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$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25 Ok. Today’s implied move 601 - 609 (so 600-610 if you’re selling spreads) It’s looking as if futures will open UNDER the 30min 200MA, which could give us that 35EMA cross down and then we will be bearish. We got a little technical bounce yesterday but it was on low volume and looks weak in the indicators. So look for that 35EMA cross down. 50 Day moving average is near the bottom of the trading range under the implied move on the day and at the bottom of tomorrow’s implied move so that is a target to keep in mind.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-11 : GAP DefenderThe GAP Defender pattern is where price struggles to maintain a recent open GAP - attempting to defend against closing that GAP. In my mind, this is the lower GAP window between 601.30 and 602.75 (yesterday's opening GAP range). If this recent gap is filled, then I suggest the SPY will attempt to move downward (into my Deep-V breakdown) trying to target the lower GAP near 584.29. Watch Gold and Silver as they continue to breakdown. Any big breakdown in metals should be considered a warning sign the markets are moving into a PANIC phase (selling). We have lots of news today (Powell and other Fed members testifying) while we just found out Trump initiated a larger tariff on steel. I believe the strength of the US Dollar will continue to put pressure on global currencies - possibly leading to even more foreign market distress. This may result in a broader global market breakdown over the next 5-10 trading days. Remember, we have the Deep-V pattern setting up this week and another Major Bottom pattern setting up on Feb 21. I interpret this as a dual-breakdown event - where price attempts to move downward and tries to identify solid support. Bitcoin will likely follow this trend downward over the next 5 to 10+ days. Buckle up. It looks like today may be the day my Deep-V breakdown starts to drive prices lower for the SPY/QQQ and other major sectors. We'll see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
$SPY Options - Bull & Bear | February Week 2We have been range bound the last three weeks. Sellers are starting to exhaust buyers more quickly than before. We are leaning bearish but confirmation is king. We use 15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss. Should there be a significant pullback, $580 and $560 are major floors of support. Here are our bull and bear options for this week: $600 PUT 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakdown under $603.44 (OR harsh rejection at $606) 🎯Target: $600 ($603.44) $608 CALL 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakout over $606 🎯Target: $607, $608 Here's how last week's options went: 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/21 $500 → $770 (+54%) 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/18 $350 → $645 (+84%)
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
2
SPY - RISK OF BEAR MARKET VERY REALTrumps tariffs is going to be the catalyst for a bear market that the US needs to have. I'm expecting a 30% - 40% drop at most but don't worry, it will be a good time to buy when the dust settles. The RSI is painting bearish divergence on monthly. Big sign of drop. The MACD is curving downwards. Also a big sign that we'll be dropping soon. Bear cycles typically last only 1 year. But its alright, I'll be there to buy spy when its cheap because I have confidence in the US to produce cool new things and figure out new innovations. Also intrest rates will drop, money printer go BRRR and dumb money flows back into the space.
AMEX:SPY
by HorseyTim
$SPY February 11, 2025AMEX:SPY February 11, 2025 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY faced resistance around 604-605 levels being 61.8% retracement number. We have 3 values. The rise from 600.05 to 605.5 The last rise from 603.21 to 605.5 And the fib extension 600.05 to 605.36 to 603.21 For the first rise important to hold 602 levels to continue uptrend. For the second number being the latest rise must hold today 604 levels. A close below 604 will be supported by 602 levels. So not a day to short. If we take the extension move, we have targets between 606 to 608 today. Once 608 is broken and held at least 15 minutes the target will be 611-612 levels.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview SPY is experiencing a pullback within an overall uptrend structure. The price is testing a key support zone near $600, while options gamma positioning indicates pivotal areas for potential reversals or continuation moves. Technical Analysis 1. Trend Analysis: * SPY recently broke below a short-term ascending wedge pattern, signaling a corrective phase. * Price is now consolidating near $600, a significant support level. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $600 (HVL zone and round number psychological level). * Secondary Support: $595 (put wall support and prior consolidation zone). * Resistance Levels: * $606 (local resistance within the channel). * $610 (key breakout level / gamma resistance). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting a potential reversal if momentum sustains. * Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold conditions, aligning with near-term bullish sentiment. * Volume: Increasing on the pullback, indicating participation by buyers at lower levels. 4. Price Action Insights: * A hold above $600 would favor a bounce toward $606-$610. * A breakdown below $600 could lead to a sharper decline toward $595 or $590. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis 1. Critical GEX Levels: * Call Walls: * $610: Major resistance with 59.88% call gamma exposure. * $620: Highest positive gamma wall, marking the bullish target for continuation. * Put Walls: * $600: Strong put support level, aligning with HVL. * $595: Secondary put gamma support, reinforcing downside defense. 2. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 17.7, indicating relatively low volatility. * IVx (Implied Volatility): 16.4% average. * Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 83.9% skewed heavily toward puts, reflecting bearish sentiment. 3. Implications: * Strong gamma concentration at $600 suggests significant market maker activity, potentially stabilizing the price. * A close above $606 would align with unwinding of bearish positions, opening upside potential toward $610 and $620. Trade Setups 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $606. * Target: $610, $620. * Stop Loss: Below $604. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $600. * Target: $595, $590. * Stop Loss: Above $602. Conclusion SPY is trading at a pivotal support zone near $600. Options gamma positioning and technical indicators suggest potential for a bounce, but a break below $600 could accelerate bearish momentum. Monitor the $606 resistance for upside confirmation and $595 for downside risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
$SPY February 10, 2025AMEX:SPY February 10, 2025 15 Minutes For the rise 595.99 to 608.13 AMEX:SPY retraced 61.8%. So, 601-602 is a good level to go long with SL 598. Since the retracement was 61.8% double top is possible around 607-608 levels. So looks good R:R ratio. Foe the fall 6018.13 to 600.65 need to cross 605.5 for uptrend. Hence 601-602 buy will have a target 604-605 levels. But AMEX:SPY at the moment is below moving averages with 200 and 50 being around 603 to 604 levels which i expect to be resisted. Hence no trade today.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
Prepare for SPY Declines as Market Faces Resistance Levels- Key Insights: SPY is currently facing bearish pressure with lower highs and lower lows, and a significant resistance zone lies between $608 and $610. Support appears strong in the $595 to $600 range, which could present buying opportunities. Investors should remain vigilant to avoid potential declines below these support levels and watch for external factors that could influence market dynamics. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1 at $595 and T2 at $580. Stop levels are S1 at $605 and S2 at $610. - Recent Performance: SPY has recently closed down 0.92%, grappling with bearish tendencies while managing to stay above critical support areas. The struggles at resistance levels indicate a need for caution in current trading strategies. - Expert Analysis: Market experts suggest that the introduction of tariffs may push SPY down toward the $595 range, reinforcing the significance of the support levels identified. The sentiment is mixed, given the current struggles alongside broader indices like QQQ, which reflect a similar pattern. - News Impact: Significant geopolitical developments, particularly regarding trade tariffs and economic indicators, are expected to affect SPY's momentum. Any announcements related to these areas could prove crucial in determining SPY's immediate direction in the coming week.
AMEX:SPYShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$SPY: Three timeframe analysis, One Chart Pattern, Sentiment📢!Hey there! #Tariffs negative news drives bearish sentiment. Is it just mass media noise? And Mr. Market will continue up? WHY? Let's have a look at the charts: 1. 📈We are in a bullish trend on a weekly and monthly basis, meaning long-term and mid-term, yet in a bearish on a daily one, a ka short-term 2. 🤓The bullish Flag pattern has formed. Yeah, I know; how do you qualify it? For this theoretical exercise only visually, but for anything more serious, Bukowski starts, or you may want to run your own tests. 3. 🍒And the cherry on top: Bearish sentiment is significantly higher than the historical average, standing at 42.9% (2/5/2025) compared to 31.0%. On my side, it means that we might be in for a heavy short squeeze for a couple of days.👋Just observations, not advice For now, enjoy Super Bowl Sunday! 🏈 S ource of the screenshot: AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, www.aaii.com
AMEX:SPYLong
by ChartsPlusFun
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Alright, y’all, ATH’s are back in the trading range today. We have a downtrend line off of ATH’s midway through the range and then ATH’s, and 612 as the top of the implied move for the day. Underneath we have the 35EMA -which we bounced on yesterday - and the 30min 200 for support. Under all of that we have the 50 Day Moving average. Easy Trading range today. Bullish moving averages but they are close together and that means that could change.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! SP:SPX January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year. First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts. December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator. Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year. Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period.
AMEX:SPY
by ConvictionTrades
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
The SPY will go up for the rest of the weekThe market will go up for the next 3 more days. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. I am anticipating a bull trend for the next few days as the 30 min, 1 hour, 2 hour, 3 hour and 4 hour indicators are already looking bullish. I have a few targets. In the past I have said the market is usually moving about 34 points, but I think it will make a less of a move this time due to the Stock RSI only being slightly lower as it is not starting close to 0. If you look at some of the past moves, the market moved around 20 points such as from July 1 to July 16, Oct 7 to Oct 17 and Nov. 20 to Dec 6th. As well, if you look at the Stock RSI on the daily charts, it has only declined a little. So even if it turns soon, it only has a little way to go upward. As well, it is hitting a resistance around 610. I think the market will bounce back and forth between 610 and 590 for a few more weeks. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. The targets I have in place are: 20 point move = 610.42 1 Fibonacci move = 610.59 5 day move = Feb 7 If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade. And I will even shave a little off, so if it hits 609, I will be out. My stops are: 1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick, 2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount per contract. If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade. Lastly, I believe tomorrow it may go lower as I find the 3rd day typically moves sideways or goes lower. And some of the shorter term indicators are looking weak. I really encourage you to draw a chart yourself. The first chart is the most nerve racking, but I have learned the most through drawing charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course. They have sales a few times per year. Just keep checking the website. I am NOT affiliated with this company in any way. I am just trying to tell you where I have found cheaper courses online to learn more. www.udemy.com I always try to attend Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com My chart is not guaranteed and I am still learning. Trade at your own risk. Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
7