#AUS200: Playing a Descending scallop patternDescending scallop is a pattern that can be traded long or short.
The price comes down forming a elongated rounded bottom then has a throwback. The high before the throwback (small dump) is the breakout level upwards.
The lowest point of the rounded bottom is the breakout level downwards.
So first we need to wait and see if there is a throwback - unless we have this then its not to be classified as a descending scallop pattern.
The idea is to short at the throwback swing high, covering long at the bounce described below.
Then if the throwback holds around the 0.618 fibonacci level you can look for longs when it breaks upward out of the high of the swing before the throwback its confirmation of the breakout. Invalidation of long is when we close under the bottom breakout level. Invalidation of short when we close above the swing high before the "Throwback".
Check linked idea for a recent idea of descending scallop.
XJO trade ideas
AU200 set to continue dropping?HTFs - earlier in the year this index went into free fall. It's "bounced back" but the overall state of price has been very corrective. Separating the patterns, I can see an ascending wedge which moved into an ascending channel and is now very near significant highs |
LTFs - I'm just focused on the ascending channel section. There seems to be an expanding ending pattern at the end of the larger pattern which increases reversal probability. Price threatened to drop last week after rejecting at highs but is now creeping back up to high value area for a 3rd touch.
ENTRY - I suspect that this time price may break the immediate high within the expanding pattern to complete the overall structure. Pattern within a pattern so I'll be looking for an entry at the top of structure once the high breaks. If price action is impulsive upon approach, I'll just wait for the market to show a signal it's reversing and then wait for an entry.
ASX Nice Complex Ending Diagonal - Let's Figure It OutStill looks like an ending diagonal and its heading back towards the previous Wave iv of Wave 1 which is a common retracement level.
Wave iv of this ending diagonal E Wave took the shape of a triangle which means this last move is weak and will be the final move in Wave 2.
Looking towards the SELL ZONE I would say this could result in a blow off top around the psychological level of 6000 if things get crazy.
Wave (C) can easily exceed the size of Wave (A) if there is a buying climax and the reversal should be severe.
A break of the the magenta line at 5474 level should confirm Wave 2 is over and we are moving into Wave 3.
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AU200AUD I am selling from the topHi traders:
I am looking for sell setups on AU200AUD, as we are currently sitting at the top of its structure and a good value area for short.
I like the smaller structure within the bigger structure on the higher time frame, all lining up around the same area.
I will be entering based on lower time frame continuation correction the downside.
Thank you
ASX Fluff Has Pushed A Little Higher. Above ConsolidationMid week trading and the ASX has pumped a little above the consolidation fluff I wrote about for the last 28 days which is actually just good to see some movement in a direction. For strength this market needs to get up to the previous high market to have full confidence that things are changing. Aussie markets to get sucked up with USA confidence. Still dribble IMO unless a more dominant p…u…s…h.…
Also watch out for the battle zone starting at R1: 5624.5 and above…
📈Support & Resistance📉*
Support Levels
1st Support Zone: 5482.9
2nd Support Zone: 5283.0
3rd Support Zone: 4887.9
Resistance Levels:
1st Resistance Zone: 5624.5
2nd Resistance Zone: 5723.3
3rd Resistance Zone: 5943.8
Price Level Consideration
ATH: 7208.2
All Time High Half Way Point: 3604.1
Previous High: 5568.6
Previous Low: 4392.7
🐃 Bulls Verse Bears 🐻
🐃 Bullish above: 6880.9
🐻 Bearish below: 5397.8
Monthly & Weekly Opens
Monthly Open: 5520.6
Weekly Open: 5403.6
ASX - Ending Diagonal Trickery - So Now Wave 3 Down? ASX TOP???So back to my original ending diagonal idea. This made that last Wave v needed to complete the ending diagonal.
Has Wave 3 begun? Probably but a break of the Magenta line will confirm this.
If this is Wave 3 down in a major C wave then we should see this sharply lower sooner rather than later.
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AU200AUD Triangle Breakout Soon!Hello Friends,
There is a bearish triangle formed on the H4 chart. However, the price action has already pushed past the triangle trendline and is looking bullish. If this continues we will be seeing a nice push up towards the target. If this is a fake-out then expect a bearish push down as indicated on this chart.
Cheers!
My thought on XJO aka ASX in a single chartASX is showing a bullish signal according to the charts. Below is my analysis and when i will be fully bullish.
Bullish case:
- ascending triangle which is inherently bullish.
- LSMA in upwards direction
- price above 50MA
- daily velocity positive
- RSI neutral
Bearish case:
- price below a key fib level: 0.382 at 5468
- price below key resistance level at 5580
I will be full-bullish with of course tight SL when price closes daily above 5584.
I will keep you updated with any changes bullish or bearish. If you like these TA please click like or leave a comment.