$SPY Looking to buy at 530 Good support at 530 , if it fails it will be a quick trip to 500Shortby ARCHIDUKE0
SPY, S&P 500 expected to correct to 500 before further upsideBased on RSI divergence, EW count and volume support it seems likely that SPY will correct to equal leg (ABC) region between 480-520 before the correction is over and further upside can be seen.Shortby jespergarm0
SPY Divergence - Bullish Comeback?SPY is showing quite a significant bullish divergence on the Daily timeframe. This appears to concur with a potential double-bottom formation. We also see the RSI beginning to poke up through it's moving average: Alongside this we see a Rug Pull target on the 4h timeframe of the ES1! S&P futures ticker. Rug-pull events on this ticker have seen a great degree of accuracy over the past few years, as seen below: This rug-pull target alongside strong divergence on the higher timeframes indicates a high probability the markets will trend towards the upside in the near future.Longby RocketTraveler1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 2, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 President Trump’s 'Liberation Day' Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is set to announce new reciprocal tariffs on April 2, aiming to align U.S. import duties with those imposed by other countries on American goods. This move is expected to impact various sectors, including automotive and manufacturing, and may lead to market volatility as investors react to potential shifts in trade policies. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 2: 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.6% Previous: 1.7% Indicates the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, reflecting manufacturing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysisShortby TrendTao0
SPY: SPY looking a bit like scary hour? Continuous tariff new’s scaring the market. Many continue to say Bearish then some say Bullish. Looking like it can retest the demand zone I see at the 1M at 584.83 but today 3/30 on AH looks like things may be gapping down already. What are your thoughts? Shortby sweatytrigger0
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 31 – April 4, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report: The March employment data, set for release on Friday, April 4, is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with forecasts predicting an increase of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 151,000 in February. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%. This report will be closely monitored for signs of economic momentum and potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy. 🇺🇸💼 President Trump's Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his "reciprocal tariffs" plan on Wednesday, April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day." The announcement is anticipated to include a 25% duty on imported vehicles, which could significantly impact the automotive industry and broader market sentiment. Investors are bracing for potential volatility in response to these trade policy developments. 🇺🇸📊 Manufacturing and Services Sector Updates: Key indicators for the manufacturing and services sectors are due this week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for Tuesday, April 1, is expected to show a slight contraction with a forecast of 49.5%, down from 50.3% in February. The ISM Services PMI, set for release on Thursday, April 3, is projected at 53.0%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace. These reports will provide insights into the health of these critical sectors. MarketWatch 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, March 31: 🏭 Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 45.5 Previous: 43.6 Measures business conditions in the Chicago area, with readings below 50 indicating contraction. 📅 Tuesday, April 1: 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3% Previous: -0.2% Indicates the total amount spent on construction projects, reflecting trends in the construction industry. 📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 7.7 million Previous: 7.7 million Provides insight into labor demand by measuring the number of job vacancies. 📅 Wednesday, April 2: 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.6% Previous: 1.7% Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, indicating manufacturing demand. 📅 Thursday, April 3: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000 Previous: 224,000 Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into labor market conditions. 📊 Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$123.0 billion Previous: -$131.4 billion Indicates the difference between exports and imports of goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity. 📅 Friday, April 4: 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3% Previous: 0.3% Measures the change in earnings per hour for workers, indicating wage inflation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysisShortby TrendTao0
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11 AMEX:SPY I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside. When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo. Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown. Longby SuLLL00
$SPY down to 515 area during this leg down.IMHO, I see a path for the SPY during this leg down to drop to the 515 area.by Crismo990
SPY to follow DJT and XHBIn last year's big move up SPY trailed DJT (Dow Jones Transportation Index) and XHB (A Homebuilders ETF) by 2-months and 1-month respectively. In November, DJT crashed. In December, XHB crashed. It's January now. If nothing is being delivered, and homebuilders have no one to sell to that can't be good for the greater market.Shortby mwrightincUpdated 4
U.S. Propaganda Contrarian TradeU.S. Propaganda vs. Market Reality: A Contrarian Trade Strategy: This idea leverages the growing disconnect between U.S. rhetoric and the increasingly cautious stance of its trading partners and traveling public.by jimmycabo1
SPY Hanging on Mid-Range Support – Will It Rebound or Flush?⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View Current Price: ~$567.56 * SPY recently experienced a CHoCH followed by BOS, but now formed a new CHoCH → bearish shift in structure. * Price is testing a minor demand zone between 566–567, holding just above the larger support base at 560–555. * Volume increased on recent sell candles, showing seller control — but Stoch RSI signals nearing exhaustion. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover – but histogram showing potential slowing of momentum. * Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold and starting to turn up – signals possible bounce/retracement coming. 🔐 Key Levels Support Zones: * 566–567 → Short-term demand / micro CHoCH * 560 → Highest negative GEX zone – PUT support * 555–550 → Strong liquidity zone & 2nd PUT Wall Resistance Zones: * 572.5 → HVL zone and broken structure * 580 → Gamma wall zone, strong CALL resistance * 590–600 → Extended resistance levels for swings 🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro) * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish skew, with a weak neutral pocket * IVR: 26.4 → Volatility low, but near option seller zone * IVx avg: 20.7 * PUT$%: 53.8% — Strong bearish hedging flow * CALL Resistance: 580 → gamma ceiling * PUT Wall: * 560 → Highest negative NetGEX (dealer support) * 555 & 550 → backup defense zones * HVL: 572.5 → key flip level 📌 Current setup shows dealers are heavily short gamma below 572.5, causing negative delta pressure. 🛠️ Trade Setups 📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 566–567 * If SPY holds and reclaims 570 with strong bid, a move toward HVL possible * Entry: Break and hold above 570 * Target 1: 572.5 * Target 2: 578 * Stop-Loss: Below 565 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $575 Calls * OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $570 / Sell $580 📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 565 * Confirmed lower high and break of demand → opens trapdoor * Entry: Below 565 with momentum * Target 1: 560 * Target 2: 555 * Target 3: 550 * Stop-Loss: Above 570 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $560 Puts * OR Put Spread: Buy $565 / Sell $555 🧭 Final Outlook * Bias: Bearish → unless 572.5 HVL is reclaimed. * SPY is caught between strong PUT support at 560 and heavy gamma ceiling at 580. * If market sentiment worsens or macro triggers hit, 555 is the magnet zone. * If buyers step in and hold 566+, bounce setups are likely — but it must reclaim HVL for any strength. 📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly. by BullBearInsights111
Massive Rising wedge 4hr chartMassive rising wedge on 4hr chart!! Been tracking this the last couple weeks. It’s been respecting the trend lines for the this pattern. I believe this is either last leg down in the pattern or one more leg up before it completes the pattern and drops. Target would be 550-560 next week and then 540-550 the following week. With April 2nd with tariffs being finalized we could see this move happen between now and then. If this is the last leg down before it completes the pattern and drops more and breaks the bottom trend line it will happen by either Friday or Monday. If it does leg up it will most definitely be April 2nd when it breaks through bottom trend line. Let’s see how this plays out but for those saying that we are not in a bear market and the bottom was back 552 then your not paying attention. I feel like the bottom could one of 3 targets - $490-20% drop, $430-20% drop, $307-50% drop. Now this all depends on Senior Cheeto. I am thinking 20%or 30% is ideal. Shortby Stockdiddler241
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 27, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🚗 Auto Tariffs Announced: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all cars not made in the U.S., effective April 2. This move is expected to impact the automotive industry and could influence market sentiment. 🇬🇧📉 UK Inflation Falls: UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January, raising speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England in May. This development may have implications for global markets. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000 Previous: 223,000 Indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market. 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Revision (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth Previous: 2.3% Provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024. 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 1.0% Previous: -4.6% Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysisShortby TrendTao0
Tariffs and Trade: Order Behind the Chaos? AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:TLT . Tariffs: It seems that mainstream media is depicting this administration's economic policies as chaotic, suggesting a sense of uncertainty and confusion about what’s happening. However, we can infer that the situation is far from messy. Eventually, tariffs worldwide could be balanced on fairer terms, leading to much more efficient global trade. In cases where tariffs remain reciprocally high, it might simply indicate a shift to a different taxation mechanism, moving away from direct government taxation.by YardCharts0
SPY Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! SPY made a nice bullish Move and will soon hit a Horizontal support of 577.19$ From where we can enter A short trade with the Take Profit of 566.48$ And the Stop Loss of 583.38$ Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Shortby TopTradingSignals111
$SPY Marcg 25, 2025AMEX:SPY Marcg 25, 2025 15 Minutes. No trade for me yesterday as gap up and had no chance to enter. For the rise 561.48 to 575.17 i am expecting a retrace to 566-568 levels as too far away from movoing averages. On 60-minute time frame for the fall 597.37 to 549.68 4SPY has retraced between .5 to .618 levels. So, at the moment I expect upside to be capped at 579-580 levels being .618 levels. So, I will short around that levels or buy around 569 levels for the day.by RiderTrader1
Spy Outlook - Two Key Scenarios to Watch this WeekHello everyone, I’m theCafeTrader — hope you all had a great weekend. Currently, SPY is sitting near the tail end of a supply zone around 569.57 . So far, it hasn’t shown strong conviction to push through this area, which likely reflects a lack of buying interest rather than heavy absorption by sellers. In this post, I’ve outlined two scenarios for how you might approach trading SPY this week. As you’ve probably noticed, we’re sitting right in the middle of the broader range . I’ve marked out both light and heavy supply and demand zones — these will be critical for spotting clean entry opportunities. Remember, liquidity moves markets , and we want to be on the right side of the move with strong entries. ⸻ Scenario 1: Break Above Supply If we open or gap above the current supply , and price holds that level , I can see SPY pushing up toward 584 , encountering some light supply on the way. The play might look like this: • SPY runs up to 576 , hesitates slightly (possible minor rejection), • Finds a bidder and continues to 584 , where heavier selling pressure is likely waiting. That would be the ideal short entry , with a little room for volatility, aiming for a move back down into a new demand zone (not yet formed or shown here). ⸻ Scenario 2: Rejection and Roll Over If we reject this supply zone and roll over , watch for price to cut through demand again and test the big buyers near 549.50 . I’m especially interested in longs in that area. Even if price dips a bit further, there’s extreme demand at 540 , though I’d prefer to keep a tight stop so I can reposition quickly if needed. From there, I think we could catch a strong bid and rally back up to 584 . ⸻ If you found this helpful, please give it a boost and follow — I chart and post updates daily. Also, YouTube is coming soon with live breakdowns and deeper analysis — stay tuned! by thecafetrader1
Week of March 24 Earnings Plenty of earnings this week from major companies this week including: Monday NASDAQ:LUCD NASDAQ:OCX NASDAQ:SKYX NYSE:EPAC NASDAQ:DFLI Tuesday NASDAQ:CSIQ NYSE:GME ( get your 1DTE calls ready ) NASDAQ:RUM NASDAQ:PAVM AMEX:ACCS Wednesday NASDAQ:DLTR NYSE:CHWY NASDAQ:CAN NASDAQ:IVA NASDAQ:MVIS Thursday NASDAQ:BITF NYSE:SNX NASDAQ:LULU NYSE:OXM NASDAQ:PDSB Friday NASDAQ:IPA NASDAQ:KPLT NASDAQ:SLE NASDAQ:ZSPC NASDAQ:SBC Follow for weekly earnings reports! by Snip3r_J1
SPY Primary Trend is still UP The recent breakdown from the steeper uptrend could lead to a pullback to $550-$530. If SPY holds above $550, it may recover towards $580-$600. A break below $530 could signal a deeper correction. As long as SPY holds the primary trend line (~$520), the bullish uptrend remains intact. If it reclaims $600+, it could aim for new all-time highs above $620+. by Wormhole0072
S&P continued outperformance against small capsChart doesnt look great for small caps. The S&P likely will continue its outpermance against the russell 2000. Although small caps trade at a discount, the quality of companies in the russell is much lower compared to the S&P. A discount is likely more than warrantedby walmutlaq20030
SPY might trade lower against RSP to test the supportThe S&P may be on to a trend of underperforming the equal weight S&P right until it hits the support. An outperformance of RSP likely means a tilt towards value and an underperformance of the MAG 7. We shall see what happens, I think the Mag 7 can out perform in the short term given the pace of multiple contraction ~37x earnings to ~25x earnings.by walmutlaq20030
Stock Market Forecast | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFTStock Market Forecast | NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY Mag 7 Forecast | TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGLong23:26by ArcadiaTrading2
1pm updateA quick update on the market. I still think we'll go lower into the close as of now. Short07:44by rsitrades112