US30 (Dow Jones) – Trade Update | May 6, 2025As shared earlier today, price tapped perfectly into the demand zone around 40,920, and we're now seeing the bounce unfold.
✅ I’m currently looking to go long, targeting the 15-min FVG zone (around 41,160–41,240) — as per this morning’s projection.
🎯 Trade idea remains the same:
Valid bullish structure forming
Patience for price to push into the key supply/FVG zone
Will reassess for shorts once that level is reached
⚠️ As always: This is my personal prediction, not financial advice. Please do your own analysis, especially on a volatile NFP day like today. Protect your capital first.
#US30 #DowJones #LongSetup #FVGTarget #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingUpdate #VERUMAcademy
USAIND trade ideas
US30 (Dow Jones) – Bounce + Rejection Setup – May 6, 2025🔍 Setup Summary:
Price followed my Tuesday prediction precisely, breaking down from the mid-range and now tapping into a demand zone. From here, I expect a bounce into the descending channel, targeting the 15-min FVG and supply zone around 41,160–41,220, before a potential rejection for a deeper move down.
📉 Trade Idea:
Waiting for confirmation of bullish intent from the current demand zone (~40,960–41,000), with a potential retracement into the FVG zone. I’ll then be watching closely for bearish price action to re-enter short in line with overall structure.
✅ Confluences:
Demand zone reaction expected
15-min Fair Value Gap + trendline + supply confluence
Downward channel still in play
Previous prediction unfolding as expected
📌 Bias: Short-term bullish bounce, then bearish continuation
🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart
🎯 Watch Levels:
Entry long: ~40,960–41,000 (confirmation needed)
TP1 (for longs): 41,160
Re-entry short zone: 41,160–41,220
Extended bearish targets: below 41,000
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This idea reflects my personal analysis and bias. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research, apply risk management, and trade only when you have clear confirmation. Protect your capital first.
US30 Stalling Under Resistance – 06/05/2025📉 US30 Stalling Under Resistance – 06/05/2025 📉
🔥 Relief Rally Slowing Down?
After bouncing clean from the 36,700s, US30 has been grinding higher and just tapped into 41,200–41,300 — the same resistance zone that’s been rejecting price since early April. Now, the 1H EMAs are starting to curl, and we’re seeing signs of hesitation 🧊.
Momentum is fading just under key resistance. Bulls still have control above 40,700, but if that level goes… lights out 💡
🔍 Key Technicals:
🔹 Resistance Zone = 41,200–41,300 (retested multiple times)
🔹 Support = 40,700, key structure from April
🔹 Final upside target = 42,359 if we break
🔹 EMAs (blue/white) starting to compress → volatility loading ⚡
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
🟰 Current Range = 40,700 – 41,300
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = clean runway toward 42,359
🔻 If price loses 40,700 = short setups down to 39,775 then 39,200
Bonus 🎁: If we flush fast, look for liquidity grabs below 39,775 to snipe scalp longs 🥷
🧠 Mindset Notes:
✅ No breakout? No trade. Let the chart prove it.
❌ Don’t short blindly into strength — let levels confirm!
💎 Remember: "slow grinds up often lead to sharp dumps down"
US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41,170 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41,039..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025 🛑
📈 Strong Bounce – But Watch This Supply Zone!
US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 🔥 — but now we’re seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200–41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building 🥵.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price holding above 40,700 (key support)
🔹 41,200–41,300 = local resistance zone
🔹 42,359 = next major upside target 🎯
🔹 EMAs still bullish but starting to curve → 🌀 possible slowdown?
⚠️ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon — market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback 💣.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Current range = 40,700 – 41,300
🔻 Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359–42,787
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
🔁 Don’t chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection
⚡ When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode
💎 Patience + plan = edge
US30 Eyes 41,300: Bullish Momentum Builds for Major BreakoutTechnical Analysis: The US30 has established a strong support base at 40500, with major support at 40000 serving as a safety net. Price action shows an upward channel formation on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential trend reversal. The risk-reward ratio of 1.60 (500 points risk for 800 points potential reward) provides favorable trading conditions. Recent price action demonstrates higher lows, suggesting accumulation phase and bullish momentum building.
Sentiment Analysis: Market sentiment shows cautious optimism despite recent volatility. Institutional investors maintain bullish positions, particularly in technology and energy sectors. The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey indicates decreased bullish sentiment, which often serves as a contrarian indicator suggesting potential upside movement. Economic forecasts pointing toward a soft landing rather than hard recession support continued equity market strength.
Support and Resistance Levels: Entry zone established around 40500, supported by historical price action and recent consolidation patterns. Major support at 40000 provides clear stop loss level, limiting downside risk. Target of 41300 aligns with previous resistance zone, offering realistic profit objective before encountering major resistance at 41500. Multiple tests of support levels have created strong foundation for upward movement.
Trade Management: Entry: 40500 Stop Loss: 40000 (500 points risk) Target: 41300 (800 points reward) Risk/Reward: 1.60
Additional Considerations: Recent market correction has created oversold conditions, suggesting potential mean reversion toward higher levels. Institutional buying pressure remains strong, with increased volume on upward movements. Technical indicators suggest room for upside before reaching overbought conditions. The 2024 performance showing 12.88% gain supports continued bullish momentum.
The combination of strong technical setup, positive institutional sentiment, and clearly defined support/resistance levels presents a compelling case for longing US30 with 41300 target. The favorable risk-reward ratio and multiple confirmation factors enhance the probability of successful trade execution.
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow 30, is a widely followed stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. These companies are considered some of the most important and influential in the U.S. economy, representing a diverse range of sectors such as technology, healthcare, finance, consumer goods, and industrials.
The index is price-weighted, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have a greater impact on the index’s value than those with lower prices. The DJIA is calculated by adding the prices of all 30 component stocks and dividing by a divisor that adjusts for stock splits and other corporate actions.
The US30 acts as a barometer of the U.S. stock market and overall economic health, though it only includes 30 companies and is not weighted by market capitalization like the S&P 500.
Companies That Make Up the US30 (As of 2025)
The 30 companies in the US30 include some of the largest and most influential U.S. corporations:
Apple Inc. (AAPL) – Technology
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) – Technology
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) – Technology
Visa Inc. (V) – Financial Services
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – Healthcare
Procter & Gamble Company (PG) – Consumer Goods
Walmart Inc. (WMT) – Retail
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) – Financial Services
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) – Consumer Goods
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) – Retail
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) – Consumer Services
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) – Healthcare
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) – Insurance
The Boeing Company (BA) – Aerospace & Defense
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) – Biotechnology
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) – Financial Services
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) – Machinery
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) – Pharmaceuticals
Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) – Technology
Chevron Corporation (CVX) – Energy
IBM Corporation (IBM) – Technology
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – Industrials
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) – Technology
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) – Media & Entertainment
Nie, Inc. (NKE) – Consumer Goods
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) – Telecommunications
American Express Company (AXP) – Financial Services
3M Company (MMM) – Conglomerates
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA) – Retail
Dow Inc. (DOW) – Chemicals
How Bond Yields and the US Dollar (DXY) Affect US30 Price Movement
Bond Yields Impact
Rising bond yields (especially U.S. Treasury yields) generally increase borrowing costs for companies, which can dampen corporate profits and weigh on stock prices, including those in the US30.
Higher yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, causing some investors to shift capital out of equities and into fixed income, putting downward pressure on the US30.
Conversely, falling bond yields reduce borrowing costs and can boost stock valuations, supporting gains in the US30.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Impact
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies.
A stronger dollar can hurt multinational companies in the US30 by making their exports more expensive and reducing the value of overseas earnings when converted back to USD, often leading to downward pressure on the index.
A weaker dollar tends to support US30 companies with significant international sales, potentially boosting the index.
Additionally, dollar strength often reflects risk-off sentiment, which can coincide with stock market declines, while dollar weakness often aligns with risk-on sentiment and rising equities.
Summary
Factor Effect on US30 Price Movement
Rising Bond Yields Negative: Higher borrowing costs, shift to bonds
Falling Bond Yields Positive: Lower borrowing costs, stocks more attractive
Stronger US Dollar Negative: Exporters hurt, overseas earnings worth less
Weaker US Dollar Positive: Boosts multinational earnings, supports stocks
In essence, the US30 reflects the performance of 30 major U.S. companies weighted by stock price. Its price movements are influenced by macroeconomic factors such as bond yields and the US dollar, which affect corporate profitability and investor risk appetite.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
US30 - AnalysisKey Levels to look for:
Resistance - 41250
Support - 40800
Currently price show a neutral trend. Resistance level must be broken for a bullish outlook as long as support is respected. A double top formation near resistance level. Failure to break this level will result in retest of support level.
US30 Long Setup | Targeting the Unfilled 4H Gap🧠 Technical Analysis
🔹 Unfilled Gap (Target Area)
A large 4H imbalance/gap remains unfilled between 41,500–41,600, highlighted in yellow.
This acts as a magnet for price — the market often retraces to fill inefficiencies after structure is built below.
🔹 Breakout and Retest
Price has broken above a consolidation structure and returned to retest the breakout level.
The "Invalidation Zone" (~41,147–41,222) is clearly marked — if price breaks below this area, the long idea is invalidated.
Current candle shows strong bullish follow-through after testing the invalidation area.
🔹 Bullish Market Structure
The overall price action is forming higher highs and higher lows.
The recent impulse move confirms bullish momentum and continuation potential.
🛠 Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish
Entry: ~41,237.50 (current price)
Stop Loss: Below 41,147 (clear invalidation zone)
Target: 41,541.52 (unfilled 4H gap)
Risk:Reward: High (approx. 1:3+)
✅ Why This Trade Makes Sense
Clean structure breakout
Clear imbalance target above
Strong follow-through candle at breakout retest
Logical invalidation level below the range
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Watch for volatility around news events (US data, FOMC, etc.)
A close below the invalidation zone would signal failed breakout
🧭 Trading Plan
If price continues to hold above 41,200 and prints bullish continuation patterns (e.g., bull flags or strong engulfing candles), holding toward the 41,540–41,600 range remains valid.
DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but today’s NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action
The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle — a potential signal that bulls are losing control.
Technical Outlook:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 – 41,020
Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger
Demand Target Zone: 39,938 – 40,000 (orange block)
Observations:
Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone
A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance
Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon)
Trade Idea (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 40,486
Target: 39,938
Stop Loss: Above 41,020
Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level.
Invalidation:
If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table.
Fundamental Alert:
US data/events may trigger volatility soon — watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below!
Like & follow for more clean price action setups!
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
US30 (Dow Jones) – Short Setup in Play – May 2, 2025🔍 Setup Summary:
Price is trading within a bearish internal channel and has shown a reaction from a lower high inside the upper boundary. There’s clear intent to grab liquidity, possibly sweep the short-term high above the descending wedge, then reject sharply.
📉 Trade Idea:
Looking for price to spike up toward the upper channel resistance (~41,250–41,300), potentially sweep liquidity, then reject and break below the ascending trendline. A clean short could target the 15-min FVG zone and demand block around 40,600, with extended targets toward 40,300.
✅ Confluences:
Bearish market structure and channel
Potential liquidity sweep + internal market trap
Fair Value Gap + previous demand zones below
Trendline break setup for entry confirmation
📌 Bias: Bearish – short-term rally expected before a move lower
🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart
📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5–3:1 depending on entry point and target zone
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is my personal outlook based on technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, manage risk appropriately, and use proper trade management. Markets carry risk — trade safe.