Natural Gas Commodity USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
UNG trade ideas
UNG - Direction depending on PutinSorry, I started a new job and haven't been actively trading.
UNG - Nat gas has been very volatile lately and partially connected to Russia war news / European supply. Bearish view - Head and shoulders on daily.
Bullish view - Break over $16.20. *Russia controls a Nat Gas supply to 15 Euro countries.
Have a great long weekend!
$UNG - natgas - naturalgaswinter storm warning for much of the east coast this weekend + production setbacks from Texas deep freeze +Florida deep freeze + Greece/ Turkey blizzards + Iran cutting all exports + Russia/Nato Nordstream tensions
look at the energy sector and tell me that nat gas is not overlooked
Squeeze Short in a downtrendUNG retraced to the 78.6% Fibonacci level before consolidating into a squeeze.
1. Solid orange compressed squeeze
2. Still has negative momentum.
3. No propulsion dots requires a more conservative entry.
4. Vprofile levels offer entry levels and resistance.
5. 18 Feb 22 13 Put Entries ($12.80, $13.20, $13.80)
6. Profit Target #1 @ 12.05.
7. Stop Loss is 25% of the option price.
Well this interesting...Certain geopolitical events, rising prices in Europe and cold snaps across North America seem to be pushing Natural Gas higher. It's broken a key overhead resistance but upside will be limited. You can see some of the previous support lines which do correspond rather nicely with the last move downwards. This is strictly a short-term play unless other resistances and a falling dollar pickup pace.
Closed: UNG January 21st 14C/17P Inverted Short Strangle... for a 4.86 debit.
Comments: I collected a total of 5.44 in credits for this setup. (See Post Below). It started out as a 17 short straddle, after which I rolled the 17 short call down defensively to cut net delta, resulting in an inverted strangle (i.e., short call below the short put). Closed it out here for a small winner on this up move; 5.44 - 4.86 = .58 ($58).
UNG (Natural Gas ETF) - 2021 - Support, Resistance, TrendlinesUNG (United States Natural Gas Fund) - 2021 - Support, Resistance, Trendlines:
-Resistance Price Levels (colored horizontal lines above current price)
-Support Price Levels (colored horizontal lines below current price)
-Trendline Resistances (diagonal grey lines above current price)
-Trendline Supports (diagonal grey lines below current price)
note: chart is on log scale.
Rolling: UNG January 21st 17 Short Call to 14 Short Call... for a .42/contract credit.
Comments: Rolling down the short call of my UNG straddle to reduce net delta directionality and improve my break evens. The resulting setup is a 3-wide inverted 14C/17P for which I've collected a total of 5.44 in credits -- 5.02 for the original short straddle (See Post Below) -- plus an additional .42 here. This also cuts net delta about in half, with the 17 short put clocking in at around 79 delta and the 14 short call around -39. The setup remains net delta long (40.81), leaving room for a potential bounce should that occur. A "perfect finish" for an inverted setup is basically the mid point between the inverted strikes -- in this case, 15.50. I will probably money/take/run if the opportunity presents itself, since there is seasonality with UNG, and I'd rather not roll this out for duration as I would with just about everything else since seasonality favors lower post-winter.
My original price target was a 3.76 debit to close (25% of max profit), so I'm revising that to 3.76 plus .42 or 4.18.
UNG ETF USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
Opening (Margin): UNG January 21st 17 Short Straddle... for a 5.02 credit.
Comments: High IVR/high IV here. I looked at various ways to get around the awful call side skew and decided to just short straddle it. Break evens at 11.98 and 22.02 with delta/theta at -16.85/4.32. Will look to take profit at 25% max.
I'm indicating that it's "short" because of the net delta metric, but it can wander around anywhere between 11.98 and 22.02 and still be profitable.
NEW POSITION $UNG looking for 19.34 fro 16.78% (NatGas)NEW POSITION $UNG looking for 19.34 fro 16.78%
Started a 1% position here… Looking to either sell at 19.34
Or Double my position at 14.50
Let’s go, NatGas traders…
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
(\_/)
( •_•)
/ >🚀
$UNG - Key Levels and Analysis$UNG - Key Levels and Analysis
Would love to get one more good natty swing…
Sell target 21.28
Or
Double target 15.72
——————
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your due diligence.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
My JB 8OC WEEKLY on UNG Nat Gas ETFThank you to those who have responded so kindly and favorably to my postings on the JB 80C indicator that I developed (quite some time ago). The JB 8OC indicator is based on a simple but powerful concept. Specifically, in bull markets no matter what the timeframe, closing prices of a given time bar tend to be higher than opening prices. In a bear market closing prices tend to be lower than opening prices. It's a simple supply and demand relationship. The JB 8OC algorithm takes this relationship into consideration, constructing an indicator to assess the relationship mathematically and visually. As in the case of many indicators, and in fact most indicators, there will be some choppiness but we can eliminate much of that choppiness by adding to the methodology a trigger which will filter out a good percentage of erratic trades. I will show a trigger in later posts if people have an interest in them. If so let me know. Now with regard to timeframe I realize that most traders want to trade very short-term time frames and I have no issue with that but my days of ultra short-term trading are over. I would rather work smart and take my time for bigger moves than work hard for smaller moves. Of course, it's a personal preference. The good news about this indicator is that it's adaptable to all time frames but remember- the bigger the timeframe the more stable the result. Best of trading. Jake RBT (rules based trader)
UNG Reversal Down V. SoonThis is an intuitive hit that I received in meditation this morning. The idea is UNG will reverse back down. I'm not sure if the high is today or it could be Monday. I tend to think it's monday as we're going out strong here at the end of the day.
The .618 is at 18.46. In that area to $19.00 seems like a good area to watch for a reversal. I dowse on this and get the "breakdown" option. This was confirmed with other inquiries. So, we'll see.