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Trading update on NASDAQ 100 MEGA Cycle ended? Greetings, traders! The markets are at a critical juncture, and it's essential to prepare for what could be a significant correction in the NASDAQ 100 and, by extension, the broader stock market. Here's my analysis and outlook based on current price action, key levels, and technical indicators. Potential for a 21% Decline in the NASDAQ 100 As I highlighted in the attached daily and weekly charts: Elliott Wave Analysis: The NASDAQ has completed its five-wave impulsive structure, signaling the potential end of a major bullish cycle. We are now in the midst of a corrective phase, which appears to be unfolding in the form of an ABC correction. This correction suggests that Wave C, the final leg down, is still in progress, with room for further downside. Break of Structure (BOS): A Break of Structure has occurred, confirming the bearish sentiment. Coupled with the presence of an unfilled gap overhead, it's clear that sellers are currently in control. Key Fibonacci Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 16,210 is a critical level to watch. A break below this support could open the door for a more extended drop to the 0.75 retracement at 13,200, representing a 21% decline from current levels. Trendline at Risk: The ascending trendline that has supported the NASDAQ since its 2022 lows is being tested. If this trendline breaks, it will likely trigger a cascade of selling pressure, accelerating the move to our projected downside targets. Broader Market Implications The NASDAQ often serves as a barometer for risk appetite in the financial markets. A sharp decline here could have ripple effects across other indices and sectors, particularly tech-heavy and growth-focused stocks. Watch for potential spillovers into the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, which could amplify market-wide volatility. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: Gap area near 21,600–21,800. This zone is likely to act as a supply area if the market attempts any retracement. Support: 16,210 (0.618 retracement) – Initial target and a potential temporary bounce zone. 13,200 (0.75 retracement) – Ultimate target if bearish momentum persists. Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on this potential move: Short Positions: Consider shorting retracements into resistance zones like the gap area or the 0.25 Fibonacci level. Use 16,210 as a primary profit target, with a portion of the trade left to run toward 13,200 if bearish momentum accelerates. Risk Management: The markets remain volatile, so ensure you have clear stop-losses in place to protect against unexpected reversals. Watch for Confirmations: Monitor volume spikes, candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), and breaks of key levels like the ascending trendline for additional entry confirmations. Final Thoughts The NASDAQ and broader markets are entering a critical phase. While the correction presents risks, it also provides opportunities for traders and investors who stay vigilant and disciplined. Remember, patience and preparation are key to navigating volatile markets like these. Stay sharp, stay informed, and trade smart. Lord MEDZ
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Skinwah
Nasdaq h4✅ NASDAQ H4 – Premium Short Setup 📊 What we are looking at: ✔️ H4 FVG (Fair Value Gap) ✔️ H4 Order Block (OB) ✔️ H4 CRT (Candle Range Theory) ✔️ Trendline Liquidity already taken out 📌 Game Plan: Price swept trendline liquidity and is now pushing towards H4 FVG. As soon as it retests the FVG and taps into OB & CRT zone, we’ll look for SELL opportunities from this premium area. 🎯 Target: Next liquidity pool below. ⚠️ Patience = Profit. Wait for confirmation before entry. 🔥 Smart Money never chases – it waits for the market to deliver.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ict_smc_chartist
USNAS100 New ATH, looks a Correction...Wall Street Indices Hit Record Highs as AI Momentum Builds Indices tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh all-time highs on Thursday, driven by strong earnings reports from Meta and Microsoft. The results reinforced investor optimism that AI investments are delivering tangible returns and fueling future growth. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted it's still too early to predict a rate cut in September, emphasizing that current monetary policy is not constraining economic activity. His comments followed a stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP reading, further supporting the Fed’s cautious stance. Technical Outlook – USNAS100 After reaching recent highs, the index appears to be entering a corrective phase. A pullback toward 23470 is likely, with bullish momentum expected to resume if the price stabilizes above 23440. A sustained move above that level would target a new ATH near 23870. However, a break below 23440 could trigger a deeper correction toward 23295. Support: 23540 • 23440 • 23295 Resistance: 23870 • 24040
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech Earnings Earlier, we noted signs of optimism in the Nasdaq 100 index as the market anticipated earnings reports from major tech firms. Now, companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have already released their results (we previously covered their charts → here and here). Up next are the most highly anticipated earnings reports: this week, tech giants including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) are set to publish their results. The combined market capitalisation of these four companies exceeds $11 trillion, and their reports could have a significant impact on a stock market that is already showing strong bullish sentiment: → The Nasdaq 100 index has climbed to an all-time high, surpassing the 23,400 mark. → The signing of trade agreements between the US and Europe (and earlier, Japan) has eased concerns about the negative impact of tariff barriers. Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 The chart supports growing signs of optimism: earlier in July, the price remained within a rising channel (marked in blue). However, towards the end of the month, price action has begun to follow a steeper upward trajectory (marked in purple). What could happen next? Much will depend on the earnings results and forward guidance from these tech giants. On the one hand, continued enthusiasm around AI adoption could accelerate further growth. The stronger the optimism, the more fuel it may add to discussions around a potential bubble — with some analysts already drawing parallels to the dot-com era of the early 2000s. On the other hand, earnings could temper market excitement and prompt a correction. For example, the index may retreat to the support level around 23,020, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue trend channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
NAS100 Technical Outlook — Final Impulse Before the Fall? The NAS100 has just completed its 5th touch on a long-term ascending trendline, forming a clear rising wedge pattern. Historically, each touch of this structure has triggered significant bearish reversals — and this time looks no different. 🔹 However, before the major drop, I'm expecting a final impulsive wave of around 1,000 pips— a last bullish move that could stretch toward the 24,300–24,400 zone. This would complete the wave structure and offer a strong sell opportunity. 🔻 After that, a deeper correction is likely, targeting the 19,000 area, which aligns perfectly with: The midpoint of the wedge on the daily chart A strong historical support zone A potential area for medium-term consolidation ⚠️ As long as price remains below 24,400, the bearish scenario remains valid. Any daily close above that level would force a re-evaluation. 🧠 This setup reflects a classic distribution phase followed by a high-probability breakdown.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by ARCHREX
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements. 🔍 1. Trend Analysis Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure) The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by: Ascending support (lower boundary) Ascending resistance (upper boundary) Market structure shows: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) ✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks. 📐 2. Market Structure Elements Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.) Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950 Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd) Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300 Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320 Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS) The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift. 🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis 🔼 Resistance Zone The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320 Multiple rejections in this area Trendline resistance also aligns here A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction 🔽 Support Zone (Immediate) 23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range 🟩 4. Demand Zones Zone 1: 22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs Zone 2: 22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event 🧠 5. Key Observations Price is at a critical inflection zone: Testing a resistance zone At the upper trendline of an ascending channel A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow) Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220 If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested Ichimoku Cloud: Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation ⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas ✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180) Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation ❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support) Short entry valid below 23,180 with: TP1: 23,050 TP2: 22,900 A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion 🔚 Conclusion Current Price: 23,298.4 Trend: Bullish, but at resistance Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AllyPipsExpert
4
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading, How I see it, I know I'm posting the same old overbought pattern... "I think I found a background I like at last - Just Testing" 1) A previously discussed we will notice a "SIGNAL" Type candle 2) It can be on 1HR-4HR-1D TF 3) Today is FOMC and Friday NFP These two events will for sure give us the signals we need to clarify the way forward Let this very important week play out, I'll touch base again next week I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ANROC
NAS100 Buy Setup – VSA & Multi-Zone Demand Analysis✅ Primary Entry Zone: Major support for current week (around 23,325–23,350) ✅ Secondary Entry Zone: Potential reversal zone if primary support is broken (around 23,200–23,230) 🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Previous swing high near 23,500 🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Extension above 23,550 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 23,170 (beyond secondary reversal zone to avoid false breaks) 📊 Technical Insight (VSA & Price Action Structure) Support Structure: The current major support zone has been tested multiple times with no follow-through selling, indicating strong buying interest from larger players. Volume Spread Analysis Observations: On the recent decline into the major support zone, we see wider spreads on high volume followed by narrow range candles on lower volume, a classic sign of stopping volume and supply exhaustion. Within the secondary reversal zone, historical reactions show climactic volume spikes leading to sharp reversals, suggesting this level is watched closely by smart money. Any test back into the zone on low volume would confirm the No Supply (NS) condition. Trade Pathways: Scenario 1: Price respects the major support and begins to climb, confirming demand dominance → target TP1 then TP2. Scenario 2: Support is temporarily breached, triggering a liquidity grab into the secondary reversal zone, followed by a bullish reversal bar on high volume → strong buy signal with potentially faster move toward TP levels. 📍 Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above the secondary reversal zone. 📌 Execution Tip: Wait for a wide spread up-bar on increased volume from either zone to confirm the start of the markup phase.
FX:NAS100Long
by coolbouy
4
NAS - LET'S MAKE MILLIONS Team, last night NAS I was expect the FALL BACK as I predicted rate un-change will get NASTY on both DOW AND NAS. So I have a set up entry LONG, i didnt expect the NAS flying to the moon. both target hit so fast in 15 minutes However, today is another opportunity to SHORT NAS on the current market at 23613-23625 STOP LOSS AT 23720 Once the NAS pull back toward 23580-65 - BRING STOP LOSS TO BE TARGET 1: at 23540-20 TARGET 2: at 23480-65 LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
6
Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market. 🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias. 🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you. 📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025 --- 🔍 Overview The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal. --- 📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown 🔵 Trend Structure: Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows. Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point. 🟥 Resistance Zone: Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450. Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion. ⚠ Bearish Patterns: The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel. This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal. 🔵 Key Support: First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation. If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place. --- 🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path) 1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout). 2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support. 3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone. --- 🧠 Unique Insight This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders. --- 📌 Conclusion While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support. --- 🔧 Next Steps for Viewers > “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
TVC:NDQShort
by AllyPipsExpert
1