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SPY trade ideas

SPY BEARISH SEASONALITYThe SP500 Index, and specifically the SPY ETF, has been mostly bearish in the past 96 years during the period from August 2nd to September 30th.If we perform the same analysis on seasonality over a shorter time period (e.g., 10 or 25 years), the statistics don't change much. Seasonality is not favorable, and this year, due to the relentless and unstoppable rises since October '23 and a concurrently unstable geopolitical situation, I would suggest postponing any averaging or purchase of shares for an accumulation plan in this instrument until mid-October. We might see a reduction in volatility, but a return of the index to new highs seems unlikely. Whatever you do, please be cautious with money management and avoid blindly following the dangerous 'Buy the Dip' strategy. Thank you.
AMEX:SPYShort
by NewHOrizons1
8-5-24 Developing Pinescript Tools For TradersPart of my learning process with TradingView has been to delve a bit into Pinescript. I've been programming for a while now - more than 20 years. But I focus on developing modeling systems, adaptive AI types of solutions, and fully automated trading systems for clients. Pinescript has been fun. Overall, I believe there are many advanced capabilities achievable in Pinescript as long as one sticks to simple principles. _ a focus on core elements as separate script components _ remember to clean/document up your processes/arrays as you go _ develop core logic functions first, then go back and address display features _ remember to organize your code in a way you can clearly address version changes In this example, I started with the idea of building a tool based on Fibonacci Price Theory, then came up with an idea to measure price pressure differently than others had done. Once I started playing with the display features (plot) I was able to see how my initial scripts worked and how the calculated data represents price trends/changes. For me, seeing is the biggest part of the process. If I can't see how the data looks - then it is almost unusable for me to build more advanced logical features. That's why I suggest building each component of your system out as unique indicators. I want to see the data/indicator work before I try to build some additional trading logic with it. Overall, I'm very happy with what I've built. It has taken me about 2 weeks to build all of this (only really applying a few hours every other day or so). One last thing, use the newbar feature to control persistent variable features. Otherwise, you may end up creating something that processes every tick. More soon. #toolsfortraders #trading #spy #qqq #btcusd #strategy #systems #coding
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
1
SPY strong down energy to $521-26I dowse stocks and indexes, and I've had SPX over 5600 for a long time. (Everything I do is really just a great research project, btw) We've turned off of there and I had a dream on the 10th with my signal for a reversal down. The dowsing is really in my face about some heavier move down. Main target is probably $523, but it's a zone. I keep getting advised to get a time of the day. When that happens, it's usually signaling a bigger reversal. The times keep coming around 11:00- 11:20 (or more like 11:10), but I think it's for tomorrow. So I'll be watching for a high. Though half the time I'm wrong about the call on direction, but the reversal will happen, so flexibility is important. Another note is that earlier this year I did monthly readings to see if they would be accurate at all. It's been super encouraging and did suggest a down in July that bottoms out in August. Be VERY aware of the date of August 12th. That date comes up multiple times including out of the blue when my psychic friend asked me last week what the 12th is about. We'll see if we really get as high as dowsing is saying. I kind of doubt that part, but it would look pretty filling that gap and offer a bigger trade on the downside. I'll update if I get anything new, and will note that I have some personal energy around this that makes it a bit suspect. Or, like I might be missing something, so I just want to be transparent about that. Good luck!
AMEX:SPYShort
by JenRz
08/05 SPY ATR Levels and Range BLOOOOODBATH!!!!!AMEX:SPY levels, that increase in overall ATR is not good, since thats all calculated from the downside lately, last 14 days of trading, although the number is going up, its going up for all the wrong reasons. Almost breached 6$ ATR from earlier in the month last month in the MID 5.40s Toooo much uncertainty for me, I need to watch and see what happens. I would suspect a pull under 500$ with all the news that's out there, but who the hell knows. Too much craziness to stick my finger in anything.
AMEX:SPY
by TuskenDayTrade
SPY On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 532.98 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 543.88 My Stop Loss - 526.43 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
4
$SPY Sharp Decline?! $503 Target, $493 possible 8/21, then $520Thats right folks. Your's truly with another quick thought on where I think we're headed, and FAST!! Assuming we repeat the First Half of 2022, I want to say that the next 10 days will produce a dump and a bounce. Do be careful if you're long this market. All signs point to a flash crash to $493 and then a mean bounce to retest $520. Don't forget, cash is a position. I like to keep things simple with my charts for the most part. ATM, I am looking at the 10D chart. I like the 10D chart because it has hidden divergences on RSI that prove extremely useful. As the days go on, it will get easier. Those that doubt will always learn the Hard way. Paytience will always prevail. After $520 bounce, I would assume a slow bleed to $480 into the election for a new low, followed by an Election Rally back to $530 before we come back crashing down. All of this will come with time and I'm writing it down so you can see my thought process. Everything takes time. Drop to $503-$494 Hard Bounce to $520 Slow Bleed to $480, Previous ATH Winter 22' Bounce to $530 for a Retest of Previous Support should we break. Good Luck out there
AMEX:SPYShort
by TazmanianTrader
SPY IS A BUY+++ At $528 and $520 bounce to $527We are oversold on charts under 4 hours, and the 4 hour. One day chart has a way to go and for cloud support at $522. .5 Fib support is $528.51 was touched Friday. We should bonce to $547 then likely resume the decline based of fundamentals of a bubble economy surviving on printed money for decades and the irresponsible deficit spending since covid by both parties. I think we could have a final flush on Monday then bounce but we'll see.....
AMEX:SPYLong
by ShortSeller76
9
SPX: Stock Market Continues to Fall. The stock market on July 25, 2024, experienced significant movement, similar to the major trendline break in January 2022. Both periods saw heightened market volatility and uncertainty driven by macroeconomic factors. In January 2022, the break was due to surging inflation and anticipated aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, leading to a sharp correction across major indices. By July 2024, although inflation had moderated, it continued to influence market sentiment. Persistent inflationary pressures can lead to higher input costs, squeezing corporate profit margins and dampening earnings growth. Uncertainty around Federal Reserve policy was pivotal in both periods . In 2022, the market grappled with the pace and magnitude of rate hikes. In 2024, despite a potential shift towards rate cuts, the uncertainty about timing and extent added complexity to market dynamics. Investor sentiment in both periods was characterized by heightened caution. In January 2022, fears of a prolonged tightening cycle led to significant sell-offs. By July 2024, concerns shifted to the sustainability of earnings growth and potential economic slowdown. High valuations faced pressures in both periods. In January 2022, valuations became untenable amid rising interest rates, leading to corrections. In 2024, although valuations adjusted, concerns about whether earnings growth can sustain current levels persist. If earnings do not meet expectations, further downward adjustments in stock prices could occur. Economic slowdown fears loom large. In 2022, the fear was that aggressive rate hikes could excessively slow the economy. In 2024, despite hopes for rate cuts, concerns about a broader economic slowdown impacting corporate profits and market performance remain. External factors such as geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties add to the risks, potentially increasing market volatility and investor caution. While there are differences between January 2022 and July 2024, the similarities highlight potential risks for further downturns. Investors should remain vigilant and consider appropriate hedging strategies to navigate potential market volatility and downside risks.
AMEX:SPY
by MarkitMaven
2
$SPY $537 Fair Value Gap fill incoming imoFVG sits below at $541.61-$536.89 ..... Current 6 count could prove bearish into the 7th count on 10D chart. Very interesting chart showing what would essentially be a Bearish Harami off this Inside Doji. The 10D candle starts tomorrow 7/23 and ends 8/7 so basicaally accumlate as many puts as possible between then and now. If we move above the Open on the Doji at $554.54, then we can start talking about bullish behavoir. For now though, the gap above at $566.7 was rejected and I will be looking for a downside move from here to $540 as previously noted in a recent session. Chao.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TazmanianTrader
2
Three Potential outcomes for the S&P 500We are seeing a clear correction in the market that has potential to turn into a full blown bear market due to a number of reasons such as rising unemployment, looming debt crisis, and geopolitical tensions. From my experience and analysis I see 3 possible outcomes in the coming weeks and months for the AMEX:SPY The price starts to recover after another minor red day on August 5th, bouncing off support around 524.60, and will start to normalize back with the long-term bullish trend. A head and shoulders pattern forms on the weekly chart, starting with a move down to 495, retracing back to 524.60, and then forcing a large downward move that stops just short of entering a bear market/ recession at the 200EMA (around the 450 price level), starting a new bull run as it recovers. The events of situation 2 unfold the same way, however, price fails to bounce off the 200EMA, and we enter a full-blown recession, fueled by high unemployment, destabilization of the geopolitical climate, and civil unrest from the results of the US 2024 elections. Two of the three predictions lead to more pain for bulls. Let’s hope situation #1 is what will happen. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and all statements made are for informational purposes formed from of my own opinion and should not be considered as investment advice.
AMEX:SPY
by TheSwiftTrades
SPY 531-524 $hello everyone, Hope you're having a good Friday. I expect spy to find support next week in the 531-524 range obviously spy has been selling off greatly due to worsening data not just inflation staying the same. What we know from Wednesday with Powell is Sept. rate cuts might not happen. This week brought a needed correction to the market along with bad earnings with a lot of companies. a lot of people have a consenus that the market goes up and down but it does not always work like that. Worsening data and concerns for our economy's future means fear. With all that bad news being said Spy has key levels in the 531- 524 and should look to hold the market for awhile in this price range. The bearish tone is weakening. AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:NVDA
AMEX:SPYLong
by willtradesdaily
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade 8-2 - The Kamala-Crush ContinuesIt's been quite a while since I've seen -3%, -4%, or even -6% on my screens. These are HUGE price swings, and I'm still having trouble identifying why the global markets feel a major crisis has suddenly hit (unless it is all related to Kamala Harris). This update shows you why I believe the US markets must attempt to find support near this 50% pullback range. If we can't find support at the levels I highlight on this video - then all bets are off and we could enter a much deeper price correction. I'm still looking at the data, earnings, and other news. I see nothing that says CRASH. I see US companies preparing for a tough summer - but still making profits. I see the US moving into a hotly contested election. I see consumers still spending (moderately). I just don't see a CRASH event yet. So, I believe this is all a large panic move. More later. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
08/02 SPY ATR Levels and RangeThere are my lines for the day, yesterday totally blew the levels out of the water, the ATR on the SPY is holding steady, but high due to the downside drips and falls we have been getting. Papa Powell has taken all need for us to go any higher off the table until mid August, my opinion. So anything that happens today in the way of upside could be associated to a new month, new positions being opened and that we are on FAFO Friday with the 0DTE Degen option buyers.... I suspect we are not out of the bleeding yet. Fear&Greed is lower at a 33 midway to falling into Extreme fear. The Geo political and domestic world is on fire, Trump cant keep himself from saying stupid comments and Harris still hasnt gotten her footing yet (my opinion) For SCALP I am looking for quick moves through the SPOP to SR1 maybe see SR2 and breach into the STANDARD ranges at open and then quickly recced past the lower ranges past SBREAK into the S1 and S2 of the STANDARD levels. SR2 536.90 SR1 536.16 SPOP 535.43 LAST PRICE 534.69 SBREAK 533.95 SS1 533.22 SS2 532.48 R2 542.05 R1 539.22 POP 537.52 BREAK 531.89 S1 529.65 S2 528.16
AMEX:SPY
by TuskenDayTrade