NDX has taken support at previous lowNDX has taken support at previous low. It may retrace from this support.
USATEC trade ideas
NASDAQ The recovery has officially started.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with today's opening, it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of February's Bearish Leg. Even though the confirmed bullish reversal signal technically comes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we already have the early bottom signals.
First and foremost, the 1D RSI rebounding from the same oversold (<30.00) level where all major Higher Lows of the Channel Up did (August 05 2024, April 19 2024, October 26 2023). Every time the price reached its -0.5 Fibonacci extensions following such bottoms. Also each Bullish Leg tends so far to be smaller than the previous.
As a result, targeting a +24% rise (-3% less than the previous Bullish Leg) at 23500 is a very realistic Target technically, as it is considerably below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
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NAS100NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq-100 Index, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, making it a popular choice for traders and investors who focus on the tech sector.
Key Features of NAS100:
• Composition: Includes major companies like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla.
• Volatility: Tends to be more volatile than other indices, offering high-risk, high-reward opportunities.
• Tech Dominance: Heavily influenced by the technology sector, making it sensitive to innovation trends and economic conditions.
• Trading Hours: The Nasdaq market operates from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM (ET), but NAS100 futures trade nearly 24/7.
Why Traders Like NAS100?
• Strong Growth Potential: Tech companies often outperform the broader market.
• Liquidity: High trading volume ensures tight spreads and smooth execution.
• Good for Day Trading & Swing Trading: Due to frequent price movements.
NASDAQ 1D IdeaPotential for a bearish pullback on the NASDAQ 1D which could lead to a price movement towards the support level at 18300. SELL levels from 19400
NAS100 short setup alert!Hello traders,
I've identified a prime shorting opportunity on NAS100! As noted in my previous analysis, the index remains under bearish pressure, driven by Apple’s stock decline.
On March 28, 2025, NAS100 broke below 19,100 support zone, confirming strong downside momentum. It then retraced to 19,500, filling an imbalance before facing a rejection.
📉 Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Zone: 19,200 – 19,350
🎯 Target 1: 18,800
🎯 Target 2: 18,297
🛑 Stop Loss: 19,564
Stay disciplined, trade smart, and secure those profits! 🚀📊
Came like a thief in the night: TRUMPCESSIONBearish continuation to my last post
Donny triggered it
that said im expecting price to drive lower from my red zone and to resist at the levels i think around the red price levels will it all be over
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off.
As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations.
In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners.
In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them.
This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern.
The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies.
The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures.
If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored.
According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected.
At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism.
However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective:
1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes.
The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor.
2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be.
In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including:
• Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS.
• Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report
•Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims.
One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision!
📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest.
Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
NAS100 selling pressure continues due to Apple stock declineHello traders,
As I highlighted in my previous NAS100 analysis, I expected a move to the downside. Technically, the index formed a double top, which was confirmed by a neckline break. Additionally, it has fallen below the rising support trendline from November 2024 and successfully retested it. This week, I anticipate further downside continuation. For an optimal selling opportunity, keep an eye on price action during the New York AM session. Ideally, I’d like to see a minor pullback to 19,200 before considering short positions, with the index potentially targeting liquidity at 18,297 and possibly extending to the 17,235 low from August 2024.
From a fundamental perspective, several factors are reinforcing our bearish outlook on NAS100:
Trade Tariff Concerns – New U.S. tariff measures are fueling trade war fears, weighing on tech stocks.
Inflation & Fed Policy – Higher inflation raises concerns about prolonged high interest rates.
Tech Sector Weakness – Leading NAS100 stocks like Apple and Nvidia are experiencing declines.
Stay cautious and trade wisely! 🚀
NAS Falling Knife is OverNAS Falling Knife is Over.
It has been taking support from its trend support.
An uptrend may start from here.
Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance.
In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure.
The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages.
Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections.
Thanks for your support.
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01-04-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ NAS100 M151- Divergence followed by Convergence.
2- No Divergence against.
3- One can expect pullback followed by continuation to the upside.
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Nas100 price form a demand around level of 19368.82 which means is likely to continue going up and trader should go for long with expect profit target of 19725.06 and 20133.34 . Use money management
DOWN TREND CONTINUATION We created a daily fvg gap that might push price lower. a possible 9:30 manipulation higher will set the stage for lower price targeting Monday lows the fvg lower boundary is created by the Monday high this is also supported by the London section
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
FED slowing down balance sheet reduct，good new for marketMarket sentiment has been pessimistic over the past few days, with some expecting further declines while others anticipate a rebound. However, after scanning through online discussions, I was surprised that almost no one is talking about the most critical piece of information for April！
— Starting in April, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will reduce the monthly redemption cap on U.S. Treasury securities from $25 billion to $5 billion to slow down the decline in its securities holdings.!
If we look back at May 2024, the Fed made the same move, which led to a significant rally from May to July.
For those who remain bearish, it's crucial to have proper stop-loss strategies in place. After April 2, as long as technical indicators align, we should expect a strong rebound.
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound.
Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position.
Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18,411.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18,773.6.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bulls shouldnt fight this fallI have explained everything on the chart....can't be bullish for the time being, except for some rallies in a downfall....Whales will step where JPow said the famous words, Inflation is no longer transitory....Honestly the sooner we get here, the better....but it could take a few weeks or by the middle of this year.....if the market goes again back up for a double top, the fall will be even more painful.....but markets are all about creating maximum pain for bulls and bears....
NAS100 - Tuesday Day Candle - Patience Setting a pending limit once the day candle close above or below the orderblock.
