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SPY trade ideas

Spy to 612There’s really not much left to say. Spy will finish retracing the feds rate decision and blast off to new highs. Big names are either regaining their ground ( NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:MSFT ) or leading the way ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA ). Anyone looking to get short or calling for a dump are people who were calling for 550 and are now 50 points underwater🫡 I wouldn’t listen to someone who looks at this chart and says “it has to go down”. Only people left calling for it to go down are those Elliot Wave people and they change their thesis every 15 min candle 😂 NEW ATH!!!!!
AMEX:SPYLong
by UnknownUnicorn1430320
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/24/2024 : Rally111Please pay attention to this video. Today, I share some vital data related to how I plan on helping all of you become better traders in 2025 and what you need to do to try to improve your own trading results. Trading is not gambling. It is not about throwing money at trends and hoping to catch a few winners. Trading is about trying to time market trends when the best opportunities are ready for profits - then getting out of those opportunities as profits start to mature. Trading is about honing your skills to be able to target 35% to 55% or more every 15 to 25+ days. If you can do that efficiently every 15 to 25+ days, then you are SET. You can turn $1000 into more than $300k in less than a year trading like that. Then, you can turn that $300k into more than $10 million in another year. Can you imagine that happening to you and your family? It is all about having the right tools, gaining proper knowledge and experience, and putting that to practice/use. And that is what I've been trying to teach you for the past 6+ months - the knowledge and skills to be able to see/time the biggest market moves. I know many of you have followed me for many months. I appreciate all of you. Now, as we close out 2024, let's make a commitment to really focus on gaining the success we desire for ourselves and our families so we can enjoy 2025 as a better year. I challenge all of you to a straightforward goal: Learn, Practice, Gain experience, and Execute better trades so you can grow your accounts and move into the "Trader Life" you have always desired. Trade 2-4 times a day (when opportunity strikes) and try to grow your account by 35 to 55% every 15 to 25 days. That's all it takes. Are you ready? Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY Options - Bull & Bear Christmas EditionAMEX:SPY AMEX:SPY Trend continuation is still bullish long-term. We are using this bottom white trendline as a key pivot for these options and the larger move up or down. With these trades, we use 15-30 minutes candle CLOSES above or below support for confirmation $610 CALL 1/6 Entry: Add at support tests off trendline Targets: $600, $604.25, $607, All-time highs $575 PUT 1/6 Entry: Rejection under $595 AND trendline Targets: $583.56, $580.89, $575, $567
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
2024 Santa Rally and More - Up/Down/SidewaysIt's that time of year again. The final trading weeks of 2024 and the technical "Santa Rally" (trading through Christmas and New Year's) is upon us. Unfortunately the FED put a bit of a cap on the extremely optimistic and borderline euphoria that was bubbling over going into the FOMC Rate Decision. 100 bps of cuts, yet the US10Y (10 year yield) has virtually moved in the exact opposite direction. Inflation is now a concern and this is a big reason for the FED's "hawkish cut" in December. The market will have to figure out how 1-2 cuts in 2025 looks compared to 4-6 cuts that was anticipated. I don't think the 1 day FED move is enough of a correction to justify loading up on longs, so I'm looking for 200 EMA tests and better prices all around. If I don't get them, I suppose I'll just wait longer :) Happy Holidays to everyone Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
$SPY Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThis chart appears to be analyzing the SPY ETF (S&P 500 ETF Trust) on a 30-minute timeframe, with various levels marked for support, resistance, trendlines, and potential targets. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis based on what is visible in the chart: Trend Analysis: Downtrend Observed: The red trendline indicates a clear lower highs (LH) pattern, suggesting a bearish structure. The green trendline highlights a previous descending support line, which was broken, followed by a recovery. Current Context: SPY is below the red trendline, which is acting as resistance. The price is hovering near the EMA cluster (moving averages such as 8 EMA and 21 EMA), indicating indecision or consolidation. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 595.23 to 599.31: This range aligns with previous pivot points and overlaps with a lower high (LH), making it a significant resistance area. 604.37 (DP): A dark pool level from 12/18 indicates where institutional activity occurred. Breaking this level could signal bullish momentum. Support Zones: 590.96 to 586.50: Price currently sits above this cluster, suggesting short-term support. 578.93 (90 SMA): The 90 SMA acts as a longer-term support level. Potential Trade Ideas: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Above 595.23, ideally with a strong close above the red trendline. Targets: T1: 597.63 T2: 599.31 T3: 604.37 Stop Loss: Below 593.87, the most recent support level. Bearish Scenario: Entry: Below 586.50, confirming a breakdown below immediate support. Targets: T1: 585.00 T2: 580.00 T3: 578.93 Stop Loss: Above 588.00, invalidating the breakdown. Indicators: EMA Strategy: Watch for a cross of the shorter EMA (e.g., 8 EMA) below the longer EMA (e.g., 21 EMA) for bearish confirmation, or vice versa for bullish momentum. Volume Confirmation: Increased volume at breakout levels strengthens the validity of the move. Overall Outlook: The current price action is consolidating between 595.23 (resistance) and 586.50 (support). This range-bound behavior may continue until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. A move above the red trend-line could suggest a bullish reversal, while a break below the lower support zone would confirm bearish continuation. Why the 6:15 Candle is Key: Liquidity Shift: Around 6:15 a.m. EST, pre-market trading often experiences a shift in liquidity as larger institutional traders and automated systems begin positioning themselves ahead of the regular market open. This creates a noticeable increase in volume or volatility. Reaction to Overnight News: By this time, many traders have processed overnight news, including international market developments, economic data, or corporate announcements. The 6:15 candle often represents the market’s collective sentiment to these inputs. Early Dark Pool & Futures Activity: Institutional players and hedge funds might act on dark pool or futures activity signals around this time. For instance, the SPY chart you provided shows interest in identifying areas that coincide with pre-market setups for further price movement. Key Levels for the Day: The high and low of the 6:15 candle in pre-market trading are frequently used by day traders as pivot points. These levels often act as intraday support or resistance, with price reacting around these zones during the regular trading session. Interpreting the 6:15 Candle in Your Chart: Looking at your chart: The 6:15 candle seems to be sitting just below key resistance at 591.14. This candle’s high and low can serve as short-term levels: High Break: A break above the 6:15 high signals bullish momentum. Low Break: A move below the 6:15 low indicates bearish pressure. For SPY, this candle is important because it often sets the tone for the first trading hour of the day. How to Use the 6:15 Candle: Range Breakout Strategy: Mark the high and low of the 6:15 candle. Use these as breakout or breakdown levels for the regular session. Pre-Market High/Low Alignment: If the 6:15 candle aligns with pre-market highs or lows, it reinforces the importance of those levels. Volume Confirmation: Check if the 6:15 candle has significant volume compared to previous candles. A spike in volume confirms institutional interest. EMA Relationship: Notice if the 6:15 candle is above or below key moving averages like the 8 EMA or 15 EMA. This gives insight into short-term sentiment. In Summary: The 6:15 pre-market candle acts as a pivotal reference point: High and low levels often dictate intraday trading strategies. It reflects liquidity shifts, news reactions, and institutional activity. Use it alongside volume, EMAs, and resistance/support zones for more accurate predictions.
AMEX:SPY
by thedarkpooltrader
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-23: BreakAway PatternToday's pattern is a Break Away pattern. I'm not expecting much to happen just before Christmas, but this is when surprises may happen. If you have not already protected your capital - now is the time to do it (almost too late at this point). You should be prepared for anything that happens and move into a position of safety related to the holidays. Remember, the markets will always be here. Get through the holidays and get busy trying to enjoy your life. I suspect the markets will stay very flat over the next 3 to 5+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups. Watchlist: Bullish: NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week. Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry. Bearish: NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?) NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap. NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above. NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
AMEX:SPYLong
by Alanger17
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) About To Go Down - TIMBER!📉 Overview: The S&P 500 (SPY) is signaling a bearish reversal with technical and momentum indicators aligning for a potential decline. A completed 5th wave top, coupled with a breakdown from the bearish wedge, hints at deeper corrections in the coming sessions. 📊 Technical Analysis: Elliott Wave Count: SPY has likely completed its 5th wave top, marking the end of the bullish cycle. Bearish Wedge Breakout: Price has decisively broken below the rising wedge's trendline, a historically reliable bearish signal. Momentum Indicators: - RSI Divergence: Clear bearish divergence as price created higher highs while RSI formed lower highs. - MACD: Loss of upward momentum, with the MACD histogram turning negative. Fibonacci Targets: - Retracement Zone (B): $598–$606 (61.8%–88% retracement of recent decline). - Target 1 (C): $570.35 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). - Target 2 (C): $559.67–$553.07 (1.382–1.618 Fibonacci extension). 🌐 Macro Sentiment: Interest Rate Concerns: Continued hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could weigh on equities, particularly as valuations remain elevated. Economic Slowdown: Weakening macroeconomic data and potential earnings downgrades in early 2025 could amplify selling pressure. Seasonality and Risk-Off Trends: End-of-year profit-taking and increased geopolitical risks may favor defensive positions. ⚡ Trade Plan: - Short Zone: $598–$606 (retracement of recent sell-off). - Stop-Loss: $606.82 – Above the 88% Fibonacci retracement and resistance. Targets: - Target 1: $570.35 (solid risk-reward). - Target 2: $553.07 (extended move aligning with wedge breakdown projection). 🔍 Considerations: Monitor economic data, including inflation, GDP growth, and job numbers, for additional confirmation. Watch for further MACD weakness and RSI failing to reclaim bullish momentum levels. Do you think SPY will see a sharper correction, or are bulls likely to regain control? Share your insights! 🚨📊
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
1
Traders BEWARE! Extreme Volatility In 2025-26. LOOK OUT!I just completed a deep dive into my Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system, and I'm here to tell you that 2025 and most of 2026 will be highly volatile. If you do not attempt to stay ahead of these market trends, you could suffer a loss of 35% to 45% (or more) over the next 18 months or more. If you want to learn how to navigate these trends, I suggest you find someone you trust to help you identify the best opportunities for your investments and trading. This is no joke. This is the type of event that destroys trader's accounts and disrupts global economies. If you are not prepared for this, get busy trying to find someone to help you. Merry Christmas. Buckle up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) Short Setup – Retracement OpportunityOverview: The SPY (S&P 500 ETF) shows a potential short opportunity, leveraging a confluence of Elliott Wave and Fibonacci resistance. This setup aligns with a bearish corrective pattern, presenting a chance to capture downside momentum amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. 📊 Technical Analysis: Elliott Wave Structure: Wave W completed with a sharp decline, followed by a retracement in Wave X. Anticipating the continuation of Wave Y lower, targeting Fibonacci extensions. Fibonacci Levels: Entry Zone: $598.33–$599.23 (between the 61.8% and 65% retracement). - Stop-Loss: $606.64 (above the 88% retracement to account for false breakouts). - Target 1: $585.78 – Aligns with prior support and Fibonacci extensions. - Target 2: $570.14 – Extended target toward the 1.618 projection. Short Zone Confirmation: The short zone aligns with key resistance levels that previously rejected bullish attempts. 🌐 Macro Overview: Economic Indicators: Rising treasury yields and persistent inflation concerns are weighing on equities, particularly large-cap indices. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates adds pressure to SPY's bullish outlook. Seasonal Trends: Historical December pullbacks in risk assets during rate-hike cycles favor bearish scenarios. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment remains cautious, with increasing volatility indicating indecision in the broader market. 📈 Trade Plan: Short Entry: Wait for price action to retrace into the short zone ($598.33–$599.23). Risk-Reward: Targeting a 3:1 risk-reward ratio with both short-term and extended profit targets. Caution: Monitor fundamental announcements such as labor market data or Federal Reserve statements, as these could drive volatility and invalidate the setup. 📌 Final Thoughts: SPY offers a clean technical setup supported by a bearish macro narrative. This trade allows for tight risk management while capturing a potential extended downside move. Let me know your thoughts or if you'd trade this setup differently! 🚨📉
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
3
SPY On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 590.89 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 598.49 My Stop Loss - 586.83 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
$SPY correction incoming? Back below $550AMEX:SPY is putting in a short term top here. All of the signs are there if you know what to look at. For example, NASDAQ:TLT up 2% today. AMEX:SPY sold off throughout the day. Crypto selling off. Volatility starting to react at the bottom of the range. Dollar continuing to rise. The chart also is failing at resistance. I could see one more attempt at a move higher, and if we fail at $602 or lower and fall back below $597, it'll be extremely bearish and the confidence in this move playing out strengthens. I think we'll see $527-531 over the next couple of weeks. Playing the move through CBOE:UVXY calls.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
9
S&P 500 Reached The Top - Correction UnderwayThe S&P 500 looks to have reached a significant top - being rejected from the 1:1 Fibonacci extension on the Weekly Timeframe. With other confluence like the rising wedge, high weekly RSI levels, and a decreasing momentum on the MACD, all things point downwards for the stock market in 2025. The next target would be the blue zone where a potential chance for reversal could occur. A top in the S&P 500 could also signal tops forming on major stocks like NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:TSLA , etc. so keep a lookout.
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
2
SPY Technical Analysis PredictionThis chart is a daily timeframe for SPY (S&P 500 ETF), displaying multiple indicators such as pivot points, dark pool levels, trendlines, moving averages, and volume. The current market structure suggests a potential trend transition phase, with price currently consolidating near critical support levels. Key Observations: 1. Trend Structure: The long-term uptrend is still intact, supported by the green ascending trendline originating from prior lows. The recent pullback breached the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, which implies short-term bearish momentum. However, price is consolidating near the S1 pivot level (579.18), suggesting possible support. Higher Highs (HH) were achieved earlier in the trend, but the failure to maintain levels near the R1 pivot (614.64) indicates resistance and profit-taking. 2. Support and Resistance: Resistance Zones: 600-604: A psychological resistance level and the approximate region of the 8 EMA. 609.07: The previous swing high and a critical level for a bullish continuation. R1 (614.64): A strong pivot resistance level. Support Zones: Immediate support at S1 (579.18), which aligns with current consolidation. Lower supports are seen at S2 (555.80), S3 (543.72), and the ascending green trendline (~524). Dark pool levels between 513.20 - 522.91 represent critical institutional zones, which may act as strong support. 3. Volume Profile: Significant volume spike on the most recent red candle indicates institutional activity. If price remains above key supports (S1, S2), this could suggest accumulation. A breakdown below S1 would imply further distribution and downside. 4. Dark Pool Levels: Dark pool prints at 522.91, 518.92, and 513.20 mark critical price levels for institutional interest. A break into these levels would indicate bearish momentum but could offer significant buying opportunities near those zones. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (579.18) Trigger: A strong bounce off S1 with price reclaiming the 8 EMA (currently near 600) would confirm bullish momentum. Profit Targets: 595-600: The immediate resistance zone and EMA alignment. 609.07: The swing high from earlier in December. 614.64 (R1): A longer-term target at the pivot resistance. Stop-Loss: Below 575, as this invalidates the bullish setup. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (579.18) Trigger: A break below S1 with high volume and price failing to reclaim the 8 EMA would confirm bearish continuation. Profit Targets: 565.16: The prior swing low and intermediate support. 555.80 (S2): A strong pivot support level. 543.72 (S3): A deeper downside target. Stop-Loss: Above 595, as it would indicate a reversal back above resistance. Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Dark Pool Levels If price falls into the dark pool zones (522.91-513.20), this could offer significant long-term buying opportunities, especially near the ascending green trendline (~524). Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 requires close monitoring for either a bullish reversal or a bearish breakdown. Volume and price action at the EMAs and pivot levels will be crucial indicators. Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels represent strong support zones, offering potential for accumulation if prices drop further.
AMEX:SPYLong
by thedarkpooltrader