The Next Deepseek Moment?Technical Setup:
Golden Cross + Value Area Breakout
Golden Cross Confirmed: The 50-day MA just crossed above the 200-day MA, a strong bullish signal. Last occurrence (2020-2021): KURE surged +120% before the Death Cross reversal.
Current structure: After a brutal 5-wave decline, we’ve:
-Bounced off Value Area Low (key support).
-Reclaimed the Point of Control (POC, fair price balance).
Next target: Value Area High (~120% upside from here).
Fundamentals ?
Why Chinese Biotech is the Next AI style growth driver? While AI dominates headlines, China’s biotech sector is quietly exploding. Government Backing from Beijing, they are pouring billions into biopharma independence, reducing reliance on Western drugs.
Innovation Surge: Companies like BeiGene, Innovent, and CanSino are advancing mRNA, CAR-T, and PD-1 inhibitors—China’s answer to Moderna & Regeneron.
Global Outsourcing Boom: WuXi AppTec & WuXi Biologics dominate global drug R&D outsourcing (60%+ revenue from US/EU).
Valuations are Cheap: After a 3-year bear market, many stocks trade at 2020 pre-bubble levels despite stronger pipelines.
Healthcare Demand: Aging population + rising middle class = exploding drug demand in China.
Risks to Watch: US-China Tensions - WuXi AppTec faces US scrutiny (BIO lobbying).
Liquidity Risk: KURE is a small ETF (~$50M AUM)—sharp moves possible.
If the Golden Cross holds and China’s biotech rally accelerates, KURE could retest 2021 highs (+100-120%). The sector is under owned, undervalued, and at an inflection point—just like AI was in early 2023. This could cause the next Deepseek moment.
Not financial advice.
KURE trade ideas
KURE ETF - coming out of the darkI first covered this ETF 3 years ago.
It did break up to 24 price level but was short before plunging to more than 30% losses for the next 3 years. I was down on paper losses but held on to it.
Recently , there had been good news on two companies,
1. Jiangsu Hengrui
2. Innovent Biologics
For those who wish to know more about this ETF, you can read up here
I expect more upside to come as we witness the China pharma companies playing a more crucial role in the healthcare industry. As the country gets richer and more prosperous, people consume more and the probability of getting sick tends to get higher. Already, obesity is becoming a major issue for the country. Somehow, I think there is a co-relation with fast food and obesity. Do a google search and there are plenty of articles on it.
Having said that, I still think the bad guys (fast food, alcohol, tobacco, etc) tends to stick to a person habit much more than kicking it off and replacing it with healthier food options or hitting the gym. One gives pleasure the other gives pain (depends on which side you are looking at)
Recession proof business - Healthcare With so much spotlight on Inflationary pressure on food, petrol, gas, home prices, rental , etc , the one business that comes to my mind is HEALTHCARE.
Think about it, which is worst? Going to a doctor in peace time OR during an inflationary period where you are charged much more for the same ailment ?
This ETF has just broken out of its bearish trend line recently and is poised to go up steadily.....
Please DYODD