Going for Gold might be Going Nowhere for NowStrong short-term support level broken on Friday, indicating that further possible downside ahead. Should Friday’s break not turn out to be a false break, could see GDX test previous support level at $32.20.
We also saw the short-term 8-day Moving Average (EMA) break below the longer-term 200-day EMA, which is a clear indication that it might just get a bit darker before it turns bright again. All four the 8-, 21-, 50- and 200-day EMA’s are now point downward, clearly indicating an unhealthy short-term trend.
The 14-day RSI is also not in oversold territory yet, which confirms that more weakness is possible going forward.
I still believe with the amount of stimulus the US is pumping into their economy could have a positive effect for Gold and ultimately the Gold Miners over the longer-term. Patience however will be import over the shorter-term.
I expect GDX to test the $32 levels soon, just to rebound and test $38. Any traders who’s currently long, could watch $32 as a possible stop-loss, with a break below these levels, most probably bring back the mid-20’s into play. A break and close above $38 could be extremely bullish for GLD.
In short – hold for now, while accumulating/buying into further weakness.
GDX trade ideas
GDX's downtrend continues. Perspectives and thoughtsGDX's downtrend has cast a shadow over gold's price and last week we saw a determined continuation of the downtrend for the Vaneck ETF. The ETF's price broke through the support with an average volume of 26.52M for Friday's trading session and buyers made no attempt to by the dip. We've closed with full-body under the support and below the $36 level. In the days before the drop on Friday, we saw some increase in volumes as some selling started to accumulate. RSI remains below the 50 ballast line and MACD has made a bearish crossover. The histogram is below 0.
The perspectives for the ETF remain negative with the overall sentiment leaning towards sell and strong sell. My target for the ETF is $31.35 - $31.25 zone. The rise in bond prices keeps Gold and the corresponding ETF's unattractive at this point.
GDX continues its original path - DOWN to 30GDX... one of my favouorites, but now is in a major retracement.
Again, three out of four factors are not favourable:
1. USD rising
2. Gold bearish
3. Equities Bearish (or soon to be)
Only Low Interest Rates are favourable.
The weekly chart has a GAP DOWN (ignore the BRB Buy signal for now), and it closed below the weekly 55EMA, which is a significant development.
MACD is crossing down soon in bear territory, and the RPM is pushing down again!
Shifted downside target to 30, mid Feb 2021.
Death Cross in Gold Miners as Bitcoin DoublesWe cited the bullish potential in gold prices late last year. This played out as expected, but there hasn’t been any follow-through. Now some bearish patterns are taking hold.
This chart shows the downward trend line in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF. Notice how the latest rally tried and failed to push above it.
Next is the rising channel in place since late November as GDX clung to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That pattern is starting to look like a bearish flag, with the potential for a breakdown if the late-December lows give way.
Third, notice how the 50-day SMA just slid below the 200-day SMA. That’s a bearish “death cross” pattern.
Even more things are happening off the chart than on it. After all, the U.S. dollar feel steadily in November and December. Gold’s inability to rally with that favorable backdrop is potentially bearish.
Next, the greenback is showing signs of bottoming. If it were to keep bouncing, that could also hurt gold.
Finally, Bitcoin doubled in price between December 15 and January 8 as GDX did nothing. BTC’s relative strength, combined with the drumbeat of institutional adoption, suggests a real sea change is taking place before our eyes. The next few months could be important in the history of money!
TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
GDX resumes its original pathA month ago, the GDX gapped up above the 55EMA to break a downtrending cycle. But it was not sustainable, as previously observed.
This week saw the concomitant plummet, alongside Gold, which closed the previous Gap Up with a Gap Down, bringing the week closure below the 55EMA. This is a failed breakout.
Technicals support this bearish turn of events, with the MACD and the Price Momentum crossing down.
The drivers for this downside move have been described previously...
Target 32-33 in Feb 2021.
GDX ready to push up?RSI above 50, MACD still with a positive upward slope, as well as a rising histogram. Runaway gap from Yesterday made with a big volume spike and wasn't tested nor covered. An eventual test of the gap would be an additional bullish confirmation, but depending on gold's price that may be skipped.
GDX DiamondFib hasn't been touched again. Maybe a double tap!.
-Gap at 50 fib $30.56? I doubt it...
-maybe in insolvency crisis/big market poopy times
-OR the flightless turkeys in this ETF pull down the falcons.
-watch indicators, mainly rsi and macd, after a divergence they tend to move with the candles
Diamonds reflect and refract light within........ Down, bounce, sideways, bounce, UP and out!
A nice juicy left turn, unless those damn turkeys turn into the falconer.
GOLD MINERS GDX bearish tonesPlease see Chart... recent minor failures hint of bearish tones, and technicals are crossing down.
Overall, the equity markets are pushing higher on air and expecting a serious pullback soon, after a surprise trigger.
Gold prices are not moving despite USD weakening... this is bad for Gold, and Gold Miners particularly.
Once the USD jumps, and Gold drops, then the Gold Miners will be in double jeopardy.
I like GDX, but it is reeking of danger right now. I would be very wary IMHO...