Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.89106
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.88668
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.90090
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDCAD trade ideas
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 14 - 18 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Inflation Rate in Canada, US, and UK, US PPI, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— Inflation Rate in Canada
— US Inflation Rate
— UK Inflation Rate
— US Producer Price Index
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDCAD shortSwing Trade Idea – AUD/CAD
The price is currently trading below the 50-day moving average, indicating bearish momentum. Recently, a strong bearish candle broke the previous market structure, confirming downside pressure. Based on this, I expect the price to move lower towards the target area, which aligns with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension level.
AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | July 14, 2025🟦 AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | ICT-Based Analysis
📅 Week Starting: July 14, 2025
🧠 "Don't chase — let the trade come to you."
🧭 Market Context (1H + HTF Alignment)
This chart outlines a clear Smart Money framework for AUDCAD using ICT principles. The market recently completed a manipulation phase below a major accumulation zone, forming a clear SMT divergence and respecting a CISD (Clean Internal Sell-side Displacement).
After manipulation and SMT confirmation, price respected the CISD and showed willingness to displace bullishly, suggesting a potential re-accumulation phase on the lower timeframes.
🔍 Key Observations
Accumulation + SMT:
We had a prolonged accumulation phase that led to a smart money manipulation (fakeout), marked by SMT divergence. This was followed by a bullish shift in structure, confirming intent.
CISD + CE Reaction:
Price respected the CISD zone and formed a bullish W reversal + OB/BI setup. This is a common ICT pattern before major expansions.
Re-Accumulation Area:
The current consolidation near ERL levels shows signs of controlled accumulation, with price respecting previous liquidity levels.
This area may act as a springboard for expansion towards HTF objectives.
📈 HTF Targeting: Reversal Area + EQH
The chart marks a High Time Frame Reversal Area (HTF) above the current price, potentially acting as a premium inefficiency or sell-side liquidity target.
EOH (Expansion Objective High) is drawn in that same region, providing a long-term magnet for price.
This aligns with the broader Monthly Cycle expectation.
🔄 Monthly Cycle Analysis
“Monthly Cycle is Created — Open, Low... Now We Wait for the High and Close.”
This suggests:
Monthly Open and Low are already formed.
A bullish monthly cycle is anticipated — meaning we're waiting for the High to form next.
Once the high is set, a retracement towards the Close level is expected by the end of the month.
This macro view gives us context for aiming long positions on pullbacks — buying dips within the re-accumulation range.
⚠️ Trader's Insight
Don’t Chase — Let the Trade Come to You.
The setup is not about chasing price. Instead, the idea is to:
Wait for price to return to favorable zones (e.g., CE of OB inside CISD)
Confirm intent with LTF SMT, FVGs, or M15 structural shifts
Target HTF inefficiencies and liquidity zones (EOH & Reversal Area)
🎯 Bias for the Week
Bullish, based on:
Monthly cycle direction (expecting HIGH)
Price behavior post-CISD respect
Clear smart money accumulation and displacement
Re-accumulation on LTFs suggesting continuation
#AN020: US Tariffs, Euro Weakness, USD Strength, Forex at Risk?
1. New US Tariff Threats Against the EU and Canada
Over the weekend, President Trump announced the sending of formal letters introducing new tariffs: 35% on Canadian goods and potential tariffs for the EU as well (15-20%).
Context: The return of protectionism fuels uncertainty.
Market Impact: Shift to safe-haven currencies — the US dollar gains ground, while EUR/USD and USD/CAD remain under pressure.
2. EUR/USD Below 1.1700
The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1700, failing to recover.
3. GBP/USD Loses Ground
The GBP/USD pair fell below 1.3500, hitting a three-week low.
Factors: Disappointing UK GDP data + stronger USD.
Impact: Pressure on the pound, possible continuation of the downtrend to 1.3420 unless better data emerges.
4. USD/JPY near 147.50
The dollar reached new two-week highs against the yen, hitting 147.50.
Causes: Risk flight and reduced expectations for BoJ intervention.
Outlook: If global sentiment remains adverse, USD/JPY could head towards 148.00.
5. Gold and safe-haven assets recover
Trade uncertainty is supporting gold, which has risen to near $3,360/ounce.
Outlook: Volatility and preference for the USD and JPY are increasing; gold will act as a sentinel of fear in the markets.
🔍 Summary of Impacts on Forex Markets
EUR/USD Weaker: Push toward 1.1600 due to trade concerns and USD strength
GBP/USD Down: UK data pressured + risk aversion
USD/JPY Rising: USD refuge and possible break above 148
USD/CAD Volatile: Canadian tariffs penalize CAD, but oil prices and BoC reactions to monitor
Gold & XM Gold strengthens, signaling risk, USD support; JPY and USD benefit
Aud/Cad LongAud has shown strength and this pair is currently testing resistance.
If price will manage to move higher and make resistance to support this suggest
that byers are here and price may go up to the next resistance at 0.91000 and beyond.
TP 1: 0.9100 TP 2: 0.93500
SL: below moving average
Entry: 0.90100 and only if price manages to break above resistance and retest it.
If price will move down from here this trade is invalid
AUDCAD: Forecast & Technical Analysis
Balance of buyers and sellers on the AUDCAD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Lingrid | AUDCAD Shoring Opportunity at Monthly HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDCAD surged through the previous resistance and is now testing the 0.9045–0.9050 zone, where both a horizontal supply and red descending trendline converge. This area is a critical junction, and current price action shows early hesitation with a potential rounding top formation. A deeper pullback is possible if buyers fail to break above this resistance convincingly, with downside targets near prior breakout levels. The broader uptrend remains intact, but short-term correction risks are rising from this confluence zone.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: confirmed rejection below 0.9050 with bearish engulfing or wick exhaustion
Sell zone: 0.9025–0.9050 (key resistance + trendline)
Target: 0.8960 initially, with deeper extension to 0.8822
Invalidation: clean hourly close above 0.9060 signals continuation of uptrend
💡 Risks
Minor support near 0.9000 could stall decline
Stronger-than-expected AUD data could lift price through resistance
False breakout wicks above 0.9050 might trap early sellers
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUDCAD SHORT Potential retest of the same level as last week;
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.17
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUD_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅AUD_CAD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.8980 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the AUDCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUDCAD – Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneAUDCAD is showing signs of weakness near the 0.8980 supply zone after an extended rally. The pair is now reacting to a historically respected resistance area, with bearish momentum building as exhaustion sets in.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
✅ Price rejected at multi-touch resistance around 0.8980
📐 Clean bearish structure forming after wedge-like exhaustion
📉 Expecting a move down toward:
TP1: 0.89365 – recent minor structure
TP2: 0.89080 – key demand zone from early July
TP3: 0.88654 – full measured target from range
📛 Invalidation above: 0.8985
🌍 Fundamental Breakdown:
🇦🇺 Australia:
📉 Softening inflation and retail sales
🏦 RBA cautious with limited appetite for further hikes
🇨🇳 Weak Chinese demand adds pressure on AUD
🇨🇦 Canada:
💪 Supported by rising oil prices and solid employment data
🏦 BoC remains vigilant on inflation, though on hold
🛢️ Strong WTI prices continue to support CAD
⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View:
⚡ Unexpectedly strong China data could boost AUD
📉 Sudden drop in oil prices would hurt CAD
🗣️ Surprise hawkish shift from RBA
🔗 Correlation & Flow:
AUDCAD is a lagging asset, heavily influenced by WTI crude (boosting CAD) and China-linked risk flows (affecting AUD).
Keep an eye on AUDUSD and USDCAD for early signals.
📆 Upcoming Key Events:
🇦🇺 RBA Minutes, Jobs Data, Wages Index
🇨🇦 BoC Business Outlook, CPI Print
🛢️ US Oil Inventories (affects CAD)
🧭 Summary:
🔻 Bias: Bearish
📊 Drivers: Oil strength, RBA caution, CAD resilience
⚠️ Risk: China rebound or oil correction
🕵️ Watch: Canadian CPI + Australian jobs data
📉 Likely to Follow: Oil and AUDUSD/USDCAD macro trends
AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?
AUDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone near 0.8980—the same level that capped price action in early July.
While the pair is showing signs of hesitation with small candles, this indecision may be tied to broader market uncertainty, including renewed concerns over Trump-era tariffs.
If we monitor for potential reversal signals around this level, it could present a solid trading opportunity.
🎯 My targets: 0.8930; 0.8905 ; 0.8870
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
BUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuBUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 0.8907
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
AUDCAD 15min ICT 1:2 bullish trade 1. Daily
• Sell-side liquidity swept below previous low.
• Price bounced from a bullish order block.
• Bias: Bullish, targeting draw on liquidity above.
2. 4H
• Bullish FVG respected.
• Break of structure (BOS) to upside.
• Retracement into OB + FVG → continuation expected.
3. 1H
• Strong displacement candle.
• Price returned to 1H FVG + OB.
• MSS confirms shift in bullish momentum.
15M
• Liquidity sweep + market structure shift.
• Entry on return to OB or FVG.
• Target: Equal highs / 4HR.