NASDAQ 100 Index ready to bounceNAS100 has now fallen -10% from its recent peak so officially a correction and has hit 200 day MA and RSI at levels where historically rebounds of 5%-10% over a month or so timeframe have typically happened.
USATEC trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 drops below 20K after NFP, but could it rebound?The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were testing their weekly lows after what has been a bruising last few session. But with both indices testing their respective key support areas, could we see a recovery from around the current levels, especially in light of a weaker US jobs report?
Keep an eye on the area around 20,000 on the Nasdaq, where the Trump rally commenced back in November. It is a key psychological area for the market. Can we see a bounce, or will the selling continue as we head deeper into the US session?
At the time of writing, the index was below this level, but the session is not over yet. In any case, a confirmed reversal on the lower time frames should be observed by traders looking to potentially buy this dip. For example, if the index recovers to go bac above yesterday's low of 20180, that would be a bullish sign in my view. But right now it is looking quite bleak.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NFP Big Day: How does impact NQ?Good day!
Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty.
1- How to read and translate NFP data?
* Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief.
* Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received.
In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market.
* Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620.
2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut.
Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data.
3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots.
Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious.
GL!
Don't expect bounce in Crypto without #Nasdaq
#NASDAQ NEAR 10% DOWN AND TESTING SUPPORT OF RISING CHANNEL..
US index erased all post election gain. Interesting to see that will Trump come to support or he continue create uncertainty in market.
RSI reach below 30 , oversold. So we can expect a bounce from here..
Job data, CPI and FOMC meeting on March 19 will decide major move in coming days.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC range is FWB:83K -$95k nd FWB:73K -$110k
#bitcoin
NDX Last chance to buy.
Next legs before a great correction till 24000$, after summer.
Good luck with your investment.
Nas NFP possible buy I have been waiting for this level for a hwile now we might see the big move your a continuation downwards, lets see what happens during USD market open
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 (@nsarpi22) Prediction 2NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025
I expect Nasdaq to crash all the way down to the nearest monthly level based on my detailed analysis
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 2.0
Bearish Nasdaq Eyes Key Levels Amid Jobs Data Watch!In the current scenario, a rise to the 20,839.55 level presents an opportunity to continue the downtrend, targeting the 20,227.50 level in the short to medium term.
The bearish scenario will be invalidated if the price rises above 21,077.98 and closes a daily candlestick above this level.
Note:
Markets are awaiting the U.S. employment data today, with expectations pointing to an increase in non-farm payroll employment change to 153K, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0%. The data will be released at 5:30 PM Dubai time and is expected to have a direct impact on the markets, particularly U.S. indices, gold, and currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar.
Traders are advised to pay close attention to this data, as it will directly impact the above analysis upon its release. It will be the main driving force based on its results, which could weaken the validity of the mentioned technical analysis scenario.
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 (@nsarpi22)NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025
I expect Nasdaq to crash all the way down to the nearest monthly level based on my detailed analysis
Nasdaq market analysis: 07-MAR-2025Let’s dive into today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share insights, and potentially spot opportunities for good pips.
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsHow I see it:
## NFP today, trade safe !
Key resistance @ 20634.00 area
Key support @ 19961.00 area
Severe divergence on 4HR TF
(However, NASDAQ is still very overbought in the much bigger picture)
Potential "LONG" - If Price can find very strong support/demand
TP 1 = 20550.00
Keynote:
Nasdaq is showing strong bearish behavior...
Should the week close a 1W body below 20000.00, bearish behavior could continue
But it can also be accumulation at a very key psychological confluence of support
around 20000.00
Bulls are defending this territory fiercely.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Nasdaq testing 200-day moving averageThe Nasdaq Index, technology stocks is testing the 200-day moving average. It's at a critical juncture—either breaking down or rebounding. If it drops below the 200-day moving average, a prolonged correction could last for nearly a year.
Nasdaq Scenario NFP day 07/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we expect the NFP to have a negative impact on the dollar, so we anticipate a Bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : NFP kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna ayji negative l dollar hadchi 3lach kanchofo Us30 Bearish
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Bullish bounce?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,903.74
1st Support: 19,625.20
1st Resistance: 20,525.10
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NASDAQ Ultimate Support test on the 1week MA50.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Channel Up since the start of this Bull Cycle after the late 2022 bottom.
The price is about to test the 1week MA50, which is the ultimate Support of this bullish trend and has been holding since March 13 2023 (almost 2 years).
It is important for the index to keep a weekly closing over it. If it does we will have the most optimal buy entry case.
The previous two bullish waves interestingly enough both increased by +49.55%.
Buy and target 25500.
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Bonus Update: Scalpers notes on 1 min chartBAR method applies to every times frame. Those break and retest candle levels are so good on lower time frame when you know what to look at 🔑
Share with a friend in need 🫡
Indraday Update: NAS respecting bearish imbalance targetingWe have created yet another nearish imbalance range that price has used to continue to build short interest 🎯
Share with a friend in need of great levels 🔑
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history, despite all the money that was pumped in over covid.
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
NASDAQ 100: Is a Bottom Forming? Key Levels and Risk-Reward InsiThe NASDAQ 100 is testing its 200-day moving average, a historically significant level for trend reversals. If it holds, the risk-to-reward setup looks attractive, with potential upside of up to 9% versus a limited downside. The we consider past reactions, political factors, and trade dynamics. A break above key resistance could confirm the move, though waiting for a V-shaped recovery might impact the reward ratio. What do you think? Share your thoughts.
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NDQ is kissing SMA 200 being under SMA 50: bears in controlHello everyone!
Once upon a time, I read the thesis that Algos would start selling aggressively if the Ticker reached its SMA 50 Close. If the ticker reaches and breaks down its SMA 200, the sell-off continues, and we can call the environment bearish, not being formally in a bear market. Under a Bear market, we assume here a decline from the latest top ~20% for the major indices.
Fine. The practical question is how to use this information for your trading strategy as a retail trader?
For me, it is still a work in progress.
Why? I am a relatively newbie in the market (since 2019), so my learning curve is in progress. For example, I understood, based on my reduced deposit in 2022, that defining the environment, then relatively strong sectors and tickers makes sense and really helps to decide what trading strategy to apply to the stock that performs stronger vs. the general market ( SP:SPX , for example) or the weakening stock.
From the chart above, the obvious conclusion is that NDQ is weakening and at a decision moment, so trading long the bounces intraday and mainly keeping the longs overnight is a risky approach. I like to sleep well, so I do not hold long overnights. Now, it does not matter how the chart is; it is amazingly tempting to do so. Learned the hard way. Conversely, I play longs intraday because bounces might be rewarding during the intraday.
For sure, all boring stocks from a field of defensive sectors are now more right to be with longs according to textbooks. Everyone chooses their way.
Stay profitable!
PIVOTAL POINTAfter three weekly bearish candles, there seems to be some dope rejections from this low, price action promises that there will be a stop here or a bit further manipulative sell into the range of the zone, the closing of the week might direct us into understanding if next week carries some weekly retracement buys or if we still will be stuck on the zone
