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SPY trade ideas

Spy Road To $615 Its hereIts Here! If You having been following me, we are about to hit our target this week before 1/24/25 , a lot of my followers are going to make a lot of money this week following my Spy & Stock predictions! When we hit our price target this week, I will Update Accordingly to cautiously evaluate our market conditions Bear / Bull / Blow Off Top. But in the meantime you must have exposure to stocks that can with stand a Bull or Bear Market Moving Forward Content Out Now, on what to do! As Always Safe Trades JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
39
SpyUpside target this week is 602.50 - 603.00 Spy Over 599 and 603 comes .I think there will be push back around 602.. pullback targets at 602 is 599 and below that 595. Max downside is 590 (20sma) below 590 and this was a dead cat . 10year gapped below 20sma Friday. Looks like it wants a pullback to support and 50sma.. I'll be watching 10yr at 50sma . If it bounces then market will flush and this channel will play out Looking at Dow Jones and NYA Both closed right at 50sma and top of Bollingerbands. If they gap up tomorrow price will be outside Bbands and will punish late bulls .. look for a retest of 50sma which should coincide a spy pullback at 602 Qqq Over 524 and 527 is next up .. over 527 and 531comes For the record, I'm still not in the "new ATH camp"... The logic is this FEDs aren't cutting but a cool CPI will give some fuel for a bounce but what happens to the bounce when Jan 29th comes and Powell comes in Hawkish? So that means the market has 9 days to make whatever upside move it will make but without pressure from yields the market will move on earnings and president Trump's decisions
AMEX:SPY
by ContraryTrader
12
Spy - Path to 666Hello Traders, At 2008 bottom the market hit 666 on the SPX. So now I am thinking 6666 on the SPX and 666 on SPY is like a magnet. Well I used the Fractal from end of last year and using fibs to make sure the levels were a match and guess what..It ends close to 666 in April this year. I have other things pointing me to April as a "top". So anyways lets see how this plays out.. According to the fractal we will go up till Wednesday (MAG Earnings and Fed Decision) then have a small drop before continuing higher. Is 666 the final top? Well one one hand it would make sense as we are getting long in the tooth and for some reason they love that number. On the other hand I have cycles that are pointing to one more cycle later this year into summer. But I would say if we do head up to that number I would be cautious around there and put more into cash incase we get a decent pullback so you can buy things when they get cheaper. I was one of the few calling for more up when everyone was seeing a Head and Shoulder and saying we topped in December. I knew we had a least one more bull cycle if not two. Here we are at ATH again .. lets see how this plays out.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TheUniverse618
4
$SPY hold of $580-588 region sets up long to $614-630AMEX:SPY looks like it's formed a low for the short term when it failed the H&S pattern. From here, I think it's likely that we fall back into the $580-588 to scare everyone into thinking there's more downside, but if that region holds, it'll set up a trigger long all the way up to the $614-$630 region. I think the move higher should play out by mid-February (again if that $580-588 region holds). If it fails, then we're looking back down at the lower support level $545. If we do end up going higher, I think that $630 region will be the short term top and it'll set up a move down to $545 before we move higher.
AMEX:SPYLong
by benjihyam
7
$SPY Today & Tomorrow's Trading RangesWe are above the 50 day moving average the one hour to under moving average and 35 EMA on the 30 minute timeframe and then we have that up gap from last Friday all on the downside of the trading range. At 603 at the top of the implied move today we do have a resistance level, and it was a support in December before we broke down and then it turned into a resistance. We have an island gap underneath the 30 minute tun removing average above the four hour to removing average and just remember they always do fill. It doesn’t have to be this week but it definitely could be so if you’re bar that might be a good place to look to take profits if we do go down. I will dive much more deeply into these levels on tonight's video, but for now we at least have them. Things to Watch this Week: Earnings Reports: Major companies like Netflix (NFLX), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), United Airlines (UAL), General Electric (GE), Alaska Air (ALK), American Airlines (AAL), CSX Corporation (CSX), Verizon (VZ), HCA Healthcare (HCA), and American Express (AXP) are set to release their earnings. These reports can significantly influence market sentiment and stock prices. Manufacturing PMI: The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing will provide insight into the health of the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction. This data can influence expectations about economic growth and interest rates. Services PMI: Similarly, the Services PMI will give an overview of the service sector's performance. Given the service sector's substantial contribution to the economy, this data is critical for understanding overall economic trends. Home Sales: Data on existing home sales can shed light on consumer confidence and spending in the housing market, which is a major component of economic activity. Changes in home sales can signal shifts in economic health. Jobless Claims: Weekly initial jobless claims numbers are a pulse check on the labor market. Rising claims might indicate economic slowdown, while falling claims suggest job growth and economic strength. Market Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has been noted to be fluctuating, which might continue this week. Monitoring the VIX can help assess market fear or complacency. Interest Rate Sensitivity: With the Federal Reserve’s actions on interest rates being a focal point, any indication of future policy direction from Fed officials' speeches or economic data releases could sway markets. Look for comments from Fed members or economic reports that might hint at rate adjustments. Sector Performance: Particularly, keep an eye on sectors like Technology (with companies like Nvidia potentially leading AI trends), Health Care, and Consumer Discretionary, which have shown movements or are expected to with upcoming earnings. Global Economic Indicators: International developments, especially from major economies like China or the Eurozone, can impact U.S. markets due to globalization. Look for news on global manufacturing, services, or policy changes that could affect investor sentiment. Geopolitical Events: Although not directly mentioned in recent market summaries, geopolitical tensions or developments, like trade negotiations or conflicts, can influence markets. Keep an ear out for any significant international news that might ripple through financial markets.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
3
Where's The Top?Good evening traders, If you're anything like me, you've probably been asking yourself for a few days now when SPY will top out? So here is my technical analysis with a breakdown of my thoughts and predictions for the next few upcoming weeks. First and foremost, Trump took office on Jan 20th. The "Trump Pump" is alive and well, obviously. I'm starting to think the market was being retrained from a breakout under the Biden Administration, though we saw over a 25% return YTD. Side note: This year is projected to do 3% on the S&P 500. With that said, it is the S&P 500. The 500 largest companies in the United States. As Tech and AI take flight into 2025, it can only be assumed that large companies that make up the S&P 500 would be adopting these new resources in order to help them turn profits. What does this mean for retail traders? To put it simply, the trend is your friend, until it's not. These index funds, such as SPY have consumed bears for almost a consecutive 10 days, following a parallel channel towards a high target/trend line around the area of 623-626. Until this channel of mayhem is broken, SPY is bullish. This is no man's land and we could change direction at any given moment. The lines of resistance are as follows: .. .. .. .. Thanks for reading,
AMEX:SPYLong
by Tsteves
5
Technical Analysis and GEX Insights for Jan 22Technical Analysis * Trend Overview: SPY is showing a recovery from recent lows, pushing towards key resistance levels at $605-$606. * Support Levels: * Immediate support near $599-$600. * Major support at $575, aligning with prior lows. * Resistance Levels: * Immediate resistance at $604-$606 (Gamma Wall and Call resistance). * A break above $606 may lead to $610 as the next target. * Momentum Indicators: * MACD: Momentum has flattened but remains in bullish territory. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions suggest caution for buyers as a pullback could occur. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis * Highest Positive NETGEX: $606, acting as a significant resistance zone. * Call Walls: * $606: Strong 2nd Call Wall resistance (65.98% GEX concentration). * $603: Another layer of resistance but less significant. * Put Walls: * $596 and $595: Immediate levels of put support, which could act as downside protection. * HVL: $600 as the High Volume Level, supporting bullish activity above this level. Actionable Trade Setups Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $605, with confirmation of volume breakout. * Target: $610 and potentially $615. * Stop-Loss: Below $600 to manage downside risks. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Below $599, especially if $596 is breached with momentum. * Target: $590 and $585. * Stop-Loss: Above $604 to minimize losses. Outlook SPY's upward movement is promising, but overbought conditions and strong resistance near $606 warrant caution. Bulls need a clean breakout above $606, while bears could capitalize on any weakness below $599. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
3
SPY Analysis: Testing All-Time Highs with Weakening Momentum Testing / Surpassed ATH MACD 4 HR Crossing down at red arrow. RSI 4 HR Crossing down from overbought 1 HR MFI dropping 1 HR RSI dropping down. MACD No signal. 30 Minute MACD looks to be losing momentum downward possible reversal back towards the upside 30 Minute RSI at 50 no potential for upside or downside this is nuetral. 30 minute MFI is still high but not overbought could be a downward from. 15 Minute MACD Crossing up could signal a move upward 15 Minute RSI was close to oversold and is now pushing up. 15 Minute MFI was close to oversold now pushing back up 5 Minute 50/100 EMA: 50 EMA crossing into 100 EMA could be signaling a short but price has bounced on it a few times now. Despite the short-term signs of a bounce (15-minute and 5-minute signals), the broader timeframes point to weakening momentum and a lack of sustained buying pressure. The 4-hour MACD and RSI both turning downward from overbought conditions align with a potential reversal. As SPY fails to gain further traction above the ATH, it could start to roll over, targeting lower levels. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $590 aligns with a key support zone, making it a logical target for a pullback. Additionally, any increase in volatility (VIX) or further weakness in momentum indicators would likely accelerate the move toward this level. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: The ATH and current price zone (~607–610). Support: The $600 psychological level and $590 Fibonacci retracement. I’ll be monitoring the price action closely for confirmation of this bearish thesis. If SPY loses the short-term EMAs and momentum fails to recover, a move to $590 becomes increasingly likely. Let me know your thoughts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wtfguysgetout
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-23-25 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets will attempt to hold near recent support while attempting to determine trend. I view it as move of an indecisive day - looking to see if the markets can break to new all-time highs or if the markets have reached the top I've been discussing. In my opinion, today will be a pause/consolidation day in the SPY/QQQ - leading to the big CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are under quite a bit of pressure this morning. The metals pattern is a BOTTOM pattern. So, I expect this selling in metals to be reflective of issues that will drive the SPY/QQQ downward tomorrow (the CRUSH pattern) and likely result in a moderate downward trend in the SPY/QQQ over the next 2 weeks. Metals will recover and try to move higher as metals continues to hedge against global risks. BTCUSD is moving downward - trying to break below the Flag Support level of the EPP pattern. I believe tomorrow will be a pivotal day for the markets and today will be a fairly consolidated day overall. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
SPY Approaches Key Resistance! Will the Bulls Prevail?Technical Analysis for Trading: 1. Current Market Structure: * SPY is forming a potential descending wedge pattern, which can indicate bullish breakout opportunities if it breaches the upper resistance trendline. * Immediate support is at $590, with resistance near $600, where selling pressure might intensify. 2. Indicators: * MACD: Trending positively but showing signs of weakening momentum as the histogram flattens. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought territory (~70-80), indicating a possible short-term pullback or consolidation. 3. Key Levels: * Resistance: $600 (psychological level), $605 (previous swing high). * Support: $590 (HVL from gamma exposure), $586 (next PUT wall). 4. Scenarios: * Bullish: A break above $600 could drive SPY toward $605-$610. * Bearish: Failure to hold $590 may see SPY retesting $586-$580. GEX Analysis for Option Trading: 1. Gamma Exposure Highlights: * Positive Gamma Resistance: * $600: Highest positive NETGEX, indicating strong call-wall resistance. * Put Walls: * $586: Secondary PUT support. * $584: Key PUT wall, significant downside risk if breached. 2. Option Strategy: * Bullish Setup: Buy $600 Call expiring 1/26, targeting a breakout above $600 with limited risk. * Bearish Setup: Buy $585 Put expiring 1/26 if SPY breaks $590, aiming for a move to $586. 3. IV Insights: * Current IV Rank: 16 (low), making long options relatively affordable. Summary: * SPY faces a pivotal moment at $600. A breakout could see higher targets, while failure could test lower supports. Options strategies should align with directional bias based on intraday price action. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
3
SPY: Week of Jan 13th Lots of thoughts but generally undecided. In summary: I expect a bit of a bounce up to the 582 range. I expect a ton of volatility given the economic catalysts which will make it incredibly challenging for day traders attempting to trade it. I would caution starting a short position if you are not already short and wait to see how it treats the bearish triangle it has broken down from. Expect upside to the reference target at least at 582 ish. Expect a whole lot of whipsaw! Safe trades everyone! And those wanting the implied range from options indicator:
AMEX:SPY
by Steversteves
33
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 607.93 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 596.16 Recommended Stop Loss - 614.42 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 1-21-25 : Cycle Top FormationThis video highlights my cycle research and why I believe the US markets are very close to a market top right now. My research suggests the US markets would rally into the Inauguration and reach a peak near Jan 20-22. I believe the markets are very close to a market top right now, and there is limited opportunity to the upside currently. I believe there is a bigger opportunity for a pullback in the SPY target 578 to 585 (roughly), where I believe the SPY will find support. Gold & Silver should continue to price in additional risks and rally over the next 3+ weeks. I believe Gold will target $2880, then stall a bit before rallying up above $3000. Silver should target $33.50 to $34.25 at the same time. Bitcoin continues to be range-bound. At this time, I believe the most logical outcome for BTCUSD is a breakdown attempt until the US settles on deregulation policies. Let's see how this plays out over the next few days/weeks. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 597.55 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 588.41 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY will continue to go up tomorrow and for the rest of the weekI use the Heikin Ashi candlestick as they show more of a directional move within the candlesticks. Today the market went up, although you cannot see that on the Heikin Ashi Candlesticks (just on the regular candlesticks.) Typically, I would not enter until I see 2 green candlesticks on the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. But you can see on the 1-3 hour charts that all the indicators are suggesting an upward move. The 4 hour candlesticks are just about to change to a bullish move. In the past, the SPY has made a 34 point upward move. This would put the target of 609. The 1.618 fib move would be 614.38. This is my second target. Typically, the SPY has had a 9-12 day move in the past once the Heiki Ashi candlesticks turn green. That would make the time target of Jan 27 to 30th. I think the move will be until Jan 30th as the market should decline from Jan 31st until Feb 6th. (just before the release for the employment situation in the USA.) This is my time target. There could be an extreme move of 53 points to put the target to 628, but that is an extreme move not an average move. In my past charts, I mentioned I thought the market may decline in February as the market has moved upwards for 3 months and down for one month. I no longer think that will happen due to the market declining from the middle of December to Jan 10th. If you switch to a weekly chart to look at the indicators, you can see there was a decline during that time. Currently, the weekly indicators are just starting to suggest a bullish move. I use the DMI, Stoch RSI and the MacD as my indicators as well the Heinkin Ashi candlesticks to help with the directional moves. There is currently a week long Wealth365 Summit with many traders speaking. I have no affiliation with this company. I am just attending the summit to learn more. Check it out here to register... www.wealth365.com Happy Trading Everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
14
Why Blind Index Investing Could Be Costing You Thousands?!Index-based investing has been one of the most popular ways to grow a long-term portfolio for decades. Today, it has become even more accessible and favored, offering a safer foundation for investing and generally carrying lower risk compared to portfolios composed of individual stocks. For someone like me, a technical analyst, index investing isn't exactly an adrenaline rush. Under societal pressure, I decided to test a few hacks and dive deeper into it ;) I set out to compare three of the most popular U.S. index ETFs – SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and IWM (Russell 2000) – and analyze how to implement a brief technical analysis into index selection could influence long-term results. Starting in 2005, I "invested" $1,000 every quarter, completing a total of 81 test purchases. Each time, I selected the index that technical analysis suggested was in the strongest position. If done strictly and consistently, there were often situations where all three indices had just reached their all-time highs. In those moments, I had to make a choice. Technical analysis is not just about drawing lines on a chart – experience, market intuition, and behavioral patterns of the price play a big role here. My Test and Strategy The goal was to compare the following three U.S. index ETFs: - SPY (S&P 500) - QQQ (Nasdaq 100) - IWM (Russell 2000) Test conditions: - Start date: 2005 - Investment period: 81 quarters - Mandatory quarterly investment: $1,000 - Index selection: Based on technical analysis and market intuition. Distribution of trades during the test period: - SPY: 35 times - QQQ: 31 times - IWM: 15 times The chart illustrates SPY, QQQ, and Russell with blue arrows marking purchase points. Results of the Experiment Performance of my strategy: - +344% return - Invested: $81,000 - Final value: $360,000 Comparison indices (each quarter regular purchases): - SPY: +233% (final value: $272,000) - QQQ: +579% (final value: $552,000) - IWM: +128% (final value: $186,000) My strategy outperformed SPY and IWM because I focused on selecting the ETFs in the strongest technical condition at the time. While QQQ delivered higher absolute returns, my diversified approach offered competitive returns with lower risk and more stable outcomes. Key Takeaways 1. Diversity and Stability: Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization The goal wasn't just maximum returns but also reducing risk and adopting a smarter approach. While QQQ had the highest returns, remember that it is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, making it riskier. Back in 2005, it wouldn't have been easy to predict that QQQ would outperform. A technical analysis strategy allows for risk diversification by choosing the strongest index at any given time, delivering significant returns while maintaining diversity and stability. 2. Thoughtful Regularity Outperforms Blind Regularity Strict quarterly investing avoids the biggest mistake investors fear – timing the market. Regularity is crucial, but it needs to be thoughtful. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. My strategy allowed selecting the strongest index at each point, yielding significantly better returns. 3. Wrong Index Choice Can Be Costly Had I chosen only IWM throughout the period, my return would have been just +128%. This clearly shows the importance of not sticking to one index but instead evaluating regularly to find the one with the greatest potential at any given time. How to Choose the Best Index: Follow my Newsletter to Guide You One of many of the topics of this newsletter (You will find it here, in the profile section, visiting my "website") will be sharing my monthly and quarterly top lists of indices, making regular purchases easier for you. The test proved that sticking to one index isn’t the best way forward – but which one should you choose? That’s where the monthly top list comes in. I firmly believe this strategy and approach have significant potential to help investors make smarter and more confident decisions. That’s why I’m starting a newsletter, where one of the many topics will be sharing this list regularly: - The technically strongest indices for investing. - Explanations of why a particular index is technically more attractive than others. Conclusion My research proves that technical analysis and understanding of charts can be powerful tools for long-term index investing. Regularity, fact-based decisions, and risk diversification help achieve optimal results. Your portfolio deserves better decisions. Don’t waste time analyzing indices yourself. All the best, Vaido
AMEX:SPY
by VaidoVeek