$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets - 229/228 bull puts hereAll right, we have the first candle down and we are halfway down the implied move and falling. We are oversold here in the next level of support is at 229 paired with that 30min 200MA so I’m thinking that is where we might settle for the day. 229 / 228 bull put spreads? My .25 order filled and I have orders at .45 and .5
IWM trade ideas
Triple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart PatternsTriple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart Patterns
A bullish triple bottom is a reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the start of an upward trend. Here's a breakdown:
Three Lows: The pattern is characterized by three distinct lows that are roughly equal in price. These lows form after a significant downtrend, indicating strong support at that level.
Rallies Between Lows: Each low is separated by two intermediate rallies that create peaks. These peaks form the resistance level known as the neckline.
Neckline: The horizontal line connecting the highs of the intermediate rallies is called the neckline. This is a crucial resistance level that the price must break through to confirm the pattern.
Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased trading volume, confirms the triple bottom pattern. This breakout signifies a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Price Target: The expected price target is often calculated by measuring the distance from the pattern's lowest low to the neckline and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point.
Traders view the triple bottom as a strong indication that the selling pressure has been exhausted and that buyers are starting to gain control, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
$IWM ANALYSIS, KEY LEVELS & TARGETS for Day Traders for 11.11.24All right, so I WM is holding at the top of the implied move right now and above the election gap from last week, clearly. We’re at the top of the implied move here so I’m thinking we’re at the high of the day and that 35 EMA is down there in the Read looking like a really good target. Sorry that there was no video last night. I will definitely get one out tonight and good luck guys.
Also know that we are just underneath all-time highs which is around 244.5 (a few pennies under that) in my opinion I think we see that as resistance and that is due to the idea of tariffs and things getting more expensive in the near future. Small caps will be hit the hardest by tariffs and I think this is gonna be a double top for a IWM. One day at a time for sure, and that is just my opinion, but just know that all-time highs are near and just outside of the implied move for the next two days
Opening (IRA): IWM Nov 15th 194 Covered Call... for a 192.28 debit.
Comments: Re-upping with a monied covered call in November with a strike that is slightly higher than what I previously had on at the 193. (See Post Below). Just looking to get a little more out of the November cycle before moving onto December without taking on a ton of additional risk ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 192.28
Max Profit: 1.72
ROC at Max: .89%
50% Max: .81
ROC at 50% Max: .45%
IWM: Cup, Handle, and a Bullish GambleAMEX:IWM
Original Chart :
Been eyeing IWM lately, and honestly, this setup has the kind of potential that could get even the most cynical trader to sit up and pay attention. We’re looking at the *beginning* of a cup-and-handle-esque pattern so pristine it belongs in a TA textbook—classic accumulation followed by consolidation, like the bulls are quietly gearing up for something big. But here’s where it gets even more interesting: with the recent US election in the rearview and a lineup of Fibonacci extensions and moving averages all pointing in the same direction, this setup is practically begging for a breakout. Let’s dive into the details.
Fibonacci Extensions and Price Targets
Let’s talk targets. I’m looking at $315 and $365 based on Fibonacci extensions, and yes, that $365 target might sound ambitious, but hear me out. Fibs are like the star charts for traders—rooted in math, mystical enough for Twitter hype, and strangely accurate. $315 is the conservative target, sitting right around the 100% extension, where we might see price take a breather. But the real spotlight is on $365, the 200% extension level, which could be where we end up if this breakout goes full send. If Fibonacci levels have taught us anything, it’s that the universe loves a good price projection.
Moving Averages and the Golden Cross
Then there’s the 50-day and 200-day moving average crossover—the infamous “golden cross,” which might sound like something out of an Indiana Jones movie, but actually just signals bullish momentum. We’ve got price hanging above both moving averages, a classic recipe for sustained upward trends. Historically, this setup has a decent track record of making bulls look smart, and right now, it’s flashing green like a big, neon sign saying, “This way to higher prices.”
Volume Profile and Key Levels between $200-$240
The Volume Profile is where things get interesting. That $200-$240 range is showing a massive amount of trading activity, acting like a gravity well for price. If IWM revisits this range and bounces around $235, that’s our green light for lift-off. This is the make-or-break level—the battleground where bulls and bears duke it out. Here’s the nuance: if price *rejects* $235 and consolidates, that’s what would actually form the handle of this cup-and-handle setup, setting the stage for a later breakout. If $235 holds, we’re looking at a more direct path upwards. If not, well… it might be time to rethink the moonshot narrative.
Mapping Out the Bullish Scenarios
So, we’re left with two paths. Path one is the steady grind up to our targets, where IWM just slowly marches its way to $315 and then potentially $365, no drama, just smooth sailing. Path two is the extended consolidation phase in the $200-$240 range through most of 2025, creating that classic “handle” structure. Think of it as the market getting in some much-needed cardio before the sprint. By end-Q1 2025, we should know which scenario is unfolding based on whether we hold above that $235 line.
Curious to see if anyone else is seeing the same potential here. The combination of a cup-and-handle formation in the works, Fib extensions, and moving averages feels like a recipe for something substantial, but I’m always down to hear different perspectives. Are you all vibing with the $365 target, or is that too much hopium?
$IWM $RTY : Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥 Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥
We will be at ATH's this week: AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA CAPITALCOM:RTY
While everyone is buzzing about NASDAQ:TSLA CRYPTOCAP:BTC and how they will continue to skyrocket if election results stick and continue to favor Trump, no one’s talking about SMALL CAPS! Remember, during his last term, small caps had an impressive run. Let’s dive into the technicals in my latest video.
In this video, we cover:
1️⃣ Technical Analysis: We’ll analyze charts and multiple indicators, all pointing to AMEX:IWM heading HIGHER. 📈
2️⃣ Patterns: A massive multi-year cup and handle pattern with an ascending triangle breakout is in play.
Drop a comment below if you learned something new or want to explore any topics further.
Stay tuned for more insights and show some love!
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CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA
NFA
iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)Calls above 219.78
Puts below 218.35
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal from either side. This strategy is based on price action and the volume of a candle upon breakout.
SPX 7-Minute Chart Analysis: Identifying Bullish MomentumThis SPX (S&P 500 Index) 7-minute chart provides a look into intraday bullish momentum using Heikin Ashi candles and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points and signals observed on this chart:
Key Indicators and Signals:
Call Signals:
The chart shows multiple “Call Signal” indicators (in green) along the trend, which highlight points where buying momentum is potentially entering the market. Each of these signals aligns closely with support areas or pullbacks within the uptrend, offering opportunities for entries in line with the prevailing trend.
Moving Averages (Orange and Blue Lines):
Orange Line (VWAP): The orange line tracks closer to price action and appears to act as a dynamic support level, with prices bouncing off it several times as the trend progresses upward. This moving average helps confirm the short-term bullish trend.
Blue Line (50 EMA or SMA): The blue moving average is further from the price but shows the overall upward trend. The price remains above this line, further confirming that bullish momentum is intact.
Heikin Ashi Candles:
The Heikin Ashi candles show consistent bullish candles (yellow) with few lower wicks, which indicates strong buying pressure. The limited presence of red candles reflects minor pullbacks rather than trend reversals, which is typical in a sustained uptrend.
Gray Support Zone(ORB):
There’s a gray support zone below the price AKA the opening range breakout, which was tested but held successfully. This area marks a key support level, as each time the price neared this zone, it bounced back, showing that buyers are defending this level strongly.
Analysis and Outlook:
Bullish Trend Confirmation: The consistent uptrend in SPX, supported by both moving averages and the strong Heikin Ashi candles, suggests that bullish momentum is likely to continue. The multiple “Call Signals” give confidence in the trend’s strength, indicating potential for further upside.
Entry and Exit Opportunities: You could use the pullbacks to the orange moving average or gray support zone as potential entry points, aligning with the overall uptrend. Watch for continued “Call Signal” alerts near these areas for high-probability entries.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Gray zone around 5,719 - 5,720 and the orange moving average.
Resistance: Look for any signs of resistance at psychological levels like 5,740 and 5,750, where some profit-taking might occur.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.29.24
So we got above that mess of resistance - that is impressive for sure. And the 35EMA is still underneath the 30min 200MA - so believe it of not we are bearish here until that crosses. And it looks like with a down gap at open this could be a level of rejection here today.
This does look very bear flaggy to me - though yesterdays price action really tried to keep it out of forming one but today may prove be the followthrough for that. If that’s the case then the 50DMA would be a good target - though it’s not in today or tomorrow’s trading range - definitely could be by the end of the week.
INDEX ROTATIONS BEFORE Based on what we can observe in this 4-hour chart, there is a clear rotation or reduction in gains within the DIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) and IWM (Russell 2000) sectors. This suggests that capital may be shifting towards the QQQ (Nasdaq 100), where major tech companies have yet to report their earnings.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.24.24OK, so in IWM, we had a big move this week, and one thing to definitely be aware of is that the 35 EMA is sitting right at the 30-minute moving average. If we get follow-through there, meaning that the 35 EMA crosses underneath and continues going down, then we are bearish in IWM. There's a lot of mixed signals, such as stochastic RSI being extremely oversold, but we also dipped underneath the bottom of the implied move for the week yesterday, as opposed to finding that level as support. We did make two down gaps today, and we've been seeing the 35 EMA as resistance for the entire week.
Above us, we have the 30-minute and the one-hour averages, as well as the 35 EMA and the down gap, all in one resistant area, which could be a tough level. At the very top of the trading range, we also have a down gap from Tuesday, and underneath us, we have the 50-day moving average, and just a little bit above that, we do have a small support at 218, which is where we saw a bounce yesterday. So, there's an interesting channel that we have between the 50-day moving average and the one-hour moving average.
The top of the implied move for today's contract is 222, and above that, 223 on Friday's contract. We also have the bottom of the implied move for the week at 221, which is right underneath that mess of resistance. It looks like at pre-market, we might be gapping up to that level, which would give us a gap and two gaps in the upper half of the implied move. Then, the implied move to the downside is 216 and 215 on Friday's contract, and that looks like a beautiful spread if we drop because that 50-day moving average is right above it.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.23.24IWM is currently sitting just above the 30-minute 200 moving average and right above the bottom of the implied move for the week. With that being said, The implied move for tomorrow is between 219 and 224, based on options. The 30-day average volatility is almost aligned with this, giving a range of 218 to 224. On Thursday’s contract, the implied move is slightly wider, from 218 to 225.
To the upside, we have a down gap from today, paired with the 35 EMA, which could offer resistance tomorrow. If we manage to break through those levels, the next target would be the top of the implied move at 224. Above that, 225 is the top of the implied move for Thursday’s contract.
Below us, we have the 30-minute 200 moving average, which we bounced off of today, though it wasn’t a strong bounce—just a small technical move. We could test that level again tomorrow. Below that, we have the one-hour 200 moving average. Keep in mind that we’re in oversold territory, sitting outside the implied move for the week, so the combination of the 30-minute 200 moving average and the one-hour 200 moving average could offer support and keep us within range for the week. However, if we break those two levels tomorrow, the bottom of the implied move is 219, with 218 as the bottom for Thursday’s contract. The 50-day moving average is further below, but that would be our next true support level.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.17.24
IWM has been on fire lately.
Today, the 35EMA crossed into the green side of the trading range. That doesn’t happen to often. If you watched the video you know what I’m talking about. So lets see it that is a signal for a pull back from here.
The implied move for tomorrow is between 224 & 229, and 223 to 230 on Fridays contract…
The previous resistance at 225, we gapped over it today, and if we drop that could be a support now and the 35EMA is just underneath as well. The gap at the bottom of the trading range tomorrow could be a buy the dip zone on the day.
GL tomorrow, y’all
$IWM What is happening in IWM?The recent rally in the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), which tracks the performance of small-cap stocks, can be attributed to several factors based on the latest insights from market sentiment, technical analysis, and broader economic indicators:
1. Breakout Above Resistance: IWM experienced a significant breakout above multi-year resistance levels , which often signals a shift in market sentiment towards more optimism for small-cap stocks . This breakout was partly fueled by favorable economic data, like lower-than-expected inflation reports, suggesting that the Federal Reserve might not need to raise rates as aggressively, thereby reducing borrowing costs for small businesses and potentially boosting their growth prospects.
2. Economic Sentiment and Policy: Lower inflation rates tend to soften expectations for rate hikes, which is generally positive for equities, especially small caps that might be more sensitive to interest rate changes due to their higher cost of capital . The market's anticipation of a more dovish monetary policy can lead to a shift towards riskier assets, including small-cap stocks.
3. Market Rotation and Sector Performance: There's a sentiment that the market might be broadening, moving from large-cap tech stocks towards other sectors, including small caps. This rotation could be driven by several reasons, including a search for value, diversification, or anticipation of different sectors leading the market as economic conditions evolve .
4. Technical Indicators: Technical analysts have noted that IWM's price action, including forming specific candle patterns and breaking above moving averages, indicates a bullish continuation. The mention of IWM approaching or surpassing key resistance levels, like those around $224, suggests that once these levels are decisively broken, further upward movement might be expected due to technical buying.
5. Fundamental Shifts: There's a growing narrative around small caps being due for a catch-up phase, especially if the economic environment supports a recovery or growth in sectors where small caps are prominent. Lower valuations compared to large caps, combined with potential policy changes like tax cuts or stimulus, could favor smaller companies.
6. Market Psychology and Momentum: The mention of a "risk-on" bid across various assets like Bitcoin and small caps suggests a broader market psychology shift towards risk-taking. This environment can propel small-cap stocks as investors chase performance, expecting further gains on the momentum.
7. Individual Stock Performances: Specific companies within the IWM index, like those in emerging tech sectors or benefiting from new policy changes (e.g., Medicare reimbursement rates), have shown significant gains, contributing to the overall ETF's performance.
The rally in IWM, therefore, reflects a combination of favorable economic data, shifts in investor sentiment, technical breakouts, and a potential rotation within the equity markets towards undervalued or previously underperforming sectors like small caps. This movement could be part of a broader trend where investors seek higher returns in a landscape where traditional growth stocks might be overvalued or facing headwinds from policy changes or economic cycles. However, market sentiment can be fickle, and while these factors support the current rally, the sustainability of this upward trend depends on ongoing economic developments, policy decisions, and whether small caps can indeed deliver on the growth anticipated by investors.
IwmNovember is coming!
Small caps usually outperforms every other index during that time
So here's what I see
Channel perspective
Has been bumping it's head against this trendline
With the exception of one fake out , this trendline has held
Fibonacci level
225 is the place to beat..
I think price could be forming an ascending triangle for a big push after elections but price may breakout before November
Just go back and look at Iwm performance during November.. I'm only wrong if we hard close back below 218