Get started
SPDR 500 CDI 1:1SPDR 500 CDI 1:1SPDR 500 CDI 1:1

SPDR 500 CDI 1:1

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Analysis Holdings News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

SPY trade ideas

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Market Cycle Analysis – Correction coming ?This chart presents a macro view of SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) on a bi-weekly timeframe, highlighting key market cycle corrections and potential upcoming trends. Key Observations: 🔴 Trendline Support: The price action has consistently respected a long-term ascending trendline, with previous corrections bouncing off similar levels. 📉 Historical Market Corrections: Red vertical lines mark significant past corrections (Feb 2020, Dec 2021), aligning with dips in the lower indicator, suggesting cyclical downturns. 📊 Momentum Indicator (Lower Panel): Past dips in this momentum indicator (highlighted with red arrows) coincided with major corrections in the SPY chart. The recent downward trend raises concerns about another potential market pullback. 🔮 Future Projection (March 2025?): Based on previous cycles, the next major correction could occur around March 2025, aligning with potential trendline retests. If history repeats, we may see a pullback before resuming the uptrend. Key Questions for Traders & Investors: ✅ Will SPY respect the trendline and recover, or are we heading for a deeper correction? ✅ Does the current market structure resemble past cycle downturns? ✅ How will macroeconomic conditions influence SPY’s next move? Let me know your thoughts! Are you preparing for a correction, or do you see more upside potential? 🚀📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
Rollercoaster Continues For SPYMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 3 or 4 (green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer. Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see SPY bottom around 486 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 535 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 111 trading hours. Intermediate wave 3 is somewhat on pace to finish in the same amount of time around 17 April. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 499. Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025. Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down over the next two months. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025. All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if SPY breaks above 576.33 within the next 3 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time. I will reevaluate this ETF once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next two weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 1 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-2 : GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests price may attempt to move downward in early trading, trying to find support near recent lows, then potentially roll a bit higher. I do expect price to move into a downward price trend - attempting to break below the 549 price level and targeting the 535-545 target Fib level this week. Today, Thursday, and Friday are all GAP/Breakaway types of patterns. So we should be entering an expansion of price trend and I believe that trend will be to the downside. Gold and Silver are nearing a Flag Apex level. Very exciting for a potential breakout rally driving Gold up above $3250 and Silver up above $36. I personally believe there is nothing stopping Gold and Silver in this rally phase until Gold reaches levels above $4500. GET SOME. BTCUSD had a very interesting spike low. I still believe BTCUSD will roll downward - targeting the $76-78k level, then break downward towards the $60k level. Time will tell. The rest of this week should be very exciting with the Breakaway and GAP patterns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now. The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much? My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of “Editors’ Picks” made me happier and helped me to create further. Why “Visual Investor”? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before. Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings. A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century. This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. “Dear Grandpa, why didn’t you buy something from that list ?” you might say in your heart. However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, “I was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didn’t climb into my own pile of nuts.” The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge. Part One This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes. Part two This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours. Part three This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours. I recommend reading the book “Visual Investor” thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy. Part One 1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes" The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac? The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.​​ 5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for? The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements.​ Duration of study: 20 minutes. 12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 14. Two captains of the same ship The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes. Part two 15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market! The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 16. Picking rules - the Lynch method The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings.​ Duration of study: 15 minutes. 17. A pill for missed opportunities The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 18. Man on the shoulders of giants The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 21. Assets I prioritize The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 22. A sense of debt The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 23. At the beginning was the Equity The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 24. The income statement: the place where profit lives The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 25. My precious-s-s-s EPS The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 26. What should I look at in the Income statement? The reader will learn which key income statement metrics — such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) — the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 28. Cash flow vibrations The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 29. Financial ratios: digesting them together The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 30. What can financial ratios tell us? The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes. Part three 31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1 The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2 The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request? The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 35. How to evaluate the work of company management? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows? The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail? The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 38. How to convert craziness into results? The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 39. How to use Replay to study indicators? The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 40. How to explain my decision-making system? The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes. 43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes. 44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 45. The Inside Out Investor The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 46. Effective inefficiency The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
SPY: Yet another bearish SPY forecastLooking at the previous sell-off patterns, theres a strong possibility that if the downtrend continues, SPY will head to low 500's by mid-May before rebounding in the summer to retest current levels (540-560) before completing the final leg (or first) of a correction to the high mid-high 400 price level - or potentially low 400s in September. Its been a while since I've shared a predictive chart but the current market behavior makes it hard not to try to paint a picture. Heaps of salt to be taken - I've been wrong many times before
AMEX:SPYShort
by myceliium
1
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 3 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma TrapSPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma Trap Accelerates Drop 🔻 🌎 Context: April 2, 2025 Today’s Trump tariff news set off a panic wave in the market — triggering a sharp sell-off in major indices. SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, lost grip on its HVL ($560) and flushed into a dealer short-gamma zone, where volatility surged as hedging flows flipped bearish. Key Narrative: * Macro shock = Tariff fears * Market wasn’t positioned = IV spike + dealer scrambling * Result = Gamma-driven slide with no call support nearby 🧭 Technical Breakdown – 1H Chart 🔻 Price Action: * SPY broke down from $567-$565 support range. * Panic candle sliced through HVL $560 and continued through $550, tagging $542.20 intraday low. * The entire move below HVL now triggers short-gamma conditions. 📌 Support Zones: * $544.82 (currently testing) * $542.20 (session low) * Below that? Thin air until $538–$535 zone from macro FVGs. 🔼 Resistance Zones: * $550 = now resistance (2nd PUT Wall) * $555 = 3rd PUT Wall (likely a pause/reload area) * $560 = HVL / Former gamma support flipped resistance 🧠 GEX + Options Sentiment 💣 Gamma Exposure (GEX): * 🚨 GEX flipped heavily negative under $560. * HVL $560 has collapsed. * Dealers are now short gamma, adding to volatility and forced selling pressure. 🔴 Gamma Risk Zones: * PUT Support at $560 (-86.95% GEX) * Walls stacked at $555 and $550 → now broken * NO significant GEX support until $540 — more room to fall 📈 Options Oscillator: * IVR 40.8 / IVx Avg 29.3 → Elevated volatility with room to run * PUTS 83.3% dominance = bearish sentiment confirmed * Red Red Blue GEX = maximum dealer pain, negative gamma loop 🧭 Trade Setups Based on Current Conditions 🐻 Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias) * Entry: Under $543 (below today's low) * Target: $540 → $535 * Stop: Over $550 reclaim * Contract: 0DTE/2DTE $545P or $540P for gamma scalping * Note: Dealer hedging is directional, be precise and fast 🐂 Relief Bounce Setup (Low Conviction) * Only valid if SPY reclaims $550 and shows slowing momentum * Possible dead-cat bounce to $555–$560 * Prefer spreads due to high IV and fast time decay 📌 Key Levels Summary HVL (Former Support) $560 Gamma flip zone — now resistance Gamma Pivot $550 Broke down — keep an eye on it Support Zone $542.20 Session low Downside Target $540 → $535 If gamma slide continues 💭 My Thoughts: This Is a Gamma Meltdown Today’s tariff headlines sparked a reflexive gamma cycle — as dealers flipped from long to short gamma, they were forced to hedge dynamically, driving SPY deeper into a liquidity vacuum. This is not your regular dip — it’s a liquidity and dealer flow event, so everything moves faster, with wild swings possible into the close or tomorrow. Unless SPY reclaims HVL at $560 fast, expect continuation or chop within this danger zone. VIX rising + GEX red = recipe for pain. 📢 Final Notes: * Use defined risk. * Don’t overstay puts. * Gamma moves cut both ways — expect volatility. * Track GEX hourly if possible. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and protect your capital.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
3
Tariff FUD is reking ports. SPY 505 First Stop. 460 Second.Trading Fam, It's no surprise that Trump's implementation of high tariffs would cause initial FUD. This can be observed in the massive spikes on the $VIX. What is unknown and has caught many traders by surprise, myself included, is how substantial of a drop would be incurred by investor uncertainty. Initially, it did appear that 500 might hold. That was a huge support. I knew if it broke, the sell-off would be deep. But I held hope that the market would hold above this trendline. It did not. So, yesterday and today, investors who held are incurring substantial losses. For those who were smarter than me and sold at or near the top, congratulations! You've saved yourself some duress and cash. Now, some are calling this the beginning of a longer bear market. I still don't see it that way. Honestly (and I know this will be hard to believe), I still see the SPY hitting my target #3 at 670-700 before 2026 comes to an end. Longer-term we still remain in a massive secular bull market since 2009 and to break this long-term trend, the SPY would actually have to break below 300. That is a long way down and I just don't see that happening, though as always, I definitely could be wrong. Shorter-term I am seeing two prominent areas of support. The first has almost been reached at 505. If I would have played this correctly, I'd be DCA'ing in my first load of cash here. The second area of support is at around 460 and slightly rising daily. This would be where I DCA'ed in another load of cash. However, if that broke, I'd exit immediately and reassess the charts. 300 is a long way down, but over the past 5 years we have seen some extraordinary market price action and volatility. TBH, even the best of us technicians are struggling to understand the larger macro-economic picture, but I'd wager to say that tariff fears may be overexaggerated as market reactions often tend to be. One interesting note is that crypto price action no longer seems to correlate and prices have help up surprisingly well. Could this be our first indicator that the markets are due to turn up again in a few weeks/months? Unknown. But I can promise you I'll be watching this all closely. ✌️Stew
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
SPY UpdateIt appears that intermediate (A) had OML to give us before it was finished. Price literally moved $0.08 cents below the larger 1.236 and then gave us a reaction. We also got better pos div completing the reqs for a healthier consolidation higher. If we have in fact bottomed, then I would expect the ensuing price action to resemble the dotted line I have drawn on the chart. This doesn't mean that price will follow this pattern to the T. It is just what a standard abc pattern would appear like. Don't forget that b waves are extremely complex more times than not, so that could alter the way this pattern gets carved out. Also, the dotted line may look straight, but the structure will be far from it. People often times forget that price doesn't move in one direction, and there will be choppy overlapping moves. Regardless on how the pattern turns out, if the (A) wave is in fact complete, then the target box is the standard place for intermediate (B) to terminate at. I expect this next move to take 2-4 months if it is to compare to the time duration of the (A) wave. There are no rules governing duration, though. Technically speaking, (B) could be over by the end of the week. The odds of that happening are extremely low, but it is possible.
AMEX:SPY
by TSuth
SPY: Breaking Levels; TASPY broke down the Weekly demand line and now looking to break the Monthly demand. Looking to possibly test the bottome weekly trendline. Possibly a 530 price target and if weakness continues, possibly below more to 520 then 510.46 to fully retest that bottom trendline. The market has bene crazy, people calling bottom, wanting to catch the reversal. I mean, I would want to catch this “V” up too, but have to see if it keeps trending down to the bottom trendline. LMK what you think and if you have any TA, tag me! *Not FA
AMEX:SPYShort
by sweatytrigger
1
FULL MOON and SPYHello traders! One of the great legends, OSHO, explains that if the moon has enough power to cause turbulence in the oceans, then why can't it affect human beings thinking and behaviors when the human body is made up of roughly 60% water? OSHO further explains that in history many people have been enlightened and many become mentally disturbed on days like a FULL MOON, and he explained that there must be a connection between planets positions and human behaviors. Now, if it comes to trading SPY based on the moon phases, then I have backtested a few full-moon dates, and I have found something interesting that makes me think of incorporating a full-moon strategy while trading SPY/SPX or any other major index. I am not promoting astrology or abnormal ideas, but I want to share my research with you all because I found a connection and patterns in the behavior of SPY and the full moon. You are not forced to think about astrology in trading, but having knowledge and the ability to see patterns in the world can help you build your intuitive thinking and deep subconscious knowledge. This year, taking Los Angeles as a reference, full moon dates were on Jan 13, Feb 12, and March 13. On January 13, the price showed a bullish run all day with low and high points of about 575.36 and 581.69, respectively. The similar bullish run was observed on February's full moon day, i.e., on 12th February, when SPY showed a low of 598.41 and a high of 604.52, making the market bullish all day. In contrast, we have observed a sharp decline in SPY on March 13, 2025 (full moon), which could seem to invalidate the full-moon strategy, but in the long run, SPY and the SPX Index remain bullish most of the time. Carefully observing previous year (2024) full-moon dates, I have found that SPY opened 4 times gap-up on full moon dates (May 23 2024, July 21 2024 (market off but gap-up next session), October 17 2024, December 15 2024 (market off but gap-up next trading session). 5 times out of 12 were classified as bullish to strongly bullish: January 20 2024 (Bullish after 11:00 AM PST), March 25 2024 (sideways market but bullish overall), April 23 2024 (Bullish), August 19 2024 (bullish), and September 18 2024 (bullish after 9:00 AM PST). The market remains gap-down and bearish two times on February 24 2024, and on November 15 2024. Now, since I have found that the SPX Index remains bullish on most of the FULL MOON dates, and the chances of a gap-up opening on or the next day of the FULL MOON (in case the market is closed on the FULL MOON) are very high based on the results obtained from the PY 2024 and 2025 previous months. The next FULL MOON is on Saturday, 12th April 2025, and the market is closed on this date; therefore, on 14th April 2025, if the market repeats itself, then I can expect SPY to open gap-up, and it would be interesting to see if FULL MOON really has the power to influence the stock market. Let’s give it a try, and on 11th April, 2025, if the market gives signs of huge buying pressure, then I will be buying some calls expiring April 14th, 2025, to test the full moon strategy. I am the only writer of this article, so there are high chances that I might have made some mistakes while publishing. Therefore, I would be happy to see if you can correct me if I'm wrong or if you can share your own knowledge and insights about the relationship between MOON and SPY. Thoughts and comments?
AMEX:SPYLong
by billionaire_guru
5
SPY April weekly forecasts - New stuff-This is an idea I've done in the past, but never posted on here. Sometimes it's pretty close to how things play out with variances on timing. Regardless, I want to see it as a journal entry for my dowsing work with all my notes with the chart. It may be interesting to other people as well, so I'm posting it. Dates are often reversals. I do think next Tuesday could be a bounce. I'd like to get monthly highs/lows on SPY/QQQ, but that doesn't seem to be in the cards atm. :(
AMEX:SPY
by JenRz
SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead 📉 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. 1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support. 2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level. Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment. Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies. 🚨 Trading Plan: 📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance. 📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk. 📌 Profit Targets: First target: $537.75 Second target: $510.27 📊 Risk Management: Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move. If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis. 📢 Conclusion: SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation. ⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉 #SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11 AMEX:SPY I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside. When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo. Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SuLLL0
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.​ 🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.​ 🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, April 4: 👷‍♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +140,000​ Previous: +151,000 Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.​ 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1%​ Previous: 4.1%​ Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.​ 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3%​ Previous: +0.3%​ Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
House of Cards - $585 before the crashHouse of Cards - $585 before the crash I'm unable to update my previous idea that I originally posted in February when AMEX:SPY was at the top. Going to make this brief and will add screenshots and additional notes once the structure of Wave (B) is confirmed or invalidated. On the 500R chart ($5), the price has risen in a distinct 3-wave pattern labelled A-B-C, with C reaching the 1.236 extension of A and finding resistance at the 100SMA (yellow). The low of Wave (A) respected the boundary of the lower line of the regression trend I have added to the chart. While this trend started prior to what I am considering Wave (A), I still think it provides a good target for the top of the retracement. Wave (c) of A of (B) (still following me?) is not confirmed as complete yet. It could extend as far as $584 without pulling back, however I anticipate the market building more liquidity on the way up while burning options in the process. I bought 3/28 $570p at the end of the day in case we see a 50%-61.8% pullback to $560-$563 by the end of the week. If that happens, we should have enough room to reach the upper band at $585, which would be a little over a 50% retracement of Wave (A). This would also cause the price to touch the 200 SMA (green), which is common in the first major retracement of a bear market. Lastly, from a psychological perspective, the market reached an overwhelmingly bearish consensus from mid-February to mid-March. Sentiment during Wave (a) was mostly bearish, but sentiment has shifted positive since the price entered Wave (c) and gapped up on Monday, resulting in a >+1% day. This sets the stage for a rug pull and subsequent bear trap for late sellers who will assume the downtrend has resumed prematurely. We'll see how this plays out. I'll switch to calls if a higher high is made Wednesday 3/26. Good luck to all.
AMEX:SPY
by ap769
4