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S&P/ASX 200 Cash Index

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AUS200 trade ideas

THE WRITINGS ON THE WALLThe attached Chart is a revised and simplified version of my previous post that maps out the course of what I think will happen to the ASX S&P 200: XJO until this Bear Market hits an ultimate bottom. To my horror, we just had what looks to be a fakeout to the downside of a very conspicuous Bear Pennant on Friday, followed by a suspiciously 'firm' green print today. I haven't seen the volumes yet as that info wont be available till tomorrow as an annoying feature of the piss poor, yet super expensive data provided by the ASX. Whilst the Market searches for a bottom I'd expect there will be confusing and contradictory signals amongst heightened volatility as par for the Course anyway. Having liquidated most of my positions early last week I am aghast that there are now rumours circulating that the Fed might ease off the Inflation killing pedal (eeek!), hence the reason for this retarded Market's momentary optimism: After a manipulated 9.1% CPI which vastly understates the true picture on the street and a PPI at 11% (!!!) , Jerome please, say it aint so..? As whatever you do the over paid geniuses at the RBA will dutifully follow your lead like demented puppy dogs with not a brain cell amongst them. Give me Recession over Hyperinflation any day of the week and twice on Sundays! Where as the former is just a severe "go slow" for the entire Economy, the latter means complete and utter Societal collapse and the violence and political chaos that accompanies such a catastrophe. Pray that we don't get Hyperinflation. I have lived through 2 recessions in my lifetime, and granted I was much younger in the 70's and 90's, but I don't remember them as being particularly, extraordinarily difficult times..Hyperinflation? Well we all know how that ends. Anyway, basing one's investment decisions on the insane monetary policies of the ultimate Socialist Control Device in the hope of Govt funny money riding to the rescue of one's portfolio is just slightly unreasonable and frankly CRAZY!...but hey, in #clownworld anything goes! An investor can only use their own logic to make Portfolio decisions otherwise investing really is no less gambling than a game of Roulette. As such I'm putting the confusing, nascent breakout of the Bear Pennant down to Options expiry in the US on Friday causing a short squeeze, the swirling rumours of a dovish Fed epiphany and an over exuberant dip buying mentality that was conditioned into the Market post the Central Bank Puts that were executed after the COVID Crash to manipulate Markets to ATH's across the Planet over the last two years. Sticking to my guns on the basis of rationality and logic (or maybe stubborn cognitive dissonance), the above Chart has one major change from the previous post and that is the inclusion of a major Bear Market Rally which I believe will come after the next leg down. I dont have any Puts in but I would hate to be wrong and it rallies from here having sold some positions last week at a decent loss. Anyway, end of the day it doesn't really matter..."in the long run, we're all dead." All the breasts and God Bless. xxCM
ASX:XJOShort
by craigemm
5
ASX200 4H, could we see a new test of 6715?Happy Monday. Thanks for tuning in. Today we’re looking at the ASX200 as a few things point to buyer control. Since last Friday, we continue to watch the new fast uptrend remain in play. Buyers are also starting to break out of a wedge pattern, but we want to see if price can get back up to and break 6715. A move up to and break of that level could start to tell us that a new short-term up trend is underway. Thanks to all our subscribers and to the trading community for watching today’s update. We wish you good trading for the rest of the day.
EIGHTCAP:ASX200Long
by Eightcap
I HATE TO SAY IT but...BETTER LATE THAN NEVER.Its been a long time since I last published which has been partially through being too busy and also some serious chronic illnesses with which I suffer but enough about Me. I present you this on the night before what I expect is going to be a disastrous print for US Inflation and what will catalyse the next leg down in what amounts to a catastrophe for Equities. I could be wrong in which case this post will not age well at all, but I highly doubt it...lol! I am 99% sure Market Fundamentals will bear out this move(pun intended) and prove the following TA Chart prediction more or less accurate. My TA skills have vastly improved since last posting having learnt many advanced techniques and unique insights I believe are groundbreaking. As such I wont be explaining the Chart I will leave it up to the viewer to utilise their skill and insight to interpret what you can see. Comments and questions are welcome. Now to the fun part and the part which requires the most balls and that is prediction: The ASX is going to dump heavily another leg to approx. 5780 , consolidate for an indeterminate short time, maybe just under a month, until the next major drawdown which will see us hit an ultimate bottom of 4860 taking us all the way back to the Double top experienced in MARCH 2010 AND MARCH 2011 before the bear finally capitulates and we make a tedious, grinding movement that may last several years. We may indeed never recover the same to the levels prior to the GREAT RESET that Global Scum Inc have planned for 2030 saving some MAJOR MIRACLE !!! Fingers crossed eh.. There will be individual stocks that will do well in that intervening period so Equities will exclusively become a stock pickers game but the Indexes are kaput and will take years to reclaim the triple top to we hit in August 2021, January and April 2022 ! The US is headed back to support at the peak hit in Feb 2020 prior to the Pandemic, wiping out all the Fed funny money Market gains since then. As such the Bear remains firmly in charge. God Bless xxCM
ASX:XJO
by craigemm
2
My Short Mid Long EMA Band + 3 Bar Turn + Last 3 Close AverageThe Green Line is 10 EMA (sema) and Red Line is 20 EMA (mema), when sema above mema, overall trend is up and when sema below mema, overall trend is down. The gap of sema and mema times 2,3,4,5 times to project the band of support and resistance. It is like Bollinger Band that expand and shrink to tell the market is trending or moving sideway with direction. The Top and Bottom triangles are from the comparsion of sema (10 ema), mema (20 ema) and lema (60 ema) relative location and the change from last bar. e.g. sema above/below mema and current gap compare with last bar gap is expanding/shrinking to determine the color and location of the triangle. The close price is plot with color by comparing current close against last two close, The color also determine by the close vs last three close average. Green is up and Red is down, in between is yellow. The close color and location compare with the band and the top and bottom triangles might help to tell the next movement.
ASX:XJO
by Dkam
1
ASX 200 drills lower thanks to commodity stocksAustralia’s main share index, the ASX 200, closed lower on Wednesday by 0.5%. This fall could have been a lot worse If not for technology and financial stocks mitigating the rout in other major Australian sectors. Australian Securities Exchange’s Metals & Mining Index fell by a massive 5.6%. Heavyweights in the mining sectors, Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO), Newcrest Mining (ASX: NCM), and Fortescue Metals Group (ASX: FMG) lead the way, falling by 7.4%, 6.6%, and 4.9%, respectively. The ASX Energy Index also declined by 5.8% as crude oil prices plummeted 9% overnight Tuesday. Two of the most significant index drivers, Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) and Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC), slumped by 6.9% and 3.7%, respectively. Virus and lockdown concerns appear to be the main factors suppressing commodity and energy stocks in Australia. Domestic tech stocks did briefly push the ASX 200 into green territory intraday but were ultimately overcome by the strong headwinds of commodity stocks. The big tech winner of the day was Zip Co (ASX: ZIP), rising by a phenomenal 12.8%. Financials were also up by 0.9% as three of the "Big-four" seek to benefit from the Reserve Bank of Australia lifting its benchmark interest rate by another 50-basis points. On the technical side, we can see on the daily chart that the ASX200 has been on a clear downtrend since April. The index is currently moving in a tight range between 6700 and 6560. A break above the resistance at 6700 could potentially retest the 6810-level area, creating a lower high of the downtrend before continuing to the downside. In consideration of the long-term scenario, a close below 6560, depending on market sentiments, could eventually drive the index down to the 6000 psychological support level. The ASX 200 might struggle to maintain short-term upside movements. At least until China moves past its Covid concerns and lockdowns in the country no longer threatens to sideline its commercial operations and consumer demand.
EIGHTCAP:ASX200
by BlackBull_Markets
Steve's Gun2Head - Selling Australia 200 (AUS200AUD)Trade Idea: Sell Australia 200 Reasoning: Bearish engulfing forming on daily chart, Stalled at resistance and turned lower under Ichimoku cloud on 4-hour chart. Entry Level: 6494.5 Take Profit Level: 6254.5 Stop Loss: 6554.5 Risk/Reward: 4:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OANDA:AU200AUDShort
by Signal_Centre
ASX Extremely Oversold Friday Afternoon Short SqueezeLooking for sellers to take profit and bargain hunters to squeeze this heavily sold Australia stock index into the close Friday or for Pop higher Morning if US stocks can Bounce. In large sell offs Friday are profit taking days for sellers and this naturally causing some buying as they close short positions and in the fallout there are some stocks that are bought on dips that help the whole index rally. Some good news would help but technically its sets up some excellent 3-1 and 5-1 risk rewards. easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. “Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based o n a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
EASYMARKETS:ASXAUDLong
by easyMarkets
I am a bearThe markets arent looking healthy, too much cash rate pressure on risk on markets. I can't see the next 12-18 months being fruitful. In saying this I think that there will be some great buy opportunities as long as I have enough capital to take some positions. The ASX looks set to come down to 6400-6200 points. That monthly candle dipping in there would give me some confidence in averaging back into the markets. The green trendline when touched has seen a bearish market take hold for that 12-18 month period. So there may be opportunities for me to short this market to build capital and buy at the bottom. DYOR NFA
ASX:XJOShort
by jakec90
AUS200 warning signs potentially From technical analysis point of view & doing our top down analysis shows buyers looking expensive.. aka weak. As well, there seems market makers could have region for taking profits in and around current prices.. Price action is building throughout other timeframes but no clear confirmation is visible on monthly yet. Sure price could simply "pause and refresh" and build new manual demand zone continue higher on, but we need discount prices to be had beforehand.. thats how supply and demand principles work.
FXOPEN:AUS200
by Permaculture
2