EURAUD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 **EUR/AUD TRADE PLAN 🔥**
📅 **Date:** 30 June 2025
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📋 **Trade Plan Overview**
| Parameter | Details |
| ---------- | -------------------- |
| Type | Swing / Intra-Day |
| Direction | Conditional Buy Plan |
| Status | Pending Confirmation |
| R\:R | 3.0 : 1 |
| Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) |
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📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
Bias: **Bullish continuation**
Trade Type: **Conditional breakout/retest continuation**
EUR/AUD is consolidating near local highs after a sustained uptrend on the D1 and H4. The price action shows a potential for bullish continuation if the 1.7950 zone is broken and confirmed.
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🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
* D1 + H4 bullish structure: +40%
* H1 compression breakout potential: +20%
* No macro contradiction / AUD weak: +15%
* Sentiment +6: +10%
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📌 **Status**
**Pending confirmation** — Conditional plan, no risk live until trigger + confirm.
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📍 **Entry Zones**
🟩 **Primary Buy Zone:** Buy Stop at **1.7952** (+2 pip buffer above high)
🟧 **Secondary (if breakout-retest scenario forms):** Limit at **1.7920–1.7930** (H1 OB + retest zone)
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❗ **Stop Loss**
SL: **1.7890** (below H1 structure low inside consolidation, 1x ATR buffer)
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🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 TP1: **1.8000** (local psychological level)
🥈 TP2: **1.8050** (H4 liquidity pool)
🥉 TP3: **1.8120** (extension / swing high target)
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📏 **Risk\:Reward**
TP1: 1.5:1
TP2: 3.0:1
TP3: 4.5:1
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🧠 **Management Strategy**
* Risk 0.5% if stop-order triggers
* SL to breakeven after TP1 hit
* 50% off at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3
* Cancel limit plan if stop-order triggers clean breakout
* Full exit on H1 BOS bearish against
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⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist**
✅ M30/H1 bullish body close above 1.7950
✅ Volume surge at break
✅ London/NY session break only
✅ No fakeout wick rejection
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⏳ **Validity**
H1 stop plan: 12-18 hours
H4 retest limit plan: 48 hours
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❌ **Invalidation Conditions**
* Close below 1.7890 on H1
* Clean HTF BOS bearish
* Re-entry into deeper consolidation below 1.7900
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🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
* Sentiment: +6 (EUR holding strength, AUD macro weak)
* DXY steady, no major red news today
* Cross-market: XAU/USD neutral, no risk-off spikes
* No AUD macro tailwind visible
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📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Conditional buy breakout at 1.7952 pending confirmation. Stop 1.7890, TPs 1.8000 / 1.8050 / 1.8120. Only active on clean session break + volume. Risk tightly managed with no pre-risk until confirm.
AUDEUR trade ideas
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
EURAUD trade that went rogue -update on 1hr Here is an update on the EURAUD trade that went rogue on us (1hr timeframe).
Turns out it was a contracting correction. Contracting corrections are very hard to forecast cause we're always assuming the 3d leg of the correction is at least gonna as far as the first leg, especially when the bigger structure points in the same direction. The key factor here is looking at the macd: if it crosses back in the opposite direction the trade is invalidate and the chances of it being a contracting structure are extremely high or in any case too high to keep the trade open regardless.
Now, if we were wrong about the sell, we would be certainly right about buying this, but given our reduced loss (0.5%) and given the new risk to reward which isn't very convenient as the moment it breaks the top it can reverse, we're going to skip the buy and wait for the next sell.
#EURAUD: Two Major Buying Zones|, Which One Are You In? Hey Everyone
Following a substantial bullish candle, the price failed to maintain the bullish momentum and swiftly transitioned into a bearish position, effectively eradicating the bullish gain. Nevertheless, we remain optimistic that the price will retain its bullish trend in the upcoming weeks. We have identified two potential areas where price may reverse from either of the two zones. You are welcome to set take profit and stop loss orders based on your own investment strategy. It is advisable to closely monitor the prices before making any trading decisions.
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EURAUD BEARISHEURAUD
4Hr TF
1. We have a completed Wedge / Flag. Once a flag is completed, we should always expect a drop
2. Confluence, We also have 3 zones, which complement our setup, which we believe would push this pair down
3. SS+ FOZ, we also have a fake-out zone concept that might be at play on this pair and push it down.
#003 Investment Opportunity LONG EUR/AUD
The EUR/AUD pair is showing an interesting technical-macro context that suggests a possible bullish development in the next sessions. The analysis conducted integrates multi-timeframe elements, advanced indicators, institutional positioning and macroeconomic context, concluding in a coherent view in favor of a long position.
🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis (8H, D, W)
On 8H and daily timeframes, EUR/AUD has broken the descending bearish trendline and is building a new structure of higher lows above the long-term moving average. The weekly chart shows a consolidation above the static support of 1.7400, with candles that are starting to configure potential reversals.
📊 Main technical indicators
WaveTrend and RSI are bullish but not overbought, offering room for further extensions.
The Stochastic has just crossed upwards in the restart zone, confirming the market's intention to reverse the previous bearish push.
🌀 Harmonic patterns and cyclical
We are in the initial phase of a new bullish cycle. The completion of a possible "inverse Gartley" pattern coincides with the currently tested technical support levels. The short-term cyclical shows a clear end of the previous bearish cycle.
🧱 Key supports and resistances
The price has bounced strongly from the dynamic support represented by the 200-hour moving average and the static support in the 1.7420 area. The immediate target is the structural resistance at 1.7950, already tested in the past as a reaction point.
📈 Volumes and volume profile
The volume profile highlights a strong accumulation in the area between 1.7450 and 1.7550. No excess visible in the distribution, which suggests a still “light” movement with potential for expansion.
🕯 Candlestick patterns and price action
The last 8H candle is a bullish engulfing, closed above the moving average and with increasing volumes. The three previous candles show a compression and accumulation pattern.
🔗 Correlations and geometries
The divergence with AUD/USD (which appears weak) and the inverse correlation with EUR/JPY in strengthening give further strength to the bullish picture. Historical fractals also show symmetries that have occurred in similar macro contexts.
📊 Pattern Statistics
Similar patterns on EUR/AUD – post trendline breakout with bullish structure on 8H – have shown a positive outcome in 81% of cases on historical samples greater than 100.
📉 Retail Positioning
Current sentiment shows retail heavily positioned short, creating a potential contrarian effect in favor of buyers.
🏦 Institutional Positioning (COT)
COT data signals an increase in net long positions on the euro and a reduction on AUD, compatible with a directional reversal.
🧮 Fundamental Macroeconomic Analysis
EUR supported by expectations of monetary stabilization by the ECB, without new imminent tightening.
AUD penalized by weak exports and softer tones from the RBA.
Macro differential slightly in favor of EUR.
📊 Intermarket Relative Strength
EUR shows increasing strength against commodity currencies, including AUD. This reinforces the bullish thesis, also confirmed by the capital inflows on the euro.
📰 Real Sentiment and Newsflow
The latest macro news and institutional reports confirm a cautious positioning on the AUD. No imminent driver justifies a structural strengthening of the Australian currency.
🌪 Implied and Historical Volatility
Volatility is growing, but still within optimal historical ranges for sustained directional movements. The current ATR is above the average of the last 10 years, a favorable condition for breakouts.
📆 Macro Event Risk
No disruptive event expected in the next 48 hours. The economic calendar is neutral and does not threaten the technical structure in formation.
📉 Minimum Volatility Threshold
The current range and ATR exceed the minimum values of statistical validity, ensuring that the movement is not a false compression breakout.
EUR/AUD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of interest.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Looking to Buy for EURAUD for this week and next week price rejected daily resistance level and forming a bearing red candle.
The 4H changes structure to confirm the pull back. Since the daily is still bullish, we wait for the 4H time frame to change structure from bearish to bullish!
Price has broken 4H short term trend line, and created a higher high. I always enter at the breakout, but also enter more position if price pulls back lower.
I hope this helps
EURAUD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The price of EURAUD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURAUD 1H is forming a Harmonic Reversal pattern
Price formed ABCD Harmonic Reversal pattern with a neckline as current Temporary Resistance.
• ✅ Entry is triggered only after no new lower low is formed and higher high and higher low is printed.
• Instant Buy
• Stop Loss is at the recent lower Low (safe and logical placement). A bit lower than D Point
• 🎯 Take Profit levels are based on measured move projections.
Trade Plan:
• Instant Buy = 1.76767
• Stop Loss = 1.76106
• Take Profit 1: 1.77428
• Take Profit 2: 1.78057
• Lot size : 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio
EURAUD is forming a Harmonic Reversal pattern.
Key Highlights:
• ✅ Pattern: ABCD
•⚠️ Confirmation: on PRZ price bounced + Bullish candle
• 🔄 Risk Management: Tight SL, 2 TP levels
• 🧩 Confluence: ABCD + Price bounced on D point
EUR/AUD – Bearish Reversal via Head & Shoulders | 1H Chart📌 Key Chart Elements:
• Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are all clearly defined.
• The neckline has been broken, and the price has retested the zone (confluence area).
• RSI: Bearish momentum, under 50 and showing no strong recovery — confirms weakness.
• 🔺 Stop Loss placed above the right shoulder (1.78234), protecting against fakeouts.
• 📉 Entry was triggered via Sell Stop at 1.77030.
• 🎯 Take Profit levels:
• TP1: 1.75823
• TP2: 1.75201
• Final TP (Projection Level): 1.74628
⚡️ RSI Confirmation
• While price made the head high, RSI failed to reach new highs, showing clear bearish divergence.
• RSI has since rolled below 50, confirming momentum has shifted.
Scenario & Bias
• Scenario: We’re Active a break of the neckline at 1.7710 to confirm the reversal.
• Bias: Bearish — targeting measured move down to 1.7582 (take-profit level) with a projection to 1.7520.