GDX trade ideas
GDX - Crossing 200ma Daily- As gold has be sold back, GDX ETF has worked its way towards the 200ma on the daily.
- I will become interested around the $31.50 level on signs of support.
- No position currently
AMEX:GDX
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Disclaimer: All ideas are my opinion and should not be taken as financial advice.
Elliott Wave View: GDX Correction Remains in ProgressElliott Wave view in Gold Miners (GDX) suggests the Index is correcting the cycle from March 16, 2020 low. The correction is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave Structure. In the 60 minutes chart below, we can see wave (X) of this double three ended at $42.05. The Miners have turned lower in wave (Y).
The internal of wave (Y) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (X) high at $42.05, wave ((i)) ended at $38.03, and bounce in wave ((ii)) ended at $39.24. Index resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards $37.52, wave ((iv)) ended at $37.87, and wave ((v)) ended at $36.73. This ended wave A of (Y) in higher degree.
Index then bounced in wave B which ended at $38.42. Internal structure of wave B unfolded as a zigzag where wave ((a)) ended at $38.08, wave ((b)) ended at $37.39, and wave ((c)) ended at $38.42. The Gold Miners have extended lower in wave C. Down from wave B high at $38.42, wave ((i)) ended at $37.83 and wave ((ii)) ended at $38.29. Expect a few more lows in the Index to end wave C of (Y) before GDX finds support. A potential support area is 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension from August 5, 2020 high which comes at $31.05 – $33.10.
GDX monthly is clearerObviously, close this month below 36 would be bad ... at least need another month or two to reverse.
Close between 36 and 40 hits buyers are trying to test water and see how much resistance it has. So the chance that December will be higher is ~ 2/3.
Close above 40 in November means buyers are ready to bring it higher, can take some risk in monthly options.
GDX Biggest Bull Flag in the history of Bull FlagsIt's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when gold breaks out dramatically. Everyone knows that. For my money, GDX looks like the biggest bull flag I've ever seen. But! The US election crazy is not over . We're right in the middle of the flag range. But I could see it going either way. Just like the US election. As of today, I'm leaning 61.8% towards UP and buying accordingly.