SPY 1HR Pullback to Volume Buy Zone Before Bullish ContinuationI’m watching the 588.52–589.94 range as a high-probability buy zone on the SPY 1-hour chart. This zone aligns with a strong volume shelf, indicating prior institutional accumulation and heavy transaction flow.
After a sharp move into the 591s, we’re seeing some hesitation and potential for a healthy pullback. The plan is to wait for price action to return to the buy zone, show signs of strength (e.g., hammer candle, strong bounce), and look for a continuation toward the previous high of 593.46 and possibly higher.
🔹 Buy Zone: 588.52–589.94
🔹 Volume Profile Support: High node at ~589
🔹 Resistance: 591.12 short-term, then 593.46
🔹 Stop Loss: Below 586.76 to avoid false breakouts
🔹 Target: 593.50+ with higher timeframe continuation in mind
SPY trade ideas
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Inflection at Fib Resistance | Dual-Scenario🗓️ June 2, 2025 | 📈 1H Chart | ⚠️ Risk-Off Signal Building?
🔹 Current Price: $592.98
🔺 Key Resistance: $595.54–$597.36 (1.0–1.236 Fib Extension)
🔻 Gap Support: $565.51
🎯 Bullish Target: $604.05–$604.90 (1.382–1.618 Extension)
🔎 Technical Structure:
Trendline Rejection Zone: SPY is pressing into a multi-tap descending resistance. Any failure to break convincingly could invite strong selling.
Fibonacci Overlap: $595–597 aligns with major Fib extensions—potential exhaustion zone.
Gap Unfilled: The $565.51 gap remains untested and could magnet price in the event of a rejection.
Volatility Funnel Forming: Narrowing structure implies imminent directional move.
🌐 Macro Landscape:
Fed Watch: The June 12 FOMC is the next volatility trigger. Fed Funds Futures are pricing in only a ~10% probability of a cut. Hawkish hold expected.
Earnings Season Winds Down: Lack of new fundamental catalysts could increase technical relevance.
Liquidity: Reverse repo balances are falling, suggesting reduced short-term liquidity—typically bearish for risk assets.
Inflation Watch: Sticky Core PCE remains above 2.75% YoY—Fed unlikely to ease aggressively.
📉 Risk Management:
Short Bias Setup:
Entry: $595–597 rejection
Stop: $598.5–599 (Above 1.236 Fib)
Target: $577 (mid-Fib) → $565.51 (gap close)
R:R ~3:1
Bullish Breakout Plan:
Entry: Confirmed breakout + hold above $598
Stop: $593.50
Target: $604–605
R:R ~2.5:1
Volatility Hedge: Consider using VIX calls or SPX put spreads to hedge directional risk around key Fed dates.
🎲 Probabilities:
Scenario Chance Commentary
Pullback to $565 Gap 65% Strong resistance + weakening breadth + macro headwinds
Breakout to $604 35% Requires bullish macro surprise or liquidity-driven melt-up
🔔 Action Plan:
Fade rallies into resistance unless a high-volume breakout confirms. Use stop discipline and hedge exposure into macro events. Stay nimble.
💬 Thoughts? Are we due for a flush or prepping for a face-ripper?
SPY: Bullish Outlook Based on Market StructureETF Strategy: Still Buying for 2025 Growth
I'm continuing to buy SPY and adding other strong ETFs like VEA, QQQ, and TQQQ. The market structure looks solid after the recent bounce, and I’m positioning for continued growth through the rest of 2025. My goal is to close the year with a strong percentage gain.
2007 Top /2025 day 38td t-minus 2.5 days Major TOP The chart in focus is the 2007 chart we are now day 38 in the pattern and in 2007 we took 40td to make a new high And I have posted my models .I see the next rally to reach anywhere from 6035/on the low end to 6177 on the high end focus 6147 where Ax 1.618 = wave C or 3 Best of trades WAVETIMER
SPY dowsing roadmap for this weekI've been posting the weekly readings my dowsing has given for SPY's potential price movement the past couple months and it's really interesting.
I go week by week, but am starting to include each day of the week looking forward. I left on the chart the prior notations from those ideas I've posted & you can reference what I had versus what actually occurred.
This week is quite negative. I've had the number around $562-62 coming up for a while, & beyond that, around the $542-48 area as I recall. I don't really get any positive gain over last week's close.
We'll see what happens.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus
Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts .
🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 6:
8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May):
Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions .
3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April):
The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY New All Time Highs IncomingThe #SPY weekly chart is so bullish but don't take my word for it.
Simply look at the weekly bullish crossover that occurred between the 7 week & the 20 Week MA.
The last time this occurred was in Nov 2023 and the markets ripped 19% before having a major 3 week pullback and then another soaring continuation higher.
$SPY demand zone: Chinese+Canada+Mexican tariffsDaily SPY demand zone is $581-$586, lots of buys within that range. We´d need a major and negative catalyst to break lower than that, especially with the daily 200ma @$577.
Worsening China tariff and regressive trade news next week to push SPY to it´s $577 200 MA or at least some positive news from the Canadian and Mexican pause ending June 9th to at least continue to hold us at the higher end of the range ?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 5-28 : Calm Before The StormThis update is designed to help you understand why the SPY/QQQ/BCTUSD, as well as GOLD/SILVER and others, should stay rather FLAT today.
Unless there is some major news event (or other event) before the NVDA earnings data, I suspect the markets will stay very muted/flat through the close of trading today.
I hope you are all enjoying my 'Plan Your Trade' videos. Now that I've gotten through most of the family doctor/medical issues, it's back to work for me.
I'm working on a BTCUSD Cycle Pattern system as well as more advanced algos/trade triggers for subscribers.
Let me know how I'm doing. Is there something you want to see in these videos? Let me know.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Warren Buffett's Approach to Long-Term Wealth BuildingUnderstanding Value Investing: Warren Buffett's Educational Approach to Long-Term Wealth Building
Learn the educational principles behind value investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, based on historical market data and Warren Buffett's documented investment philosophy.
---
Introduction: The Million-Dollar Question Every Investor Asks
Warren Buffett—the Oracle of Omaha—has consistently advocated that index fund investing provides a simple, educational approach to long-term wealth building for most investors.
His famous 2007 bet against hedge funds proved this principle in dramatic fashion: Buffett wagered $1 million that a basic S&P 500 index fund would outperform a collection of hedge funds over 10 years. He crushed them. The S&P 500 returned 7.1% annually while the hedge funds averaged just 2.2%.
Today, we'll explore the educational principles behind this approach—examining historical data, mathematical concepts, and implementation strategies for learning purposes.
---
Part 1: Understanding Value Investing for Modern Markets
Value investing isn't about finding the next GameStop or Tesla. It's about buying quality assets at attractive prices and holding them for compound growth .
For beginners, this translates to:
Broad Market Exposure: Own a cross-section of businesses through low-cost index funds
Long-term Perspective: Think decades, not months
Disciplined Approach: Systematic investing regardless of market noise
"Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre." - Warren Buffett
Real-World Application:
Instead of trying to pick between NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NASDAQ:GOOGL , you simply buy AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and own pieces of all 500 companies automatically.
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Part 2: Dollar-Cost Averaging - Your Secret Weapon Against Market Timing
The Problem: Everyone tries to time the market. Studies show that even professional investors get this wrong 70% of the time.
The Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) eliminates timing risk entirely.
How DCA Works:
Decide on your total investment amount (e.g., $24,000)
Split it into equal parts (e.g., 12 months = $2,000/month)
Invest the same amount on the same day each month
Ignore market fluctuations completely
DCA in Action - Real Example:
Let's say you started DCA into AMEX:SPY in January 2022 (right before the bear market):
January 2022: AMEX:SPY at $450 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.22 shares)
June 2022: AMEX:SPY at $380 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.63 shares)
December 2022: AMEX:SPY at $385 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.60 shares)
Result: Your average cost per share was $405, significantly better than the $450 you would have paid with a lump sum in January.
---
Part 3: The Mathematics of Wealth Creation
Here's where value investing gets exciting. Let's run the actual numbers using historical S&P 500 returns:
Historical Performance:
- Average Annual Return: 10.3% (1957-2023)
- Inflation-Adjusted: ~6-7% real returns
- Conservative Estimate: 8% for planning purposes
Scenario 1: The $24K Start
Initial Investment: $24,000 | Annual Addition: $2,400 | Return: 8%
Calculation Summary:
- Initial Investment: $24,000
- Annual Contribution: $2,400 ($200/month)
- Expected Return: 8%
- Time Period: 20 years
Results:
- Year 10 Balance: $86,581
- Year 20 Balance: $221,692
- Total Contributed: $72,000
- Investment Gains: $149,692
Scenario 2: The Aggressive Investor
Initial Investment: $60,000 | Annual Addition: $6,000 | Return: 10%
Historical example after 20 years: $747,300
- Total Contributed: $180,000
- Calculated Investment Gains: $567,300
Educational Insight on Compound Returns:
This historical example illustrates how 2% higher returns (10% vs 8%) could dramatically impact long-term outcomes. This is why even small differences in return rates can create life-changing wealth over decades. The mathematics of compound growth are both simple and incredibly powerful.
---
Part 4: Investing vs. Savings - The Shocking Truth
Let's compare the same contributions invested in stocks vs. a high-yield savings account:
20-Year Comparison:
- Stock Investment (8% return): $221,692
- High-Yield Savings (5% return): $143,037
- Difference: $78,655 (55% more wealth!)
"Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't, pays it." - Often attributed to Einstein
Key Insight: That extra 3% annual return created an additional $78,655 over 20 years. Over 30-40 years, this difference becomes truly life-changing.
📍 Global Savings Reality - The Investment Advantage Worldwide:
The power of index fund investing becomes even more dramatic when we examine savings rates around the world. Here's how the same $24K initial + $2,400 annual investment compares globally:
🇯🇵 Japan (0.5% savings):
- Stock Investment: $221,692
- Savings Account: $76,868
- Advantage: $144,824 (188% more wealth)
🇪🇺 Western Europe Average (3% savings):
- Stock Investment: $221,692
- Savings Account: $107,834
- Advantage: $113,858 (106% more wealth)
🇬🇷 Greece/Southern Europe (2% savings):
- Stock Investment: $221,692
- Savings Account: $93,975
- Advantage: $127,717 (136% more wealth)
🇰🇷 South Korea (2.5% savings):
- Stock Investment: $221,692
- Savings Account: $100,634
- Advantage: $121,058 (120% more wealth)
💡 The Global Lesson:
The lower your country's savings rates, the MORE dramatic the advantage of global index fund investing becomes. For investors in countries with minimal savings returns, staying in cash is essentially guaranteed wealth destruction when compared to broad market investing.
This is exactly why Warren Buffett's advice transcends borders - mathematical principles of compound growth work the same whether you're in New York, London, or Athens.
Note: Savings rates shown are approximate regional averages and may vary by institution and current market conditions. Always check current rates in your specific market for precise calculations.
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Part 5: Building Your Value Investing Portfolio
Core Holdings (80% of portfolio):
AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Large-cap US stocks)
AMEX:VTI - Total Stock Market ETF (Broader US exposure)
LSE:VUAA - S&P 500 UCITS Accumulating (Tax-efficient for international investors)
Satellite Holdings (20% of portfolio):
NASDAQ:QQQ - Technology-focused (Higher growth potential)
AMEX:VYM - Dividend-focused (Income generation)
NYSE:BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway (Value investing & diversification)
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Part 6: Implementation Strategy - Your Action Plan
Month 1: Foundation
Open a brokerage account (research low-cost brokers available in your region)
Set up automatic transfers from your bank
Buy your first AMEX:SPY shares
💡 Broker Selection Considerations:
Traditional Brokers: Interactive Brokers, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab
Digital Platforms: Revolut, Trading 212, eToro (check availability in your country)
Key Factors: Low fees, ETF access, automatic investing features, regulatory protection
Research: Compare costs and features for your specific location/needs
Month 2-12: Execution
Invest the same amount on the same day each month
Ignore market news and volatility
Track your progress in a simple spreadsheet
Year 2+: Optimization
Increase contributions with salary increases
Consider additional core holdings like LSE:VUAA for tax efficiency
Consider tax-loss harvesting opportunities
Visualizing Your DCA Strategy
Understanding DCA concepts is easier when you can visualize the results. TradingView offers various tools to help you understand investment strategies, including DCA tracking indicators like the DCA Investment Tracker Pro which help visualize long-term investment concepts.
🎯 Key Visualization Features:
These types of tools typically help visualize:
Historical Analysis: How your strategy would have performed using real market data
Growth Projections: Educational scenarios showing potential long-term outcomes
Performance Comparison: Comparing actual vs theoretical DCA performance
Volatility Understanding: How different stocks behave with DCA over time
📊 Real-World Examples from Live Users:
Stable Index Investing Success:
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) Example: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking.
Value Investing Approach:
NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway): Warren Buffett's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality value companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility = standard CAGR calculations used.
High-Volatility Stock Management:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Shows smart volatility detection in action. NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger automatic switch to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates.
Tech Stock Long-Term Analysis:
NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms): Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Standard CAGR calculations demonstrate stable long-term growth.
⚡ Educational Application:
When using visualization tools on TradingView:
Select Your Asset: Choose the stock/ETF you want to analyze (like AMEX:SPY )
Input Parameters: Enter your investment amounts and time periods
Study Historical Data: See how your strategy would have performed in real markets
Understand Projections: Learn from educational growth scenarios
🎓 Educational Benefits:
This tool helps you understand:
- How compound growth actually works in real markets
- The difference between volatile and stable investment returns
- Why consistent DCA often outperforms timing strategies
- How your current performance compares to historical market patterns
- The visual power of long-term wealth building
As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time through actual market data and educational projections.
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Part 7: Common Mistakes to Avoid
The "Perfect Timing" Trap
Waiting for the "perfect" entry point often means missing years of compound growth. Time in the market beats timing the market.
The "Hot Stock" Temptation
Chasing individual stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:TSLA might seem exciting, but it introduces unnecessary risk for beginners.
The "Market Crash" Panic
Every bear market feels like "this time is different." Historical data shows that patient investors who continued their DCA through 2008, 2020, and other crashes were handsomely rewarded.
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Conclusion: Your Path to Financial Freedom
Value investing through broad index funds and dollar-cost averaging isn't glamorous. You won't get rich overnight, and you won't have exciting stories about your latest trade.
But here's what you will have:
Proven strategy backed by decades of data
Peace of mind during market volatility
Compound growth working in your favor 24/7
A realistic path to serious wealth creation
The Bottom Line: Warren Buffett's approach works because it's simple, sustainable, and based on fundamental economic principles. Start today, stay consistent, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting.
"Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." - Warren Buffett
Educational Summary:
Understanding these principles provides a foundation for informed decision-making. As Warren Buffett noted: "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now" - emphasizing the educational value of understanding long-term investment principles early.
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🙏 Personal Note & Acknowledgment
This article was not entirely my own work, but the result of artificial intelligence in-depth research and information gathering. I fine-tuned and brought it to my own vision and ideas. While working with AI, I found this research so valuable for myself that I could not avoid sharing it with all of you.
I hope this perspective gives you a different approach to long-term investing. It completely changed my style of thinking and my approach to the markets. As a father of 3 kids, I'm always seeking the best investment strategies for our future. While I was aware of the power of compound interest, I could never truly visualize its actual power.
That's exactly why I also created the open-source DCA Investment Tracker Pro indicator - so everyone can see and visualize the benefits of choosing a long, steady investment approach. Being able to see compound growth in action makes all the difference in staying committed to a strategy.
As someone truly said: compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world.
---
Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise
China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations .
📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft
April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks .
🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience .
🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories
U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 4:
2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks
Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Technical: Price below 10-EMA, RSI cooling, MACD divergence.
Trade: Buy $589P @ $4.72 → PT +50%, SL if SPY > $591
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Technical: Short-term cooling, daily trend still intact.
Trade: Buy $573P @ $0.94 → PT 100%, SL 50%, exit by Wed
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Neutral
Technical: M5 bearish, daily bullish = mixed.
Trade: No trade today due to inconclusive bias
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Slightly Bullish
Technical: M5 bullish EMAs, daily MACD bearish
Trade: Buy $590C @ $5.20 → PT +20%, SL −50%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Technical: Breakdown below support, MACD/RSI bearish
Trade: Buy $588P @ $4.27 → PT near $585, SL at $590.50
✅ Consensus Takeaways
4 of 5 models favor bearish or moderately bearish direction
Max Pain at $585 = common gravitational level
Momentum showing weakness, especially intraday
Only Llama sees upside bias; Gemini stays out due to signal conflict
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put
🔘 Ticker: SPY
📉 Direction: PUT
🎯 Strike: $588
💵 Entry: $4.32 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $6.00 (+39%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $2.16 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 70%
⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor
⚖️ Daily uptrend still intact — bounce possible at support
📉 Low VIX = limited volatility expansion (slower premium growth)
🔺 Watch for quick reversals or news spikes above $590 that can hit stop-loss
⌛ Theta ramps midweek — trade must move early
📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "SPY",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 588.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 6.00,
"stop_loss": 2.16,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 4.32,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Fibonacci Reversal + Bullish Continuation SeThis chart highlights a potential retracement zone before a major continuation leg to the upside, based on Fibonacci levels and price structure.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $589.39
Recent High: $595.54 (Fibonacci 1.0)
Key Fibonacci Levels:
0.618 → $562.28 (First retracement target)
0.5 → $555.57
0.382 → $547.38
Critical Support: $552.15 (confluence with historical demand & fib zone)
Projected Target (1.382 Fib Extension): $629.02
🧠 Probabilistic Interpretation
🔻 Short-term pullback toward $552.15 = 60% probability based on multiple rejections from 0.886/1.0 Fib zones.
🔼 Continuation to $629.02 = 70% probability if price finds support at golden ratio (0.618) or 0.5 zone.
🧠 Structure favors smart money re-accumulation after engineered liquidity grab.
🌐 Macro Context (as of May 31, 2025)
Fed Watch: Market pricing in 70% chance of no rate cut in June. July data will be crucial.
VIX: Suppressed, but starting to rise—indicative of market hedging short-term volatility.
Earnings season: Mixed signals—AI sector outperforms while cyclicals lag.
🚨 Trade Plan for Professionals
Watch for price action near $555–552.
Enter long upon bullish engulfing or SMC confirmation at demand zone.
First TP: $595.50
Final TP: $628.80–$629.02
SL: Below $541.72 (Fib 0.382)
🧠 Final Note
This chart reflects a classic Fibonacci retracement & extension structure that institutional traders often monitor. Aligns with DSS and WaverVanir’s discretionary outlook.
#SPY #SMP500 #FibLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #WaverVanir #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciTrading #TradingView
SPY Inverse Head & Shoulders Played Out Clean – Bounce from Buy Just wanted to follow up on the AMEX:SPY idea I published yesterday — this played out exactly as expected 👇🏾
We got that clean pullback right into the 588.50–589.90 buy zone, which aligned perfectly with high-volume support. From there, price reversed and gave us that upside move back toward 593+.
Even more validating: the pattern that formed was a textbook inverse head and shoulders
🔹 Left Shoulder → formed near 586
🔹 Head → at the deeper 585 level
🔹 Right Shoulder → bounced cleanly off the buy zone
🔹 Neckline Break → confirmed the move above 591.12
This is why I always say: have your levels ready and wait for confirmation. No chasing, just execution.
🔑 Buy zone held
📊 Volume-backed support
📈 Continuation in progress
Will continue monitoring for follow-through above 593.46. If bulls hold control, next resistance is near 596–597.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Ahead of June PMI
Markets are bracing for Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 3), with economists forecasting a reading below 50.0, signaling continued factory contraction amid slowing global demand and lingering tariff uncertainty.
🛢️ OPEC+ Meeting to Determine Output Path
On Thursday, OPEC+ convenes to decide production levels for July. Expectations center on a modest output cut extension to support prices, with Brent crude trading near $65/bbl ahead of the decision.
💻 Tech Stocks Eye Semiconductor Legislation
Investors are monitoring Congress’s debate over the Chips Act extension. Senate committee hearings this week could accelerate funding for U.S. chip manufacturing—an upside catalyst for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , and $MU.
🌐 China’s Caixin PMI Signals Pivot
China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June 6) is expected to edge above 50.0, indicating a stabilization in smaller export-focused factories. A better-than-expected print could lift global risk sentiment.
🏢 Fed Officials Remain Dovish
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams speak this week, reiterating that rate hikes are “on pause.” Their remarks should clarify the Fed’s view on inflation cooling and potential rate cuts late 2025.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, June 2:
10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April)
Tracks dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods—an early gauge of industrial demand.
📅 Tuesday, June 3:
8:30 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI (May)
Measures U.S. factory-sector health. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.
10:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (April)
Reports monthly change in total construction outlays—key for housing and infrastructure trends.
1:00 PM ET: 10-Year Treasury Note Auction
Benchmark auction that can shift yield curve and influence $SPY/ SP:SPX positioning.
📅 Wednesday, June 4:
10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April)
Dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods. (Repeat for emphasis on industrial slowdown.)
2:00 PM ET: Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks
Comments on inflation and monetary policy outlook.
📅 Thursday, June 5:
8:30 AM ET: JOLTS Job Openings (April)
Tracks number of unfilled positions—a barometer of labor-market tightness.
10:00 AM ET: OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting)
Details on production quotas—critical for energy-sector flow.
📅 Friday, June 6:
8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (May)
Monthly change in U.S. employment—core for Fed policy outlook.
8:30 AM ET: Unemployment Rate (May)
Percentage of labor force unemployed—key gauge of labor-market health.
8:30 AM ET: Average Hourly Earnings (May)
Tracks wage trends—important for consumer spending and inflation.
10:00 AM ET: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May, preliminary)
Measures health of China’s smaller export-oriented factories.
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$spyyieahhh
Back after getting crushed last 2 months, but hey at least we are having fun 'they say'.
Interesting set of patterns. long term uptrend. Looking at a dip to 563 over next month hopefully.
Bunch of confluences there:
1. High volume at 560 (there's a volume gap right below 585 which would make this a quick move down.
2. Mid point of the long term parallel channel.
3. 61% fib of entire move down.
You would expect next long term target to be the upper test of the channel, 620s. Let's see how this move down, if we have any goes. Yieahhhh
Bullish Intraday Patterns Everywhere!SPX had a wonderful intraday hourly chart confirmed breakout. This pattern is bullish and likely will continue higher.
The bulls tomorrow would love to confirm the daily chart breakout and will try to push for that.
SPY/SPX is holding more relative strength than the Q's & IWM which is displaying broad participation.
There are many bullish charts showing accumulation, golden crosses and bullish MA crossovers.
The DXY appears to be wanting to break down to around $97.00 which should yield more upside.
We secured profits today on SPY 594 calls & NVDA 144 calls.
We still remain net long and see the S&P 500 over $6000
Apple, XYZ, AI - are bullish setups were continuing to manage.
579 gap will be filled.Happens all the time. Chart shows an incredibly large gap. if you lower the deviation on your gap indicator a small gap can appear below this very large gap. i have seen on numerous... NUMEROUS occasions when this gap gets filled and then has a nice rebound(not necessarily sustained). I don't know if it will happen tomorrow, but if there starts to be a sustained selloff in the days ahead i will feel confident that this is the target. 579 is the price. again, it could happen on monday or it could happen next monday. i have no idea what the market is going to do from day to day, but keep this level in mind.