US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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USATEC trade ideas
NAS100 Update - Rally or Deeper Short?Dear Friends,
How I see it:
1Day body closed below 7 Month trend for the first time yesterday.
Fake out or Legit? To be confirmed...
At this time price is testing the trend breakout area.
If price can find more support above 21345.00, we could see a rally
to fill imbalance as indicated.
Otherwise, a potential fall to 20600.00 is possible.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Overhead pressures persistNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,391.40 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,650.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 20,777.93 which is a swing-low support.
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NAS100 Breakout Setup – Yesterday’s High & LowChart & Levels:
Buy Stop: Placed at the previous day’s high (see the green line on the chart).
Sell Stop: Placed at the previous day’s low (red line on the chart).
Idea & Rationale:
I’m using a simple breakout strategy that allows price action to confirm direction before I commit. If NAS100 breaks above yesterday’s high, I’ll go long, expecting bullish momentum. If it drops below yesterday’s low, I’ll go short, anticipating further downside.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss: Use recent swing highs/lows or an ATR-based buffer to avoid getting wicked out.
Take Profit: Aim for a minimum 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, adjusting as the market evolves.
Position Size: Maintain proper risk management; only risk a small percentage of your account on each trade.
Why This Setup?
Clarity: Using the previous day’s high/low is a straightforward way to spot potential breakouts.
Volatility Capture: NAS100 often makes sizable moves around session opens (especially NY). This setup attempts to catch the momentum.
Risk Control: Waiting for a breakout confirmation helps reduce false entries in choppy markets.
Key Notes:
Watch out for major news events (economic releases, tech sector earnings) that could trigger sharp moves.
Keep an eye on the overall market sentiment; if there’s a strong risk-on or risk-off environment, that can impact NAS100 direction.
NASDAQ Three conditions met for strong BUYNasdaq is trading inside a Channel Up in 2025 and today the price reached its bottom.
At the same time it marginally crossed under the MA100 (1d), making today's low the best technical buy opportunity since January 27th.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 22370 (+6.92% rise like the previous two bullish waves).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold on the same level as the Jan 27th low. Overall, an oversold RSI on Nasdaq's last 6 month price action, has been a great buy opportunity.
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US Tech 100 Volatility Alert Ahead of the Nvidia Earnings UpdateUS equity markets are starting to show some strain. On Monday, the US Tech 100 dropped 1.2%, bringing the decline since Friday to around 3.5%. The main catalyst seemed to be a reduction in long positioning in some key Magnificent Seven stocks ahead of AI bellwether Nvidia’s quarterly earnings update that is due out after the market close on Wednesday.
These results are likely to be an important influence on sentiment towards the US Tech 100 across the rest of the week. Adding further emphasis is the fact that these are the first set of earnings from the company since Chinese start up DeepSeek emerged as a potential major disruptor in the AI space.
Traders and investors are likely to be keen to gain insight into what impact, if any, this has had on the company’s ability to deliver on future revenue expectations.
However, this may be only part of the story for the recent performance of technology stocks. President Trump and his team indicated on Monday that they are drawing up tougher versions of the current semiconductor restrictions in place on exports to China. They also stated that they have encouraged allies to do the same, in the latest attempt by the US to limit China’s ability to increase its technological progress.
It seems that President Trump’s trade and tariff policies may be starting to increase volatility in US stock markets again after a brief respite since the start of February.
Technical trends and reactions in price to potential support and resistance levels may also influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 moving forward across the week.
Technical Update: Support Pressured Ahead of Nvidia
An important focus this week for the technology sector could be the Nvidia earnings, but even before this potentially important driver of future price trends, the US Tech 100 index has started to see price weakness emerge.
The index does appear to be testing some potentially interesting support levels. How these levels are defended on a closing basis, into and after the Nvidia earnings, may provide an important insight into where the US Tech 100 may move next.
Having posted a new intra-day all-time price high of 22226 on February 18th, the US Tech 100 index has seen selling pressure develop, a move that meant early February strength has failed to close above the previous 22142 December 16th all-time high.
An inability of buyers to overcome such an important upside extreme on a closing basis especially if it is then followed by price declines, may suggest increased potential for a sentiment change, one that could even lead to further weakness. However, for this to happen, support levels must be broken on a closing basis to see this downside potential develop further.
Looking at the above chart of the US Tech 100 index, the latest price weakness has now seen what might have been viewed as a potential support, marked by the Bollinger mid-average give way, which currently stands at 21694.
While this is no guarantee of an extended phase of price weakness, Monday’s closing break under support marked by the February 10th low at 21344, may also indicate risks of a more extended phase of price weakness.
If this is the case, price activity may move down towards 20477, which is the January 13th extreme and if this support was broken, declines could potentially move towards 20326, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement of August/ December 2024 strength.
What About Resistance?
As we have said, reaction to Nvidia earnings may see increased price volatility, potentially even renewed upside, and traders must build that possibility into their trading strategy over coming sessions.
With that in mind, what are the resistance levels that if broken might lead to a further phase of price strength?
Initially traders might be focusing on the interim resistance marked by the mid-average, which currently stands at 21694. Closes above here, may lead to the suggestion that lower support levels are holding, which may open the potential for fresh strength to higher levels.
While in the longer term, it may be the resistance marked by the February 18th all-time high at 22226 that needs to give way to suggest further price strength.
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