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Platinum Group Metals Ltd.

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A sleeping giant.1. Corporate Profile Platinum Group Metals Inc. (PLG) is a Canadian-based mining company primarily focused on the exploration and development of platinum and palladium resources. Its flagship asset is the South African Waterberg PGM Project, a large underground deposit located on the northern extension of the Bushveld Complex. The Waterberg project, discovered in 2011, is a shallow deposit containing four key precious metals – platinum, palladium, rhodium, and gold (often collectively referred to as “4E”). PLG’s business model centers on identifying promising mining projects, proving up resource estimates, and developing these assets with the aim of commencing commercial production. Currently, PLG does not operate a producing mine; its primary focus is o The Waterberg project is operated by Platinum Group Metals Inc. and is structured as a joint venture. The current ownership structure is as follows: Platinum Group Metals holds approximately 37%, Japanese partners (a joint venture between JOGMEC and Hanwa) about 21.95%, Impala Platinum Holdings (Implats) around 15%, and the local Black Economic Empowerment partner, Mnombo Wethu, 26%. It is important to note that PLG also holds 49.9% of Mnombo, so its effective share in the Waterberg project is approximately 50%. This mixed structure ensures professional and regional collaboration: Impala Platinum is one of South Africa’s large PGM producers, the Japanese group (JOGMEC/Hanwa) is a strategic investor, while Mnombo facilitates local community engagement (fulfilling BEE requirements). Headquartered in Vancouver (Canada) with a South African office in Johannesburg, PLG serves as a bridge between North America and Africa in the precious metals mining space. Its main asset is the Waterberg project, and in the past it was also involved in the development of the Maseve PGM mine (which was sold in 2018 to another mining company). Overall, Platinum Group Metals Inc. is an emerging developer in the PGM market aiming to transition from a development-stage company into a significant producer through a long-life, high-volume mining project – while also exploring innovative applications (such as PGM-based battery technology) for future market opportunities. 2. Financial Analysis Since PLG is currently in the development stage, its revenues remain minimal, and its operations are loss-making until production begins. Based on the latest annual financial results, for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2023, the company reported a net loss of USD 5.66 million, which improved in 2024 to USD 4.58 million. This reduction in losses is partly attributed to strict cost control – general and administrative expenses decreased in 2024 to USD 3.42 million from approximately USD 3.89 million the previous year. However, since the company currently has no operating mining revenues, its operating costs—including those related to the development of Waterberg—are financed through capital injections and existing cash reserves. In 2024, about USD 3.0 million was spent on the Waterberg project (covering development, drilling, and engineering design), compared to approximately USD 4.9 million in the previous year, with the cumulative capital expenditures on the project now totaling around USD 89 million. The company’s liquidity position is relatively tight but manageable: at the end of August 2024, short-term receivables amounted to only USD 0.23 million (mainly recoverable VAT in South Africa), while liabilities stood at USD 0.90 million (trade payables, project-related costs). This indicates that the company does not face significant unpaid debts in the short term and keeps its supplier obligations under control. In the longer term, PLG’s capital structure is heavily equity-financed – in early 2022, PLG repaid a USD 20-million secured loan, so it is currently not burdened by significant bank debt. Consequently, the capital structure is dominated by equity, which the company continues to strengthen through occasional capital raises. Over the past year, Platinum Group Metals has taken several financing steps to sustain operations and advance the Waterberg project. In September 2023, the company raised USD 2.5 million through a private placement from its largest shareholder, the South African Hosken Consolidated Investments (HCI) holding company. As a result, HCI’s stake increased to approximately 27%, demonstrating strong ownership commitment. In December 2024, the company launched a USD 50-million “at-the-market” (ATM) equity program, which allows for the continuous sale of small blocks of shares to raise needed capital. Additionally, at the end of 2024, a shelf prospectus with a total value of USD 250 million was approved, providing the company with flexible access to various securities (shares, debt, warrants, etc.) over the next 25 months if market conditions warrant. These measures indicate that PLG is proactively securing financing for the Waterberg project and the liquidity required for continued operations. However, due to ongoing losses and the lack of revenue, the company’s auditor highlighted in the 2024 annual report the “going concern” risk. This means that the company’s future largely depends on its ability to secure additional funding in the coming years until revenues start flowing from the Waterberg mine. Overall, PLG’s financial situation is typical of a development-stage company: no significant revenue, negative operating cash flow, a continuous need for capital, but with a supportive shareholder base (including HCI and Japanese partners) and the flexibility provided by the shelf prospectus. The current capital structure is conservative (low debt, high equity), which is beneficial for future borrowing, although further equity financing carries the risk of share dilution. Short-term liquidity is secured by a few million dollars in cash and minimal short-term liabilities, yet the company will require substantial additional funding to finance the project. 3. Market Position and Competitive Environment The market for platinum group metals (PGMs) has been undergoing significant changes in recent years. Traditionally, the demand for platinum, palladium, and rhodium has been driven primarily by the automotive industry – with approximately 80% of palladium and around 40% of platinum used in catalytic converters. However, the electric vehicle (EV) revolution is causing a structural shift in the PGM market; as battery-electric vehicles do not require catalytic converters, forecasts suggest that demand for palladium and rhodium could drop sharply after 2025. Some Macquarie analysts predict that by 2028, the prices of palladium and rhodium may decline significantly due to reduced automotive demand, while the impact on platinum is expected to be more moderate and delayed. In the medium term, platinum may even see slight strength due to its use not only in diesel catalysts but also in other industries (such as chemical, jewelry, and potentially hydrogen fuel cell technology). Thus, the current state of the PGM market is characterized by strong but gradually slowing traditional demand (catalytic converters) alongside uncertainty about future demand driven by new technologies. In 2023, the prices of palladium and rhodium dropped dramatically (palladium had tripled in price between 2018 and 2022, then fell to around USD 1,000/ounce by 2024), indicating that the market is already factoring in the coming oversupply. Meanwhile, platinum prices remained more stable, trading in the USD 900–1,000/ounce range, partly due to supply constraints in South Africa arising from power outages and high operating costs, which somewhat offset declining demand. Demand-supply trends in the medium term are mixed: some forecasts for 2024 predict either an oversupply or a deficit in the palladium market depending on the slowdown in automotive production, while the platinum market may be relatively more balanced. An important emerging trend is that the development of the hydrogen economy and fuel cell vehicles could create a new demand base for platinum over a longer period—though this impact may take several years (even a decade) to materialize. In this changing market environment, PLG’s future role will depend significantly on how it positions itself within the competitive landscape. Currently, the PGM market is dominated by a few large South African mining companies such as Anglo American Platinum (Amplats), Impala Platinum (Implats), and Sibanye-Stillwater, which together account for a substantial portion of global platinum and palladium production. These large companies are already adapting their strategies to the market changes: for example, Amplats and Sibanye are increasingly diversifying—investing in battery metals (lithium, nickel) and new technologies (such as hydrogen fuel cells) to offset the declining demand for catalyst metals. Moreover, South African producers are implementing cost-cutting and restructuring programs (with Sibanye, for instance, engaging in mine closures and reorganizations in response to weaker PGM prices), as South African mines are known for high operating costs (deep mining, labor intensity, power outages). In addition, PLG must also consider competition from new entrants and projects. In South Africa, similar to PLG’s Waterberg project, there is Ivanhoe Mines’ Platreef project in the northern part of the Bushveld Complex, which is also developing a massive PGM (palladium, platinum, rhodium) plus nickel and copper deposit. Ivanhoe’s plans indicate that Platreef could begin production in 2025, with a second phase ramping up to an annual production of 450,000 ounces of 4E by 2027, potentially making it one of the world’s largest PGM mines. (For comparison, Waterberg is also targeting a similar production volume, as discussed later.) This means that on the competitive side, PLG must contend not only with the supply from established major mines (Amplats, Implats, etc.) but also with the entry of new projects (Ivanhoe’s Platreef, or even Russian palladium production such as in Norilsk). Nevertheless, the advantageous features of the Waterberg project (e.g., mechanized mining and low operating costs—see below) could provide PLG with a competitive edge. Competitors’ strategies indicate that all market players are preparing to offset the expected decline in automotive catalytic converter demand by either seeking new applications for PGMs (such as in hydrogen technology) or diversifying into alternative metals, as well as enhancing operational efficiency. For Platinum Group Metals Inc., it is therefore crucial that Waterberg becomes a low-cost, high-volume producer capable of remaining profitable even in a low-price environment. 4. Waterberg Mine (South Africa) The Waterberg PGM Project is the flagship asset and key to PLG’s future growth. Located in the Limpopo Province on the northern fringe of the Bushveld Complex, about 85 km from Mokopane, Waterberg is a vast, shallow orebody that contains four valuable precious metals (platinum, palladium, rhodium, and gold) as well as copper and nickel as by-products. The most recent (2024 updated) Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) delivered very favorable results. The estimated proven and probable resource is 23.4 million ounces of 4E metals, contained in 246 million tonnes of ore with an average 4E grade of 2.96 g/t. This represents approximately a 20% higher reserve than the previous 2019 estimate—thanks to an extensive deep drilling program that converted additional material into higher-confidence categories. The project’s expected mine life has been extended from 45 to 54 years based on the latest calculations, indicating an exceptionally long life. Planned production is about 353,000 ounces of 4E per year in concentrate, reaching a peak of around 432,950 ounces per year after ramp-up. If realized, Waterberg would become one of the world’s largest PGM mines, comparable in production volume to current top South African producers. The nature of the orebody—extensive, with dipping layers at 30–35°—allows for a fully mechanized, shallow mining operation using an open-pit, sloped access method. The planned mining method is long-hole stoping with paste backfill, a modern and efficient approach compared to traditional deep-level platinum mines in South Africa. As a result, Waterberg’s operating costs are expected to be extremely low: the all-in sustaining cost (AISC) averages only USD 658 per ounce of 4E, with total sustaining costs at USD 761 per ounce – making it one of the lowest cost operations in South Africa. For comparison, most current South African PGM mines report AISC values above USD 900–1,000 per ounce, which underscores Waterberg’s cost competitiveness. The DFS indicates an NPV of USD 569 million at an 8% discount rate and an IRR of 14.2%, using conservative long-term metal price assumptions. The total project capital expenditure is estimated at around USD 946 million (approximately USD 776 million for peak capital investment, with a 8.5% contingency), which is realistic for a project of this scale. Strategically, the Waterberg mine is watched closely by South Africa as it represents one of the largest new PGM investments in the past 15 years. The project underwent the necessary permitting processes between 2018 and 2022: in January 2021, the South African Department of Mineral Resources granted the mining right for the Waterberg area, and although a group of local communities filed an appeal against the decision, it was dismissed by the relevant authority in 2022. Thus, Waterberg has the legal framework required to commence production. Environmental and social impact assessments have been completed, and the company is working closely with local communities under a Social & Labour Plan. Preparations for the necessary infrastructure (roads, water supply, grid connection to the state’s ESKOM network, worker accommodations) are underway. It is important to note, however, that before actual construction and production can commence, PLG must resolve how to process or sell the mined concentrate. In South Africa, there is a regulation that favors domestic processing of precious metals – essentially an export permit is required to ship raw PGM concentrate out of the country. Because Waterberg is a greenfield project without its own refinery capacity, PLG must either contract with a domestic smelter or process the ore abroad with the appropriate export permit. The company has indicated that it is pursuing both options: negotiations with South African smelter operators (such as Impala Platinum’s own refinery) for a long-term concentrate off-take agreement while also exploring a foreign processing option (see the Saudi Arabian collaboration below). According to CEO Frank Hallam, resolving the export permit issue is crucial for fully exploiting Waterberg’s potential, as without it foreign processing would not be feasible. The South African government is currently in discussions; PLG has offered to participate in domestic beneficiation wherever possible, but will request an export permit if necessary. The financing of the Waterberg project is also a complex task for the company. The nearly USD 1-billion capital requirement is planned to be raised jointly with its partners, likely through a combination of bank project financing (loans) and equity. The Japanese partners (JOGMEC/Hanwa) have already indicated that any further capital contributions will be provided on a 75%/25% basis according to their respective stakes, which is favorable for PLG given the strong financial backing of the Japanese side. Impala’s share in the project has slightly decreased recently (from around 15% to 14.86%) since the South African company had not fully contributed to all development costs – PLG fronted the shortfall, resulting in dilution of Impala’s stake. It remains to be seen what role Impala will play in the final financing; as a major industry player, it could act as a potential offtaker or even increase its stake if market conditions are favorable. For PLG, additional options include tapping into South African state development financing or export credit agencies (from Japan or North America), as well as issuing new shares under the previously mentioned shelf prospectus. Overall, the resource base of the Waterberg project is impressive (the total geological resource exceeds 19 million ounces of 4E), and its projected production capacity could be significant for decades. Strategically, it is important because it represents a mechanized, low-cost new source in the PGM market. The main challenges lie in securing the necessary financing and in establishing a viable processing/refining solution for the concentrate, as well as in adhering to the project schedule (the DFS update in 2024 assumes a start around 2027 if investment commences in 2025). If realized, Waterberg could account for approximately 5–7% of global PGM production, elevating PLG from a development-stage company to a mid-tier producer. 5. Collaboration with a Saudi Arabian Smelter In November 2024, Platinum Group Metals announced a strategic collaboration in Saudi Arabia aimed at solving the processing challenge for its concentrate. The company signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Ajlan & Bros Mining Co. – a subsidiary of a large Riyadh-based conglomerate – and the Saudi Investment Authority (MISA) regarding the possible establishment of a PGM smelter and base metals refinery in Saudi Arabia. The goal of this collaboration is to process the PGM concentrate from the Waterberg project in Saudi Arabia – thereby creating a new regional processing hub in the Middle East and reducing dependence on South African infrastructure. Ajlan & Bros is part of a Saudi investment group with assets under management exceeding USD 15 billion, and in line with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, the group is focusing on developing the mining and metals processing sectors. Under the agreement, a 50-50 jointly financed feasibility study will be initiated, valued at approximately USD 4 million, to explore the technical and economic aspects of establishing a PGM smelter and base metals refinery in Saudi Arabia. This study will include an evaluation of how to transport the concentrate from Waterberg (for example, via which port) and whether other raw materials could be integrated to optimize plant utilization. The market research completed by the end of 2024 produced favorable results, indicating that additional PGM-bearing materials (such as spent catalytic converter scrap or petrochemical catalysts) may be available in the Persian Gulf region to supplement the plant’s capacity. If the study proves positive, the collaboration would provide an option to form a joint venture to build and operate the plant. The parties emphasized that this project is part of Saudi Arabia’s Global Supply Chain Resilience Initiative, aimed at increasing the country’s role in processing critical raw materials. The Saudi government (MISA) has also indicated potential strategic guidance and financial support, highlighting the project’s importance within the national economic diversification plan. The details and conditions of the collaboration are still being refined. The most critical factor is obtaining the export permit from South Africa, as the Waterberg concentrate can only be transported abroad with government approval. This remains an element of uncertainty – as noted by BMO Capital Markets analyst Raj Ray: “everything depends on whether the South African government will grant a long-term export permit,” otherwise the plan may collapse. PLG is simultaneously exploring domestic options to ensure that the concentrate can be marketed regardless. Nevertheless, the Saudi collaboration offers clear advantages: Saudi Arabia’s lower energy costs and modern infrastructure could make processing highly cost-effective, and the Kingdom is already prepared to make large-scale investments in the mining value chain as part of its Vision 2030. Furthermore, establishing a Middle Eastern smelter would diversify the PGM supply chain – reducing geopolitical risks associated with South Africa and Russia dominating the refining sector. For PLG, a Saudi solution means it could retain an ownership stake in the processing chain rather than merely selling its concentrate. If the joint smelter is built and PLG obtains roughly a 50% share, then instead of simply selling the concentrate, the company could also profit from processing and selling refined products (such as refined platinum, palladium, etc.). This would result in higher margins over the long term compared to selling raw concentrate. Of course, there is a cost: PLG would likely have to contribute to the capital requirements of the plant (although it is possible that the Saudi side may finance the project entirely under certain conditions). Overall, the collaboration is expected to have a significant long-term strategic impact: PLG could build a vertically integrated business model (mining + refining), gaining greater independence and control over its value chain. In addition, the relationship with Saudi Arabia would provide a geopolitical safety net – allowing the company to diversify its risks beyond South Africa. However, several challenges remain before implementation (permitting, detailed agreements, and potential environmental and logistical issues). Investors have reacted favorably to the news, as it offers a concrete solution to seasonal PGM export concerns. PLG’s management emphasized that this collaboration does not exclude the domestic option – they are also exploring using a local smelter, potentially processing part of the Waterberg concentrate domestically while exporting the remainder, thereby optimizing revenues. 6. Stock Price and Technical Analysis PLG’s share price has been volatile recently, reflecting both the uncertainties typical of a development-stage company and the fluctuations in the PGM market. During 2024, the stock reached a 52‑week high of USD 2.27 and a low of USD 0.98 – meaning that the price fell to nearly half its peak during the year. In early 2025, PLG’s shares are trading around USD 1.1–1.2, which is in the lower third of its range and about 17% above its one‑year low. Market sentiment has been influenced by positive news from the updated DFS for Waterberg (showing higher reserves and better returns) but is tempered by financing and permitting challenges. In the short term, technical indicators paint a cautious (slightly negative) picture. The stock consistently trades below its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages (with the 50‑day around USD 1.30 and the 200‑day around USD 1.52, while the current price is approximately USD 1.16), indicating a downward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 45 – not showing extreme overbought or oversold conditions but leaning toward a bearish sentiment. Trading volume is moderate: the average daily volume is in the several-hundred-thousands of shares, which is low relative to the over 100-million shares outstanding, making the stock sensitive to news. Over the past month, the stock closed higher on 43% of trading days and lower on 57%, with daily price swings of approximately 4–5%. This suggests that investor sentiment is cautious, with a measure of fear evident (the Fear & Greed index measured PLG at a “Fear” level of 39 points). Most technical analyses indicate a bearish short-term outlook: some algorithm-based forecasts suggest the stock could fall 5–10% below its current level over the next one to two months (with one technical model targeting approximately USD 1.13 by the end of March). This is largely because the stock has not managed to break above key resistance levels in recent weeks. A key support level is around USD 1.00 (which is also a psychological barrier), while resistance is seen around the USD 1.50 zone (close to the 200‑day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the 52‑week range). Overall, investor sentiment is mixed: on one hand, the large-scale Waterberg project attracts interest; on the other, risks (financing, EV market impact, etc.) are holding back optimism. Analyst opinions are divided – relatively few analysts cover the micro-cap PLG, and among those who do, there is significant dispersion. The 12‑month consensus price targets average around USD 2.45, more than double the current price, although targets range from as low as USD 1.13 to as high as USD 4.38. This indicates that while some experts consider the current price fair (around USD 1.13 in a conservative, risk‑focused scenario), others are much more optimistic, envisioning a value above USD 4 if the project is successfully realized. The consensus suggests moderate optimism (with “Buy” recommendations), but the small number of estimates means reliability is limited. It is also worth noting that in 2021, PLG’s shares briefly became part of a meme-stock hype (with Reddit communities paying attention to small mining companies), which caused extra volatility – though that has since subsided, and trading has become calmer. Technically, the key observation for the coming period will be whether the price can break above USD 1.20–1.30 (which would be a bullish signal and improve momentum) or fall below the USD 1.00 support (potentially triggering further selling pressure). Any specific news regarding Waterberg’s financing or progress on the Saudi collaboration could trigger significant price reactions. In summary, while short-term forecasts are cautious, the long‑term outlook largely depends on the successful execution of the project – a fact reflected in the stock’s behavior as essentially a “project option” (rising dramatically with positive news, but falling sharply if setbacks occur). Low liquidity means that technical signals should be treated with caution; however, current indicators (trend, moving averages, RSI) mostly signal a wait-and-see approach for traders. 7. Future Outlook and Potential Risks The future prospects of Platinum Group Metals are closely tied to the fate of the Waterberg project. In terms of growth opportunities, the company stands to benefit enormously if Waterberg is successfully developed into a significant PGM producer, providing decades of stable production and revenue. Should the project operate with a mine life of 54 years and production levels of 350,000–430,000 ounces per year, PLG could evolve into a mid‑sized mining company with annual revenues reaching several hundred million dollars (based on current metal prices). This would represent a dramatic step up from its current development stage. Strategically, the company has stated its aim to transition Waterberg into an advanced construction phase as soon as possible – with plans to finalize the financing package and secure concentrate off-take agreements during 2025. PLG also possesses diversification potential: through the Lion Battery Technologies joint venture, it is involved in research into utilizing platinum and palladium in next‑generation lithium batteries. Should these research initiatives succeed (with prototypes potentially emerging in 2024–2025), they could create a new demand for PGMs – for instance, in lithium-sulfur batteries that would see enhanced performance due to PGM catalysts. Although this initiative is risky and may only materialize in the longer term, it would provide PLG with technological optionality and align with industry efforts to find new applications for platinum and palladium beyond traditional catalytic converters. Another growth opportunity lies in the potential expansion of Waterberg’s geological resource base: 2023 drilling results have indicated mineralization beyond the current mine area (to the north), suggesting that the project could be expanded (“open for expansion” – as geological maps also show open extensions to the north). Any new discoveries or an extension of the existing resource would further improve the company’s long‑term prospects. Despite these opportunities, PLG faces significant risks. The most obvious is market risk: the evolution of demand for PGMs. As discussed in the market environment section, the rise of electric vehicles could structurally reduce the demand for palladium and rhodium, potentially leading to oversupply in the latter part of the 2020s. If Waterberg commences production around 2027–2028, it might face a much lower palladium price environment. The project’s economics have been modeled on long‑term consensus metal prices (which are moderate but not extreme), yet if palladium were to remain at the 2010s level (USD 500–600/oz), project returns could be severely impacted. Thus, price and demand risks are significant – although Waterberg’s product mix is diversified (with substantial platinum alongside palladium, some gold, and rhodium), less reliance on one metal could mitigate this risk, especially if long‑term platinum prospects (driven by hydrogen technology) improve. The second major risk is financing and execution risk. The nearly USD 1‑billion capital requirement is an enormous burden for a company with a market capitalization of roughly USD 120 million. Even with partner contributions, PLG will need to raise several hundred million dollars in equity or debt. There is no guarantee that the company will obtain financing on favorable terms – a high interest rate environment and risk aversion toward the mining sector may make banks cautious. It is possible that PLG will only be able to raise the necessary capital through significant shareholder dilution (issuing new shares or attracting a strategic investor in exchange for an equity stake). Such dilution would negatively impact existing shareholders by reducing the per‑share value. Moreover, the company’s historical losses and negative operating cash flow mean that there is always a “going concern” risk – if additional funds are not raised, PLG may be forced to delay or even halt the project. The third risk is regulatory and country risk. The mining regulatory environment in South Africa can be unpredictable – although Waterberg’s mining right has been granted, future government measures (such as new BEE requirements, special levies, or export restrictions) could adversely affect the project. The aforementioned export permit is also a critical issue: if the government does not grant permission to export the concentrate, the Saudi plan may collapse, and PLG might have to sell the ore at a lower price domestically (South African smelters typically apply a “smelter discount” of around 15%). While the Saudi option is intended to mitigate this risk, it also carries geopolitical exposure (regional stability and legal environment in the Middle East are factors as well). There are also operational risks: Waterberg will be PLG’s first mine, and the company has no prior operational experience at this scale. Mechanized mining for PGMs is less proven in South Africa compared to deep-level mining, so technical challenges, cost overruns, or delays could occur during execution. Although the 2024 DFS update increased confidence (with infill drilling reinforcing the resource), long-term mine plans always carry uncertainty. Due to PLG’s relatively small size, any unforeseen event (e.g., a drilling accident, environmental incident, or legal dispute) could have a disproportionate impact on the company. Additionally, the inherent volatility of the stock may complicate future capital raising; if the share price falls too low, the company might have to issue many more shares to raise the required funds, further diluting existing investors. In summary, Platinum Group Metals Inc. has promising but highly risky long‑term prospects. The Waterberg project has the potential to be a “company-maker” – if successfully executed, it could propel the company into the ranks of established PGM producers with a low‑cost, long‑life mine that generates stable revenues for decades, leading to significant shareholder value appreciation. Furthermore, the company’s involvement in innovations targeting new applications for PGMs (e.g., in battery technology) could provide an additional long‑term bonus. However, the list of potential risks is extensive: from declining market demand due to the EV revolution, uncertainties in securing financing, challenges in South African export policies and other regulations, to execution risks inherent in first‑time mine operations. PLG’s future will largely depend on how it manages these challenges and whether it can capitalize on the strategic collaborations with its Japanese and Saudi partners. At present, the company exhibits both significant upside potential and considerable risk, categorizing PLG as a “speculative but high-reward” investment. Sources Platinum Group Metals – official press releases and annual reports NS Energy Business, Mining Technology – Waterberg project data Reuters, Mining.com – Analysis on PGM markets and prices, EV impacts Mining.com – News on the Saudi collaboration Junior Mining Network, StockTitan – Corporate developments (MOU, financing) CoinCodex, Fintel – Technical analysis, consensus price targets Mining Weekly, DMRE release – Waterberg permitting
ALong
by meszaros
PLG 143% rise ahead.PLG 143% rise ahead. It has been a long time since I have done an analysis on Platinum Group Metals LTD. The reason was that investors were neglecting it, the price movement was slowly sliding downwards. However, the last few days have shown another opportunity. Indeed, the price movement is starting to return to a fractal path. We have reached the bottom of the accumulation range shown in the chart. But it is not only the bottom that is more important, but also the fact that the price movement has moved above the ATR axis (white dotted line). It is not yet clearly visible, but it would mean that prices could be rising faster than D1ATR. In case this theory is correct, we can expect a rise from the current level. In the medium term, the first target price for a rise is twice the accumulation range. In this case 8.66 usd.
ALong
by meszaros
13
My TOP10 picks list in (Silver & Gold) Mining companies 4/10PLG Platinum Group Metals is not really a Gold or Silver Mining Stock (even if it has 1.25 M ounces of Gold in its reserves), however it is part of the Platinum Palladium complex and is a very compelling investment at this stage. It has barely a 200 million MarketCap with an almost 20 MILLION ounces of PGM's !!! It projects a 45+ mine life with a future production of more than 400'000 million ounces per year !! Moreover it has a very low production cost of about 650$ per ounce !! There are so many things to say about this company. I suggest you go and have a look at their homepage and presentations. Technically price has broken out of the bullish descending wedge that has been forming during the last 4 years. The breakout occurred in March 2024. After having taken out the 200 MA it has bounced off of it and is rising fast towards the 2 dollar mark. There is a significant price by volume cluster at the 1.65 $ mark. This has been taken out successfully !! The last time price cleared the 2 dollar mark, it consequently shot up over six dollars in about 40 days !! Will it happen again ??
ALong
by Dangermousebanana
COILINGI noticed this stock getting mentioned in a few different places online, it's been on my radar anyway as one of the very few pure platinum mining stocks. This intense coiling pressure in the price is getting pushed in between trendlines, moving averages, and supply / demand zones... I'm assuming it will resolve to the upside in a big squeeze, but the opposite can happen as well of course. Platinum prices are breaking out, but palladium prices are breaking down. If you take a look at palladium prices on a recent daily candle chart, it also coiled into a trendline but then weakened significantly afterwards. Very similar movement to PLG, although like I said my bias on this name is long not short. I will wait for a breakout before positioning. Good luck
A
by sdeutsch95
1
PLG 500% rise ahead. PLG 500% rise ahead. PLG is a Canadian-based palladium and platinum mining company. The company owns one of the world's largest palladium deposits in South Africa. This palladium deposit is located in Waterberg County. It is located close to the surface and can therefore be mined at low cost. PLG's subsidiary PTM holds all the mining licences from the South African authorities. The mine was temporarily blocked by some environmental NGOs, but the objections have now been resolved. Construction of the mine could start soon. The Russian-Ukrainian war, which has caused the loss of nearly 30% of the world's palladium production, has become a pressing issue. Another factor that often causes concern is that starting a mine is expensive, so mining companies raise money by issuing shares at the start. As this means share dilution, initial share investors are hurt. They therefore avoid investing in the company. It was interesting to see that PLG has gone down a similar path, but a few months ago it was seen that it intends to raise external investors to cover the costs of building the mine, rather than share dilutions. The interest is significant. At a mining conference in Cape Town, South Africa, on 6 May 2022, the Japanese National Oil, Gas and Metals Corporation (JOGMEC) signed a sponsorship agreement with PLG's South African subsidiary (PTM), committing to advance the Waterberg Palladium mine project. www.meti.go.jp Let's move on to the technical picture. The chart in the analysis shows a double fractal sequence. The green squares show the rising fractal sequences and the yellow squares show the corrective fractal sequences. Fractals are wave sequences with the same shape and percentage size. This is what we see in this case. Since the shape and percentage size of the corrective fractals are the same, we can assume that the rising fractal sequences will also be the same in shape and percentage size. This now means that we expect a rising fractal with a size more than twice the size of the previous rising fractal. In other words, the current exchange rate is on the verge of a near 500% rise. The target price for this is : 13.14 usd.
ALong
by meszaros
2
Going platinum on PLG. PLGGoals 2.14, 2.31, 2.40. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
ALong
by Rykin_Capital
$PLG - ANOTHER ONE READY TO BLOWPLG is another name in a long list of stocks that look ready to run lately for geopolitical reasons. Platinum Group Metals Ltd. engages in the exploration and development of platinum and palladium properties. It explores for palladium, platinum, gold, copper, nickel, and rhodium deposits. The company holds 50.02% interest in the Waterberg project located on the Northern Limb of the Western Bushveld complex, South Africa. It also develops next-generation battery technology using platinum and palladium. Platinum Group Metals Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
ALong
by jaykenneyTRT
$PLG Platinum Group Metals Investment of a decadeHello investors and speculators! I think this is my first ever stock idea here, on tradingview. Looking at multiple years and decade ahead - we have very unique opportunity to participate in this investment/trade. This is surely not for trading rather investing. I believe Platinum/Palladium are going to play a big role in risk-off game this coming decade or so. Silver and Gold should do absolutely amazing too. Personally I started accumulating this stock recently and will add to my position every month :) MAIN TARGET: $277 per share. That's it, that's the chart :) This is not financial advice! Take care :)
ALong
by Patrikas10
1
PLG may start to rise.PLG may start to rise.PLG may start to rise. Briefly about the company. PLG is a Canadian mining company established primarily to extract palladium and platinum. You could say that we are talking about a company that is still in the start-up phase. In 2016, the company discovered one of the world's largest palladium deposits in Waterberg County, South Africa. They obtained a mining licence from the South African Mining Authority, which was legally challenged by local communities in the area. A resolution period of nearly 190 days then began, with the aim of getting the head of PLG's South African subsidiary to reach an agreement with the local population. During this time PLG lost a lot of nearly 72% of its previous peak. According to recent leaks, the company's management has managed to reach an agreement with the indigenous population. This can be seen in the movement of the share price. Therefore, it can be assumed that by the end of the year, the mine engineers will return to the Waterberg layer and the construction of the mine will begin. This area contains one of the world's largest discovered deposits of palladium, platinum and rhodium. Mine plans indicate that the mine will be primarily a robotic mine with automatic extraction, thanks to the palladium layer at shallow depths below the surface. As a result, a low-cost mining operation could be launched. Given the significant commodity price increases expected in the near future, we are likely to see further increases in palladium and platinum. The mine life is 40 years. Technical image. The analysis shows that the above news is slowly starting to feed into the PLG movement. As the trend has now turned in a positive direction for the company, I expect a further significant rise. The grey axes in the chart are the ATR axes. The D1ATR axis has been confirmed in recent days. Therefore a significant further rise is expected. Next target price : 4.91 usd.
ALong
by meszaros
4
PLG has reached the bottom.PLG has reached the bottom. The chart shows that the fall in PLG shares has stopped. The fundamental background is that the construction of the mine in Waterberg County, South Africa, has temporarily stopped. In a South African court, civil groups have challenged the mine construction permit issued three months ago. PLG CEO Robert Jones has resigned after failing to reach a negotiated settlement with residents. He has handed over control of his company to his CFO, who is rumoured to be making good progress in reaching a settlement with the NGO groups. It is therefore expected that the construction of the mine will accelerate again. The Waterberg mine is building the world's largest palladium and platinum deposit. The future value of the project is significant. But there are still significant risks. If we go back to the technical picture, we can see that the success of the negotiations behind the scenes is starting to be priced in. I expect a reversal from the current level of 2.43 usd. The build up of another fractal which technically could be twice the size of the original fractal.
ALong
by meszaros
2
PLG to $14 in Nov to gain over 4x? Accumulation Cylinder Hello. I have been watching PLG for sometime now and it seems we have reached a possibly strong inflection point. We have a double back test from previous resistance. One long term finding support from previous bottom resistance Another short term indicating another possible reversal. RSI is showing momentum is about to break the current downward trend Current correction is testing the lower edge of the channel. Estimating that around November 12 we will see PLG at around $14 for a +4x gain. Using Gann Fan and Jesse Livermore Accumulation Cylinder from previous bump and run This chart is full of good historic data showing strong potential for quick gains
ALong
by KondrackiKarl