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Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc

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AUDCHF trade ideas

AUDCHF Smart Money Concepts (SMC)n modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically. These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
by Tonksovave
AUD/CHF - Weekly AnalysisOn Monthly: Overall is Bearish move towards 0.53400 lowest since 2020. It is moving towards 0.55900. EMA 200, 50 and 20 are all above price. -- On Weekly: EMA 200, 50 and 20 are above the price. It has broken Rising Wedge / Correction. Price was rejected at R. 0.57200and it's going towards 0.55900. --On Daily: A sort of Double Top is formed and touched 200 EMA twice and got rejected. It support Monthly and Weekly analysis. -- On Hourly: It confirms previous timeframes and complement the overall Bearish move. All three EMAs, 200, 50 and 20 are above price sequentially.
Short
by Ha-Lion
AUDCHF: Mixed Fundamentals - BEARISH BIAS in 1st half of Dec24ABOUT GLOBAL LEI and GDP 1. During H2 of 2024, the Global LEI and GDP are INCREASING. 2. The AUD and CHF pair was picked because their LEIs and GDP trends are moving in opposite direction. 3. Good Golbal GDP would means we are in RISK-ON situation, so it is good for AUD. AUDCHF: LEI, ENDO and EXO SUMMARY LEI DECREASING : AUD LEI are decreasing but CHF LEI are increasing. Overal LEI BIAS BEARISH for AUDCHF. ENDO INCREASING: AUDCHF collective ENDO score is INCREASING from May24. This means AUD is Strong as compared with CHF. ENDO BIAS BULLISH for AUDCHF. EXOs MIX DECREASING: EXOs of AUD are slowly IMPROVING but overall AUDCHF EXO Bias is MIX DECREASING mainly because of CHF GDP is improving more than AUD. EXO BEARISH BIAS FOR AUDCHF. EXO+LEI INCREASING: FINAL SCORE INCREASING: BIAS BULLISH for AUDCHF COT REPORT ANALYSIS As per overall COT analysis, AUDCHF is SHORT opportunity in Dec2024. BIAS BEARISH for AUDCHF AUDCHF: SEASONAL ANALYSIS 1. First week of DEC: 2-6 Dec: AUDCHF BEARISH 2. From 2nd to 3rd Week of DEC: 9-13 Dec: AUDCHF SIDEWAYS because two Interest Rate announecments in the same week hence avoid trading in this week. 3. 4th Week of DEC: 23 - 27 Dec, AUD is BULLISH and CHF is BEARISH. Hence BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF NEWS EVENTS 1. CHF: CPI: 03-Dec-24 (11:30 AM GMT+4) 2. AUD: GDP q/q: 04-Dec-24 (4:30 AM GMT+4) 3. AUD: Interest Rate News: 10-Dec-24 (7:30 AM GMT+4) 4. CHF: Interest Rate: 12-Dec-24 (12:30 PM GMT+4) 5. AUD: Unemployment Rate: 12-Dec-24 (4:30 AM GMT+4) FUNDAMENTAL TRADE BIAS CONCLUSION ON AUDCHF - MIXED BEARISH (Rely on Tech Analysis) 1. As per EXOs and LEIs, BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF 2. As per ENDO and Collectively Fundamentals are BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF 3. "Summary 3 Score" also giving MIX BIAS indication. 4. Conditionaing Bias: Montly BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF. 5. COT Analysis: BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF 6. 1st Week of Dec SEASONALS: BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF. FINAL BIAS: MIXED BEARISH because of MIXED Fundamental signals but BEARISH has a higher probabiity as it matches Seasonals as well as EXOs have a higher precedence over ENDOs. Also rely on TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, mapped with key news dates. But for first week till 9th of Dec BEARISH probability is strong. The Interest Rate Announcements on 10th (AUD) and 12th (CHF) will have a major impact on AUDCHF, if there will be any change in their existing Interest rates. DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TREND: BEARISH to SIDEWAYS as per DOW. DIVERGENCE: No Volume Div: No HEIKIN-ASHI: BEARISH confirmed till Weekly/Monthly support of 0.56140. PATTERN: Head and shoulder pattern is getting formed and price approaching shoulder level of 0.56140 FIB: N/A S&R: Strong Weekly/Monthly support of 0.56140 and current price is 0.564. High probability that this support will be tested and then BULLISH reversal could be seen. EMA: Price Below 200 EMA ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong BEARISH movement. Scho-RSI: Bellow level 20 and still showing BEARISH momentum. DAILY TRADE PLAY: Wait for BULLISH REVERSAL Confirmation BUY STOP: 0.57393, SL: 0.54931, TP1: 05855 (Around then FIB level 23.60%) TP2: 0.59123 (Around then FIB level 38.20%) 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TREND: BEARISH as per DOW. DIVERGENCE: No HEIKIN-ASHI: Bearish moemntum confirmed. FIB: Price could reach the FIB extended level of 23.60 till 0.555. S&R: Support at 0.56140 is about to be broken and next level for support will be 0.555. EMA: Price Below 200 EMA ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong BEARISH movement. Scho-RSI: Already below 20 and side ways. Bullish retracement could be expected. 4H TRADE PLAY: Wait for BULLISH REVERSAL Confirmation BUY STOP: 0.57393, SL: 0.54931, TP1: 05855 (Around then FIB level 23.60%) TP2: 0.59123 (Around then FIB level 38.20%) 1H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TREND: Strong BEARISH DIVERGENCE: No, hence BEARISH moement will continue. HEIKIN-ASHI: Bearish moemntum confirmed. FIB: Price could reach the FIB extended level of 23.60% till 0.5564. S&R: FIB Level of 23.60% at 0.5564 will play as next support, that will be tested. EMA: Price Below 200 EMA ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong bearish movement. Scho-RSI: Already below 20 and side ways. Bullish retracement could expected after reaching 0.5564. 1H TRADE PLAY: BEARISH BIAS Entry: 0.5605, SL: 0.56769, TP1: 0.5531 TP2: 0.5458
Short
by haroonraees
2
#021 DCA AUDCHF BUY LIMIT INITIAL ENTRYAccidentally chanced upon AUDCHF trade. I think I should give more attention to the entry time frame as well when scanning for setups. Currently price is in a range since 26th November 2024, and I am betting on the support level holding. I have included a link below showing my exact entry for the initial position.   Things might change as time goes by so we shall see. Currently have SGDJPY Short and AUDCHF positions opened. 0954SGT 04122024
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
AUDCHF What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the AUDCHF next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5683 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.5722 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
AUDCHF Repositioned for a Bearish Movement After Weaker GDP DataAUDCHF Repositioned for a Bearish Movement After Weaker GDP Data AUDCHF confirmed a bearish flag pattern overnight, driven by unexpected weaker GDP data. The annual third-quarter GDP expanded by 0.8%, compared with 1.0% growth in Q2, and fell short of the consensus of a 1.1% increase. The quarterly GDP grew 0.3% QoQ in Q3, versus the expected 0.4%. This bearish momentum on AUD is likely to continue pushing the price down in the coming days. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
3
AUDCHF Liquidity Raid - Strategizing My Next Move!👀👉 AUDCHF remains under pressure, as shown on the 4-hour chart. Currently, the 15m timeframe shows a sharp bearish displacement. I’m considering a short entry but holding off for now—waiting to see how price evolves from the London session into the New York open. In this video, we break down market structure, price action, and combine Wyckoff & ICT concepts in a clear and approachable way. 🚨 *Not financial advice. 📉✅
Short
by fxtraderanthony
TradeCityPro | AUDCHF : Approaching Historic Lows👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I’ll review the AUDCHF pair, currently positioned near its all-time low support, making the possibility of volatile movements high. 📅 Daily Timeframe: End of the Triangle In the daily timeframe, after a false breakout of the 0.56223 support and subsequent recovery from the 0.55233 level, the price has formed a symmetrical triangle. At the moment, the price is moving in the second half of the triangle. 📈 I usually avoid holding positions near the end of a triangle. For a long position, I prefer to wait for a breakout above the 0.5869 resistance and stabilization above this level. 🔑 If 62.76 on the RSI is broken, bullish momentum is likely to enter the market, increasing the probability of a breakout above 0.5869. 🔽 For a short position, if the triangle breaks to the downside, the first trigger will be at 0.56741, though this is considered risky. The main short trigger would be a break below 0.56223. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
1
What’s Flowing: AUDCHF BullishThe AUDCHF chart reflects a bullish sentiment in the market, highlighting potential upward momentum. Key observations include: 1. Price Breakout from Consolidation Zone: AUDCHF has recently emerged from a well-defined consolidation range, indicating increasing buyer pressure. 2. Support at Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The price has bounced from a critical retracement level, suggesting strong demand in this area. 3. Moving Averages Trending Upward: Moving average bands align with bullish momentum, further confirming upward pressure. 4. Volume Profile Analysis: Recent price action shows significant buying activity at lower levels, reinforcing the bullish outlook. 5. Target Zone Identified: The next resistance zone lies above, offering traders an opportunity to capture gains in the upward swing. With bullish indicators aligning, AUDCHF presents a promising setup for traders eyeing long positions. Stay tuned for updates as the market unfolds!
Long
by moneymagnateash