USATEC trade ideas
Bulls shouldnt fight this fallI have explained everything on the chart....can't be bullish for the time being, except for some rallies in a downfall....Whales will step where JPow said the famous words, Inflation is no longer transitory....Honestly the sooner we get here, the better....but it could take a few weeks or by the middle of this year.....if the market goes again back up for a double top, the fall will be even more painful.....but markets are all about creating maximum pain for bulls and bears....
NAS100 - Tuesday Day Candle - Patience Setting a pending limit once the day candle close above or below the orderblock.
NDX Nasdaq *2025* Bear MarketCalled it too early. Trump pump is over. Now back on track. See you at $14K.
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now.
I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building.
We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move.
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NAS100 LOSSCome cry with me. I took 2 losses that hurt my account before heading my direction, Today I am already in targeting a 5m POI. We got to develop our emotions, no matter what. No impulsive trades are allowed though, I rather be calculatedly wrong than impulsively wrong. Happy Trading
LOOKING AT STRONG BUYif you look back a couple of weeks ago, the week of the 13 of March. US100 was sitting at a low price of 19143. This price was never swept the following week. US100 pushed further up until it reached its maximum price of 20322 for the last two weeks. Which was also support on 15 November 2024. Signaled a downward signaled a momentum, which eventually led to 1943 being swept by this downward movement (normally this would take 1 week any weekly high/low to be swiped). Now comes the case of the weekly high 20322(27/03/2025). Current price is pushing towards this price. However there is resistance level at 19800, which needs to be broken before we go for the weekly high(which is our TP).
THE SKY IS THE LIMITI am a nine to fiver so at times I don't have time for the charts, but like I said on a video yesterday, this week I am looking for Buys Buys and BUYS. Stay Tuned. Happy trading
NASDAQ 100 IndexThe price has already dropped to the support line of the inner channel (in light blue), which is at one standard deviation.
If this support line is also broken, the next support level is the outer channel (in yellow), which is at two standard deviations.
(Logarithmic price axis, channel starting from 2008)
The Trump's disruption of globalizationHello,
The trump tarrifs are currently creating a perfect storm for long term investors. This is the best time to use the Newsflows & Tradingview news to understand whats going on & how it can impact your trading. Below are some of the things we see:
President Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiation tool is not a new strategy, but his latest approach signals that President Trump is very keen on industrializing America. The president has made it clear that the tariffs have 3 goals
They can be used to raise money for the government just like taxes
They can be used to redistribute money from consumers towards domestic producers since they discourage against imports.
They can be used to realign global growth strategically shifting industries
We do not see a significant amount of money being raised from tariffs to offset taxes. However, as higher tariffs make it costlier for companies to manufacture abroad and export to the U.S., we anticipate a growing number of firms will relocate their production facilities to American soil. This will be great for the American labour force because it accounts for more jobs and will greatly align how global trade will move on going forward.
However, this strategy is not without its complexities. In today’s interconnected world, manufacturing relies on intricate supply chains, with components sourced from multiple countries. Such disruptions will affect the US market as well and trickle down to the end consumer. Below are some of the tariffs imposed on major trade partners
25% on foreign made cars
20% on the European Union
34% on China
26% on India
24% on China
Countries are threatening to strike back with countermeasures of their own. The USA treasury secretary has warned that countries that try to counter the tariffs will be dealt with separately. We see a direct impact on countries that heavily depend on exports to the USA as being the biggest losers in this conversation as they will have to relook at their markets once again. These countries may include China, Mexico and Germany. These countries may need to relook at the rest of the world to fill up the demand that used to go to the USA.
While many analysts predicted that these tariffs would drive inflation higher, we see a different outcome. The economic slowdown caused by retaliatory tariffs could actually put downward pressure on prices. On top of that, oil prices have remained low, further helping to keep inflation in check. In the long term we see a stronger US economy and more opportunities for companies that manufacture in the USA and have greater demand there.
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All the fundamentals coupled with technicals will give you better entry views and allow you better rest once you deploy your funds.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100 Testing Demand Zone – Major Reversal or More Drops? 📊 Market Overview:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tested a strong demand zone (18,900 - 18,950) and is showing signs of a potential reversal. Can buyers push the price higher, or will bears take control?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 19,568 | 20,160
🔹 Current Price: 18,977
🔹 Key Support Levels: 18,896 (demand zone)
📉 Price Action Breakdown:
1️⃣ Sharp Drop into Demand Zone
Price recently fell from 19,568 after failing to break higher.
Buyers are now defending the 18,900 support zone, which has historically held strong.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Setup?
If the price holds above 18,900, we could see a bullish rally toward 19,568.
A breakout above 19,568 may open the way for 20,160+.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Risk
If the price drops below 18,896, expect further downside towards 18,600 - 18,500.
Sellers would regain control, confirming a bearish continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bullish Case:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 18,900 - 18,950 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could target 19,568, then 20,160.
📍 Bearish Case:
🔹 If price fails to hold 18,896, a short setup targeting 18,600 - 18,500 is possible.
🔹 Wait for a clean break & retest before shorting.
🔥 Will NAS100 bounce back from this demand zone, or will sellers dominate? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
📊 Like & Follow for more trade insights! 🚀
#NASDAQ100 #TechStocks #Trading #StockMarket #SupplyAndDemand #Forex #PriceAction
USTEC Buy Setup – Reversal Signal & Smart Money AccumulationTechnical: After a sharp decline, TRADENATION:USTEC has found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A reversal candle on March 31, followed by a bullish confirmation on April 1, suggests a potential bottom. Today’s small pullback ahead of Liberation Day may offer a buying opportunity.
Fundamental: While concerns over tariff implementation persist, the market may have already priced in the worst-case scenario. Any outcome perceived as "less bad than expected" could trigger a short-term rebound. Additionally, increased commercial interest in TRADENATION:USTEC signals that smart money is positioning for a move higher.
Risk & Reward: This is a speculative setup due to ongoing tariff uncertainties, but it presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: 19308
Stop Loss: 18766
Target: 20726
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NQ - a short upward movementGiven the LV filling up and the FVG remaining on the high timeframe, as well as the SMT between NQ and SPX, we can expect the price to make a short move upwards to clear the liquidity.
Selling the NQs daily high just a lucky entry CME_MINI:NQM2025
It must be a lucky guess or something not like its run by an algorithm
Nasdaq trading zones: 02-APRIL-2025Discover today's Nasdaq trading zones and refine your market analysis skills.
I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%.
However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20045
Stop Loss @ 19070
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
2018 - "this time it'll be different"Not really.
Market sentiment echoes an unstable whiplashing and overcooked economy that is accompanied by a hawkish Fed unwilling to slash rates. Sound familiar? So let's overlay 2018 and see if that's when the twists and turns come....
Apr 2 low, Apr 14 high, May 5 low.
As good a guess as any right?
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
NSDQ100 INTRADAY ahead of tariff announcement Donald Trump’s team is finalizing options for a reciprocal tariff plan, with proposals including a tiered system and a customized approach. Markets await clarity from the president’s 4 p.m. Rose Garden announcement, which could impact trade and financial markets.
Resistance Level 1: 19579
Resistance Level 2: 19962
Resistance Level 3: 20345
Support Level 1: 19077
Support Level 2: 18815
Support Level 3: 18434
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100+ Fresh US data (PCE and infl.exp. Up, Consumer exp. Down)
~+ Tariffs uncertainty (retaliation?)
~+ COT
~+ Timing (end of the week, month)
~- Seasonals
NAS 100 DAILY FORCASTI think we just seen the end of a 5 Wave down of Wave A,Wave B will follow and at the completion of Wave B will have a final dip of Wave C which will be a 5 Wave move.
