IWM trade ideas
IWM - buy at the key supporthi Traders
IWM looks kinda bearish and we're seeing a lot of selling pressure on both on daily , weekly and monthly timeframe.
Our strategy is to play the bounce from the key support level which is shown on the chart.
If this key support level fails, most likely we will see more downside on IWM.
Entry, target and stop loss are shown on the chart.
Good luck
Watching for IWM to bounce off support
IWM is currently in a strong accumulation area based on the volume profile delta. The indexes were a bit oversold after yesterday's CPI report and FOMC minutes, leading to a bounce in the afternoon. I am skeptical as to whether today's PPI report and fed speakers will have the same effect so I closed my puts. Here is my reasoning:
VIX keeps rejecting above $16.25. If it does not move up sharply at market open, I expect it to reject again and move back down towards $13.00.
The 10y bonds chart looks like yields have topped out for the week after hitting the R3 fib pivot point. I see it retracing down the channel until next week.
Same situation with the Dollar.
I expect a small rally into the weekend or early next week. Timing will depend on the reaction to today's PPI report. I'd like to see a dip in the morning so I can minimize risk in case there is not enough momentum to get to $206. I expect some choppiness there so we can either continue moving up next week or head for new lows.
Also thinking this looks like another bullish wedge on NYSE..
Timing the market. IWMWhat we know? Oil is likely bullish in 2nd Half (24'). BTC leads the small caps. TNX usually works as a head wind (and has took a pause). Rate cuts are very bullish for small caps and financials benefit in this environment?
technically; the 20dma works as a driver. 50dma and 200dma just gives you context. You can add MACD to confirm things.
Im speculating that small caps breaks out in mid April.
U can fact check using IWM/SPX.
IWM 5of 5 of 5 to .618 213.2 /212.9 Panic is nearing The chart posted is the IWM since the late oct 2023 low at that time my work and models calle for a 5 wave rally in wave C up since that low we have had more and more talking of an UPSIDE MELTUP and that the place to be loading up long is the IWM with some many talking a gain of 50% and to see 300 . Well I can tell you that has a 2 % chance . We are fast approaching the 5th of 5 in what is a diagonal and into the target of .618 .I personal thing we are going well below 131 and are already in recession what has been happening in the MACRO side is the monetizing of the treasury debt to fund it thru T bill markets and to add Liquidity >I am moving to a 100 % full short in IWM in in the money puts if we have any new high this week
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 180 Short Put... for a 1.82 credit.
Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. There is no July contract yet, but June is still paying at <16 delta ... .
IWM Russell showing double top, support tests next?double top pattern in play after IWM and RUT failed to breakout higher with the rest of the large cap indices.
patterns alone can be deceiving, but fundamental risks support this double top thesis.
banks risks, higher costs from supply chain constrains and or inflationary costs in play.
Higher rates may be finally hitting consumers and businesses as an extra cost in all forms of funding.
6 month to 1 year bear spreads make sense hear, so do deep in the money puts. For long positions, I would consider stops to protects down side in case it continues.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 169 Short Put... for a 1.63 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Will start looking at adding in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
IWM IWM, the ETF tracking the Russell 2000 index, is exhibiting a noteworthy alignment with the parabolic SAR indicator, indicating a potential momentum shift or trend continuation. Given this alignment, investors should maintain a keen focus on IWM's price action and behavior. Moreover, the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data may serve as a significant catalyst, potentially influencing market sentiment and driving further movement in IWM. As such, market participants should closely monitor both technical indicators and fundamental data to anticipate and respond effectively to potential price movements in IWM.
๐๐ Weekly Chart Technical Analysis for IWM! ๐๐ผLet's delve into the fascinating world of IWM and explore its weekly chart. Get ready for valuable insights and potential trading opportunities. ๐๐
๐ Cycle Analysis:
By analyzing the cycles, we've identified a cycle period of 48 weeks for IWM. Interestingly, we've divided each 48-week cycle into three distinct parts, allowing us to pinpoint key moments within the market's trajectory. Let's dive into the current cycle! ๐๐
๐ Uptrend at 1/3 of the Cycle:
In this new cycle, IWM finds itself right at the 1/3 mark. It successfully broke out of the key resistance level at 190.8 back in December 2023, and this level has been retested, confirming its significance. As a result, we believe IWM is currently experiencing an uptrend. ๐ช๐
๐โ
Key Levels and Price Range:
Based on our analysis, we anticipate that over the next 32 weeks, IWM will remain within a price range of 203.54 to 228.70. Notably, the upper end of this range, 228.70, is closely aligned with the high reached in November 2021. Additionally, there is a Supply Zone located at 235.50, making this area a crucial zone to monitor. ๐๐ฏ๐
๐๐ Retracement Entry Opportunities:
For traders seeking a long entry, we recommend focusing on retracements within smaller timeframes, such as the H4 or daily chart. These retracements can provide favorable entry points with a potential profit of 12% and a risk-reward ratio of more than 2 to 1. This presents an enticing opportunity for mid-term investments. ๐๐ผ๐ฐ
๐๐ Conduct Your Own Study:
As always, it's crucial to emphasize the importance of conducting your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make well-informed choices based on a comprehensive understanding of the market. Knowledge is power! ๐๐ก๐ผ
Embrace the insights, seize the potential within IWM's weekly chart, and consider the captivating opportunities it presents. Remember, trading carries risks, so always exercise caution and diligence. Let's make the most of these chances and aim for profitable investments! ๐ช๐ผ๐น
#IWM #WeeklyChartAnalysis #UptrendForecast #RetracementEntryOpportunity #MidTermInvestment ๐๐๐ฑ
The next price zone to watch IWM broke out of a daily trading range last week, and climbed towards a weekly resistance zone.
The yellow price zone that I marked in the chart represents a weekly structure that acted as support... now should become resistance.
The 61.8 Fib level could also generate some selling pressure on IWM's price.