USATEC trade ideas
NASDAQ Will the 4H MA200 support the Channel Up?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since mid-May and today almost touched the pattern's bottom, making a Higher Low. At the same time, the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is right below it, the medium-term's natural Support.
Since the 4H RSI also bounced on the 32.20 Support, which is where the pattern bottomed on May 23, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start, as long as of course the 4H MA200 holds. The Target is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at 22300.
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NAS100I am looking for selling opportunities for NAS100. The market is very volatile, so trade with caution. Currently, it is trading in a seller-friendly zone, which suggests that we may see an influx of sellers. This should represent a 5/6 Fibonacci retracement, with the potential for a further decline over a longer time frame. However, please note that my sell analysis for NAS has not been very accurate in the past. While I’ve been able to collect a few pips, the broader movements have aligned better.
SELL-THE -RALLY :Swing trade limit Trend & Structure Broken
The green up-trend line and the last swing low were breached (you saw a BOS and CHoCH). That’s your first clue that buyers have lost control.
Failed Rally into Supply
When price pulled back up, it stalled under the old swing high / “equilibrium” zone. It never made a fresh higher high—so there’s no reason to chase longs.
Entry (Blue @ ~21,689) 🔵🚀
After price broke the rising trendline and the last swing low, it rolled back up into the equilibrium/supply area. That gives you a “sell-the-rally” entry at the blue level—where late buyers and remaining shorts congregate.
Stop-Loss (Red @ ~22,071) 🔴❌
Placed just above the prior swing high and the upper edge of the supply zone. If price pops above this red line, it signals the short setup has failed and bulls are back in control.
Take-Profits (Greens @ ~21,448 → 21,066 → 20,718 → 20,306) 🟢🎯
These green levels are the next pockets of demand/value below:
21,448 – the minor PDL/PWL area 📉
21,066 – first major demand zone 💰
20,718 – deeper value area 📦
20,306 – unfilled gap that often attracts fast buyers ⚡
Happy trading! 👍
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570!
Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000.
Stay tuned for the next update!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke major resistance level 22100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 23000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the major resistance level 22100.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the end of 2024 as can be seen from the weekly NDX chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 22100.00 continues the active primary impulse wave 3 from the middle of 2025.
With the accelerating weekly momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 23000.00.
USNAS100 Hits New ATH | Watch 22,520 for Possible Correction USNAS100 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
Nasdaq 100 Prints New ATH | Eyeing 22,640, But Correction Risk Builds
USNAS100 recorded a new all-time high, supported by broad bullish sentiment across U.S. indices after upbeat S&P and inflation data boosted risk appetite.
Technically, the index remains bullish, but signs of short-term exhaustion are appearing.
If the price closes below 22,520 on the 1H timeframe, a correction toward the 22,280 zone is likely.
However, a clean break above 22,640 would confirm continuation toward the next upside target at 22,790.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 22,520
Resistance: 22,640 → 22,790
Support: 22,410 → 22,280 → 22,200
Take a look at the previous idea to see more reality...
US100 2H in a Symmetrical Triangle—Eyes on BREAKOUT!1. A Symmetrical Triangle in Play
Rising support line (green) connecting the sequence of higher lows.
Falling resistance line (red) connecting the lower highs.
Price is squeezing into the apex of that triangle – classic consolidation/indecision.
What to watch:
A clean break above the red trendline (~21,820–21,850) would be a bullish signal.
A break below the green trendline (~21,650–21,670) would open the door for a move down toward 21,500 or even the 21,400 zone.
2. Value & “Premium” Zones
The green shaded area around 21,500–21,600 is marked “Equilibrium/Value,” where buyers have stepped in repeatedly.
Above ~21,950 there’s a “Premium” supply zone (red) where heavy selling has shown up.
These zones can act as sensible targets or rejection areas once price breaks out of the triangle.
3. Key Reference Levels
PDH / PDL (Previous Day High / Low): ~21,860 / ~21,620
PWH / PWL (Previous Week High / Low): ~21,960 / ~21,430
Traders often use these to confirm break-outs (e.g. holding above PDH now that it’s pierced).
4. Momentum Indicators
MACD: Lines hovering just under zero, histogram weakening → suggests the bulls aren’t quite firing on all cylinders yet.
RSI: Sitting around mid-40s, neutral but with a slight downside bias.
Neither is over-extended; momentum is “sleepy,” which aligns with the triangle/consolidation picture.
5. What This Means for Traders
Neutral bias until one side wins the breakout.
Bull scenario: Triangle → breakout → retest of ~21,820 → rocket toward 22,000–22,200 supply zone.
Bear scenario: Failure at the red trendline → drop through support → test 21,600 then 21,400 demand areas.
NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal#NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of a narrowing diagonal + price broke through the lower trend line through a 3-wave structure. It is better not to increase risks. Stop behind the maximum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 21509.0
TP: 20986.3 - 20372.2 - 19784.5 - 18396.7
Stop: 22160.6
Nas100 ShortWe've seen Nasdaq consolidating to the upside for today we do have jobless claims and GDP coming up.
From a fundamental view there is some speculation that the GDP will come out significantly lower and therefore could possibly draw price down.
From a price action point of view we should see price drop to test our recent swing low.
Trade with caution and please do subscribe for more Setups
Nasdaq - Will market discount from ResistanceNasdaq had a heavy plunge and pull. As per my projection, the stocks like apple, amazon, google, meta, nvidia heavily affects its price. The chart pattern shows strong resistance at 22.5K Price. Will market discount 20% this Fall 2025.
Lets watch ahead to know.
Nasdaq 100: A New All-Time HighNasdaq 100: A New All-Time High
As shown on the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the value of the technology stock index has risen above its February peak, setting a new historical high.
Bullish sentiment may be supported by:
→ Easing concerns over potential US involvement in a Middle East war, as the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remains in effect.
→ Media reports suggesting that Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by September or October, in an effort to influence a rate cut that could accelerate economic growth (though this also raises the risk of a new inflationary wave).
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Price fluctuations in May and June have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations:
→ The decline (marked by red lines) appears to be an interim correction forming a bullish flag pattern;
→ The 22K level, which acted as resistance mid-month, was breached by a strong bullish impulse (indicated by the arrow) from the week's low.
This leaves the market vulnerable to a potential correction, which seems possible given:
→ Proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel;
→ Overbought conditions indicated by the RSI.
If the market corrects, a retest of the 22K level may happen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ: Short-lived pullback ahead of major breakout.Nasdaq has entered strong bullish territory on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.290, MACD = 331.080, ADX = 18.600). Despite that, it remains inside a slow moving Channel Up for the past month in contrast to the more aggressive bullish waves of the Channel Up in April and May. The 4H RSI peak may be similar to May 12th and April 24th. We believe that at least a +9.69% rally will emerge to approach the top of this 3 month Channel Up. Stay bullish, TP = 23,400.
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Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
USNAS100- Geopolitical Pressure Builds,NAS at Key Decision PointUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
The price is currently testing 21780. A 4H candle close below this level would confirm downside continuation toward 21635.
A break below 21635 would further strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 21470 and 21375.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
Bullish momentum may return if the price breaks and holds above 21780 on the 4H timeframe, with upside targets at 21930, and potentially 22090.
• Support: 21635/ 21475 / 21375
• Resistance: 21780 / 21930 / 22090
NASDAQ Short-Term Outlook (Study Purpose Only)The NASDAQ index is showing signs of short-term weakness following a rejection near the 22,000–22,200 resistance zone. The recent breakdown from the consolidation range suggests bearish sentiment is building.
🔻 Key Observations:
Stop Loss Zone: 22,192
Price should ideally remain below this level for a bearish setup to remain valid. A move above this zone may invalidate the downside scenario.
Immediate Support Level: 21,010
If selling pressure continues, this is the first potential bounce zone. Watch price behavior closely here.
Deeper Support Target: 20,223
A break below 21,000 could open the door for a drop toward the 20,200 area — a previous accumulation/support level.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Traders may consider this type of setup if looking for short positions, but only with tight risk controls and clear confirmation of trend continuation.
📝 Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for study and educational purposes. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to take a trading position. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 – Short from Premium Post-ATH Liquidity Sweep (27-06-25)
Buyside liquidity swept at 22,554.05 after fresh ATHs. Short triggered on a strong bearish news candle from premium territory. TP set at 22,423.99 near a Bright Gold HeatMap cluster. SL at 22,585.01 above structural highs. Trade thesis driven by Box Theory, liquidity targeting, and expected short-term correction from overextended highs.