USATEC trade ideas
NAS100 (4H) Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
The market recently broke out of a downtrend, showing signs of a bullish reversal with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 20,600 – If broken, bullish momentum could continue.
📉 Support: 20,200 – Could act as a retest zone if price pulls back.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Higher highs & higher lows confirm an uptrend.
🚀 If 20,600 breaks, targets are 21,000 → 21,300.
⚠️ Rejection at 20,600 could lead to a pullback toward 20,200 or 19,880.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 20,600 with a target of 21,000+.
Bearish rejection at 20,600 could provide a short opportunity toward 20,200.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmations before entering trades. Set SL below recent structure lows.
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels
Will NASDAQ Rally Continue? Technical Analysis & Trade Idea.NASDAQ NAS100 (4H Chart) Analysis 📊📈
The NASDAQ NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The chart suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a potential move toward the 21,013.0 target. 🚀
Key Levels to Watch 👀
Support Levels:
19,750.9: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, this level has seen strong buying interest.
19,405.8: The 100% Fibonacci retracement, marking the swing low and a critical support zone.
Resistance Levels:
20,209.4: The 0% Fibonacci retracement, acting as immediate resistance.
20,611.2: The 50% Fibonacci extension, a key target for bullish continuation.
21,013.0: The 100% Fibonacci extension, representing the ultimate bullish target in this trend.
Volume Profile Insights 📉
The Volume Profile shows heavy trading activity between 19,800–20,000, confirming strong support in this range. Above 20,200, trading volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a quick rally toward 21,000.
Momentum and Indicators ⚡
Trend: The index is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low.
Fibonacci Confluence: The alignment of the 50% retracement and Volume Profile support strengthens the bullish outlook.
Curved Arrow Projection: A pullback to the 19,800–19,750 zone is likely before the next leg higher toward 21,013.0.
Social Media Sentiment 🌐
Twitter: Analysts are optimistic, citing strong tech sector performance and easing interest rate fears. Many traders are eyeing the 21,000 level as the next milestone.
Reddit: Discussions emphasize the importance of the 19,800 support zone, warning that a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion 📝
The NASDAQ NAS100 is set for a bullish continuation, with key support at 19,750–19,800 and resistance at 20,209.4 and 21,013.0. Watch for a potential pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement before the next upward move. A break below 19,750 could signal a shift in momentum, while a breakout above 20,209.4 would confirm the bullish trend. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before trading. 📢
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100.
Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's.
With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100:
1. Weekly currently at HL
2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session
3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session.
What does this mean for me?
Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes.
As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush.
Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future.
Have a great week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#aubersystem
Order Block @20140 |Sell SignalPrice was in an overall downtrend but has now retraced to mitigate an order block that created a break of structure. So now I'm waiting for a confirmation for short entries.
Confirmation can be anything from change of character on the order block to candlesticks confirmation depending on what I see first.
NAS100Unspoken truth: Bias may be on the rise, but don't overlook the opportunity to sell short-term. Keep an eye out for your next move in this ever-changing market. #trading #investing
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
NAS100 BuysHello Fokes it's me again, if you can check the cautious sign ☢️ there is the liquidity sweep and the light bulb 💡 represents the BOS bt the disadvantage of this trade is that there are equal highs just swept recently bt let's Go I'm risking 1% of the whole account
US100 - at support? Hold or not??#US100 - well guys market just near to his current supporting region.
That is around 19230 to 10330
Keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can expect a bounce from here.
Good luck
Trade wisely
US100 NASDAQ TRADE IDEA 24 MARCH 2025The Nasdaq 100 (US100) recently broke below its long-term ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in market structure. A Break of Structure (BOS) around the 19,800 level suggests that sellers are taking control, with a possible retest of the 19,700 - 20,200 supply zone before further downside. The price action indicates a liquidity grab above 20,758, followed by strong bearish momentum, confirming institutional participation. Additionally, a fair value gap (FVG) between 19,000 - 18,155.9 suggests that price may seek to fill this imbalance before reaching demand at 18,155.9 - 17,699.3, with a deeper support zone at 16,572.0 acting as a key target for bearish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, ongoing US-China trade tensions, particularly restrictions on semiconductor exports, could weigh on major tech stocks such as Nvidia and AMD. If China retaliates with bans on rare-earth metal exports, it could disrupt global supply chains, further pressuring the Nasdaq 100. Additionally, Federal Reserve policy uncertainty plays a crucial role. If inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may delay rate cuts, leading to higher bond yields, which typically make riskier tech stocks less attractive. This environment could drive further downside for Nasdaq-listed companies. Moreover, the upcoming earnings season presents another risk. If major tech firms like Apple, Microsoft, and Google report weaker-than-expected earnings or issue cautious forward guidance, investor sentiment could deteriorate, accelerating the bearish trend.
Given this confluence of technical and fundamental factors, a short trade setup becomes favorable. The ideal entry would be around the 19,700 - 20,200 supply zone, with a stop-loss above 20,500 to invalidate the bearish setup. Take profit targets include 18,155.9 (first demand zone), 17,699.3 (major liquidity level), and 16,572.0 (higher timeframe support and strong demand zone). However, if price reclaims 20,500+, a bullish reversal may occur, with potential upside towards 22,138.3. This trade aligns both Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and supply and demand principles, while also factoring in macroeconomic risks that could influence Nasdaq 100 price action in the coming weeks.
Short on NAS100With tariffs on all foreign cars escalating likely going to see NAS100 tanking, waiting for NY session with the 15 min idea that I hope its invalidated then take on the 1hr idea
NAS100 - Potential TargetsHow I see it in the shorter term:
KEY LEVEL OF CONFLUENCE, NOW SUPPORT @ 19960.00
Potential "LONG" -
TP 1 = 20490.00
TP 2 = 20834.00
Potential "SHORT" - To Fill Imbalance
(Requires a break and hold below KEY SUPPORT)
TP 1 = 19975.00
Keynote:
Stocks had a GAP weekly open, which indicates potential bullish momentum.
At some point the GAP needs to be filled.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis
Nasdaq short: Hit Previous High and 2 Fib Ext TargetsAs explained in the video, I have 3 hits that suggests that we have hit the peak for Nasdaq:
1. Hit previous high made on 20th March 2025.
2. Fibonacci Extension where wave 5 = 1.618x Wave 1.
3. Entire wave e = 2.618x Wave 1.
Important here is the stop loss of around 19978. This is a positional play, meaning to ride this position if it goes in our favor.
Good luck!
Nasdaq 100: First Stage of a Major CorrectionThe Nasdaq 100 has plummeted over 11% from its record high of 22,222. With prices now testing key support at 19,437, the index closed slightly higher at 19,753 (+0.39%) on Friday. However, weakness remains evident, indicating the first stage of a potential major correction. Historically, corrections unfold in four stages as part of a healthy market reset.
If support at 19,437 holds, a short-lived rebound could target 19,932, 20,054, 20,433, 20,744, and potentially 21,050. Failure to maintain this level could trigger stage two, aiming for 17,825. Historical patterns suggest a possible four-stage correction of around 33%, targeting approximately 14,835.
Nas100 SELL to 17.5k*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
SL 19,977
TP 17,500
NSDQ100 INTRADAY no reaction to durable goods dataThe US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders increased 0.9% ($2.7 billion) in February, reaching $289.3 billion. This follows a revised 3.3% gain in January and beats market expectations of a 1% decline.
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.7%.
Excluding defense, orders increased 0.8%.
Transportation equipment led the gains, up 1.5% ($1.4 billion) to $98.3 billion.
Despite the positive data, equity markets showed little reaction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,386
Resistance Level 2: 20,658
Resistance Level 3: 21,000
Support Level 1: 19,692
Support Level 2: 19,443
Support Level 3: 19,131
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Possible SELLI will be looking to sell at this supply level and take it down to the previous low. I do also want the market to close the gap that it created on Monday
US100We are at a weekly support that was broken and could become a potential resistance. H1 and h4 are in a rising wedge or bearish flag. Waiting on H1 to break recent support and turn bearish.
NAS100 Analysis: Potential higher timeframe pullback in playOn the higher timeframe, NAS100 remains bullish. However, recent price action suggests that a higher timeframe pullback may be underway, providing a discounted price opportunity.
On the daily chart, a market structure shift occurred when NAS100 broke below the 20,477 level. The most recent price action indicates a short-term pullback to the upside on lower timeframes, potentially to mitigate the internal supply zone and reach premium price levels.
I am closely watching the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level around 21,028 for potential selling opportunities, with downside targets at 19,113 and 18,297.
How Are You Trading NAS100 This Week?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
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the bull are coming on NASDAQNew week lets prepare for the week , nasdaq i am expecting a push to 19 900 and i will pay attention around that price, how the market will react
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
