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AUDJPY trade ideas

Lingrid | AUDJPY possible WEEKLY High BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDJPY is holding above its upward trendline after rebounding off support near 93.34, forming a higher low structure. The pair is consolidating just below the resistance zone, suggesting a potential continuation toward the 94.15 target. A break above the recent local high could reignite bullish momentum. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 93.34–93.45 Buy trigger: breakout above 93.80 Target: 94.15 Sell trigger: breakdown below 93.30 💡 Risks Rejection from 93.80 weakens the upward setup Drop below trendline support may signal a shift to downside False breakout above 94.00 could trap early buyers Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
10
AUDJPY Market Forecast – Level 3 Completion & Potential ResetThis chart illustrates a classic Market Maker 3-Level Rise Pattern: Level 1: Initiated after a consolidation phase, marked by a clear shift in structure. Level 2: Continued bullish expansion with stronger impulsive candles. Level 3: Price reaches an overextended zone with signs of slowing momentum, indicating a potential distribution or retracement phase. Key Forecast: A retracement is expected toward the 93.297 zone, which aligns with: Possible reaccumulating point before continuation This move may serve as a manipulation trap to grab liquidity below recent lows before pushing higher. If price reacts strongly at 93.297 with bullish structure, a long setup targeting new highs (~94.40+) is favored.
Long
by Bunnex_Investment_Group
2
PRICE ACTION IN MY VIEW 1. 4-Hour Chart: ○ You identify a clear uptrend (making HH and HL). ○ You mark a significant 4-hour Support Level where price has bounced strongly multiple times in the past. ○ Confluence: Strong uptrend + major support. Your bias is to buy. 2. 30-Minute Chart: ○ Price pulls back from a recent high and approaches your identified 4-hour support level. ○ As price touches the 4-hour support, a large Bullish Engulfing Bar forms and closes. The body of this candle completely engulfs the previous bearish candle. ○ Confluence: Price at 4H support + Bullish Engulfing Bar + aligns with 4H uptrend. This is your potential setup. 3. 5-Minute Chart: ○ After the 30-minute Bullish Engulfing Bar closes, you switch to the 5-minute chart. ○ You see that after the engulfing bar, the 5-minute chart has formed a new higher low and then broken above a short-term 5-minute resistance level, with a strong bullish 5-minute candle closing above it. ○ Entry: You enter a long trade immediately after the 5-minute confirmation candle closes. ○ Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the low of the 30-minute Bullish Engulfing Bar (or slightly below the 4-hour support). ○ Take Profit: Identify the next major 4-hour resistance level as your target. ○ Confluence: 30M signal confirmed by 5M structure break + tight stop loss placement.
Long
by excellentcool1234
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D10 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block to be confirmed ✅4H 50EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDJPY Begins Elliot Correction After Wave 5 Impulse EndsOANDA:AUDJPY seems to have started a Elliot Correction Wave after the Impulsive Elliot Wave came to a finish once Wave 5 ended this morning @ 93.774. Now after an Impulsive Wave ends, its theory that a Correction comes next and with Price having Retraced to the Golden Ratio creating a Lower High, this is the beginning signs of that theory in the works! The Sequence will be confirmed once Price Breaks below Point A @ 93.248 where then we should suspect Price to find itself back down into the 92 range where the Correction Wave should come to an end. RSI is trading back below 50 confirming Price has room to move lower strengthening the Bearish Bias.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
AUDJPY Bullish Breakout supported at 92.00The AUD/JPY pair is currently maintaining a bullish bias, underpinned by an ongoing uptrend. Recent price action shows sideways consolidation, typically a sign of trend continuation when occurring within an established bullish structure. Key Level: 91.50 This level marks a prior consolidation zone and now acts as a critical support area. Bullish Scenario (bounce from 91.50): A corrective dip to 91.50 followed by a strong bounce would support the bullish continuation. Upside targets include: 94.20 – Immediate resistance 94.90 – Previous swing high 95.90 – Longer-term resistance Bearish Scenario (break below 91.50): A daily close below 91.50 would weaken the bullish outlook. In this case, downside support levels include: 90.50 – Initial retracement target 89.40 – Deeper support zone Conclusion The outlook for AUD/JPY remains bullish while price holds above the key 91.50 support level. A successful bounce from this zone could lead to a retest of higher resistance levels at 94.20 and above. However, a confirmed break below 91.50 would shift sentiment to neutral-to-bearish, potentially triggering further declines toward 90.50 and 89.40. Traders should monitor price behavior at 91.50 for near-term directional cues. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDJPY BUY TRADE PLAN📈 AUDJPY Elite Trade Plan – 📅 Date: June 12, 2025
🎯 Plan Type: Tactical Intraday (Valid for 1–2 Days)
 📊 Style: Price Action + Multi-Timeframe Institutional Flow
🔁 Order Type: Market Order on Confirmation (Not a Blind Limit) 🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook: 🟢 Weekly: * Price rebounding off mid-structure after long downtrend. * Bullish momentum building — candle body expansion for the first time in weeks. 🟢 Daily: * Higher lows established; price holding above key level 92.80. * Bullish rejection seen with follow-through — potential path open toward 95.00. 🟢 H4: * Clean bullish pullback into structure; demand at 93.40–93.60 held. * No selling momentum visible — structure building for upside continuation. 🟢 H1: * Reversal impulse confirmed with strong London close engulfing pattern. * Price now consolidating near 93.60 — preparing for bullish continuation. ✅ Primary Trade Idea – Buy on Demand Retest Component Level / Detail 🎯 Entry Zone 93.60 – 93.70 (H1 demand + broken structure) 🛑 Stop Loss 93.15 (Below 4H demand and invalidation) 🎯 TP1 94.25 (structure high) 🎯 TP2 94.65 (HTF continuation target) 🎯 TP3 95.00 (HTF bearish OB – final exit) 🧠 Entry Style Market Order on bullish M15/H1 candle confirmation 🕰️ Time Horizon 1–2 day hold (Intraday to Short-Term Swing) 🔮 ForexGPT Elite Forecast Bias Direction Probability Rationale 🟢 Bullish 75% Strong HTF demand held, bullish close into structure, session flows aligned 🔴 Bearish Trap 25% Only if price breaks below 93.10 with volume – No signs of failure yet 📌 Execution Summary: 💡 “I will only trigger the buy if I see a clean bullish confirmation from 93.60–93.70 zone — ideally an engulfing or rejection wick on M15/H1. If confirmation appears, I’ll execute a market order with SL at 93.15, targeting up to 95.00 depending on momentum.” ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: * 💼 Size accordingly for 1.5R–2.5R target structure. * 🔁 Trail stop once TP1 is achieved to secure partials. * 🕒 Avoid entry during high-volatility news unless structure reconfirms. 📢 This is NOT investment advice. Always manage risk.
🔒 Trade plan valid until structure breaks. Updates required on major candle shifts.
Long
by jibkhan111
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 92.79 1st Support: 92.15 1st Resistance: 93.84 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY pull back to FVG then LongAUDJPY Long Setup (Preliminary Plan) Target Levels: First Target: 94.300 Second Target: 94.800 Strategy: Looking for bullish price action (PA) confirmation around the highlighted Fair Value Gap (FVG). Expecting a possible breach of minor resistance on open, which may lead to a push toward the first target at 94.300. A pullback may follow after the first target is hit. Notes: This setup is preliminary and subject to adjustment. Live price action will be monitored before executing the trade.
Long
by SKA_CAPITAL
AUDJPYAUD/JPY 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025) Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) explains potential currency movements between the Australian dollar (AUD) and Japanese yen (JPY) by linking the difference in their interest rates to expected changes in their exchange rate. How UIP Works for AUD/JPY UIP theory states that the difference in nominal interest rates between two countries equals the expected percentage change in the exchange rate between their currencies over the same period. If Australia’s interest rates are higher than Japan’s, UIP predicts that the AUD will depreciate against the JPY by approximately the interest rate differential to offset the higher returns investors earn from Australian assets. Conversely, if Japan’s rates were higher, the JPY would be expected to depreciate against the AUD by the same logic. Intuition Behind UIP Investors seeking higher yields may borrow in the low-interest-rate currency (JPY) and invest in the high-interest-rate currency (AUD). However, the expected depreciation of the AUD against the JPY (equal to the interest rate gap) eliminates the possibility of riskless arbitrage profits, as exchange rate losses offset interest gains. Thus, the currency with the higher interest rate tends to depreciate, balancing returns across countries. Real-World Considerations UIP often does not hold perfectly in practice due to market imperfections, risk premiums, monetary policy differences, and investor behavior. For example, the Japanese yen is a popular funding currency in carry trades because of its low rates, and empirical studies show UIP deviations in the AUD/JPY market. These deviations allow investors to earn excess returns by exploiting interest rate differentials, but they carry exchange rate risk. 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Around 4.3% to 4.5% as of early June 2025, with recent quotes near 4.34% to 4.48%. The Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate to 3.85%, but bond yields remain elevated due to inflation expectations and global factors. Japan 10-Year Bond Yield: Japan’s 10-year government bond yield remains very low, typically near 0.3% to 0.5%, reflecting the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and yield curve control targeting around 0% for 10-year bonds. This yield has been stable due to persistent low inflation and accommodative policy. 2. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (Australia minus Japan) is approximately: 4.4%−0.4%=4.0% This means Australian 10-year bonds yield roughly 4 percentage points more than Japanese 10-year bonds. 3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) UIP theory suggests the expected change in the exchange rate equals the interest rate differential:E =iAUD−iJPY≈4.0%E =i AUD −i JPY ≈4.0% This implies the AUD should depreciate by about 4% annually against the JPY to offset the higher yield on Australian bonds. In practice, however, UIP often fails in the short to medium term due to risk premiums, capital flows, and market sentiment. 4. Carry Trade Advantage The large positive yield differential creates a strong carry trade incentive: investors borrow in low-yielding JPY and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets to capture the interest rate spread. Benefits: Potentially attractive returns from the ~4% yield gap AUD’s higher yields and commodity exposure can amplify gains in risk-on environments Risks: Currency risk if AUD weakens sharply versus JPY Global risk-off events can trigger rapid unwinds of carry trades, causing AUD depreciation Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential (AUD - JPY) 10-Year Government Bond Yield ~4.3% - 4.5% ~0.3% - 0.5% ~4.0% Policy Rate 3.85% (RBA) -0.1% to 0% (BoJ) ~3.85% UIP Expected AUD Depreciation — — ~4.0% per annum Carry Trade Advantage High yield, attractive Low yield, funding currency Strong carry trade incentive Conclusion The AUD/JPY pair is strongly influenced by the large interest rate differential, with Australian 10-year bonds offering about 4% higher yields than Japanese bonds. This differential encourages carry trades where investors borrow in low-yielding JPY to invest in higher-yielding AUD assets. According to uncovered interest rate parity, this yield gap should be offset by an expected AUD depreciation against JPY, but in reality, carry trades and risk sentiment often drive deviations from UIP. #AUDJPY
by Shavyfxhub
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅1H 50EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT