SLV trade ideas
Buy $SLV because money printer go BRRRI read a stat somewhere that the US is printing the equivalent of 20 WW2s per day.
I know the financial system is a completely different landscape with the introduction of the FIAT-based currency compared to the gold standard, but inflation will not go unnoticed in the next months and even years. I've been long SLV since $12 and I am still long. I believe SLV has the potential to reach an ATH
Silver looks good assuming the trendline holds Despite the recent sell-off in the commodities space due to yields , particularly metals, silver still presents a nice setup. It's safe to assume that the rise in yields caused a shock in the markets due to the pace of its rise, rather then magnitude.
Inflation expectations are rising along side yields, leading me to believe that real rates are still in negative territory. I do expect yields to pullback here because the bond market is oversold at multidecade levels. A pullback in yields, along side a stimulus package and wobbly dollar can be a a nice stage for this market to build some steam. Sentiment is bad which means some weaker hands have been washed out and additional capital can renter the trade to chase the momentum higher. Keep in mind however, a break of the lower trendline would lead to a deeper correction and longer consolidation.
My bi-directional trade on SLVI like SLV, I think it is a good inflation hedge that has a history of having sudden bullish movements.
But it's not at historical lows either and everything is possible. So, here is my trade:
1) Long SLV
2) Puts Strike 20 Jul 18
Such put protection is usually expensive. But looking at options prices, EVERYONE thinks SLV will only go up. This means that out of the money puts are pretty cheap.
My potential trade outcomes:
1) Silver goes way up and I make a ton of money on long SLV and because puts are cheap, loss on them will be insignificant
2) SLV crashes to lows for whatever reason. I make 15x on my puts that will more than offset any losses on my long and I'd be happy to go long again at those levels.
3) Nothing happens - in this case, I just lose my put money, but because they are cheap...see #1.
Sounds like a deal to me!
I marked this one "Long" because I make money either way (or at least not lose much).
OPENING (IRA): SLV JAN 15/MARCH 16/26 LONG CALL DIAGONAL... for an 8.74/contract debit.
Notes: In lieu of selling short puts, taking advantage of SLV skew here with a long call diagonal, buying the back month 91 delta and selling the front month 43. Paying 8.74 for a 10-wide with a max profit metric of 1.16/contract (13.3% ROC) with ample opportunity to reduce cost basis further and therefore increase max profit potential. The additional benefit is that this is more buying power efficient than, for example, selling a 20 delta short put here and with greater profit potential.
$slv - getting ready for next legcancel out the noise from wsb and fintwit. technicals were not ready for the forced breakout monday, so chart looks wonky.
25-26 levels are tough, but once we get past them, we will see bigger moves.
triple buttom, cup and handle. call it what you want. it's bullish~