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KBE trade ideas

$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀 (2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE • Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥 • Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY • Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024 Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire! (3/9) – BIG EVENTS • Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️ • M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊 • NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗 X posts buzz about a banking renaissance! (4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN • AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍 • Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY ) • P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines! (5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH • Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉 • Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️ • Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦 • Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟 • Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍 • Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦 AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸 • Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍 Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth? (8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going? 1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance. 3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
AMEX:KBELong
by DCAChampion
8
KBE - S %& P Small Bank ETF LONGKBE is an unleveraged bank ETF which on the 60 minute chart is currently trending with a buy signal from the machine learning algo indicator. Banks are reporting. Interest rate changes by the fed are flat for the time being. The volume profile shows KBE took a dip to try to fall back into the high-volume area and bounced. It has recovered from a VWAP band breakdown correcting from the 3rd upper band to the first upper band. The dual time RSI indicator shows the faster RSI line crossing over the slower RSI line and both in the healthy 60 range. I see this as a buying opportunity on KBE and will also take a look at DPST. I see price as targeting the February 23 high about 20% upside.
AMEX:KBELong
by AwesomeAvani
Banks Could Have Another Leg DownThe SPDR S&P Bank ETF dropped sharply in March because of elevated Treasury yields. It’s been quieter recently with the 10-year marching to new long-term highs, but will that last? The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows between early May and mid-August. KBE proceeded to make a lower high after breaking that trendline and has made lower highs since. That may suggest the bounce was a bearish flag in the context of a bigger downtrend. The falling 200-day simple moving average (SMA) potentially marks that downtrend. Notice how the 50-day SMA never managed to reclaim the 200-day SMA, which resembled the move in REITs before their recent collapse. MACD turned lower around the same time and has remained negative since. Next, KBE bounced at $37.43 in late August and early September. It peaked just below the same level on Friday. Has old support become new resistance? Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above: SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE): 1-year: -22.71% 5-years: -25.44% 10-years: +23.29% (As of July 31, 2023) Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
AMEX:KBE
by TradeStation
2
Bank Stocks Are Back To Bullish ModeBank stocks have collapsed back in March, but don't forget that markets go from pessimism (fear) to optimism (greed) and vice versa. Looking at the KBE (Bank Sector ETF) chart, we can see a completed three-wave A-B-C corrective decline after a five-wave rally, which gives us a nice bullish setup formation. So, after reaching important 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and GAP from November 2020, we may easily see bulls back in the game, especially now that is trying to break first bullish evidence level. However, keep in mind that bullish confirmation is only above channel resistance line and 50 region, while it's above the 30 invalidation level. US banks face large capital increases under final Basel plan.
AMEX:KBELong
by ew-forecast
KBE ( in top of ascending channel ) is ready to shortKBE on the one-hour chart has been in a rising parallel channel for a month. It is now near the the top of the channel having pivoted within the past few trading sessions. The MACD which is no lag shows a line cross above the histogram while the RSI is topped out as it was on May 23rd the most recent previous pivot downward. I see this as a short setup. The stop loss is at the recent pivot high while the target is $35.15 at the bottom of the channel and somewhat confluent with the POC line of the volume profile which is a natural bounce and reversal value. I would also short the banks by going long on BNKD which adds the extra risk and potential reward of leverage ( see that idea)
AMEX:KBEShort
by AwesomeAvani
KBE: S&P500 / BANK RUNS / RSI / MACD / DIVERGENCE / BANK CRISIS DESCRIPTION: The chart above shows a relationship between KBE & SPX which is important for the current ongoing banking issues. KBE is a BANK ETF that reflects the overall performance of the banking sector in the United States. At the moment there is a major discrepancy between KBE & SPX value. Normally there is a consistent relationship between the banking sector performance and SPX value but one will have to give in eventually. POINTS: 1. Deviation is 6.25 Point difference & represent crucial points of control for price action. 2. Vertical Orange Lines represent peak price action for S&P 500 & KBE before correction. 3. AVERAGE CORRECTION OF 12% ON KBE DURING BEAR MARKET. RSI: Overextended from RSI AVERAGE banking sector can see some pullback in the coming days. MACD: Currently in EXTREMELY OVERSOLD TERRITORY on MACD FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com AMEX:KBE SP:SPX
AMEX:KBEShort
by DGSTBROKERACC
KBE Banking Sector ETF Long Swing LongKBE is in the middle of a beatdown with two of the biggest bank failures in history this week. The share price action is reflecting overall distribution. The moving averages ( SMA 100 and SMA 200) are parellel and not crossing. Today, the price action had a little pullback on the drop and perhaps an early sign of reversal or at least the end of the trend into a consolidation. Price action today is a symmetrical triangle at the POC line suggesting some dynamic stability and perhaps a pause awaiting a reversal. My idea is to buy weaknesses and later sell some new strengths ( or at least the weakness fixed). Dip buying ( pull backs on the big picture) has risks associated with the rewards. This would be with shares on the way down ( or a call option ) getting cheaper and cheaper buyers and then start selling once shares are 10% above the cost and calls 25% above their cost once the reversal is trending. ( Another idea is to buy a given dollar amount of shares and then 5% as much dollar amount in put options two strikes above current price with DTE 3/24) as a hedge ( insurance on risk).
AMEX:KBELong
by AwesomeAvani
Just a beginning, what is next ? What is next? doesn't take a Gypsy to see that happen, yet, takes balls to hold a position till that happen. when you have unlimited supply of money at 0% - inflation is hard to avoid, then you raise interest to fight it, for banks all long term fix rate securities they bought at 0% , now have much less market value, and sitting at loses, would they admit it if they don't have to? never! if Fed is planning to see more unemployed people, the run on deposits is inevitable, do you print more money? then what to do with inflation ? higher interest rates ? Wait to See how there be no more real estate buyers at today's prices at all!
AMEX:KBEShort
by AleksandrTeplitskiy
ridethepig | Banks vs Utilities It ought to be known by everyone that it is necessary in certain recessions for dead cat bounces and over a typical 5 quarter economic cycle down, it is not uncommon for 1 or 2 of those quarters to be bullish. I suspect that the strength around all the discounted earnings from August is mostly baked in now. The concern, in the MT and LT, is the 2's 5's screaming recession is not over. Such a devastating blow that will have appeared too simple for many participants as Central Banks did not allow the manoeuvre to unfold yet. Here sellers should try to seize the lows; no matter how risk free the current environment may seem; confidence is damaged and civil unrest is in the game. I do hope my judgement of this is not over will be proven wrong, and that it really is different this time. As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
AMEX:KBEShort
by ridethepig
Time to buy banks?The 60 day correlation between KBE and TLT is currently -.66, which means as TLT goes up banks will generally go down. As people overall are getting more comfortable living with covid and the businesses slowly opening up this should really remove a lot of negative pressure on the banks. KBE has formed a nice base / consolidation area for the last 3 months around $30. Recently, KBE price has broken above and holding the 20 and 50 day sma. I will look to buy KBE in the low $30s with a stop below $27.5
AMEX:KBELong
by SR618
1
Long on KBE WHY KBE? KBE - tracks an equal-weighted index of US banking stocks. Meaning, The big boys (Banks) and the smaller ones gets an equal -weight. With small cap ( IWM ) leading the major index last week and the finance sector ( XLF ) being under the radar with good earnings, we might c a major breakout 2 the whole finance sector. In the technical point of view' i identify one of my favourite pattern , The ascending triangle. With that said, We might c KBE gets the upside i am waiting 4.
AMEX:KBELong
by tsippi100
Banks vs Utilities Holding UpUpdates coming from the previous "Banks Look Cheap vs Utilities" chart. For those who don't remember here are the flows we have been tracking: Now it is clear US 10-year Yields are starting to withdraw again, although this time Banks vs Utilities are less affected. I have been talking with clients recently around this space and there is broadly no concern. Valuations in Banks remain supportive and as long as the trend remains in tact there is little to concern, however as we enter into a weaker than expected end of year outlook for US Equities I am updating the Outlook: Outlooks changed from Buy to Neutral, any weakness in banks is actionable in my opinion. As always keep the comments and questions coming, please like if the ideas are helping and any feedback is welcomed! Thanks
AMEX:KBE
by ridethepig
Good investing opportunity on the U.S. banking sector.The KBE ETF, which tracks an equal-weighted index of U.S. banking stocks, has been rising on a very steady 1M Channel Up since the 2008 financial crisis and has recently rebounded on the latest Higher Low (RSI = 50.776, MACD = 0.640, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This presents a good buy opportunity on banking stocks, which are expected to outperform the market in the coming years. Our long term target is 52.00 with 60.45 in extension.
AMEX:KBELong
by InvestingScope
1