FANG+ Stocks: Buoyed in 2020 by Solid Earnings and Low RatesFor those who have followed my ideas over the past several months at-least, know that I remained bullish not only in the entire stock market on a broad basis, but US Tech was one of my top picks for continued growth which has deemed correct. I went on to say that 2020 will be a better year from peak to peak growth over the broader markets than 2019 which for now, is correct.
In-fact, even compared to "experts" across the lamestream media, I was one of the very few that actually believe 2020 would be a better year for the broader market than 2019 and not only has this deemed correct, but it will remain correct.
FNGU represents one of the best leveraged funds in the entire market and significantly better than the popular TQQQ, and even superior to the other popular 3x ETF TECL.
The companies the stock follows are diversified in a 10% weighted classification which is reset quarter by quarter. In 2020 I view all 10 of these boasting significant and continued growth.
- Tesla (My TP: 1000+)
- Nvidia (My TP: 350)
- Alibaba (My TP: 275-300; if Chinese GDP rebounds in Q2 then 400+)
- Bidu (My TP: 175-200; if Chinese GDP rebounds in Q2 then 250+)
- Twitter (My TP: 45)
- Facebook (My TP: 250-275)
- Apple (My TP: 375-400)
- Amazon (My TP: 2800-3200)
- Netflix (My TP: 425-450)
- Google (My TP: 1600+)
Of those listed above, Tesla, Nvidia, Apple and Amazon all have posted historic earnings; Netflix and Google posted decent earnings; Alibaba and Bidu continue to be remarkably undervalued given the current state of the virus, however, this will change by Q2 or Q3 of 2020; and Twitter and Facebook will likely rebound and show signs of strength as the year progresses.
In the long-run, Nvidia will be a dominant force in the AI market; BIDU and BABA will likely go on some sort of parabolic run to 3-4x their current stock value and Tesla will become a world dominant force in the EV and battery market. While normally 3:1 ETFs hold an inherent risk, given the diversification in this fund, one can capitalize on significant growth appreciation by investing into this ETF.
By the end of 2020 FNGU could and will likely triple in numerical value from current price (~100/share) buoyed ahead by decent earnings growth and likely the Fed lowering rates at-least twice in 2020.
An important technical note: once the SPX gets closer to 4000, investors should reduce their exposure to high risk ETFs as 4000 represents the peak of the longitudinal channel on EW theory. Investors should also reduce risk closer to late 2020 (October-ish) if the Democrats (particularly Bernie Sanders) have an elevated risk of winning the election based on polls.
- zSplit
FNGU trade ideas
Yep its Disgusting but Big Names will Surge Again in 2020Hypothesis: low interest rates; stable-ish economic data; accommodating Fed; Trump hyping Phase 2/3/4 trade deal and more QE will lead big tech names surging again in 2020 and part of 2021. With the trade 'war' at-least neutralized, this will help keep these big names more stable than what we saw in 2019 and lead the broader market higher.
FNGU includes: Amazon, Google, Tesla, Netflix, Apple, Baba, Nvidea, Facebook, Bidu and Twitter. Not in this fund, but semis (i.e. AMD) and Microsoft will have a good year once again.
From the above list, as painful as it is, I am bullish on all these names (fundamentally and technically via charts), except for Google and Twitter where I am neutral to slightly bullish. I expect Amazon, Facebook and Apple to surge 20-30%, with 30-40% gains on the top Chinese players like Baba and Bidu.
The dark-horse this year will be Facebook where I could see it perhaps gaining 30 or 40% in 2020. Amazon will also have a very good year.
If you haven't realized it by now, we are certainly in a big bubble, especially in technology (again, like in 2000) AND it will continue into 2020; if Trump wins again which is likely, it will continue into 2021 before coming to an end BIG time somewhere in, near or at 2022 (Elliot Wave theory).
- zSplit
$FNGU Full Moon FunThis one is dedicated to all the nonbelievers -- anyone who might doubt the influence of the moon on our everyday psychology and our everyday lives. Anyone who might not see the utility of basic observation and pattern recognition of 'natural cycles' like moonphase.
Now some may ask why might tracking the moon work? Well, if you are a patron of mine I have written a brief summary of and also sent out the verbatim pdf that the FED published on how 'otherworldly' events can influence the markets by way of mass psychology .
This chart may serve as an example. As we approach the full moon humankind's sleep quality will decrease and stress levels will increase. As people's fear and stress rises, there presents a buying opportunity at the peak of fear and potentially oversold levels ... the full moon! As the new moon approaches humankind's sleep quality increases and stress levels decrease. As people's fear and stress fall, there presents a selling opportunity at the height of confidence and potentially overbought levels... the new moon!
I present to you: $FNGU a 3x leveraged fund that tracks the daily movement of the FANG stocks; because this is A) a 3x leveraged 'bull' fund and B) related to some very popular stocks for daytraders ($FB, $NFLX, $AMZN, $GOOGL), we can more easily catch upside moves related to exploiting these daytraders at their peak fear levels and then selling back to them when they are at their peak of confidence.
This chart may serve as an example of the use and abuse of mass psychology as it relates to moon cycles, but there is more to this chart than moon cycles alone:
As we can see the current price is between the TS and KS of the ichimoku system. Finding prices between these levels can sometimes be considered a 'value area'. Some other potentially long bias signals are the fact that we may be able to catch the 5th and final wave of the Elliot wave count presented here. We also see that a 'clone' level of the X-C-D modified schiff pitchfork has been respected as support so far. The last long bias signal I will mention is the Japanese candlestick pattern that has appeared: a bullish harami.
I am proposing a trade that has ~13% downside risk with upside gain potential of ~50%; allowing for ~3.5 dollars of profit to be gained for every ~1 dollar risked (3.5:1)
Manage your own risk
GL HF
xoxo
Snoop