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SPY trade ideas

SpyGoing over Spy Dow jones NYA I'll keep this mostly cylicals and broader market.. I've written up a qqq post where I cover most tech indexes.. Let's start with NYSE or TVC:NYA This covers 3000 stocks.. you ever read about weak breadth in the market? Well when ever this is Lagging behind nasdaq and the market is being dragged along by 6 tech stocks then that's what it means. Ok so last week when the Spy dumped from 595 to 575 in 2 days, a big part of that was NYA ran into a brick wall here at 20,000 as you can see. Add to that price had formed a rising wedge from the melt up from April lows.. So price rejected at 20,000 on NYA but bounced at its 200sma similar to Spy at 575 which let's you know how connected the 2 are So now we go into this week here literally 1% away from that same resistance.. Nothing moves NYA and IWM more than the monthly jobs, this is because Job numbers reflect economic strength and a weaker economy will impact Cylicals and small caps the most .. I don't think we break above that trendline resistance, too much uncertainty around Tariffs, Also here's the weekly RSI on NYA dating back 2yrs At resistance and divergent... I think we break below the 200sma this week Either with Wed ADP or Friday nonfarm payrolls.. Usually to get below the 200sma it takes a GAP down so that's why I think the action takes place pre market on some data. TVC:DJI Dow jones I'm conflicted a little here. Price is stuck below trendline resistance and 200ma But price is also showing a possible bullish H&S inside a Pennant. Dow jones would only be bullish above 43,000.. As you can see there is not anymore room fawk around.. price will break in either direction come next week.. I'm leaning to the bearish side here but things only get seriously bearish back below 40,000 because that would put it back inside that April box 2 of the sectors that really moves the dow is Financials and Health Look at this XLF weekly chart Price is distributing at a 15yr resistance Zoomed in Looks like a 2022 repeat about to happen as early as this fall The position XLF is in makes me doubt Financials will lend a boosting hand here . XLV - health care on the other hand looks really bullish short term Daily channel shows a 7% upside to channel top Daily rsi showing bullish Divergence So health could offset some of the dow losses but not enough if tech and Financials rollover. Lastly my number one reason I'm bearish on the dow is DJT or dow jones transportation Weekly candle stuck below 15,000, trendline resistance , 20 and 200ma. Seasonality June and July is bullish for DJT because of the traveling but if they can't break above this area in the middle of its best seasonality then nothing is safe Lastly Spy ALWAYS KNOW WHERE YOUR MOVING AVERAGES ARE BEFORE YOU TAKE A TRADE! Me personally I only use 20,50,200.. EMA and SMA. I say this because the area of spy 572-577 has a powering of moving averages on both weekly and daily time frames If spy breaks below 570 then we are headed straight for this box. 547-550 Below that and it's death for the bulls.. if it bounces there then we'll see what happens Weekly RSI same as NYA .. at resistance So here's a 4 hr chart.. As you can see, rising wedge.. But pay attention to the yellow trendline resistance. That range is 590-584.. A open below 582 and it's a short to 575.. A open above 593 and it's one last long to 600 before the big short 585-592 is choppy and I wouldn't trade it Like I said earlier, you normally never see price intra day slide below the daily 200sma .. so if they are going to break below 575 this week ( I believe) then they will do it pre market. I don't think this week will be all doom and gloom. Why? Because of NQ 4hr moneyflow.. it's gotten too oversold so they are likely to have a tech pop this week probably Tues or wed which I think will be your opportunity to position short
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-30 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern should result in a continued downward price trend in my analysis is accurate. I have seen CRUSH pattern trend upward sometimes. So, please understand I'm reading the chart and pattern as a rolling top type of pattern leading to a CRUSH (downward) price trend today. I highlight the potential for a FAILED CRUSH (downward) price bar - whereas a reversion back to the upside is a potential. But, I estimate that potential at only 20-25% at this time. My analysis suggests the breakdown in price will likely continue, and we'll likely see the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin continue to try to trend downward. Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly solid Gap-Stall-Revert-Flush pattern that may see Gold attempt to rally back above $3400 today. Silver is currently trading very close to a STDDEV Reversion level, so Silver may not see a big move today (like Gold). I'm hopeful we start to see a big breakaway move in Gold/Silver today and carry into next week. My TTScanner algos generated new BUY triggers for GDX, GDXJ, and NUGT yesterday. That's a very good sign we are getting into a BUY/BULLISH mode in metals again. I got up late today. Somehow, my alarms got turned off. Happy Friday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible. Hope you GOT SOME. BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge. Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight. Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you. Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world. I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge. BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset. We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting. Buckle Up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning. From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft. No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved. Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow. BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time. Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today. Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks.. So, GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending. As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now. Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out. The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ. Hedging trades is a good idea right now. Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move. I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend. BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase. In my opinion, look out below. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Understanding How Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions AccumulateThe SPY is the most widely traded ETF in the world. Its price or value movement reflects the S&P 500 index value. It doesn't reflect the buying or selling of the SPY. You must use volume indicators and accumulation/distribution indicators that indicate whether the Buy Side Institutions are in accumulation mode, rotation to lower inventory to buy a different ETF or other instrument, OR distribution due to mutual fund and pension fund redemption demands. ETFs are one of the fastest growing industries in the US and around the world. There are more than 4000 Exchange Traded Derivatives. There are ETDs for just about anything you might wish to invest in long term or trade short term. If you trade the SPY, it is important to study the S&P 500 index, its top 10 components, how their values are changing, and resistance and support levels. SPY will mirror the S&P 500 closely but not precisely. ETFs are built with a variety of types of investments and always have a TRUST FUND, in which the components of that ETF inventory are held. The ETF Inventory is updated and adjusted monthly or sooner as needed to maintain the integrity of the ETF price value to the value of the S&P 500 index. Rules and regulations require that the ETF SPY be closely aligned to the S&P 500. So inventory adjustments are going on regularly. When trading the SPY, you must remember that it is not buyers and sellers of the ETF that change its price. Rather, it is the S&P 500 top components' price fluctuations that change the SPY price value. This is a tough concept to accept and understand. When you do understand it and apply that knowledge to your trading of the SPY, you will be far more profitable. This takes time. You also need to develop Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills so that when a pattern appears, you can recognize it instantly and act accordingly in your trading. Today we cover the resistance levels above the current price value. That resistance is likely to slow down the rapid gains in price value over the past few weeks. The ideal would be a sideways trend to allow corporations time to adjust to the new normal of whatever tarrifs are impacting their imports and exports. Then, the S&P500 move out of that sideways trend would result in a stronger Moderately Uptrending Market Condition. Trade Wisely, Martha Stokes CMT
AMEX:SPYEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
21
Introduction to HFT Involvement in financial marketsIntroduction to HFT Involvement in financial markets Market Making algorithms continuously post buy (bid) and sell (ask) limit orders, aiming to earn the bid- ask spread while providing liquidity. HFT market makers function much like traditional market makers but at much higher speed and scale. They simultaneously quote both sides of the market and profit from the small price differential (spread) between bids and asks . Exchanges often incentivize market makers via liquidity rebates (fractions of a penny per share) for adding liquidity, which HFT firms capitalize on through very large trading volumes. Over the past two decades, human specialists have largely been supplanted by automated HFT market makers, which now dominate liquidity provision. Limit orders are prioritized over market orders, which in some capacity is fair; however special order types made for HFT that are just slightly more advanced limit orders are prioritized over regular limit orders but are not accessible by retail investors is very unfair. If you search up the IEX exchange website and look at their order types you can see that they are targeting HFT system creators and retail isn't able to use those products themselves. Statistical Arbitrage (Stat Arb) strategies use quantitative models to exploit pricing inefficiencies among related instruments. In traditional stat arb, a trading system might track a portfolio of securities and identify when price relationships deviate from statistical norms, betting on convergence. In an HFT context, stat arb often means very short-term, high-speed versions of these tactics, sometimes called “data-driven” or “quantitative” HFT strategies. These strategies are market-neutral and typically involve trading a long-short portfolio of correlated assets based on mean reversion expectations. For example, an HFT stat-arb algorithm might monitor price spreads between an ETF and its underlying basket of stocks, or between index futures and the index’s component equities, and rapidly trade to exploit divergences before they close. One common HFT arbitrage is index arbitrage – comparing the real-time value of an index future (say the S&P 500 E-mini) with the aggregated price of the index’s constituent stocks. If the future is temporarily overpriced relative to the underlying, the algo will sell the future and buy the basket (or vice versa), capturing a virtually risk-free profit as prices realign. This is a relatively difficult strategy but is also the strategy I primarily focus on building since as someone who lacks resources, it is the one thing I can make, test, and deploy from my computer. Latency Arbitrage strategies exploit tiny timing differences in information arrival between trading venues or market participants. If one market moves slightly before another, an HFT latency-arb algorithm can capitalize by racing to trade on the slower venue with knowledge of the price change that is about to occur. In essence, this is a race condition: the fastest trader to react to new information can “pick off” resting orders on venues that have not yet updated their prices. Latency arbitrage is often considered a predatory strategy – it’s been described as effectively front-running public information by virtue of speed. Virtually every time you place a trade through a broker, one of these systems will profit off you buy being payed a maker taker fee for bringing you to an exchange; this isn't fair since in many cases you'll be brought to the BATS exchange which pays the taker and charges the maker (every other exchange does the opposite) and you'll still be stuck paying a commission that someone else profits from. Event-Driven HFT strategies focus on trading around news or specific trigger events. These algorithms rapidly analyze real-time news feeds, economic data releases, earnings reports, or even social media, and execute trades before human traders can react. In the modern market, machine-readable news feeds and NLP (Natural Language Processing) models are integrated directly into some HFT systems. For example, an event-driven algo might parse a company’s earnings press release the instant it appears and decide to buy or sell the stock based on whether results beat or miss expectations – all within milliseconds. HFT firms subscribe to low-latency news services and sometimes even co-locate servers near newswire sources to get a time advantage in receiving the information. This is self explanatory, just whatever system can react to news the fastest wins. Some of the more controversial HFT strategies involve detecting liquidity and exploiting it, or conversely avoiding adverse selection from toxic order flow. Liquidity detection algorithms (sometimes called “pinging” strategies) attempt to sniff out hidden orders and large trading interest in the market. HFT firms may send out a flurry of tiny orders – often immediate-or-cancel (IOC) orders for 100 shares or 1 lot – across different price levels or venues to probe for supply or demand. If these pinging orders get hits (even partial fills), it indicates the presence of a large buyer or seller hidden in the order book or a dark pool. The HFT’s algorithm can then escalate its activity: for example, if a ping reveals a big buyer in a dark pool, the HFT might buy up shares on other venues and then sell into the buyer’s demand at a higher price. I'd compare this to playing call of duty and throwing a stun grenade into a room before entering, if someone gets stunned and you get +25 points, you know to move in immediately, and if you don't stun someone, you may proceed with caution. Momentum Ignition refers to a strategy where a trader deliberately attempts to ignite a rapid price movement – up or down – and capitalize on the frenzy that follows. An HFT or algorithmic trader employing momentum ignition will initiate a series of aggressive orders (market orders or large trades) in a short span, hoping to spark other algorithms or investors to also start buying or selling, thereby driving the price further in that direction. Once momentum takes hold, the instigator can profit by flipping their position (for example, buying shares to start an up-move, then selling into the rally they created). This is what happens every time you see newsa drop and the price of the stock goes in the opposite direction for a split second Spoofing and Layering are abusive tactics where a trader places non-genuine orders to mislead other market participants about supply or demand, with the intent to cancel those orders before execution. They are illegal in most jurisdictions (for example, spoofing was explicitly outlawed in the US via the 2010 Dodd- Frank Act). These tactics deserve discussion both to understand how rogue algorithms might attempt them and how modern systems detect and prevent them. Currently an order can be cancelled in 0.5 seconds after it has been placed legally. In essence all of these are ways of fooling retail and institutional investors to profit off their lack of knowledge; I think its important to be informed hence I am pointing this out and publicizing it. There are 100's of pages on the federal registry that will tell you how HFT algorithms are screwing you (the retail investor) over and with all that being said I believe that investing should be left to computers as they have taken over the market. It isn't fair but it's how the world works now. You are just liquidity swimming in pools for larger fish to feed off.
AMEX:SPY
by oscar_malik
5
SPY in Wave 5This week I am expecting a final rally to 608 to finish wave 5. SPY broke above 595.50 resistance today, but with RSI at incredibly high levels on the 1HR chart I am anticipating a minor pullback tomorrow and the final push up to occur Thursday and Friday. Jobless claims are released Thursday and unemployment rate released on Friday. These are the two major data points coming out this week that will likely drive the market upward to finish this final wave up. For the remainder of the month, I am looking for major selling to begin and will likely lead us down to the 530 gap fill. Cheers
AMEX:SPY
by FiboTrader1
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong. Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern. Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase. This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point. Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels. BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data. Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Thesis on the SPY ETF being rigged (live demonstration 5/5/25)Worlds Saddest Story I have an algorithm running to find order block's in the form of resistance in the market at any given time. Here I will show the power of computers and how they both effectively and unknowingly create a repeatable system than unfortunately rigs the market to act in predictable ways. This theory will be tested at open today and lucky souls who find this thesis before open will have a rare opportunity to witness these events unfold. The events I am referring to are the SPY ETF opening at or around 597.75~ and immediately creating the high point of the day and promptly descending to create a market drop that exceeds 1% by EOD. While it is rather unfortunate and unfair that the stock market, a once globally competitive market for people to fund ventures, has now turned into a profit making machine for math specialists who have an knack for understanding price movements that inevitably widens the wealth gap for the rich that can afford to invest in computer driven algorithms, while the working man must try to create their own system that CAN NEVER consistently beat the machine. TL/DR: Bet on the SPY ETF making a high off open and plummeting over 1%
AMEX:SPYShort
by oscar_malik
2
$SPY bearish, to break April lows?Most people are thinking that we'll see a correction that goes back to the $560 area and then from there, we'll go to new highs. They also don't think it's likely that we'll retest the lows from April and think it's nearly impossible that we'll break the lows. However, my base case is that we will break the lows. Yes, in the past, most dips like the one in April were good buying opportunities, but the chart looks different here. You can see that ever since April, all we've done is consolidate up into a rising wedge. We look set to break down from that in the coming days. If we do break down and are unable to reclaim the highs, then I think my base case will become the highest probability outcome. I think it's likely that the move down will take us to the $424- 402 levels. Let's see what happens.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings). I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe. BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now. In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated. I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
SPY Trapped in Gamma – Big Move Loading or Just Dealer Chop? 📊 SPY GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Breakdown) SPY closed at $589.39, and we’re now seeing tight compression between call resistance at 592–595 and heavy put walls down at 586 and 580. Gamma is stacked on both sides — a dealer tug-of-war. Unless we break cleanly above or below this zone, expect whipsaw chop. GEX Breakdown: 🟩 Call wall at 595, with strong dealer hedging from 592 up to 600. 🟥 Massive negative GEX starting at 586 → 580 → 575, all with dense put walls (–79.88% at PUT Support). 🔻 IVR is 18 and falling – nobody’s paying up for protection yet, but things could move fast once they do. 💡 Options Playbook (Based on GEX): Neutral-to-Bearish: Fade pops near 592–595, use 595c/600c credit spread or play 585p/575p vertical if 586 breaks. Bullish Flip: If we break and hold over 595, gamma flips positive fast → play Jul 19 600c or 595/605 spread. This is a gamma box — price likely stuck 586–595 unless volume shifts dealer hedging or macro breaks out. 🕵️‍♂️ 1H Price Structure (Swing & Intraday Planning) SPY 1H still showing weak structure. Multiple CHoCHs and BOSs bouncing around the same zone. Price got rejected from the purple supply at 592, and is now hovering around 589–590, still trapped under a descending trendline. What stands out: 📉 Structure = lower highs + broken BOS → short-term bearish. 📦 Supply pressure between 590.5–593.9, demand sits down at 573–576. 💣 Bearish readings across BBP, MACD, Stoch — and market breadth thinning. 📈 Swing Bias: Short under 590–592 → target 586 first, then 580 if momentum kicks in. Bullish case only resumes on clean break above 595. 📊 Intraday Plan: Fade pop to 590.5–592 for scalp short (look for lower highs). Bounce off 586 is playable for scalp long — but keep stops tight. Until SPY breaks out of this gamma trap, you want to scalp or spread trade with discipline. No need to swing for home runs here. 🧠 Final Thoughts SPY is pinned between high call resistance and aggressive put support. The GEX box says: "Be patient or get chopped." We need either macro news or volume spike to break the hedging stalemate. IV is low, so positioning ahead of a breakout (via spreads or small directional bets) could pay off — just manage size tightly. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational commentary only. Always manage your own risk, and never trade based on someone else’s analysis alone.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-6 : Inside-Breakaway Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt a Counter-trend type of Inside Breakaway pattern. I read this as a downward price trend (counter to the current upward price trend). The markets seem to have bounced overnight - prompting a potentially strong opening price level. If my Inside-Breakaway shows up today, things could get very interesting if a breakdown in price sets up. Many of you know I've been expecting a broader market breakdown to take place - sending the SPY/QQQ down about 7% to 13% or more. It hasn't happened yet and the SPY/QQQ continue to try to push a bit higher - but, until we break to new highs, the breakdown event is still possible. Let's see how things play out today. Platinum is showing that the global markets are entering an extreme speculative phase (very similar to 2000-2008). Transports are stalling, showing the US economy is expected to weaken over the next 3+ months. Imagine that. Speculation is ramping up while the US market may move into a recession in H2:2025. Wow. We certainly live in interesting times. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 5-28 : Calm Before The StormThis update is designed to help you understand why the SPY/QQQ/BCTUSD, as well as GOLD/SILVER and others, should stay rather FLAT today. Unless there is some major news event (or other event) before the NVDA earnings data, I suspect the markets will stay very muted/flat through the close of trading today. I hope you are all enjoying my 'Plan Your Trade' videos. Now that I've gotten through most of the family doctor/medical issues, it's back to work for me. I'm working on a BTCUSD Cycle Pattern system as well as more advanced algos/trade triggers for subscribers. Let me know how I'm doing. Is there something you want to see in these videos? Let me know. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
600 before 580?, Jolts, Jobs Data, calling China🎮 What’s Happening Now: 1. The market trades like a simulation. Levels get hit to the penny and reverse. Fake breakouts, engineered sweeps, and chop-fests designed to trigger stops and crush premium. It’s like trading inside a casino that reads your mind and moves the exit every five minutes. 2. AI + HFT firms front-run sentiment and order flow. They scan Reddit, Discord, X, TradingView, and even order book imbalances in real time. The second you find an edge, they’re already there—front-running or fading it. 3. Implied volatility and option decay weaponized. They bait you in with movement, then nuke premiums before you can cash out. If you're not closing green trades fast, they flip red—"correct trades, wrong time frame" syndrome. ⚖️ What Retail Is Up Against: Smart order routers sniffing your orders. Liquidity gaps intentionally created then filled. Volume surges that mean nothing—just decoys. AI-driven volume clusters that draw you in and dump you out. 💡 What some traders are doing to adapt: Selling premium with iron condors, calendars, butterflies—less directional, more probability-based. Trading futures or futures options, where fills are better and data is cleaner. Sniping high-R:R setups, holding nothing overnight unless it's ironclad. Using AI to fight AI—some build their own bots to scan volume shifts, OI skews, or gamma pins.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mispell
1
Spy Road To $600 🔥 SPY Price Thesis – Breakout or Breakdown Setup SPY is setting up for a potential breakout above the $595 extension level, with upside to $602–$608. However, $582 remains a key support. A break below $582 could trigger a momentum flush to $567. Level 🔵 $595.60 – Fib Extension (161.8%) from the March → April swing High-probability breakout trigger 🟢 $602.40 – $608.20 – Fib 200% and exhaustion zone from the same swing Final extension if bullish momentum sustains 🟡 $582.00 – Institutional VWAP reaccumulation zone Strong demand/support 🔴 $567.40 – Prior weekly pivot low + anchored VWAP bounce level Breakdown target if $582 fails Trend Signal: Bullish bias confirmed — Higher Highs + EMA Cloud still pointing up Momentum: MACD Histogram turning back up, crossover brewing Volume: Above average on green days; no true distribution yet Supertrend Zone: Still green on 4H and 1D Custom Signal Confluence Score: > 75% (Strong Buy Zone aligning above $588) 🔁 Fibonacci Analysis Measured from April swing low (~$505) to May high (~$573): 🔹 161.8% = $595.60 🔹 200% = $602.40 🔹 261.8% = $608.20 (max extension target) 📉 On Breakdown: From $573 high to $558 retracement low: 0.618 retrace = $582.00 ← Current support zone Full retrace & bear trap zone = $567.40 Smart Money Strategy: Above $595: Long breakout entries (Calls, zero DTE) Below $582: Hedge with Puts or inverse ETF Key Catalyst Triggers: Jobs data, CPI, or Fed commentary could force the move As Always Safe Trades and JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades