Real estate is on sale short termWhile I expect to see some below 5 year average prices in the medium term, I think theres some short term upside potential here before further downside, I like this monthly chart. This Friday closes the D,W,M,Q.
VNQ trade ideas
Real estate hit hard by monetary conditionsMortgage payment doubled, average rate has reached 6%per annum. Even the ongoing rent increase doesn't really compensate the hardships, not mentioning demand hit. Option traders don't believe in the sector
Real Estate ETF ShortVanguard Real Estate ETF Head and Shoulders target hit on the DTF .
I can see a similarities on the WTF and MTF that could play out and It could happen anytime up until 2024-2025.
We are also in a ABC Corrective Wave and housing prices are becoming unaffordable for most of the population due to rising INFLATION.
Vanguard Real Estate ETFPeople say how do you short the Housing Market Bubble?
I say look at this VG Real Estate ETF.
Head and Shoulders Target hit on the DTF.
I can see a pattern on the WTF and MTF that could play out and cause a massive market crash.
History repeats itself and we have a system that is built on debt and getting worse.
Can you see the patterns on the HTF?
Safe Trading.
get in on selling homes yourself with vnq!see other ta, this is just supportive evidence to linked ta
POP...People are going to wish it was as bad as 2008 because believe you me it's going to be much worse.
Real estate looking shakyAs interest rates rise housing might see a slowdown. Added to watchlist, possible H&S formation.
Real estate is struggling The sector sees fall in demand because of the rates rise. But still considered a safer haven
Initial EWT (1d) (April 2022)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (April 2022)
Alright this is my first time looking at Vanguard so this may not be very accurate but this is what I have come up with so far. I will post this in a few different time frames but I think the current cycle I've identified could go as far as the early 2030s.
My elliott wave analyses could be wrong at any moment , this is practice solely for educational purposes. Please do your own research as always!
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
Initial EWT (3d) (April 2022)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (April 2022)
Alright this is my first time looking at Vanguard so this may not be very accurate but this is what I have come up with so far. I will post this in a few different time frames but I think the current cycle I've identified could go as far as the early 2030s.
My elliott wave analyses could be wrong at any moment , this is practice solely for educational purposes. Please do your own research as always!
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
Initial EWT (1w) (April 2022)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (April 2022)
Alright this is my first time looking at Vanguard so this may not be very accurate but this is what I have come up with so far. I will post this in a few different time frames but I think the current cycle I've identified could go as far as the early 2030s.
My elliott wave analyses could be wrong at any moment , this is practice solely for educational purposes. Please do your own research as always!
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
Initial EWT (1mo) (April 2022)Vanguard Real Estate ETF (April 2022)
Alright this is my first time looking at Vanguard so this may not be very accurate but this is what I have come up with so far. I will post this in a few different time frames but I think the current cycle I've identified could go as far as the early 2030s.
My elliott wave analyses could be wrong at any moment , this is practice solely for educational purposes. Please do your own research as always!
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
Vanguard Real Estate ETF - Bearish outline$vnq is showing:
trend break
backtest of the dead trend
a diamond pattern
a triple peak/head-and-shoulders pattern
and what seems to be a full set of waves before a correction.
There's lots of signals here.
Plus, this comes just as the FED is about to attempt normalising policy and of course, we have the Black Swan event of the Ukraine conflict.
Real Estate BubbleCharts and logic
Say circa 30-60% off property
Incoming
Fits will global collapse narrative
Let's see what happens
G.R.I. 2022
We are more powerful than Vanguard/BLKFor the magic you seek
the light you seek is but darkness mere mortal for the eyes have seen the light since birth yet ignored you chose to seek the darkness within the light of the bearer.
purgatory.
Real estate overvaluedDeclines at periods of monetary tightening seem deep enough for a low volatile sector. Overinflated prices for housing help the homebuilders, the raise in rent rates keeps on, but how sustainable is it
BIG JUMP ComingThe pullback was expected, as we had been moving on the upper part of the range. We have touched the trendline and ready to take off, as has happend the past few times.
Additionally, it appears that the big move happens after moving over the 20 and 9 moving averages, which we did today. I expect a big move up either tomorrow 2022-01-13 or 2022-01-14.
Real estateOverprices real estate is on track with the rent payments inflations of over 3,5% per annum. Strong correlation with GDP numbers might play a bad game in Q2
ESTATE/CommoditiesTrend of real estate versus commodities. As per the inflation raise, lets analyse what would the market do in the future?
