Nikkei short update: Short again for 3rd or C waveUpdated the wave counts for the down move and the subsequent move up. I believe we are going into a wave 3 (or C). So it is a good opportunity to short again.
JP225 trade ideas
Japan225 to find buyers at market price?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Short term bias is mildly bullish. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Weekly pivot is at 37485.
We look to Buy at 37485 (stop at 37131)
Our profit targets will be 38496 and 40675
Resistance: 38275 / 40675 / 42155
Support: 36790 / 35590 / 34390
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long Nikkei FuturesCompleting ABCDE correctional wave -- Targeting retracement to gap in futures of roughly 37600 level.
Nikkei price action forming a top?JP225USD -24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 38270 (stop at 38679)
Our profit targets will be 37247 and 36790
Resistance: 38275 / 40675 / 42155
Support: 36790 / 35590 / 34390
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Nikkei 225 Short: Completed 5-waves with Ending DiagonalAs I mentioned in the recording, there are multiple completions of 5-waves with the last wave as an ending diagonal.
Good luck!
Japanese Stocks Slide on Trump Tariff FearsGlobal markets are on edge as Donald Trump’s looming tariff announcement sends shockwaves through Asian equities. Japanese stocks are leading the downturn, with the Nikkei 225 under heavy selling pressure as bearish momentum builds.
Tariff Fears Rock Japanese Markets
Asian markets started the week deep in the red as fears of a fresh wave of US tariffs took hold. Donald Trump’s comments over the weekend, hinting at broad-based reciprocal tariffs aimed at countries deemed to have unfair trade relationships with the US, sent investors running for cover. Japan, in particular, bore the brunt of the sell-off, with the benchmark Topix dropping 3.3% and the exporter-heavy Nikkei 225 sliding 3.9%.
Trump singled out Asia during his remarks, claiming the region had treated the US unfairly on trade. With the president set to unveil his tariff plans on April 2, the uncertainty is rattling global sentiment, especially given his framing of the date as a so-called “liberation day” for the US economy. Markets are bracing for the fallout, with Japanese stocks proving particularly vulnerable due to their heavy reliance on exports.
Nikkei 225: Bearish Momentum Building
The Nikkei 225 has had a rough start to the week, dropping over 6% in the past four sessions and breaking below key swing support, hitting levels last seen in September 2024. The broader market structure has been a sideways range since the highs of July 2024 and the spike lows of August 2024, but recent price action suggests the bearish bias is gaining traction.
One major red flag is the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average—often dubbed the “death cross.” This technical signal indicates that the medium-term momentum has shifted to the downside. The RSI is also retesting its March lows without showing any divergence, reinforcing the bearish sentiment and suggesting that sellers are still in control.
Interestingly, the lack of volume behind the recent drop does raise some questions. Volume has been steadily declining since March, indicating that while prices are falling, the move lacks the conviction typical of a sustained downtrend. This divergence between price and volume suggests that the sell-off could be running out of steam, leaving the door open for a short-term rebound.
J225 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Drilling down to the hourly chart, the Nikkei 225’s downtrend looks increasingly aggressive. The index is tracking the 9 EMA lower, with the gap widening against the 21 EMA—highlighting the accelerating momentum. However, the RSI on this lower timeframe has dipped deep into oversold territory, hinting that a short-term pullback might be on the cards. We could see a retest of the recently broken daily swing support as bargain hunters potentially step in.
J225 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
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Nikkei 225 (existing short): Adjust your stop lossThis is the video update that I promised in my previous video. I have mentioned that when prices is reaching the personal target, I will update again.
So for those of you who are still holding a short position, and you want to hold on and see if this is gonna be a big ride down, my suggestion is to adjust your stop loss and maybe reduce you position (i.e. take some profits first).
How you want to manage this trade will be based on your personality and trading style. Good luck!
A quick long on NikkeiWarning: This is a counter trend quick trade.
JPN is in a downtrend on Daily. H4 is flat.
After last night's sell off there will be some buyers in the market looking for a deal.
We are going long based on:
1) There is a crab pattern
2) RSI divergence on M15
3) Strong support at 37500 area
Stop loss is 200+ pips and target is 400.
NIKKEI INDEX BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅NIKKEI is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 38,400
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 37,530
SHORT🔥
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JP225USD ShortBOJ interest rates hikes,Stock Market reacts.
2Approaches: Both selling the highs.
Approch 1 is more aggressive,
Approach2 :More conservative, higher reward-risk-ratio,but the irsk is,if the market falls in profit target zone and continues downard.Then we would miss the entry.
I will chose approach1,if market temporarily at (stop.levels of other traders) I will cover instead exit.
The stop levels in the chart are my new re-entries.(covering)
NIKKEI LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅NIKKEI went down to retest a horizontal support of 35,250
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 36,093
LONG🚀
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short opportunity This is a very bearish chart. I missed to opened a short position so now I have to wait for the second chance.
I will open a short position if and when:
1. the price comes back up to fill the gap in the daily chart.
2. The price is going to roll back down at major fib level such as 0.618 and 0.5.
3. Momentum indicators in daily chart stay in the bear zone and roll down to the downside.
JPN225 Short 1. This trade is against the trend
2. There are multiple patterns on all timeframes
3. This trade is oversold on all timeframes
4. There is a triple bottom on M15 with divergence
5. 200 Pip stop loss
6. First target at M15 overbought since this is counter trend
NIKKEI WILL BE BREAKING OUT SHORTLYAfter consolidating in a bull flag for nearly a year now and is testing it's 20 SMA as support.
Bullis div on the monthly and oversold stochastic rsi. This is and ideal setup!
JP225 - The cleanest P.A Ive seen in a hot minuteAlright, lets get to the point here and break this down cause this is way to clean to be right..
Firstly we see a Strong Bullish market which tells me.. BUY
Secondly we have seen a strong 6H Demand zone get respected
Thirdly.. Sell side Liquidity Sweeps are clean, we see almost every liquidity point has been collected on the sell leaving lots and lots of Buy side resting
Fourth...ly lmfao, we have seen a Elliots wave pattern finish moving into a second wave starting with the 3rd Wave in our OTE zone
The trade idea will be looking to buy from this Demand and ill be looking to hold possibly long term here. For confirmation I would like to see the Resistance zone be used as a support level of which I will look to add additional positions there
Follow to stay Tuned!
Nikkei, Bearish MomentumNikkei seems to be resuming its Bearish Momentum.
Hope to see it push down to 35000... and then some...
NIKKEI 225 UP WE GOHere is a technical analysis of NIKKEI225. I think price will retest the S/R zone, there is also a fair value gap to be filled.
Selling NIKKEI at 37500Happy new week everyone,
We are looking to sell NIKKEI at 37500 based on the action we see this morning.
1) It created a high last week at 37,622
2) There is lot of divergence on H1, M30, M15
3) There is a shark pattern which is not quite valid, but shows a good sign to sell.
This could be a big move downwards.
Nikkei 225, LongForecast for the Japanese Index (Nikkei 225, Long):
Entry Price: 37400.0
Take Profit (TP): 38200.0 (8000 pips above the entry point)
Stop Loss (SL): 37000.0 (4000 pips below the entry point)
Rationale for the Forecast:
Current Context:
The index is near a support level, indicating a potential upward reversal.
The Take Profit level (38200.0) is close to a key resistance level, which could be reached with improved economic data or positive corporate reports.
The Stop Loss level (37000.0) is set below a key support level, minimizing risks in case of a downward breakout.
Fundamental Factors:
Japan: GDP growth and an improved business climate could support the index.
Global Factors: Decreasing inflation in the US and stabilization in commodity markets could positively impact Japanese stocks.
Technical Factors:
The level of 37400.0 is a support zone where a bounce upwards is possible.
The level of 38200.0 is a resistance zone where profit-taking could occur.
The level of 37000.0 is a zone below key support where the Stop Loss would be triggered.
Recommendations:
Target (Take Profit): 38200.0 (8000 pips profit).
Risk (Stop Loss): 37000.0 (4000 pips loss).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (profit twice the risk).
Scenarios:
Optimistic Scenario:
The index reaches the 38200.0 level, and the position is closed with a profit.
This could happen if Japan's economic data improves or positive corporate reports are released.
Pessimistic Scenario:
The index breaks below the 37000.0 level, and the position is closed with a loss.
This could occur if Japan's economic data worsens or negative global events take place.
Conclusion:
The current trade has a favorable risk-reward ratio (1:2).
It is recommended to monitor Japan's economic data and global events, as they could impact the index's movement.
JP225JP225 is showing good bullish buildup. Price has submitted the breakout , if the price sustain this breakout then the bulls can target 38800 region
JPN225 D1 | Potential bearish reversalJPN225 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 37,727.50 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 38,550.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 35,170.92 which is a swing-low support.
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