SLV trade ideas
Bullish Divergence Sets Up a Buying Opportunity for Silver!Silver (often traded through SLV/PSLV ETF's) has had a busy week! After getting pumped to 10-month highs on Monday, we saw sellers attack price relentlessly for 2 days. Today, however, was different. Back at old-resistance/(new support?) from 2020 at $24.50-$25 on SLV, we are seeing a basing pattern with hidden bullish divergence on the cumulative volume percentage indicator (lower lows on indicator, higher low on price). This suggests sellers have been more aggressive than buyers, yet price has not dropped further as a result, suggesting there are opportunistic buyers accumulating at these levels. This offers a unique trade opportunity to the long side. If SLV can hold its low of the week (or at least not close a weekly candle below it), it provides reasonable reward-to-risk for a 50-62% retracement towards the highs, and possibly a gap fill. Note how CCMI (or your momentum indicator of choice) is rotating back upwards, approaching the zero-line on the 78min chart (no using hourly charts for indicators on equities or ETF's! Every candle MUST have the same amount of info for indicator readings to be valid!). I expect we see some bullish momentum into the end of the week. Buying a breakout over Wednesday's high or even after a dip under the low that is supported by the daily 50 sma (not pictured, currently at 23.52) makes a LOT of sense.
SLV - Starting to Add hereWe all knew that silver would get smacked down, at least in the paper markets and so it did. I had been tempted to buy some of the 2021 10 ounce Queen's Beasts coins last week but was expecting still weaker prices. I did nothing during the run up, neither selling or buying more.
We might be hitting a good buy point here. I often look for the test of the three week low. While that price is below 23, we have an a well-defined upward channel being established. Bought some March 20 calls this morning and may do more tomorrow. I don't mind buying here, even if I think we will probably have another smack down or two to shake out the physical metal holders. Something tells me that's not going to happen now. If you've been buying the real thing, congratulations. While my price target for this year is SLV >35, the new administration's disdain for fossil fuel my cause oil prices to climb. I'm guessing $100 or more a barrel. Since precious metals mining is fossil fuel intensive, either prices will have to rise substantially to justify the extra expense, miners will go bankrupt and China will buy everything, or production stops and physicals totally disappear from the market.
With new eyes opening up on the precious metals price realities, us long-suffering stackers might finally realize our expectations.
SLV: Update The price remains tame and flat. illogically so:
The last four days SLV volume has been off scale high. Yet the SLV is tame and submissive. ( just like Jimmy likes it )
There is no physical silver to be sourced in the retail market. Premiums for fiscal are very high, One once rounds are fetching $42. Yet, how is the SLV back under control?
The COMEX shorts position are in the thousands of millions of ounces! so the price of silver moves not.
Black Rock owns the SLV. JPM is the custodian for SLV physical silver. Virtue financial does the High frequency trading on SLV, and there is a short list of baks that actually play Silver commodities market: the COMEX (Crime-ex)
The regulators, the CFTC, see and hear, Nothing! captured, bound and gagged!
The underground is still swirling with grit and thunder . . .
"'The pressure point' Silver still is . Monetary metal, silver again will be! " Yoda.
This gives pause, but: anything can happen, especially these next few weeks. The Cov idiotsy is braking down. The scammedemic is long in the tooth; More and more people are rebelling in their hearts.
Added to the graph: Orange elipse, Blue parabola
SLV setting up for potential moveIf you have followed me for a while you would know that I am long silver and like it long term.. The challenge in holding precious metals is the constant manipulation and choppy price action. The price will get spiked to draw in smaller players and then heavily shorted back down by the big guys. Its especially a massive scalp play operated by the giant players..ie the banks. It it possible that the WSB gang could actually break this trap by bring attention to the manipulation. Price action would say they have a chance. Its forming a nice rounded bottom and working is way above 25. A break of 27 could yield a move to 30/34/ 40 and maybe higher if the idea gets momentum on social media. Should be interesting to see how it plays out.
LONG SLV Silver to ALL TIME HIGHS...and then price discovery Let this one play out all throughout 2021. Let's squeeze the bankers that have been screwing with the silver market for decades. Remember this is a weekly chart so give it some time. This one will rip to all time highs and then some while in price discovery. Hold the line boys. Target 1 is at the 1 fib retracement, Target 2 and 3 are at the 1.272 and 1.414 fib extensions respectively. These are conservative targets so once it busts through ATH you are free to judge your own targets. Feel free to de-risk and take partial profits after target 1.
Entry - $26.82
Stop Loss - $20.37
Target 1 - $48.39
Target 2 - $57.89
Target 3 - $63.67
R/R Ratio - 3.21
SLV the most short squeezed thing in the market.Silver has been shorted by everyone and currently, they don't have any actual physical shares of silver. Yet they have all these naked paper contracts that will never be backed up. The actual physical silver asset doesn't exist. The big banks will need to buy back their shorts if we push the price higher than 40. That being said this can be done if we all collectively tackle the big banks. With our winnings from GME and more support, we can get the silver value to where it belongs @100 dollars minimum.
A quick look there is strong resistance at 30 dollars mark but understand that silver has actually broken out of the 25 resistance with the current push and momentum silver will have a great month at the very least.
SLV: A super cautious buy?While I have yet to see any REAL evidence that Reddit is pushing silver up, the fact of the matter is that SOMEONE is. Looking at the trends (and obviously, I am a smooth-brained idiot, so this is not stock advice) I would say that it probably makes only a small measure of sense to enter a position right now, but you will need to be ready to take profit and close your position. We are not at the 52 week high (27.39), but we are within ~10 percent. It isn't quite to late to enter this stock, but I would not invest anything you couldn't afford to lose in this. Since this isn't really market action at work, anything happening right now is guess work, and fundamentals has nothing to do with your choices.
Might go to the moon. Might be a pump and dump by people who suddenly feel the need to cover their short positions. I am long on SLV, but I recognize it is a dice roll, and am only into a very small position.
Silver to $40!! #SLVAfter a ATL in March and a ATH in August. #SLV has retraced back down the 38.2 level. Historically based a fib ratio and extension is likely back up to the 161.8 level pushing #SLV up to the $40 dollar level. Also with a confirmation of a double bottom and a cup and handle formation is pushing this trend bullish.
SLV - January 31, 2021SLV is the most recent target over the weekend of a WSB high short float name to pump. It has been battered over the past years and just recently got a revival push to 27 in late August. SLV may benefit from a broader selloff in equities as investors may flee towards commodity hedges, the USD, or longer term bonds. This play will be valid only if underlying macroeconomics signal to capital flowing out of equities. A hold of this trendline sets SLV up nicely for an entry in the 24-25 range with a short term target of the ATH at 27.44.