Dividend Gap Upside in GAZPROM NEFT?MOEX:SIBN
After big Dividend Spike in GAZPROM NEFT we saw its shares bounce down to the lower bollinger band resistance. Would we see closing the gap to the upper band where it was before Dividends?
SIBN trade ideas
Gazprom - a drop in the ocean of shares.Continuation.
On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since 50 % of the shares are owned by the state and the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of Gazprom's shares depends on mass psychology.
With time in the distant future, not everything is clear.
OPEC ReportOPEC's monthly report was released yesterday. Analysts of the cartel lowered the estimate of oil demand growth in 2021 to 5.8 million barrels per day (b/d) compared to 5.96 million b/d in the previous forecast. Thus, global demand in 2021 will average 96.6 million b/d.
"The downward revision is mainly due to lower-than-expected actual data for the first three quarters of this year, despite assumptions about good demand for oil in the last quarter of the year, which will be supported by a seasonal increase in demand for fuel for petrochemicals, heating and a potential transition from natural gas to petroleum products," the report says.
The forecast of demand growth in 2022 is maintained at the level of the previous report's estimate of 4.2 million b/d (100.8 million b/d). The forecast was influenced by expectations of high economic growth rates in the main consumer countries as they gradually emerge from the pandemic. The organization predicts that the demand for oil in 2022 will reach 100.8 million b/d, which will exceed.
Gazprom - a drop in the ocean of shares - the Far future.On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since 50 % of the shares are owned by the state and the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of Gazprom's shares depends on mass psychology.
With time in the distant future, not everything is clear.
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SIBN (MOEX) - Potential for Bullish
Gazprom - a drop in the ocean of shares - the Near future.On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since 50 % of the shares are owned by the state and the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of Gazprom's shares depends on mass psychology.
Sell signal for GAZPROM NEFT The price breached the uptrend line, with a clear diversion on RSI supporting the down movement, also there is a clear increase in the volume down.
Sibneft downtrendExperiment with channel return idea.
Oil prices expects to affect share and it may go dipper
TURNING POINT IN INCREASE TREND OF GAZPROM NEFTTECHINCAL ANALYSIS OF MOEX:SIBN
What do we have?
1. From July 2017 to October 2018, share prices of MOEX:SIBN increased by more than 115%.
2. MACD is below 0, which indicates a decreasing trend.
3. The DM shows the beginning of the suppression of the negative trend of the extreme line from the bottom up, which also indicates the beginning of the declining trend.
4. ATR indicator, which is formulated as follows: the higher the value of the indicator, the higher the probability of a trend change; the lower its value, the weaker the trend direction. In this case, the indicator is located at the highest levels at the top (12.4) and indicates the damping of the uptrend. The last time this value was in February 2015 and after that the price rolled back by more than 40%.
5. The ADX indicator is in a low value, which shows a trend towards a reversal or correction of the market.
Conclusion.
Most likely, prices will decline to a minimum of 317 rubles, which corresponds to 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement from the current growth. The confirmation of this prediction will be a breakout of the current price of the triangle down below the 360 RUB.
Trading recommendation:
Open short position when reaching the level of 359.8 rubles, take profit at the level of 317 rubles (11.3% profit). Stop loss-the middle of the triangle 377 rubles. (4.45% loss)
Alternative scenario:
If the price overcomes the previous maximum of 404 rubles. it makes sense to open the long up to 485 rubles. (which corresponds to 361.8 Fibo expansion).
