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USATEC trade ideas

KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning Folks, As you can see we are nearing a take profit zone. If you followed my NDX profile you would have started accumulating stocks during the 19500 Zone - This accumulation would have giving you roughly 30% on most stocks trending with the NASDAQ (This is also applicable to other Indexes). We are nearing another point of uncertainty which is the April tariffs - Will this strike fear in investors again or is it already priced in. Amidst uncertainty I will always take profit - I am a swing trader which means there is opportunity everyday and every week!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by mindfullylost
Nas bullish outlook, buy here 20151 and 20069Good morning, I´m expecting that Nas has bottomed and it will start to climb as shown in the idea. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now with smaller size or you can wait till 20069 will be tested. In the second option, entry is safer, but also the chance to miss the trade. I´m expecting that today the "follow up candle" will be bullish. Price got a momentum, so expecting 330-450 are to be tested. Wish you good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, do not sell anything here. Also do not have any premium channel to sell something. We are a group of traders sharing-trading same strategy. If you want to buy something, please contact one of the signal factories.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
Weekly Analyses 03/24-03/28Welcome Traders to another week of trading! Due to ongoing economic events the US stock market underwent a correction for the past 4 weeks. From peak to trough, the NASDAQ made a 14.4% correction and has now found a level of support at 19,125.3. Since then, price has made a series of HHs and HLs ultimately signalling a LH on the Daily chart. Using my fibs the Daily LH is currently within the 38.2% fib level. Price has also finally managed to fill the gap created at market open on March-9. So what happens next? Price may have room to continue bullish in an attempt to capture the buy side liquidity and FVG created during the downtrend. If this is the case, I anticipate price to continue bullish to 20,320.0 - 20,552.1. If price respects this level, it will serve as a retest of the 200 day MA that price broke below, as well as a restest of the neckline of the "M" pattern created on the Daily. Price also has room to retrace as the 1H, 6H and 7H TFs have signalled a HIGH not HH. A retracement is required to signal their respective HLs to continue the uptrend. Furthermore, a gap created at market open on March-21 needs to be filled. So regardless of how high price may continue bullish we can expect a retracement back to 19,785.9 with a daily candle close below the gap. Depending on the moment this may signal a new Daily HL or LL.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by jhannellefrancis
NASDAQ 100 INDEX BREAKDOWN FROM A 100% TECHNICAL VIEWPOINTHello everybody JosePips here hope you are all having an amazing week so far! I wanted to come on here and make a post for the Nasdaq 100 index from a 100% technical analysis perspective. There has been SO MUCH talk around the stock market and the indices lately (frankly mostly emotional) & I wanted to come on here and share my outlook and the technical outlook for you guys so you can actually gain some insight not from an emotional perspective but from a technical/subjective viewpoint. Hope you guys enjoy this video and find some value in it and can use it in your trading & investing. Please boost this post and comment if you enjoy and see you in the next one! Cheers!
FX:NAS100Long
by JosePips
USTEC (NASDAQ 100) Analysis – 30M Timeframe 1️⃣ Market Structure & Current Position Current Price: 19,758 Recent Swing Low: 19,200 (March 14) Recent Swing High: 19,900 (March 20) Key Observations: The market is ranging between 19,200 – 19,900. Breakout above 19,900 could trigger a strong rally due to thin liquidity above. If rejected, price could retest 19,600 or 19,200 before resuming upside. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels (Support & Resistance) Support Zones (Demand Areas) 19,600 – 19,650 → High volume node, key retest level. 19,200 – 19,250 → Major liquidity zone, potential bounce area. Resistance Zones (Supply Areas) 19,900 – 19,950 → Immediate resistance, key breakout level. 20,400 – 20,450 → Fibonacci 1.618 extension. 20,850 – 20,900 → Fibonacci 2.618 extension, potential exhaustion zone. 📌 Gann Confluence Levels: 19,800 – 19,850 → 1/8th division of the last major range. 20,250 – 20,300 → 2/8th division, possible reaction point. 3️⃣ Probable Scenarios & Probability (%) 📈 Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) Break & Retest of 19,900 → Target 20,400 – 20,850. Confirmation: Volume spike above 19,950 & bullish close on H4. Wave 3 of Elliott Cycle could push price to 20,900 if momentum is strong. 📉 Bearish Scenario (30% Probability) Rejection at 19,900 → Drop to 19,600, possibly 19,200. Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle below 19,750 & increase in sell-side liquidity. If 19,200 breaks, expect deeper pullback to 18,900 – 18,800. 4️⃣ Conclusion & Trading Strategy 🎯 Bias: Bullish above 19,900, cautious if rejected. ✅ Long Entries: Break & Retest of 19,900 → TP1: 20,400, TP2: 20,850, TP3: 21,300 Aggressive Buy: Bounce from 19,600 with strong bullish rejection. ❌ Short Entries: Rejection from 19,900 → Target 19,600 & 19,200. Aggressive Short: If price fails to break 19,750 with increasing sell volume. 🎯 Stop Loss Levels: For Longs: Below 19,500. For Shorts: Above 20,600. 🚀 Final Thoughts If USTEC clears 19,900 with volume, we could see an explosive move to 20,400 – 20,850. If rejected, price may revisit 19,600 – 19,200 before another breakout attempt.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by MAKFX21
NDX Trading-RoadMap Weekly • Context: Overall uptrend from 2022 is intact but under pressure as price slipped below some key weekly moving averages and trendline supports. • Key Takeaway: The bigger picture has not fully turned bearish yet, but momentum has cooled. If the weekly chart remains above ~17,800–18,000, that “long‐term uptrend” viewpoint is still viable. Daily • Trend: Lower highs and lower lows (short‐term downtrend). Price is below the 200‐day SMA (~20,300) and also below the 50/100‐day SMAs (~21,000). • Focus: Watch if price can reclaim the 200‐day SMA (20,200–20,700 zone) on a daily closing basis. That’s a major pivot for a potential reversal to the upside. • Support: 19,000–19,200 is the near‐term floor; losing that puts 18,400–18,800 in play. • Resistance: 19,900–20,100 (initial supply), then 20,200–20,700 (200‐day + Fib). 4H (Shorter‐Term) • Recent Development: A bounce off ~19,150. MACD turned bullish on 4H, RSI improved from oversold. • Trendline: The steep 4H downtrend line has been broken; price is testing overhead supply near 19,900–20,000. • Key Focus: Does the 4H momentum carry price above 20,000+? If so, next stops are 20,200–20,700. If it stalls, watch for a return to ~19,200 or lower. 2. Key Levels to Track 1. Immediate Support Zones • 19,600–19,700: Minor 4H pivot / mid Bollinger band on 4H. • 19,000–19,200: Major short‐term floor; also a bullish order block from prior lows. 2. Deeper Supports • 18,400–18,800: Strong demand if 19k fails. • 17,800–18,000: Critical weekly zone, where the longer‐term uptrend would truly be at risk. 3. Immediate Resistance Zones • 19,900–20,100: Overhead supply on Daily/4H; first real challenge for bulls. • 20,200–20,700: Major confluence (200‐day SMA, Bollinger mid band on Daily, Ichimoku lower cloud boundary). • 21,000–22,200: Larger daily/weekly supply if the index fully recovers. 4. Fibonacci Confluences • From the larger swing: 50% retracement ~19,893. • From the smaller daily swing: 23.6% ~19,886, 50% ~20,706. • Keep an eye if price clusters or reverses around these fib levels. 3. Indicators You’ll Watch Each Day • Daily Ichimoku: Price below the cloud → short‐term bias still bearish. A daily close back inside/above the cloud (~20,200–20,400) would be a significant bullish sign. • Daily MACD: Still negative, but flattening. A bullish crossover on the daily could confirm the 4H bounce is turning into a multi‐day uptrend. • Daily RSI: Hovering near 40–45. If it reclaims 50+, that’s a better sign of daily upside momentum. • 4H MACD: Already bullish; watch if it remains that way or starts to roll over near resistance. • 4H RSI: Currently ~45–50 or slightly higher. Over 60 would reinforce short‐term upside. • Volume / OBV: See if up moves come on higher volume or if OBV slopes upward. That would show genuine buying pressure. 4. Daily Checklist / “If‐Then” Triggers Use this section as a morning or intraday reference when you see price approaching certain zones. A) Bullish Attempt • IF price breaks above ~19,900–20,000 THEN: • Check for 4H or daily candle close above that zone. • Confirm if 4H MACD/RSI remain bullish. • Potential next target: ~20,200–20,700. • IF price subsequently closes above 20,200–20,300 THEN: • This reclaims the 200‐day SMA → a bigger shift to bullish. • Daily RSI likely near or above 50. • Next target: ~21,000–21,500, with an eye on the 22k supply zone. • IF 19,600–19,700 holds as support on a pullback, THEN watch for 4H bullish patterns to confirm a bounce. Potential to re‐attempt 19,900–20,000. B) Bearish Continuation • IF price rejects ~19,900–20,100 (4H or daily closes back under 19,600) THEN: • Expect a drift back to test 19,200–19,000. • Check if 4H RSI crosses below 40, MACD turns down again. • If that zone fails, 18,800–18,400 is next support. • IF daily closes below 19,000 THEN: • The bullish bounce scenario is invalidated. • Target a deeper move to 18,400–18,800, possibly 18,000 if momentum is strong. 5. What to Avoid 1. Over‐Leveraging: With the index near pivotal levels, volatility can spike. Keep position sizes within your risk tolerance. 2. Chasing Mid‐Zone: If price is between major zones (e.g., 19,600–19,700), entering randomly without a clear signal can lead to whipsaws. Wait for a confirmed break or test of a zone. 3. Ignoring Conflicting Timeframes: Weekly vs. Daily vs. 4H may conflict. If you see a 4H bullish signal but daily is still firmly bearish, manage risk accordingly (e.g., smaller size, quicker profit targets). 6. Risk Management & Positioning • Stop Placement: • For short‐term trades, use 4H ATR (~300 points) or place stops just beyond key swing highs/lows. • For swing trades, consider daily ATR (~400–450 points) to avoid normal intraday noise. • Targets: • Set at least two profit objectives. For bullish trades, T1 near 20,200–20,300, T2 near 21k+. For bearish trades, T1 near 19k, T2 near 18.4k. • Moving Stops to Breakeven: • Once T1 is reached or a clear pivot forms in your favor, consider moving your stop to entry to lock in any open profit. 7. Potential News/Events That May Override Technicals • U.S. Economic Data: Watch for major releases (CPI, Fed announcements, Tech sector earnings). These can create sudden volatility that breaks your technical zones. • Global Sentiment Shifts: If risk aversion hits equity markets broadly, NDX could gap lower through supports. Alternatively, any strong bullish news in major tech names could swiftly break resistances. 8. Weekly Summary Action Plan 1. Check Weekly & Daily: • Are we still below the daily 200‐SMA (~20,300)? If yes, short‐term momentum is likely bearish unless proven otherwise by the 4H breakout. • Is the index forming a weekly candle that regains the prior trend channel or 50‐week SMA? That would be a bullish sign. 2. Monitor 19,900–20,100 & 19,000: • These levels will dictate a lot of the week’s direction. A break above 20,000 on solid volume is your bullish trigger; a fail at 19,900 or a breakdown below 19,000 reaffirms the bearish narrative. 3. Intraday (4H) Observation: • If price hovers between 19,600 and 19,900, remain cautious until a decisive push emerges. • Use the 4H MACD/RSI to gauge if momentum is building up (or rolling over). 4. Risk Profile Guidance: • Aggressive: Trade around 19,600–19,700 with tight stops, aiming for quick breaks. • Moderate: Wait for 4H closes above or below key pivot zones (19,900–20,000 or 19,200–19,000). • Conservative: Look for daily closes beyond 20,200 or under 19,000 before committing to positions. 5. Adapt & React: • If you see a bullish break that fails intraday (price wicks above 19,900 but closes back below 19,600 on a 4H candle), that’s a potential short signal. • Conversely, if price dips intraday to 19,200–19,300, but the 4H closes back above 19,600, that’s a potential bullish reversal cue.
NASDAQ:NDX
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Bearish Alert: Nasdaq’s Downtrend May Deepen Beyond 5%Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US100 Bearish Trend Stop? Let’s Dive In.... On the H4 timeframe, Nasdaq continues to follow the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 . Both trend analysis tools clearly signal a bearish trend. The downtrend may persist as a rising wedge pattern has formed, followed by a breakout and a MACD crossover. Based on these technical signals, I anticipate a potential downward movement toward the first target at 19,077. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the decline continues toward a new low at 18,544. This outlook remains valid as long as the price move below the stop-loss level at 20,080 Besides technical factors, U.S. President Donald Trump still intends to implement new reciprocal tariff rates on April 2, adding further uncertainty to the market. This could limit growth potential and contribute to an inflationary environment by increasing the cost of imported goods. Given this uncertainty, we believe the market will continue to decline. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
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