AUDCHFAUDCHF is bearish on higher time frame on fundamental SNB’s Gov Schlegel says SNB Does Not Like Negative Interest Rates AND snp policy rate falls by 0.5% on technical AUD SHOULD KEEP BUYING
AUDCHF trade ideas
AUDCHF 2H ShortBearish setup on AUD/CHF 2H chart: Price rejects the Ichimoku cloud and Tenkan-Sen resistance, confirming a short entry. Targeting 0.5563 with a stop-loss above the cloud at 0.5636 for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Australian Dollar Looks Like a Good Investment Well, now that Australian unemployment surprisingly dropped it gave the central bank’s hold-steady stance on rates some creedence. With Aussie sitting in the lower portion of ranges (E.G. here with AUDCHF)I like buying and holding the asset for longer time horizons. Small sizes, and take profits at levels, like the 200 MA, and jumping back in on pullbacks.
AUDCHF: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (5D) - UPTREND - DAYTRADER✨ AUDCHF: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (5D) ✨ (UPTREND)
BLO1 @ 0.5632 - TRIGGERED
BLO2 @ 0.5566 ⏳
TP1 @ 0.59807
TP2 @ 0.6285
TP3 @ 0.65369
TP3 @ 0.68883
SLO @ 0.69859⏳(DO NOT SET, ANTICIPATE PB/REANALYZE AFTER TP4)
🔑
BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER
ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME
SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER
TP = TAKE PROFIT
NOTE: Because there is an opportunity for more immediate paychecks, I've decided to provide the daytrade view to combat the long term trade I just posted, which will take some time to play out. This not so much. Quicker profits and less wait... depending on the strategy. Either way, just sharing what I'm doing.
Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day):
— Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames.
— Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis.
— Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight.
— Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) - UPTREND✨ AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) ✨ (UPTREND)
BLO1 @ 0.5632 - TRIGGERED
BLO2 @ 0.5566 ⏳
TP1 @ 0.61564
TP2 @ 0.6500
TP3 @ 0.6866
TP4 @ 0.73143
TP5 @ 0.7585
SLO1 @ 0.7685 ⏳
SLO2 @ 0.7725 ⏳
🔑
BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER
HTF = HIGH TIME FRAME
PA = PRICE ACTION
SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER
TP = TAKE PROFIT
NOTE: Our BLO has triggered but further analysis shows a potential area of interest between 0.5575 to 0.5546. Due to market conditions, PA might not make it back down to this area. However, if it does, I have a set up there to grab an deeper entry for this long term trade. Let's see what happens.
Long-term time frames (1 week to 1 year):
— Shows the big picture, revealing major trends and economic factors.
— Less volatile, price movements are slower and smoother.
— Suitable for long-term trend trading and position trading.
— Requires less frequent monitoring but may offer fewer trading opportunities.
AUDCHF Long Trade SetupThere's been a recent buying opportunity on the aussie-swissy trading chart, following the bullish harami candlestick pattern just above the 0.56138 horizontal support level/demand zone (this shows a rejection of the zone).
A good number of FVGs also appear above the zone, indicating an imbalance in price that will be filled sooner or later by price moving upwards.
AUDCHF recent price history whilst in oversold Cond.
It's the big banks who are ultimately buying very low and riding the bigger waves.
Here in the daily chart for AUDCHF and its recent price history whilst generally getting hammered lower into the oversold condition.
Money can be made deep and low in price here, but it will only work if you get it deeply oversold around recent price history, where it has popped. Other supporting confluence of why this needs to turnaround in price is also needed. For example, what is the path of least resistance on other timeframes.
Its probably a trade for more risk and more reward, if that sounds like you then check out the daily chart of AUDCHF.
The way to trade it apart from the timing, is to bet with a small lot size, you don't want to come under notice betting for example 5 Lots, you will probably get hammered lower if you get in at the wrong time.
AUDCHF1. Support and resistance levels
2. Trend lines
3. Reversing patterns.
4. Interest rates Swiss National Bank
AUDCHF is BearishPrice is in a strong downtrend, and has printed a lower low followed by a lower high, the trend is more likely to continue with no divergence on RSI. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
#audchf long buy setup wave c 11Dec24This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the AUD/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 0.570.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDCHF long ideaBuying at a very important support level. Most likely this move is going to play out well. Gonna find entries in the 15 min if the trade keeps going in my direction
AUDCHF - Short TradePrice is moving in bearish trend with no bullish divergence.
Descending channel is also formed.
Which indicates continuation of bearish trend.
AUDCHF Smart Money Concepts (SMC)n modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
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Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
AUD/CHF - Weekly AnalysisOn Monthly:
Overall is Bearish move towards 0.53400 lowest since 2020.
It is moving towards 0.55900.
EMA 200, 50 and 20 are all above price.
-- On Weekly:
EMA 200, 50 and 20 are above the price.
It has broken Rising Wedge / Correction.
Price was rejected at R. 0.57200and it's going towards 0.55900.
--On Daily:
A sort of Double Top is formed and touched 200 EMA twice and got rejected.
It support Monthly and Weekly analysis.
-- On Hourly:
It confirms previous timeframes and complement the overall Bearish move.
All three EMAs, 200, 50 and 20 are above price sequentially.
AUDCHF SUCCESSFULLY BROKE A SUPPORT LEVEL ON A DAILY TIMEFRAME!Last week Friday, price successfully traded and closed below the previous support of 0.56787. Price got impacted with high volatility that led to the shift in market structure. This Week, we anticipate an interest rate cut news from the reserve bank of Australia(RBA). A worse than expected rate can impact negatively on this pair which may lead to a further sell on this asset.
AUDCHF: Mixed Fundamentals - BEARISH BIAS in 1st half of Dec24ABOUT GLOBAL LEI and GDP
1. During H2 of 2024, the Global LEI and GDP are INCREASING.
2. The AUD and CHF pair was picked because their LEIs and GDP trends are moving in opposite direction.
3. Good Golbal GDP would means we are in RISK-ON situation, so it is good for AUD.
AUDCHF: LEI, ENDO and EXO SUMMARY
LEI DECREASING : AUD LEI are decreasing but CHF LEI are increasing. Overal LEI BIAS BEARISH for AUDCHF.
ENDO INCREASING: AUDCHF collective ENDO score is INCREASING from May24. This means AUD is Strong as compared with CHF. ENDO BIAS BULLISH for AUDCHF.
EXOs MIX DECREASING: EXOs of AUD are slowly IMPROVING but overall AUDCHF EXO Bias is MIX DECREASING mainly because of CHF GDP is improving more than AUD. EXO BEARISH BIAS FOR AUDCHF.
EXO+LEI INCREASING:
FINAL SCORE INCREASING: BIAS BULLISH for AUDCHF
COT REPORT ANALYSIS
As per overall COT analysis, AUDCHF is SHORT opportunity in Dec2024. BIAS BEARISH for AUDCHF
AUDCHF: SEASONAL ANALYSIS
1. First week of DEC: 2-6 Dec: AUDCHF BEARISH
2. From 2nd to 3rd Week of DEC: 9-13 Dec: AUDCHF SIDEWAYS because two Interest Rate announecments in the same week hence avoid trading in this week.
3. 4th Week of DEC: 23 - 27 Dec, AUD is BULLISH and CHF is BEARISH. Hence BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF
NEWS EVENTS
1. CHF: CPI: 03-Dec-24 (11:30 AM GMT+4)
2. AUD: GDP q/q: 04-Dec-24 (4:30 AM GMT+4)
3. AUD: Interest Rate News: 10-Dec-24 (7:30 AM GMT+4)
4. CHF: Interest Rate: 12-Dec-24 (12:30 PM GMT+4)
5. AUD: Unemployment Rate: 12-Dec-24 (4:30 AM GMT+4)
FUNDAMENTAL TRADE BIAS CONCLUSION ON AUDCHF - MIXED BEARISH (Rely on Tech Analysis)
1. As per EXOs and LEIs, BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF
2. As per ENDO and Collectively Fundamentals are BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF
3. "Summary 3 Score" also giving MIX BIAS indication.
4. Conditionaing Bias: Montly BULLISH BIAS for AUDCHF.
5. COT Analysis: BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF
6. 1st Week of Dec SEASONALS: BEARISH BIAS for AUDCHF.
FINAL BIAS: MIXED BEARISH because of MIXED Fundamental signals but BEARISH has a higher probabiity as it matches Seasonals as well as EXOs have a higher precedence over ENDOs. Also rely on TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, mapped with key news dates. But for first week till 9th of Dec BEARISH probability is strong.
The Interest Rate Announcements on 10th (AUD) and 12th (CHF) will have a major impact on AUDCHF, if there will be any change in their existing Interest rates.
DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
TREND: BEARISH to SIDEWAYS as per DOW.
DIVERGENCE: No
Volume Div: No
HEIKIN-ASHI: BEARISH confirmed till Weekly/Monthly support of 0.56140.
PATTERN: Head and shoulder pattern is getting formed and price approaching shoulder level of 0.56140
FIB: N/A
S&R: Strong Weekly/Monthly support of 0.56140 and current price is 0.564. High probability that this support will be tested and then BULLISH reversal could be seen.
EMA: Price Below 200 EMA
ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong BEARISH movement.
Scho-RSI: Bellow level 20 and still showing BEARISH momentum.
DAILY TRADE PLAY: Wait for BULLISH REVERSAL Confirmation
BUY STOP: 0.57393, SL: 0.54931,
TP1: 05855 (Around then FIB level 23.60%)
TP2: 0.59123 (Around then FIB level 38.20%)
4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
TREND: BEARISH as per DOW.
DIVERGENCE: No
HEIKIN-ASHI: Bearish moemntum confirmed.
FIB: Price could reach the FIB extended level of 23.60 till 0.555.
S&R: Support at 0.56140 is about to be broken and next level for support will be 0.555.
EMA: Price Below 200 EMA
ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong BEARISH movement.
Scho-RSI: Already below 20 and side ways. Bullish retracement could be expected.
4H TRADE PLAY: Wait for BULLISH REVERSAL Confirmation
BUY STOP: 0.57393, SL: 0.54931,
TP1: 05855 (Around then FIB level 23.60%)
TP2: 0.59123 (Around then FIB level 38.20%)
1H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
TREND: Strong BEARISH
DIVERGENCE: No, hence BEARISH moement will continue.
HEIKIN-ASHI: Bearish moemntum confirmed.
FIB: Price could reach the FIB extended level of 23.60% till 0.5564.
S&R: FIB Level of 23.60% at 0.5564 will play as next support, that will be tested.
EMA: Price Below 200 EMA
ALLIGATOR: Mouth is open supporting strong bearish movement.
Scho-RSI: Already below 20 and side ways. Bullish retracement could expected after reaching 0.5564.
1H TRADE PLAY: BEARISH BIAS
Entry: 0.5605, SL: 0.56769,
TP1: 0.5531
TP2: 0.5458
#021 DCA AUDCHF BUY LIMIT INITIAL ENTRYAccidentally chanced upon AUDCHF trade.
I think I should give more attention to the entry time frame as well when scanning for setups.
Currently price is in a range since 26th November 2024, and I am betting on the support level holding.
I have included a link below showing my exact entry for the initial position.
Things might change as time goes by so we shall see.
Currently have SGDJPY Short and AUDCHF positions opened.
0954SGT 04122024
Breakout of demand pullback and big red candleAll of this explains that there are sellers in the market. Hence took a SELL at a discount price.
AUDCHF What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5683
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5722
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCHF: Time For Correctional Movement 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Looks like AUDUSD is going to start a bullish correctional movement
after a test of a wide daily horizontal demand zone.
My confirmation signal is a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a symmetrical triangle on an hourly.
Goal - 0.5708
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
AUDCHF Repositioned for a Bearish Movement After Weaker GDP DataAUDCHF Repositioned for a Bearish Movement After Weaker GDP Data
AUDCHF confirmed a bearish flag pattern overnight, driven by unexpected weaker GDP data.
The annual third-quarter GDP expanded by 0.8%, compared with 1.0% growth in Q2, and fell short of the consensus of a 1.1% increase. The quarterly GDP grew 0.3% QoQ in Q3, versus the expected 0.4%.
This bearish momentum on AUD is likely to continue pushing the price down in the coming days.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
AUDCHF sellimpulse wave is expecting after correction
close of the day under the important level 0.57
volume profile shows a sellers control
