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AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / CAX

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AUDCAX trade ideas

AUDCAD SELL TRADE PLANAUD/CAD – 18 June 2025 📋 PLAN OVERVIEW Parameter Details Type Swing Short (Primary) Direction 🔻 Short Bias Status ⚠️ Watching for Rejection R:R 1:2.5 (Base) Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%) – HTF Trend Alignment 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE AUD/CAD is respecting a broader D1 and H4 bearish trend, following a key breakdown and re-test structure. Price recently rejected from supply above 0.8865 and is now moving lower. The plan structure is based on continuation, with tactical pullbacks offering opportunity to join trend. 📌 Trade Type: Continuation
📌 Bias Origin: H4 BOS → Bearish OB Rejection 🔰 CONFIDENCE FACTORS Component Weight Score HTF Structure (D1/H4 BOS & OB) 35% ✅ Liquidity Logic (Sweep & Trap) 25% ✅ Macro Confluence 25% ⚠️ Moderate (CAD strength, AUD weakness) Volume & Reaction Quality 15% ✅ Total Confluence Score: 84% ✅ 📍 ENTRY ZONES (MAX 2) Zone Range Type Confidence 🟧 Zone 0.8880–0.8895 D1 FVG/Inducement Zone ⭐⭐⭐ 📌 Both zones are structurally aligned. Zone 2 sits slightly higher but is within macro value area.
📌 Price currently below both → Pending order logic applies. ❗ STOP LOSS LOGIC * Zone 2 SL: Above 0.8905 (above HTF inducement & imbalance) 🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS TP Level Rationale TP1 0.8815 Minor structure shelf / intraday reaction zone TP2 0.8785 Liquidity void mid-range TP3 0.8750 HTF trend continuation level (multi-day) 🧠 TRADE MANAGEMENT * Entry 1/3 → Zone 1 rejection + H1 confirmation * Entry 1/3 → Zone 2 (if triggered) with volume/sweep * Move SL to BE after TP1 * Trail with fractals post-TP2 * Monitor for reverse CHoCH below 0.8790 to scale out early if invalidated ⚠️ CONFIRMATION CONDITIONS (MANDATORY) * H1 or H4 bearish engulfing after zone tap ✅ * Session alignment: London or NY ✅ * Volume spike or wick rejection ✅ ⏳ TRADE VALIDITY WINDOW * Zone: Valid 48 hours
📌 If price breaks and closes above both → plan void ❌ INVALIDATION * Break + close above 0.8905 = FULL PLAN INVALIDATED * H1 BOS to upside after zone 2 = tactical failure 🌐 MACRO SNAPSHOT * CAD strong on oil correlation * AUD weak on risk-off tone * DXY neutral – no disruption
📌 Macro supports downside but watch upcoming CAD CPI 📌 Plan is 100% structurally sound.
📌 Confirmation checklist MUST be met for execution.
📌 Market orders ONLY if confirmation prints after zone tap.
Short
by jibkhan111
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block identification 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDCAD Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.895. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.900. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG Hello, Friends! AUD-CAD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.886 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the AUD/CAD pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block identification 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDCAD: The Real Move Happens After the TrapNot every trade needs to be flashy. This one was clean. Simple. Intentional. And it came after most traders got taken out. What I Saw : Price swept PDL: textbook sell-side liquidity. But instead of jumping in too early, I waited. Why? Because I’ve learned something: 👉 The first reaction is often just noise. 👉 The second one, the one that fills into structure. That’s where clarity lives. My Entry Logic: After the sweep, price broke minor structure. That was my Change of Character. I will just have to wait for price to pull into the FVG below 50% fibs retracement. Stop below the low. Target at the PDH. Nothing fancy. Just discipline . Psychology Check: I’ve taken this setup before and watched it run without me. Why? Because I used to hesitate. I wanted more confirmation… or feared being wrong. But here’s the truth: Your edge is only real if you’re willing to take the shot when it appears . This wasn’t a guess. It was system + structure + emotional control.
Long
by J4mesWick
3
AUD/CAD Short — Fundamentals Say “Down” 📉 **AUD/CAD Short — Fundamentals Say “Down” The **Australian Dollar** is looking shaky: * Business confidence is falling * The RBA might **cut rates soon** * And China (Australia’s top trade partner) is **slowing down**, which hurts demand for Aussie exports Meanwhile, the **Canadian Dollar** is holding up better: * Oil prices are steady — and oil is Canada’s strength * Inflation is sticky, so the Bank of Canada is **more patient** with cuts * Plus, Canada’s exports are still flowing strong Put simply? **Aussie is soft. Loonie is firm.** This pair could slip lower — fundamentals favor **selling AUD/CAD**. ---
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
AUDCAD - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For AUD/CAD at 0.8811 here, I’d estimate roughly: Rally above 0.9130 first ~35% Drop below 0.8492 first ~65% Why the skew toward the downside? Recent rejection at 0.9130 – price failed there in late Feb/Mar and again in June, showing that ceiling still holds. Lower‐high bias – since topping at 0.9130, each bounce has come in lower (now around 0.887 → 0.899 → 0.887), hinting at sellers stepping in earlier. Momentum cooling – the last few daily candles are firm to the downside with little bullish follow‐through, suggesting a greater chance to test the bottom of the band before tagging the top.
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy