US Market Normalized to M2 Money SupplyAnother view of the US market trend considering the substantial fed stimulus, a lot more upside potential.
VTS trade ideas
Vanguard etf VTI is in its late stages of an impulse wave.A five wave impulse down larger than the March decline or a major sell signal will be a clear sign the motive phase from 2009 is over and the corrective phase of an Elliott Wave cycle has begun.
VTI - $168 Entry / Back to $1800. Great Fund as follows:
VTI Fund Description
VTI tracks a cap-weighted index that measures the investable US equities market, encompassing the entire market-cap spectrum.
VTI Factset Analytics Insight
VTI is a good choice for investors or traders looking for comprehensive, total-market equity exposure, including micro-caps. The fund offers neutral coverage, making no industry, size or style bets to speak of. The fund is passively managed and remains fully invested at all times. Over its long life the ETF has tracked various broad indexes from Dow Jones, MSCI, and as of June 2013, CRSP. Its current index aligns extremely well with our MSCI benchmark. Our only gripe is common to all Vanguard ETFs: portfolio disclosure is lagged, and reported monthly—rather than daily.
VTI Top 10 Holdings
Apple Inc.5.12%
Microsoft Corporation4.80%
Amazon.com, Inc.4.14%
Facebook, Inc. Class A1.88%
Alphabet Inc. Class A1.38%
Alphabet Inc. Class C1.31%
Johnson & Johnson1.19%
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B1.11%
Procter & Gamble Company1.00%
Visa Inc. Class A0.99%
Total Top 10 Weighting 22.93%
VTI - Vanguard World Index LONG idea- Price is making new highs for the year
- Measured first target is 195.19
- A tight SL can be a close below 20 moving average or wider one below the last swing low. AMEX:VTI
PT 95 to start, the fall Looking at maybe a day or two of upside before the collapse. Megaphone printing time PT 95.
INFINITY MODELER SPX 3200 unthinkable bottomWelcome trading viewers
I present to you beyond technical analysis/axiom quantification of prices.
Maybe you think its a vodoo or something, behind the scene is complex set of modelers in conjunction to price.
Spx bottom in.. did i predict the unthinkable.. maybe i did or may be i did not
Theee years from now we will look at this chart and ponder about the magnification of our ideas.
Stop loss 2120 and target 3200 the global optimum of multi objective optimization
Bulls and bears can win in high volatility environments.COVID19 isn't going away. Long virus stocks is still the right play on vaccine potential hype. Just go with the trend
Eagle-InvestorThis one was called off our custom ThinkorSwim indicator. Volatility had a gap-up and kept running higher.
Best Stocks & Options Trading CommunityStocks trader best chatroom since 2016. We’re Operating 95% winning rate!!! Improve your trading performance today.
Litany Against FearI must not fear.
Fear is the mind-killer.
Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.
I will face my fear.
I will permit it to pass over me and through me.
And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path.
Where the fear has gone there will be nothing.
Only I will remain.
- Frank Herbert, Dune: en.wikipedia.org
VTI Bounced off support and looks to be a potential dbl bottomVTI looks to be forming a double bottom. Need to keep a watch to see if it can hold. If it does and breaks above the line, will be bullish.
$VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market -BOOMER FEAR INDICATORBoomers can blow up the market anytime they decide to stampede. Watch the volume on this one to gauge the retail fear. Vanguard moves the market. When people start logging into their IRA's and 401ks and dumping Vanguard Index Funds the market falls. Period.
VTI Enters the 'Stubborn Stage' of a Possible Reversal US indices and most stocks are now trading at areas that make little rational sense for them to remain at without there being big corrections. The questions at this point are when and how big are the corrections to be.
VTI is trading slightly above the 1.61 projection of the 2018 fall. Above this area is where I get most interested in selling, but it is also a point that can produce quite a lot of selling risk as price moves can become more stubborn. Unsophisticated buys will continue to enter the market, they make the fundamental mistake of thinking because everything is higher it is worth more, of course usually it is just more expensive.
The risk for sellers here come in the forms of grinding up moves with various fake reversals and also in parabolic spike moves to the upside. Both of these means early selling has to be lighter with good stop loss controls. If stops are used well and losses are capped then multiple attempts at selling higher prices can also be taken.
The less risky alternative here is to wait for a break back under 170 and then build up shorts into the nearer term downwards momentum. I think upon selling price break back under here, we'll see the end of the US bull market.
I'm now starting to hunt out stocks I can sell high that are likely to suffer liquidity shocks on the way down by being heavily over traded in ETFs. If these things start to fall quickly, ETF owning bundles of stocks are going to see investors wanting out, and in turn they're going to have to go to the primary market and hit all the asks for the stocks. Many of these stocks are trading thinner volume in the primary market than they are in the secondary market of ETFs. To put this simply, it means someone is going to want to sell 100 times more of a stock than anyone usually buys, and an absolute this is going to be at a time the stock is in an absolute mess, so no one wants it.
When there is not normal liquidity in the market, the short fall for this is going to have to made up with market makers. They will not blindly buy in the style we've seen stocks bought up to this point. For them to take on the risk (which they will be obligated) they will want to take prices to where they can do buy/sell business (limit their risk). This means a stock might be currently trading at $20, but the market maker won't take the risk on anything above $15. What happens then? Since the market maker is the only buyer there, the ETF has to hit the ask - they sell a stock trading $20 for $15 and there is a big gap in the market.
The above is what Dr Burry talks about when he refers to passive investing as a bubble. At some point there are going to be more volume of sell orders hitting the market than there are buyers (in typical volume of trading) to meet them. When this happens the sellers have to take any offers they can get, and they will get them only from those who have to give them offers and will do so on their terms - which will not be at 'moon prices'. These will be at heavily discounted prices.
Gaps in the market are bad. Generally they scare smaller investors. They remove risk control from big investors and may trigger margin calls in some cases. With margin calls happening, this cycle of sellers having no choice but to hit any ask, and market makers having no choice but to provide offers to buy lower than the current market price. This can lead to more bigs moves down and maybe even more gaps which can feed upon itself.
This is going to hit the passive investing marketplace like an earthquake, and this earthquake will quickly shift over to the primary market where it starts to do real damage. It then will cause a series of predicable aftershocks that will lead to heavy sell offs in all stocks and the worst in the more thinly traded ones. Some of the thinly traded companies may well have trouble surviving the onslaught of their stocks being bought up more than they should have been and then suddenly dumped into the market maker only markets. Insolvency will become a real risk as this develops.
Breakout Levels: Historic Crashes, 2008After the price has broken through the first support level there are two bull moves setting up selling opportunities. Once price has broken back through the support level price falls a bit over 10% in the following weeks of trading. Support it then found and price turns rapidly from the second support level.
VANGUARD (VTI) possible moves in the futureGive a like for the time invested in this analysis, please. I don't share them for free with my clients :D
We've reached extreme highs - what next?My custom indictor is suggesting we've reached a zombie new high in the general markets and this indicator has reached highs equal to levels near December 2017. My interpretation of this peak is that the market could continue to try to push a bit higher - but overall this level has historically been an extreme overbought level and the markets have typically corrected from these highs.
What next? If you are long this market right now, keep your stops fairly tight and get ready for a violent reversal in the near future. If you are flat, stay that way until we see some type of technical rotation in price. If you are short, you are likely taking a bit of heat on your position and my gut tells me we could see a repeat of November/December 2018 in 2019.
Remember, price dictates what is likely to happen and this rally to the upside in the NQ is technically a NEW HIGH. Thus, the trend is bullish until we see some type of price rotation. I still believe a price rotation will happen before the end of 2019. In fact, I can't believe the markets are in zombie mode for this long.
Be prepared
Could it happen THAT QUICK?What do you think? For any of you that follow my research, you'll understand that this chart (including the projected down arrow) would indicate a complete collapse of the Global captital markets and present a "washout" of valuations across the world. Could it happen - you bet. Will it happen - unknown at this time. My research suggests a down trend will happen in the US and global markets before the end of 2019 (as my super cycle research has predicted). My research also suggests the US stock market will be one of the safest places on the planet to invest going forward.
Therefore, are you ready for a wild ride? One that may never happen again for another 75+ years? If you want to know what my thoughts are about this, then follow my research more closely and stay away from Cryptos. Put your money into Metals instead.
