When the aggregated trend score crosses above zero, it suggests a shift towards a bullish environment; crossing below zero indicates a bearish bias.
// Define Trend scores
var int aad_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, aad_p)
aad_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, aad_m)
aad_t := -1
var int mad_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, mad_p)
mad_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, mad_m)
mad_t := -1
var int stdev_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, stdev_p)
stdev_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, stdev_m)
stdev_t := -1
var int atr_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, atr_p)
atr_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, atr_m)
atr_t := -1
var int adev_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, adev_p)
adev_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, adev_m)
adev_t := -1
int upper_t = src > upper ? 3 : 0
int lower_t = src < lower ? 0 : -3
int upper2_t = src > upper2 ? 1 : 0
int lower2_t = src < lower2 ? 0 : -1
float trend = aad_t + mad_t + stdev_t + atr_t + adev_t + upper_t + lower_t + upper2_t + lower2_t
var float sig = 0
if ta.crossover(trend, 0)
sig := 1
else if ta.crossunder(trend, 0)
sig := -1
Practical Usage and Calibration
Default settings are not optimized: The given parameters serve as a starting point for demonstration. Users should adjust:
median_len: Affects how smooth and lagging the median of the DEMA is.
dev_len and dev_mul: Influence the sensitivity of the deviation measures. Larger multipliers widen the bands, potentially reducing false signals but introducing more lag. Smaller multipliers tighten the bands, producing quicker signals but potentially more whipsaws.
This flexibility allows the trader to tailor the indicator for various markets (stocks, forex, crypto) and time frames.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
The code integrates with a backtesting library that allows traders to:
Evaluate the strategy historically
Compare the indicator’s signals with a simple buy-and-hold approach
Generate performance metrics (e.g., mean returns, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio) to assess historical effectiveness.
Disclaimer
No guaranteed results: Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Market conditions can vary widely.
User responsibility: Traders should combine this indicator with other forms of analysis, appropriate risk management, and careful calibration of parameters.
DAILY Supertrend + EMA Crossover with RSI FilterThis strategy is a technical trading approach that combines multiple indicators—Supertrend, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—to identify and manage trades.
Core Components:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Two EMAs, one with a shorter period (fast) and one with a longer period (slow), are calculated. The idea is to spot when the faster EMA crosses above or below the slower EMA. A fast EMA crossing above the slow EMA often suggests upward momentum, while crossing below suggests downward momentum.
2. Supertrend Indicator:
The Supertrend uses Average True Range (ATR) to establish dynamic support and resistance lines. These lines shift above or below price depending on the prevailing trend. When price is above the Supertrend line, the trend is considered bullish; when below, it’s considered bearish. This helps ensure that the strategy trades only in the direction of the overall trend rather than against it.
3. RSI Filter:
The RSI measures momentum. It helps avoid buying into markets that are already overbought or selling into markets that are oversold. For example, when going long (buying), the strategy only proceeds if the RSI is not too high, and when going short (selling), it only proceeds if the RSI is not too low. This filter is meant to improve the quality of the trades by reducing the chance of entering right before a reversal.
4. Time Filters:
The strategy only triggers entries during user-specified date and time ranges. This is useful if one wants to limit trading activity to certain trading sessions or periods with higher market liquidity.
5. Risk Management via ATR-based Stops and Targets:
Both stop loss and take profit levels are set as multiples of the ATR. ATR measures volatility, so when volatility is higher, both stops and profit targets adjust to give the trade more breathing room. Conversely, when volatility is low, stops and targets tighten. This dynamic approach helps maintain consistent risk management regardless of market conditions.
Overall Logic Flow:
- First, the market conditions are analyzed through EMAs, Supertrend, and RSI.
- When a buy (long) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, the trend is bullish according to Supertrend, and RSI is below the specified “overbought” threshold—the strategy initiates or adds to a long position.
- Similarly, when a sell (short) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, the trend is bearish, and RSI is above the specified “oversold” threshold—it initiates or adds to a short position.
- Each position is protected by an automatically calculated stop loss and a take profit level based on ATR multiples.
Intended Result:
By blending trend detection, momentum filtering, and volatility-adjusted risk management, the strategy aims to capture moves in the primary trend direction while avoiding entries at excessively stretched prices. Allowing multiple entries can potentially amplify gains in strong trends but also increases exposure, which traders should consider in their risk management approach.
In essence, this strategy tries to ride established trends as indicated by the Supertrend and EMAs, filter out poor-quality entries using RSI, and dynamically manage trade risk through ATR-based stops and targets.
True Amplitude Envelopes (TAE)The True Envelopes indicator is an adaptation of the True Amplitude Envelope (TAE) method, based on the research paper " Improved Estimation of the Amplitude Envelope of Time Domain Signals Using True Envelope Cepstral Smoothing " by Caetano and Rodet. This indicator aims to create an asymmetric price envelope with strong predictive power, closely following the methodology outlined in the paper.
Due to the inherent limitations of Pine Script, the indicator utilizes a Kernel Density Estimator (KDE) in place of the original Cepstral Smoothing technique described in the paper. While this approach was chosen out of necessity rather than superiority, the resulting method is designed to be as effective as possible within the constraints of the Pine environment.
This indicator is ideal for traders seeking an advanced tool to analyze price dynamics, offering insights into potential price movements while working within the practical constraints of Pine Script. Whether used in dynamic mode or with a static setting, the True Envelopes indicator helps in identifying key support and resistance levels, making it a valuable asset in any trading strategy.
Key Features:
Dynamic Mode: The indicator dynamically estimates the fundamental frequency of the price, optimizing the envelope generation process in real-time to capture critical price movements.
High-Pass Filtering: Uses a high-pass filtered signal to identify and smoothly interpolate price peaks, ensuring that the envelope accurately reflects significant price changes.
Kernel Density Estimation: Although implemented as a workaround, the KDE technique allows for flexible and adaptive smoothing of the envelope, aimed at achieving results comparable to the more sophisticated methods described in the original research.
Symmetric and Asymmetric Envelopes: Provides options to select between symmetric and asymmetric envelopes, accommodating various trading strategies and market conditions.
Smoothness Control: Features adjustable smoothness settings, enabling users to balance between responsiveness and the overall smoothness of the envelopes.
The True Envelopes indicator comes with a variety of input settings that allow traders to customize the behavior of the envelopes to match their specific trading needs and market conditions. Understanding each of these settings is crucial for optimizing the indicator's performance.
Main Settings
Source: This is the data series on which the indicator is applied, typically the closing price (close). You can select other price data like open, high, low, or a custom series to base the envelope calculations.
History: This setting determines how much historical data the indicator should consider when calculating the envelopes. A value of 0 will make the indicator process all available data, while a higher value restricts it to the most recent n bars. This can be useful for reducing the computational load or focusing the analysis on recent market behavior.
Iterations: This parameter controls the number of iterations used in the envelope generation algorithm. More iterations will typically result in a smoother envelope, but can also increase computation time. The optimal number of iterations depends on the desired balance between smoothness and responsiveness.
Kernel Style: The smoothing kernel used in the Kernel Density Estimator (KDE). Available options include Sinc, Gaussian, Epanechnikov, Logistic, and Triangular. Each kernel has different properties, affecting how the smoothing is applied. For example, Gaussian provides a smooth, bell-shaped curve, while Epanechnikov is more efficient computationally with a parabolic shape.
Envelope Style: This setting determines whether the envelope should be Static or Dynamic. The Static mode applies a fixed period for the envelope, while the Dynamic mode automatically adjusts the period based on the fundamental frequency of the price data. Dynamic mode is typically more responsive to changing market conditions.
High Q: This option controls the quality factor (Q) of the high-pass filter. Enabling this will increase the Q factor, leading to a sharper cutoff and more precise isolation of high-frequency components, which can help in better identifying significant price peaks.
Symmetric: This setting allows you to choose between symmetric and asymmetric envelopes. Symmetric envelopes maintain an equal distance from the central price line on both sides, while asymmetric envelopes can adjust differently above and below the price line, which might better capture market conditions where upside and downside volatility are not equal.
Smooth Envelopes: When enabled, this setting applies additional smoothing to the envelopes. While this can reduce noise and make the envelopes more visually appealing, it may also decrease their responsiveness to sudden market changes.
Dynamic Settings
Extra Detrend: This setting toggles an additional high-pass filter that can be applied when using a long filter period. The purpose is to further detrend the data, ensuring that the envelope focuses solely on the most recent price oscillations.
Filter Period Multiplier: This multiplier adjusts the period of the high-pass filter dynamically based on the detected fundamental frequency. Increasing this multiplier will lengthen the period, making the filter less sensitive to short-term price fluctuations.
Filter Period (Min) and Filter Period (Max): These settings define the minimum and maximum bounds for the high-pass filter period. They ensure that the filter period stays within a reasonable range, preventing it from becoming too short (and overly sensitive) or too long (and too sluggish).
Envelope Period Multiplier: Similar to the filter period multiplier, this adjusts the period for the envelope generation. It scales the period dynamically to match the detected price cycles, allowing for more precise envelope adjustments.
Envelope Period (Min) and Envelope Period (Max): These settings establish the minimum and maximum bounds for the envelope period, ensuring the envelopes remain adaptive without becoming too reactive or too slow.
Static Settings
Filter Period: In static mode, this setting determines the fixed period for the high-pass filter. A shorter period will make the filter more responsive to price changes, while a longer period will smooth out more of the price data.
Envelope Period: This setting specifies the fixed period used for generating the envelopes in static mode. It directly influences how tightly or loosely the envelopes follow the price action.
TAE Smoothing: This controls the degree of smoothing applied during the TAE process in static mode. Higher smoothing values result in more gradual envelope curves, which can be useful in reducing noise but may also delay the envelope’s response to rapid price movements.
Visual Settings
Top Band Color: This setting allows you to choose the color for the upper band of the envelope. This band represents the resistance level in the price action.
Bottom Band Color: Similar to the top band color, this setting controls the color of the lower band, which represents the support level.
Center Line Color: This is the color of the central price line, often referred to as the carrier. It represents the detrended price around which the envelopes are constructed.
Line Width: This determines the thickness of the plotted lines for the top band, bottom band, and center line. Thicker lines can make the envelopes more visible, especially when overlaid on price data.
Fill Alpha: This controls the transparency level of the shaded area between the top and bottom bands. A lower alpha value will make the fill more transparent, while a higher value will make it more opaque, helping to highlight the envelope more clearly.
The envelopes generated by the True Envelopes indicator are designed to provide a more precise and responsive representation of price action compared to traditional methods like Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels. The core idea behind this indicator is to create a price envelope that smoothly interpolates the significant peaks in price action, offering a more accurate depiction of support and resistance levels.
One of the critical aspects of this approach is the use of a high-pass filtered signal to identify these peaks. The high-pass filter serves as an effective method of detrending the price data, isolating the rapid fluctuations in price that are often lost in standard trend-following indicators. By filtering out the lower frequency components (i.e., the trend), the high-pass filter reveals the underlying oscillations in the price, which correspond to significant peaks and troughs. These oscillations are crucial for accurately constructing the envelope, as they represent the most responsive elements of the price movement.
The algorithm works by first applying the high-pass filter to the source price data, effectively detrending the series and isolating the high-frequency price changes. This filtered signal is then used to estimate the fundamental frequency of the price movement, which is essential for dynamically adjusting the envelope to current market conditions. By focusing on the peaks identified in the high-pass filtered signal, the algorithm generates an envelope that is both smooth and adaptive, closely following the most significant price changes without overfitting to transient noise.
Compared to traditional envelopes and bands, such as Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels, the True Envelopes indicator offers several advantages. Bollinger Bands, which are based on standard deviations, and Keltner Channels, which use the average true range (ATR), both tend to react to price volatility but do not necessarily follow the peaks and troughs of the price with precision. As a result, these traditional methods can sometimes lag behind or fail to capture sudden shifts in price momentum, leading to either false signals or missed opportunities.
In contrast, the True Envelopes indicator, by using a high-pass filtered signal and a dynamic period estimation, adapts more quickly to changes in price behavior. The envelopes generated by this method are less prone to the lag that often affects standard deviation or ATR-based bands, and they provide a more accurate representation of the price's immediate oscillations. This can result in better predictive power and more reliable identification of support and resistance levels, making the True Envelopes indicator a valuable tool for traders looking for a more responsive and precise approach to market analysis.
In conclusion, the True Envelopes indicator is a powerful tool that blends advanced theoretical concepts with practical implementation, offering traders a precise and responsive way to analyze price dynamics. By adapting the True Amplitude Envelope (TAE) method through the use of a Kernel Density Estimator (KDE) and high-pass filtering, this indicator effectively captures the most significant price movements, providing a more accurate depiction of support and resistance levels compared to traditional methods like Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. The flexible settings allow for extensive customization, ensuring the indicator can be tailored to suit various trading strategies and market conditions.
RSI and Bollinger Bands Screener [deepakks444]Indicator Overview
The indicator is designed to help traders identify potential long signals by combining the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Bollinger Bands across multiple timeframes. This combination allows traders to leverage the strengths of both indicators to make more informed trading decisions.
Understanding RSI
What is RSI?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. for stocks and forex trading, the RSI is primarily used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset.
How RSI Works:
Calculation: The RSI is calculated using the average gains and losses over a specified period, typically 14 periods.
Range: The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100.
Interpretation:
Key Features of RSI:
Momentum Indicator: RSI helps identify the momentum of price movements.
Divergences: RSI can show divergences, where the price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high, indicating potential reversals.
Trend Identification: RSI can also help identify trends. In an uptrend, the RSI tends to stay above 50, and in a downtrend, it tends to stay below 50.
Understanding Bollinger Bands
What is Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are a type of trading band or envelope plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a simple moving average (SMA) of a price. Developed by financial analyst John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands consist of three lines:
Upper Band: SMA + (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
Middle Band (Basis): SMA
Lower Band: SMA - (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
How Bollinger Bands Work:
Volatility Measure: Bollinger Bands measure the volatility of the market. When the bands are wide, it indicates high volatility, and when the bands are narrow, it indicates low volatility.
Price Movement: The price tends to revert to the mean (middle band) after touching the upper or lower bands.
Support and Resistance: The upper and lower bands can act as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Key Features of Bollinger Bands:
Volatility Indicator: Bollinger Bands help traders understand the volatility of the market.
Mean Reversion: Prices tend to revert to the mean (middle band) after touching the bands.
Squeeze: A Bollinger Band Squeeze occurs when the bands narrow significantly, indicating low volatility and a potential breakout.
Combining RSI and Bollinger Bands
Strategy Overview:
The strategy aims to identify potential long signals by combining RSI and Bollinger Bands across multiple timeframes. The key conditions are:
RSI Crossing Above 60: The RSI should cross above 60 on the 15-minute timeframe.
RSI Above 60 on Higher Timeframes: The RSI should already be above 60 on the hourly and daily timeframes.
Price Above 20MA or Walking on Upper Bollinger Band: The price should be above the 20-period moving average of the Bollinger Bands or walking on the upper Bollinger Band.
Strategy Details:
RSI Calculation:
Calculate the RSI for the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 1-day timeframes.
Check if the RSI crosses above 60 on the 15-minute timeframe.
Ensure the RSI is above 60 on the 1-hour and 1-day timeframes.
Bollinger Bands Calculation:
Calculate the Bollinger Bands using a 20-period moving average and 2 standard deviations.
Check if the price is above the 20-period moving average or walking on the upper Bollinger Band.
Entry and Exit Signals:
Long Signal: When all the above conditions are met, consider a long entry.
Exit: Exit the trade when the price crosses below the 20-period moving average or the stop-loss is hit.
Example Usage
Setup:
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configure the inputs as per your requirements.
Monitoring:
Look for the long signal on the chart.
Ensure that the RSI is above 60 on the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 1-day timeframes.
Check that the price is above the 20-period moving average or walking on the upper Bollinger Band.
Trading:
Enter a long position when the criteria are met.
Set a stop-loss below the low of the recent 15-minute candle or based on your risk management rules.
Monitor the trade and exit when the RSI returns below 60 on any of the timeframes or when the price crosses below the 20-period moving average.
House Rules Compliance
No Financial Advice: This strategy is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders and position sizing.
Past Performance: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and analysis.
TradingView Guidelines: Ensure that any shared scripts or strategies comply with TradingView's terms of service and community guidelines.
Conclusion
This strategy combines RSI and Bollinger Bands across multiple timeframes to identify potential long signals. By ensuring that the RSI is above 60 on higher timeframes and that the price is above the 20-period moving average or walking on the upper Bollinger Band, traders can make more informed decisions. Always remember to conduct thorough research and use proper risk management techniques.
BTC/USDT Volume-Based StrategyOverview
There is a distinct difference between the buying pressure exerted by individual investors and the buying pressure of institutional or "whale" traders. Monitoring volume data over a shorter period of time is crucial to distinguish these subtle differences. When whale investors or other significant market players signal price increases, volume often surges noticeably. Indeed, volume often acts as an important leading indicator in market dynamics.
Key Features
This metric, calibrated with a 5-minute Bitcoin spot chart, identifies a significant inflow of trading volume. For every K-plus surge in trading volume, those candles are shown in a green circle.
When a green circle appears, consider active long positions in subsequent declines and continue to accumulate long positions despite temporary price declines. Pay attention to the continuity of the increase in volume before locking in earnings even after the initial bullish wave.
Conversely, it may be wise to reevaluate the long position if the volume is not increasing in parallel and the price is rising. Under these conditions, starting a partial short position may be advantageous until a larger surge in volume reappears.
ATR for Aggregated Bars (2 Bars)Range Bar ATR Indicator: Detailed Description and Usage Guide
This script is a custom indicator designed specifically for Range Bar charts , tailored to help traders understand and navigate market conditions by utilizing the Average True Range (ATR) concept. The indicator adapts the traditional ATR to work effectively with Range Bar charts, where bars have a fixed range rather than being time-based.
How It Works
1. ATR Calculation on Range Bars :
- Unlike time-based charts, Range Bar charts focus on price movement within a fixed range.
- The indicator calculates ATR by pairing consecutive bars, treating every two bars as a single unit . This pairing ensures that the ATR reflects price movement effectively on Range Bar charts.
2. Short and Long Period ATR Values :
- The script displays two ATR values :
- A short-period ATR , calculated over a smaller number of paired bars.
- A long-period ATR , calculated over a larger number of paired bars.
- These values provide a dynamic view of both recent and longer-term market volatility.
Why Use This Indicator?
The primary goal is to provide a meaningful adaptation of the ATR indicator for Range Bar charts, allowing traders to make informed decisions similar to using ATR on traditional time-based charts.
Key Applications
Determine a Better Custom Range :
- Analyze the ATR values to choose an optimal range size for Range Bar charts, ensuring better alignment with market conditions.
Assess Market Volatility :
- Rising volatility : When the short-period ATR value is higher than the long-period value, it signals increasing volatility.
- Decreasing volatility : When the short-period ATR value is lower, it indicates declining volatility.
Risk and Stop Loss Management :
- Use the higher ATR value (e.g., the long-period ATR) to calculate minimum stop loss levels. Multiply the ATR by 1.5 or 2 to set a safe buffer against market fluctuations.
How to Use It
1. Add the script to a Range Bar chart.
2. Configure the short and long ATR periods to suit your trading style and preferences.
3. Observe the displayed ATR values:
- Use these values to analyze market conditions and adapt your strategy accordingly.
4. Apply insights from the ATR values for:
- Determining custom Range Bar settings.
- Evaluating volatility trends.
- Setting effective risk parameters like stop loss levels.
Benefits
- Provides a tailored ATR tool for Range Bar charts, addressing the unique challenges of fixed-range trading.
- Offers both short-term and long-term perspectives on volatility.
- Enhances decision-making for range settings, volatility analysis, and risk management.
This indicator bridges the gap between traditional ATR indicators and the specific needs of Range Bar chart users, making it a versatile tool for traders.
ka66: Candle Range MarkThis is a simple trailing stop loss tool using bar ranges, to be used with some discretion and understanding of basic price action.
Given a configurable percentage value, e.g. 25%:
A bullish bar (close > open) will be marked at the lower 25%
A bearish bar (close < open) will be marked at the upper 25%
The idea is to move your stop loss after each completed bar in the direction of the trade, at the configured percentage value.
If you have an inside bar, or something very close to it, or a doji-type bar, don't trail that, because there is no clarity of what the bar means, we can only wait.
The chart shows an example use, with trailing at 10% of the bar, from the initial stop loss after entry, trailing till we get stopped out. Some things to note:
Because this example focuses on a short trade, we ignore the bullish candles, and keep our trailing stop at the last bearish candle.
We ignore doji-esque candles and inside bars, where the body is in the range of the prior candle. Some definitions of inside bars include the wicks as well. I don't have a strong opinion, and this example is just for illustration. Furthermore, the inside bar will likely be the opposite of the swing bars (e.g. bullish bar in a range of bearish bars), so our stop remains unchanged.
One could use this semi-systematic approach in scalping on any timeframe, for example to maximise gains, adjusting the bar percentage as needed.
Algorithmic Signal AnalyzerMeet Algorithmic Signal Analyzer (ASA) v1: A revolutionary tool that ushers in a new era of clarity and precision for both short-term and long-term market analysis, elevating your strategies to the next level.
ASA is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to filter out noise and enhance signal detection using mathematical models. By processing price movements within defined standard deviation ranges, ASA produces a smoothed analysis based on a Weighted Moving Average (WMA). The Volatility Filter ensures that only relevant price data is retained, removing outliers and improving analytical accuracy.
While ASA provides significant analytical advantages, it’s essential to understand its capabilities in both short-term and long-term use cases. For short-term trading, ASA excels at capturing swift opportunities by highlighting immediate trend changes. Conversely, in long-term trading, it reveals the overall direction of market trends, enabling traders to align their strategies with prevailing conditions.
Despite these benefits, traders must remember that ASA is not designed for precise trade execution systems where accuracy in timing and price levels is critical. Its focus is on analysis rather than order management. The distinction is crucial: ASA helps interpret price action effectively but may not account for real-time market factors such as slippage or execution delays.
Features and Functionality
ASA integrates multiple tools to enhance its analytical capabilities:
Customizable Moving Averages: SMA, EMA, and WMA options allow users to tailor the indicator to their trading style.
Signal Detection: Identifies bullish and bearish trends using the Relative Exponential Moving Average (REMA) and marks potential buy/sell opportunities.
Visual Aids: Color-coded trend lines (green for upward, red for downward) simplify interpretation.
Alert System: Notifications for trend swings and reversals enable timely decision-making.
Notes on Usage
ASA’s effectiveness depends on the context in which it is applied. Traders should carefully consider the trade-offs between analysis and execution.
Results may vary depending on market conditions and chart types. Backtesting with ASA on standard charts provides more reliable insights compared to non-standard chart types.
Short-term use focuses on rapid trend recognition, while long-term application emphasizes understanding broader market movements.
Takeaways
ASA is not a tool for precise trade execution but a powerful aid for interpreting price trends.
For short-term trading, ASA identifies quick opportunities, while for long-term strategies, it highlights trend directions.
Understanding ASA’s limitations and strengths is key to maximizing its utility.
ASA is a robust solution for traders seeking to filter noise, enhance analytical clarity, and align their strategies with market movements, whether for short bursts of activity or sustained trading goals.
[blackcat] L1 Extreme Shadows█ OVERVIEW
The Pine Script provided is an indicator designed to detect market volatility and extreme shadow conditions. It calculates various conditions based on simple moving averages (SMAs) and plots the results to help traders identify potential market extremes. The primary function of the script is to provide visual cues for extreme market conditions without generating explicit trading signals.
█ LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
Structure:
1 — Input Parameters:
• No user-defined input parameters are present in this script.
2 — Calculations:
• Calculate Extreme Shadow: Checks if the differences between certain SMAs and prices exceed predefined thresholds.
• Calculate Buy Extreme Shadow: Extends the logic by incorporating additional SMAs to identify stronger buy signals.
• Calculate Massive Bullish Sell: Detects massive bullish sell conditions using longer-term SMAs.
3 — Plotting:
• The script plots the calculated conditions using distinct colors to differentiate between various types of extreme shadows.
Data Flow:
• The close price is passed through each custom function.
• Each function computes its respective conditions based on specified SMAs and thresholds.
• The computed values are then summed and returned.
• Finally, the aggregated values are plotted on the chart using the plot function.
█ CUSTOM FUNCTIONS
1 — calculate_extreme_shadow(close)
• Purpose: Identify extreme shadow conditions based on 8-period and 14-period SMAs.
• Functionality: Computes the difference between the 8-period SMA and the close price, and the difference between the 14-period SMA and the 4-period SMA, relative to the 6-period SMA. Returns 2 if both conditions exceed 0.04; otherwise, returns 0.
• Parameters: close (price series)
• Return Value: Integer (0 or 2)
2 — calculate_buy_extreme_shadow(close)
• Purpose: Identify more robust buy signals by evaluating multiple SMAs.
• Functionality: Considers the 8-period SMA along with additional SMAs (21, 42, 63, 84, 105) and combines multiple conditions to provide a comprehensive buy signal.
• Parameters: close (price series)
• Return Value: Integer (sum of conditions, ranging from 0 to 14)
3 — calculate_massive_bullish_sell(close)
• Purpose: Detect massive bullish sell conditions using longer-term SMAs.
• Functionality: Evaluates conditions based on the 8-period SMA and longer-term SMAs (88, 44, 22, 11, 5), returning a sum of conditions meeting specified thresholds.
• Parameters: close (price series)
• Return Value: Integer (sum of conditions, ranging from 0 to 10)
█ KEY POINTS AND TECHNIQUES
• Advanced Pine Script Features:
• Multiple Nested Conditions: Uses nested conditions to assess complex market scenarios.
• Combination of Conditions: Combines multiple conditions to provide a more reliable signal.
• Optimization Techniques:
• Thresholds: Employs specific thresholds (0.04 and 0.03) to filter out noise and highlight significant market movements.
• SMA Comparisons: Compares multiple SMAs to identify trends and extreme conditions.
• Unique Approaches:
• Combining Multiple Time Frames: Incorporates multiple time frames to offer a holistic view of the market.
• Visual Distinction: Utilizes different colors and line widths to clearly differentiate between various extreme shadow conditions.
█ EXTENDED KNOWLEDGE AND APPLICATIONS
• Potential Modifications:
• User-Defined Thresholds: Allow users to customize thresholds to align with personal trading strategies.
• Additional Indicators: Integrate other technical indicators like RSI or MACD to improve the detection of extreme market conditions.
• Entry and Exit Signals: Enhance the script to generate clear buy and sell signals based on identified extreme shadow conditions.
• Application Scenarios:
• Volatility Analysis: Analyze market volatility and pinpoint times of extreme price action.
• Trend Following: Pair with trend-following strategies to capitalize on significant market moves.
• Risk Management: Adjust position sizes or stop-loss levels based on detected extreme conditions.
• Related Pine Script Concepts:
• Custom Functions: Demonstrates how to create reusable functions for simplified and organized code.
• Plotting Techniques: Shows effective ways to visualize data using color and styling options.
• Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Highlights the benefits of analyzing multiple time frames for a broader market understanding.
Prediction Based on Linreg & Atr
We created this algorithm with the goal of predicting future prices 📊, specifically where the value of any asset will go in the next 20 periods ⏳. It uses linear regression based on past prices, calculating a slope and an intercept to forecast future behavior 🔮. This prediction is then adjusted according to market volatility, measured by the ATR 📉, and the direction of trend signals, which are based on the MACD and moving averages 📈.
How Does the Linreg & ATR Prediction Work?
1. Trend Calculation and Signals:
o Technical Indicators: We use short- and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA), RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands 📊 to assess market direction and sentiment (not visually presented in the script).
o Calculation Functions: These include functions to calculate slope, average, intercept, standard deviation, and Pearson's R, which are crucial for regression analysis 📉.
2. Predicting Future Prices:
o Linear Regression: The algorithm calculates the slope, average, and intercept of past prices to create a regression channel 📈, helping to predict the range of future prices 🔮.
o Standard Deviation and Pearson's R: These metrics determine the strength of the regression 🔍.
3. Adjusting the Prediction:
o The predicted value is adjusted by considering market volatility (ATR 📉) and the direction of trend signals 🔮, ensuring that the prediction is aligned with the current market environment 🌍.
4. Visualization:
o Prediction Lines and Bands: The algorithm plots lines that display the predicted future price along with a prediction range (upper and lower bounds) 📉📈.
5. EMA Cross Signals:
o EMA Conditions and Total Score: A bullish crossover signal is generated when the total score is positive and the short EMA crosses above the long EMA 📈. A bearish crossover signal is generated when the total score is negative and the short EMA crosses below the long EMA 📉.
6. Additional Considerations:
o Multi-Timeframe Regression Channel: The script calculates regression channels for different timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, helping determine the overall market direction 📊 (not visually presented).
Confidence Interpretation:
• High Confidence (close to 100%): Indicates strong alignment between timeframes with a clear trend (bullish or bearish) 🔥.
• Low Confidence (close to 0%): Shows disagreement or weak signals between timeframes ⚠️.
Confidence complements the interpretation of the prediction range and expected direction 🔮, aiding in decision-making for market entry or exit 🚀.
Español
Creamos este algoritmo con el objetivo de predecir los precios futuros 📊, específicamente hacia dónde irá el valor de cualquier activo en los próximos 20 períodos ⏳. Utiliza regresión lineal basada en los precios pasados, calculando una pendiente y una intersección para prever el comportamiento futuro 🔮. Esta predicción se ajusta según la volatilidad del mercado, medida por el ATR 📉, y la dirección de las señales de tendencia, que se basan en el MACD y las medias móviles 📈.
¿Cómo Funciona la Predicción con Linreg & ATR?
Cálculo de Tendencias y Señales:
Indicadores Técnicos: Usamos medias móviles exponenciales (EMA) a corto y largo plazo, RSI, MACD y Bandas de Bollinger 📊 para evaluar la dirección y el sentimiento del mercado (no presentados visualmente en el script).
Funciones de Cálculo: Incluye funciones para calcular pendiente, media, intersección, desviación estándar y el coeficiente de correlación de Pearson, esenciales para el análisis de regresión 📉.
Predicción de Precios Futuros:
Regresión Lineal: El algoritmo calcula la pendiente, la media y la intersección de los precios pasados para crear un canal de regresión 📈, ayudando a predecir el rango de precios futuros 🔮.
Desviación Estándar y Pearson's R: Estas métricas determinan la fuerza de la regresión 🔍.
Ajuste de la Predicción:
El valor predicho se ajusta considerando la volatilidad del mercado (ATR 📉) y la dirección de las señales de tendencia 🔮, asegurando que la predicción esté alineada con el entorno actual del mercado 🌍.
Visualización:
Líneas y Bandas de Predicción: El algoritmo traza líneas que muestran el precio futuro predicho, junto con un rango de predicción (límites superior e inferior) 📉📈.
Señales de Cruce de EMAs:
Condiciones de EMAs y Puntaje Total: Se genera una señal de cruce alcista cuando el puntaje total es positivo y la EMA corta cruza por encima de la EMA larga 📈. Se genera una señal de cruce bajista cuando el puntaje total es negativo y la EMA corta cruza por debajo de la EMA larga 📉.
Consideraciones Adicionales:
Canal de Regresión Multi-Timeframe: El script calcula canales de regresión para diferentes marcos de tiempo (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, ayudando a determinar la dirección general del mercado 📊 (no presentado visualmente).
Interpretación de la Confianza:
Alta Confianza (cerca del 100%): Indica una fuerte alineación entre los marcos temporales con una tendencia clara (alcista o bajista) 🔥.
Baja Confianza (cerca del 0%): Muestra desacuerdo o señales débiles entre los marcos temporales ⚠️.
La confianza complementa la interpretación del rango de predicción y la dirección esperada 🔮, ayudando en las decisiones de entrada o salida en el mercado 🚀.
The Dragons Maw [inspired by Kioseff Trading]The Dragon's Maw is a playful visualization tool that uses Monte Carlo simulation to create a dragon-like pattern on your chart. Although primarily intended for entertainment, it is also suitable for testing or falsifying the utility of this method's predictions.
What It Does:
- Generates multiple price path simulations that form the shape of a "fire-breathing" effect
- Shows upper and lower boundaries of all simulations as the dragon's "maw"
- Displays the dragon's "eye" and "ear" as a visual indicator of the historical data used
How It Works:
1. The indicator calculates returns from historical price data
2. Using Monte Carlo simulation with either normal distribution or bootstrap sampling, it generates multiple potential price paths
3. These paths are rendered with high transparency to create a fire/smoke effect showing the higher probability regions as denser color
4. It can be observed that the direction of the "fire" is influenced by recent price movement especially when set in relation to the "eye" position which indicates the limit of historical data used for the simulation
Educational Value:
Use the 'Move to the Left' parameter to position the dragon's head at different points in historical data. This feature serves as an excellent demonstration of the limitations of statistical price projections – you'll quickly see how the simulated paths diverge from what actually happened, highlighting why such projections should not be relied upon for trading decisions.
You might find, that it's not at all capable of 'predicting' sudden price movements but rather 'predicts' a continuation of the recent trend.
Features:
- Adjustable number of simulations (affects detail of the "fire" effect)
- Moveable dragon head (can be positioned at different points in price history)
- Customizable colors for the maw boundaries and fire effect
- Optional scale display for price levels
Note: This indicator is inspired by KioseffTrading's original work, with added features for visualization and positioning. While it uses statistical methods, it should be viewed as an artistic interpretation of price movement rather than a predictive tool.
Settings Guide:
- Upper/Lower Limit: Colors for the dragon's maw boundaries
- Fire Color: Color and transparency of the simulation paths
- Look Back: How far back to calculate the dragon's eye position
- Much Fire: Controls the density of simulation paths
- Length: Determines how far forward the simulation extends
The chart shows a clean view of the indicator's output, with the dragon's eye (o), ear, maw boundaries, and fire effect clearly visible on the right side of the chart by default.
Overnight Effect High Volatility Crypto (AiBitcoinTrend)👽 Overview of the Strategy
This strategy leverages the overnight effect in the cryptocurrency market, specifically targeting the two-hour window from 21:00 UTC to 23:00 UTC. The strategy is designed to be applied only during periods of high volatility, which is determined using historical volatility data. This approach, inspired by research from Padyšák and Vojtko (2022), aims to capitalize on statistically significant return patterns observed during these hours.
Deep Backtesting with a High Volatility Filter
Deep Backtesting without a High Volatility Filter
👽 How the Strategy Works
Volatility Calculation:
Each day at 00:00 UTC, the strategy calculates the 30-day historical volatility of crypto returns (typically Bitcoin). The historical volatility is the standard deviation of the log returns over the past 30 days, representing the market's recent volatility level.
Median Volatility Benchmark:
The median of the 30-day historical volatility is calculated over a 365-day period (one year). This median acts as a benchmark to classify each day as either:
👾 High Volatility: When the current 30-day volatility exceeds the median volatility.
👾 Low Volatility: When the current 30-day volatility is below the median.
Trading Rule:
If the day is classified as a High Volatility Day, the strategy executes the following trades:
👾 Buy at 21:00 UTC.
👾 Sell at 23:00 UTC.
Trade Execution Details:
The strategy uses a 0.02% fee per trade.
Each trade is executed with 25% of the available capital. This allocation helps manage risk while allowing for compounding returns.
Rationale:
The returns during the 22:00 and 23:00 UTC hours have been found to be statistically significant during high volatility periods. The overnight effect is believed to drive this phenomenon due to the asynchronous closing hours of global financial markets. This creates unique trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency market, where exchanges remain open 24/7.
👽 Market Context and Global Time Zone Impact
👾 Why 21:00 to 23:00 UTC?
During this window, major traditional financial markets are closed:
NYSE (New York) closes at 21:00 UTC.
London and European markets are closed during these hours.
Asian markets (Tokyo, Hong Kong, etc.) open later, leaving this window largely unaffected by traditional trading flows.
This global market inactivity creates a period where significant moves can occur in the cryptocurrency market, particularly during high volatility.
👽 Strategy Parameters
Volatility Period: 30 days.
The lookback period for calculating historical volatility.
Median Period: 365 days.
The lookback period for calculating the median volatility benchmark.
Entry Time: 21:00 UTC.
Adjust this to your local time if necessary (e.g., 16:00 in New York, 22:00 in Stockholm).
Exit Time: 23:00 UTC.
Adjust this to your local time if necessary (e.g., 18:00 in New York, 00:00 midnight in Stockholm).
👽 Benefits of the Strategy
Seasonality Effect:
The strategy captures consistent patterns driven by the overnight effect and high volatility periods.
Risk Reduction:
Since trades are executed during a specific window and only on high volatility days, the strategy helps mitigate exposure to broader market risk.
Simplicity and Efficiency:
The strategy is moderately complex, making it accessible for traders while offering significant returns.
Global Applicability:
Suitable for traders worldwide, with clear guidelines on adjusting for local time zones.
👽 Considerations
Market Conditions: The strategy works best in a high-volatility environment.
Execution: Requires precise timing to enter and exit trades at the specified hours.
Time Zone Adjustments: Ensure you convert UTC times accurately based on your location to execute trades at the correct local times.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
VWAP Trend with Standard Deviation & MidlinesThis indicator is a sophisticated VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) tool with multiple features:
Core Functionality:
1. Calculates a primary VWAP line that changes color based on trend direction (green when rising, red when falling)
2. Creates multiple standard deviation bands around the VWAP at customizable distances
3. Resets calculations at either:
- New York session start time (configurable, default 9:30 AM)
- Daily start time
- Can be hidden on daily/weekly/monthly timeframes if desired
Band Structure:
- Band 1 (innermost): ±1 standard deviation
- Band 2 (middle): ±2 standard deviations
- Band 3 (outermost): ±3 standard deviations
- Midlines at 0.5σ intervals between bands
- All bands can be individually enabled/disabled
Customization Options:
1. Band calculation modes:
- Standard Deviation based
- Percentage based
2. Visual settings:
- Customizable colors for all elements
- Adjustable line widths
- Optional labels with configurable size
- Optional extension lines
- Label position adjustment
3. Source data selection (default: HLC3 - High, Low, Close average)
Common Uses:
- Identifying potential support/resistance levels
- Measuring price volatility
- Spotting mean reversion opportunities
- Trading range analysis
- Trend direction confirmation
The indicator essentially creates a dynamic support/resistance structure that adapts to market volatility and volume, making it useful for both intraday and swing trading strategies.
