Nasdaq100 M30Last week NFP failed to push investors price high , while this our chance to hit the lows
USATEC trade ideas
NAS100 and the analysis that has reached a conclusion and has noToday I was reviewing my previous analyses when I came across this chart on NAS100 and after months of waiting, it had come to fruition.
It's a bit late to publish now, but I will gradually increase the number of symbols and arrange the time so that the results are available to everyone on time!!
Good luck!
MJ.REZAEI
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,595.55 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 18,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 20,343.35 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NAS100 Rejected at Key Supply Zone | Pullback in Play?The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tapped into a strong supply zone around 20,000 – 20,100 and is showing signs of rejection. Price is currently at 20,007, down -0.45%, and struggling to hold above the demand turned resistance.
Chart Highlights:
Supply Zone: 20,000 – 20,100 (visible rejection area).
Key Support Levels:
19,852 – immediate structure level.
18,846 – breakout origin, potential demand zone.
17,673 – major volume and demand cluster (orange zone).
Bearish Bias:
If price loses 19,852, we could see a drop toward 18,846.
Failure there opens the path for a deeper correction to 17,673, where buyers are likely to step in.
Bullish Trigger:
A clean break and close above 20,100 would flip the script and suggest continuation of the bullish rally.
Volatility Warning:
Upcoming U.S. economic data could cause sharp moves (see calendar icon on chart). Be cautious and reactive.
Trade Setup: Watch for short opportunities below 19,852 with stops above supply and targets near the marked supports.
---
Is NAS100 gearing up for a dip or breaking out soon? Drop your forecast in the comments!
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #IndicesTrading #USMarket #ForexSignals #SmartMoney
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,035 (approx. from most recent high-volume node)
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,710
Point of Control (POC):
High-Volume Nodes: Clustered between 19,850 – 20,050 (heavy volume activity)
Low-Volume Gaps: Between 19,700 – 19,800 (could act as fast move zones)
b) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Pools:
Order Absorption: Observed near 19,850 (buy side absorption with wicks and CVD reaction)
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,035 with volume tapering and price exhaustion
Swing Low: 19,710 showing high delta rebound and large wick
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend (price making HH/HL, supported by rising channel)
ADX Strength: ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed bullish trend
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Swing Low: 19,710 (1/3 retracement zone)
Key Retracement Levels:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish (confirmed by ADX > 20 and CVD rising)
b) Notable Patterns:
Bullish Ascending Channel clearly forming with higher lows
Price pulled back to mid-channel + POC confluence, showing signs of retest and continuation
No major bearish reversal patterns yet; healthy pullback structure
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,850–19,875 (POC retest + trendline support)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,700 (below VAL and swing low)
RR: ~1:2.5
b) Bearish Entry (Only on breakdown):
Entry Zone: Below 19,700 (VAL loss + CVD breakdown)
Target: T1: 19,422.18 (previous POC support)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,860 (back above trendline/POC)
RR: ~1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade for controlled exposure
Nas100 Buy Looking at the w1 chart we can spot out a strong pullback momentum which gave D1 TF a bullish bias and now on h4 price look to pullback towards an AOI for a bullish continuation. Fingers crossed
Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline.
🔍 Likely scenario:
If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5.
Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance.
🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive:
A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction.
A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond.
🟢 Key Zones:
📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000
📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215
📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5
📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups.
Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
NASDAQ SELL?This is just a rough idea, I still need to wait and see where the market moves to and rejects from in order for TP and SL placement.
But, there is a Asian high, a London high and a NY high sitting closely together, causing what I call a liquidity pool, and we all know that liquidity moves the market. its like a magnet for the market.
so I'll be waiting and watching to see which session is swept and how the market reacts. But all in all, this is what i personally think Nasdaq will do
what are your thoughts? I would love to hear them.
I hope you all have a fantastic week and you rake in those profits.
God bless
J.D.L
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Macro economic Indicators: Most data came red and few were inline confirming the slowing down of the economy.
2- Inflation data came better than expected.
3- Trump Tariffs: Strong rumors about deals underway from this week. The 90-day pause will become an indeterminate pause.
4- We have the FED this week. Nothing in terms of immediate rate cut, but the conference is very important for the looking forward.
5-ISM Services data is important.
From FA perspective, market is focusing on Tariffs deals. If it materializes, the ST outlook will change from Sell to Buy. MT and LT Outlook will stay Sell.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bullish and price retraced more than 61.8. This could be the end of this wave.
The FED and/or the tariff deals will give the signal for either the start of wave 3 or a continuation up. Until then, a consolidation is expected.
Daily TF:
Same as weekly... a bullish daily close. A consolidation is expected until the FED.
Happy and green week to Everyone!
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 20,418.65
1st Support: 19,265.30
1st Resistance: 21,137.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NAS100: Back in Beast Mode? Channel Top in SightThe NAS100 has stormed back into bullish territory, carving out a clean upward channel. If momentum holds, we could see price test the top again—setting up a textbook double or triple top. Here's what to watch and where this might stall.
NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025
Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions
as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize.
this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect
for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes.
this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern,
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025,
US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well,
Key Level to watch
Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000
Support Levels 19,500
you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.
A daily bias for 2025 Find the range of the day which has the protected high's and protected low's looks for contuniation or liquidity grab and small time trame determine if a CSID or continuation form Is taking place
US100 / NASDAQ#US100 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT🔴
📉US100 SIGNAL
✔️Trade Direction: short
✔️Entry Level: 20,101.6
✔️Target Level: 18,779.9
✔️Stop Loss: 20,975.6
📊RISK PROFILE
⭐️Risk level: medium
⭐️Suggested risk: 1%
⭐️Timeframe: 1D
——————
Approaching 200SMA and long-term uptrend line, pullback expected(The following is a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise independent judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the market remained in a consolidation phase near recent highs. The current price has broken through and is approaching the 200-day moving average, while also nearing a retest of the uptrend line that began in 2023. Considering the price has been on a 9-day upward streak, there is a high probability of a significant pullback upon reaching these key resistance levels.
At present, it is difficult to categorize the overall market trend as either bullish or bearish. With ongoing uncertainty around tariff-related policies, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained uptrend, lacking fundamental support for further rallies. As such, there is a higher probability that the price will fill the lower gap at 18,264.
Next week, special attention should be given to the FOMC rate decision and the press conference on Wednesday. Recent employment data has been strong, and inflation has shown signs of rising. The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, which could trigger a market sell off. It's also possible the pullback may begin as early as Monday or Tuesday, offering opportunities for early positioning.
From a technical perspective, if the price continues to rise, it may test the area around the 200-day moving average and previous trend resistance, roughly between 20,226 and 20,400. Should this area be tested early in the week (Monday or Tuesday), I would consider initiating short positions. Light positions can be considered above the 20,000 level, as the current price range offers a relatively favorable risk-to-reward.
To the downside, a break below the 19,000 level is required first, after which there's a higher probability of filling the price gap between 18,264 and 18,583. If supported by macro news, the market may further test lower levels in the coming weeks, including 17,589, 17,278–16,946, and potentially 16,108–16,589. These levels will require further observation as developments unfold.
US100 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 20,101.6
Target Level: 18,779.9
Stop Loss: 20,975.6
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NAS100 1WTake a look at this chart! After a solid uptrend, the price broke an important ascending trendline and corrected down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level — right where a key structural support zone is (that blue area near the bottom).
From there, we’ve seen a strong bounce back upward, and now the price has reached a critical zone:
Previous resistance
The 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement area
And most importantly, a retest (pullback) to the broken trendline
There are two possible scenarios ahead:
1. If the price breaks and holds above this resistance zone, we might see the continuation of the bullish move.
2. But if it fails to break through, the market could enter another corrective phase.
Also, keep in mind that we have the interest rate decision this week. With Trump applying repeated pressure, there’s a chance rates might be cut — which could fuel a green, bullish market.
Bearish Look for potential Reversal bearish candlestick formation upon the retest of daily supply zone.
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop.
While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline:
Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100.
Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers.
Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions.
Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters.
With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength.
Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend.
Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg.
Current Stance
There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers.
Conclusion
US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
