US oil roadmap (rough)When it touches the blue lower rail I will buy GTE on the basis the USO ETF looks bullish
Short term bearish af
Long term bullish
Not financial advice
Key stats
About United States Oil Fund
Home page
Inception date
Apr 10, 2006
Structure
Commodities Pool
Distribution tax treatment
No distributions
Income tax type
60/40
Max ST capital gains rate
27.84%
Max LT capital gains rate
27.84%
Primary advisor
United States Commodity Funds LLC
Distributor
ALPS Distributors, Inc.
USO delivers its exposure to oil using near-term futures. USO gets exposure to oil using derivatives, like several oil ETPs. The fund predominately holds near-month-futures contracts on WTI, rolling into future contracts every month. This method is particularly sensitive to short-term changes in spot prices. USO held front month contracts until April 17, 2020, at which time following leeway in the prospectus, USO changed the exposure from holding specifically front-month contracts to holding predominantly front-month contracts, 30% next month and 15% contracts with further expiry. USO is structured as a commodities pool, so expect a K-1 at tax time. Long-term holders will be taxed on any gains even if they didn't sell shares.
Classification
What's in the fund
Exposure type
Cash
Futures
Bonds, Cash & Other100.00%
Cash58.46%
Futures42.87%
Miscellaneous−1.32%
No news here
Looks like there's nothing to report right now
Opening (IRA): USO May 16th -75C/October 17th 45C LCD*... for a 26.25 debit.
Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month strike that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The long call is shown at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 26.25
Break Even: 71.25
Max Profit: 3.75
ROC
Downside tgt hit on USO. Bounce to $70?I've seen so many targets hit and reverse - especially GLD & GDXJ- I figured I may as well see if USO has a similar reversal since the downside target from my last USO idea is tagged & holding.
At the moment I get that it can get back up to the $70-71 area & it's a bull trap.
I also get the date o
USO swing high- short tgt 65-66I asked my dowsing for the next trade to help reach my goal for the year, and it's oil/ USO. I do believe this will include oil stocks, so I may ask for dowsing to choose one from a list. If I do & get the reading done on it, I'll post it as another idea.
My latest work is pretty decent, but a work
Opening (IRA): USO April 17th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.58 debit.
Comments: With /CL dropping sub-70/bbl., putting on a starter position in USO, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 66.58/sha
USO Bearish Outlook: Sell Opportunity as Momentum Shifts Current Resistance Zone: The price is currently testing a strong resistance zone around the $83 level. in the past, this level has been a turning point for price movements.
Potential Reversal: The chart suggests a possible rejection from the resistance zone, with a projected short-term correctio
Opening (IRA): USO February 21st 79/April 17th 107 PMCP** -- Poor Man's Covered Put
Comments: Shorting USO on strength using a long put diagonal/Poor Man's Covered Put, buying the back month 90 delta put and selling the front month 30 that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 22.96 debit
Break Even: 84.04
Max Profi
USO Climbs to Resistance! Can Bulls Maintain Momentum?Technical Analysis Overview:
1-Hour Chart:
* Trend: USO is in a strong uptrend, reaching $84.36 near the upper trendline.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Positive momentum, with the MACD line above the signal line.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 92.16, suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation
USO to fall, Buying SCOMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above or at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)
$USO crash before the bull market starts?I originally thought that we'd see a move higher off the bounce from $69, however the chart has now morphed and looks more bearish than it did over the summer.
If we break the trend line to the downside, then I think it's likely that we can see a crash to the $40 region before the bull market in oi
See all ideas
Summarizing what the indicators are suggesting.
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.