GUSH Long / Oil LongA lot happening this week with the fed meeting and someone with power somewhere running their mouth about what "ought to be". This is a relatively high risk trade long or short. To me inflation will prevail and we will likely see speculators continue to drive up commodity prices.
GUSH trade ideas
💦💦💦someone say something about oil?
4h squeeze happening right now as we speak,
this consolidation is going to tighten until it fires off in the next few days
oil hasn't ran in some time, so when it does, i expect an expanded 3rd for this move.
has to break through a few levels before it gets there, but i reckon it's going to happen fast.
gush calls near end of day tomorrow will print.
expanded 3rd target = $107
💸
$GUSH LONG Target at 91: Post 5th-wave ascending (Elliot Wave)The general thought is this is the fifth wave of a corrective (Upward trending) sequence. Ideally, $GUSH returns to 91/s as a target w/ again (something I hate) an undefined time range: Play it w/ a position swapping; I advise skipping any additional options contracts you may otherwise have tacked on. Thrive.
-BDR
$GUSH further Fall Not A Factor: LONG (Elliot Wave)While $GUSH continues to actively fail its previous trade channel, this again represents a solid LONG to 91.
This could simply be a "completion of the square" w/in its previous 5-wave ascending channel.
It is hopefully just that: Profit Yield still hovers near 20-25% ROI on the position swapping (a long play on $GUSH).
BLOOD OR OIL
GUSH: LEVERAGED BUY opportunity in BEAR MARKETFUNDAMENTALLY: Oil being a commodity is a safe play during any bear market or market crash. The talk about a future market crash is inescapable. Post COVID we saw a REACTION, not a “crash” I believe we will now see a true market crash post COVID.
Alternatively the world is looking to go green, stretching their arms to reach for greener projects. However, it’s never the case that everyone succeeds perfectly.
METAPHOR: For example, say you have a classroom of straight A students, and you give them paper and pencils and tell them to do a difficult math problem set for you, they might all finish in the time frame some may take extra time but they will all write with that pencil and erase. The lead is clean energy use the eraser oil energy use. Everyone needs to erase.
Oil prices are on the steady rise and the shortage is growing. We don’t have enough green energy to support ourselves. People NEED oil.
TECHNICALLY: There are much higher price points we see GUSH hit pre COVID. And I think we could be hitting half of those price points in the near future.
The cup with handle pattern = strong bullish pattern, and the Adam and Eve bottoms support it.
GUSH bullish scenarioHidden Bullish Divergence on daily MACD & RSI could still be in play but GUSH would badly need to pivot here and now. A lot of confluence (Fib. level and measure move) around $109 making it the perfect target for longs. Right now it looks very much like a coin flip but recent technical breakout on crude oil gives the industry some hope. Cautious traders would look for entry on backtest of the triangle. As of today bearish scenario with triangle breaking down and $40 target seems just as likely in my mind.
GUSH could hit $68 this weekGUSH is really beaten down recently and since it's getting shorted heavily I expect a small reaction soon. This would complete the the triangle before another leg down. daily RSI also at down sloping support. Entry $61.90, Target: $67.99. Quick trade that should play out this week. Stop loss below $60.
GUSH looking very weakDespite great TA setup with triple bullish divergence on both oscillators and bounce on the trendline, the chart now looks exceptionally bad as we broke below the trendline and continue building negative momo. Could be a buy opportunity around $40 by end of May if $60 doesn't hold next week.
GUSH Bullish DivergenceVery strong Triple Bullish Divergence on the daily timescale, strong reversal after multi-week downtrend right at the well-established demand line. Oil prices could skyrocket sure to ongoing Suez Canal blockage. Safe bet.
Keep in mind that leveraged ETFs can suffer from decay over long periods of time so holding this asset long-term (months, years) increases your risk. Targets: $90, $100 (psychological), $110 but it could go much higher in time. I don't think stop loss is necessary for this trade but one could place it around $60, just below previous swing low.
Are we in a New Range? $GUSHI'm still following the direction of AMEX:GUSH . Given today's initial drop back into the range I was following, I am wondering if this is a new price level for consideration.
I am still long oil, but there may be external factors that are worth considering as well. Of course, beyond April, I do not expect to remain as confident is upward price movement in line with the trend we've been seeing. As production outside the US increases, I'd expect things to get a bit hectic as new price levels are established.
Oil/Gas Strong - Level to Level Holding Relatively TrueSo, AMEX:GUSH hit the level a bit sooner than I thought. My thinking is that we'll play around here for a bit over the next few weeks. I expect the market to begin to 'price in' what is to come in April as production increases in Russia, etc... However - thinking you know which way we go from here with absolute certainty is playing with fire. :)
Coming out of OPEC Meeting Today - Where to, now?After an almost comedic OPEC meeting today, we were on our way higher with the prospect of continued tempered production. At least for a month or so... By May the spigots would be expected to be opened up again. (Russia will increase production in April) However, I'm guessing that the tech troubles and Powell speech today shook it all up a bit. I'm still liking the up-trend for now. ...no Harry Potter glasses here, capisce?
Cup and HandleThis is LEVERAGED.
Cup and handle has broken out. Probable pull back inside the bands, or even to the MA (moving average, red line and this like will be moving with price as will the bands) as price has pierced upper trendline of Bollinger Bands set on an 80 moving average. Resistance overhead from previous gaps down.
Small cup within a larger cup. HL (Handle Low) can provide support. Mid cup can also provide support. You can find mid cup by subtracting cup low from cup high and dividing by 2.
I bought this a few months ago but if you are not in this, maybe wait for a pull back. Plus whenever I see a long leg up, I look for a probable pull back.
Not a recommendation
Yearly high is 388.40 3 year high is 19020
Top 10 Holdings
SPDR® S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Prodtn ETF
23.47%
Dreyfus Government Secs Cash Mgmt Admin
16.80%
Goldman Sachs FS Treasury Intms Instl
15.78%
S&P Oil & Gas Explor And Prod Select Index Swap
0.89%
S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Prod Selind Index Swap
2.90%
Goldman Finl Sq Trsry Ins
Down? Can it be this easy - maybe not - we shall seeLooks way maxed out. I bought DRIP a bit early at 15.33 or something and failed to sell it when it dropped (when OIL spiked way up) - DRIP went way down to 13-ish and is now going back up).
At THIS rate, if GUSH goes to the bottom line - $18 - why wouldn't it, it was just there a few months ago (-71%) - DRIP will go UP 71% (maybe) - which would be $24.76 (why wouldn't it - it was JUST there at the beginning of this year). So I guess I will keep my DRIP for now and buy GUSH at some point perhaps.
NOT trading advice - just playing around with a few $$ (and getting ahead, and then risking it and getting behind and then being careful and getting ahead, etc, etc)