Silver Attempts a Pre-Fed BreakoutSilver has been dead money since the summer as the U.S. dollar ripped higher. But now it’s attempting a breakout – despite next week’s looming Federal Reserve meeting.
Notice how the iShares Silver Trust made a higher low on January 6 versus its nadir the previous month.
Next, consider the level above which it made the higher low: $19.80. That price marked a false breakdown on September 29, which turned into a double bottom on December 15. It’s also near the bottom of the longer-term range since the white metal’s face-melting rally in mid-2020 .
Third, Monday’s bounce has established SLV above December’s peak of $21.59. So we already had a higher low , and now we have a higher high .
The move also represents a breakout above the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
The shorter-term exponential moving averages (EMAs) have lined up bullishly as well, with the 8-day EMA rising above the 21-day EMA last week.
Finally, Bollinger Band has squeezed down to the narrower end of its long-term range. In isolation, this means little. This lack of trend could make it easier for prices to start moving if the technical events cited above play out.
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SLV trade ideas
Silver back to critical level - 21When we analyse the monthly chart for Silver, we realised that it has been in a bearish trend for a decade and recently it broke out in June 2020. Now, we are seeing silver back to the critical price level at 21 dollars.
From the chart, we can see that in 2014 and 2016, Silver tried to break out of this price level but failed for several more years before it breaks out in Jul 2020.
Day chart yesterday also display a bearish candle , meaning more selling for the weeks to come so sit out and wait patiently.
Three month test of the lowNormally I would say this is a strong buy signal. In the financial world we live in these day, traditional methods and signals haven't worked well. But this is a pretty good long term signal. The month isn't over yet but we did test and hold the lows. Got to be liking it here as there doesn't seem to be any better opportunity (for the moment ;-) )
Very long. Bought 2024 20 LEAPS yesterday before the Fed announcement. Been adding physicals as well this week. Keep stackin as long as you continue to have excess fiat. Paper money is doomed.
SLV looking for entrysilver is still bearish, I see a mini rsi bull divergence could indicate a short term trade but I'm greedy and want the larger move might start a starter position. double bottom would be the signal as the macd closes.
the RSI over the longer term suggests weakness and lower prices but I'm watching for a red vol spike that is not able to break that support followed by higher low.
sto signaling buy
rsi signaling buy
MFI is taking a vacation I guess.
Orders InBuying Jan 24 20 calls. All in.
The algos won't let me publish unless I detail my idea
Dahh, Inflation getting out of control, Stocks cling to all time highs, but precious metals have no value? After 5,000 years, the money of choice over the millenia has no value? WTF? Pure and simple manipulation that one day will have to end.
SILVER - Should we go long ?Hi All,
Looking into weekly SLV chart, SLV bounced back multiple times from the support around $20.
This support line played role since 2008.
With uncertainty growing towords the market, i expect GLD and SLV will go higher as soon as Mr. Powell starts rates hikes and lowering tapering program.
The question, will we see a huge leg down like the one in 2020 ? or should we go LEAPS from here ?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Thanks,
Sam.
SLV has upward momentumBased on multiple methodologies all signs point to the upper 24 region for SLV, we have Fibonacci targets as well as a chart pattern in the form of in inverse head and shoulders. This is a short term target, further assessment will be needed at that level but a rise in inflation will probably bode well for precious metals.
🚀 Last Shall Be FirstYou may have been in crypto enough to recall the times when Litecoin was called " the Silver of crypto ". Well, it may be time to brush up on that comparison.
While the real value of physical Silver is undeniable, the market has long overlooked this precious metal. Considered well inferior to Gold, investors and traders have not paid much attention to it for roughly seven years. All of a sudden, in 2020, the price jumped over 150% from bottom to high.
In the crypto world, you can see a similar pattern looking at Litecoin priced in BTC terms. The coin has never recovered from the 2018 bear market and remained firmly stuck into a steep downtrend. Finally, the market seems to have lighted up the spotlight on Litecoin, revamping the price action.
As a note, while hundreds of cryptocurrencies are out there that could fall under the category of shitcoin , Litecoin is one of the oldest native blockchains, which has run efficiently and with no hack or problem since its inception. On top of that, the coin is widely available on almost every crypto platform or exchange, so it has one of the broadest user-base exposure among all cryptocurrencies.
Is this a call to rush into buying Litecoin? Not necessarily. The main takes here are two. First, buying something that looks historically "cheap" may provide the best opportunities from a long-term perspective. Especially if what you are buying has proven over time to be solid and trustworthy. Second, you can also see Litecoin as a proxy of the risk appetite of the market.
When every coin already skyrocketed in price, in some cases, without being backed by much more than a viral meme, it makes sense to allocate more capital to coins with higher upside potentials. On the other hand, dinosaurs-coins usually get traction in the latest stages of a bull market, which can strengthen the case for planning an exit strategy or taking some profit gradually.
SLV - Breakout Quickly SoldAs seemingly happens every time silver pops, it is quickly sold. As Banks have unlimited funds to sell short, one can expect prices to remain suppressed until the effects of Basel III take effect. My guess is that the new regulations will be delayed and the game will continue on.
$SLV - iH&S with continuationSLV has consolidated for a while in this bull flag. It seems the inflation data this week is helping it (and Gold) push higher. It did not work as an inflation trade last year but it looks like the next 12 months will be interesting. Even more interesting will be when it breaks through the resistance and climbs higher. In the 70's silver out paced Gold significantly during the higher inflation times. I am watching and adding this and gold to clients portfolio for the next 12+ months.
This is for information purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
SLV Reverse Head and Shoulders BuildingGetting ready for a year end blast off, esepcially as Basel III regulations take effect by year end. This Reverse H&S pattern shows the possibility of 4 points higher. While I have been thinking that the big inflation play make take five years to play out and thus have been buying physicals more than paper, Basel III may stop some of the paper manipulations that have been going on for far too long.
In the end, I'll keep working and adding on to my physical and paper positions until silver hits $50. It might not be too far in the future when looking at the spread between the physicals and paper. Silver Eagles are at a $10 premium over spot. There is demand going on but it's not reflected in SLV and XAU contracts.
SLV BUYSilver is starting to increase with gold. We are currently at the LPs of accumilation which means we get one small volume candle to the downside( Daily or weekly) and then it will jump. Keep in mind that inflation is rampant, alot6 of fears are being pushed. The idea here should be to focus directly o n what you see not what you believe. The sell off will come. its just a matter a time, but do not miss exits or profits sitting on the sell off. Very cautious for Jan of next year.
Lets see how this plays out
SLV: Reaccumulation (Completing Phase C) /w Fundamental TailwindSLV is completing what I estimate to be Phase C of the re-accumulation cycle.
Fundamentally, I think of two impacts on the horizon.
We have more Fiscal "QE" - Biden's tax plan of injection another trillion or two into the economy. This would put pressure on the dollar and cause gold to rally along with its higher beta cousin (Silver).
Alternatively, there is a potential for short term rise in silver from those trying to escape the negative effects of longer duration. They would likely move up the curve in Fixed Income (but there is still some possibility of being run over by the Fed from raising rates, or adjusting their dot plots up) or alternatively avoid the front end of FI by moving their assets into currency hedged products like commodities and precious metals.
I think silver moves up and either breaks out of the channel soon, or continues to be trend bound. I think I will be playing this via short put and long stock combo.