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AUDJPY trade ideas

AUDJPY Breakdown Signals Deeper Correction: Key Zones to WatchAUDJPY Breakdown Signals Deeper Correction: Key Zones to Watch On the 4-hour chart, AUDJPY has broken out of a bearish formation, signaling strong downside momentum. On Friday, the pair declined by nearly 180 pips—a move echoed across multiple XXXJPY pairs, triggered during the release of NFP data. While the fundamental catalyst remains unclear, the technical setup supports a continuation of the bearish trend. There’s a high probability that AUDJPY may retest the broken structure near the 96.00 level before extending its decline toward the projected zones of 94.30 and 92.50. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
11
AUDJPY at Resistance: Could we see a reversal here?The market on this pair shows us a classic scenario where price presses into a resistance zone after a sustained bullish move. Price action approaching this zone appears hesitant, with smaller candles and wicks showing signs of exhaustion, meaning the possibility that buying momentum is weakening. There is a clear intention in this structure and I am anticipating a reversal here. My first target (TP1) at 95.400 is placed just above a previous structure low and it’s a logical level for a partial exit, as price may pause or react there. The second target (TP2), placed even lower, hints at a full mean reversion idea targeting the origin of the previous bullish leg. The setup requires patience, waiting for confirmation perhaps in the form of a strong bearish rejection before committing to the short. Overall, it’s a disciplined setup that mirrors the kind of analysis I like to gravitate toward: structured, simple and driven by high probability reversal zones. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TrendDiva
41
AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70 On the 60-minute chart, AUDJPY has completed the accumulation phase, and it appears that AUDJPY is preparing for a breakout phase. This is happening on the 60-minute chart. The price that has already formed a pattern has a lower form and chances are that it may fall further from this area. If this happens, AUDJPY may start another impulsive downward move. In the overall picture, AUDJPY faced a strong resistance near 97.30 and is indicating a downward move to 95.70. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
22
AUDJPY: goodbye uptrend?On the 4H chart, AUDJPY has printed a textbook double top pattern, breaking the rising trendline and diving below the 95.6–95.78 support zone - now acting as resistance. The pair is currently retesting this zone from below, which often provides a clean re-entry point for bears. This area also aligns with the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing it as a key resistance. If the price rejects this zone, the next target is 93.85 (1.618 Fibo projection), followed by 93.25 and potentially 91.71 if momentum strengthens. Fundamentally, the yen gains strength on risk-off flows and diverging rate expectations, while the Australian dollar is pressured by falling commodity prices and a likely pause from the RBA. This widens the rate differential and weakens AUD. As long as price remains below 95.78, sellers are in control. Watch for a rejection from this retest zone.
Short
by TotoshkaTrades
Bullish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?AUD/JPY is falling towards a support level, which is a pullback support aligning with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. A bounce from this level could push the price toward our take-profit target. Entry: 94.75 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 93.80 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up witht he 100% Fibonacci projection. Takeprofit: 95.77 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Cracking the Aussie-Yen Vault: Bullish Heist Setup in Progress🔓💸 AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist 💸🔓 🎯 Plan: Bullish Robbery | Targeting 97.300 | Stop Loss: 95.000 💰 Layered Entries | Precision Robbery | No Mercy 🚨🧠 Attention Robbers, Looters & Forex Mercenaries! 🧠🚨 The AUD/JPY vault is open, and Thief Trader is back with a multi-layer LIMIT ENTRY STRATEGY – stacking orders like cash in a briefcase. 💼💷💣 👀 We ain’t sniping one entry – we’re building an army of LIMITS. Every dip? A robbery opportunity. 💥 ENTRY: Any Price is a Good Price 💥 "Aussie Bull" on steroids – grab the loot on any pullback! Set buy limits across key dips in liquidity pockets, swing zones, or even psychological levels. Thief-style: Entries aren’t missed, they’re planned. 🛑 STOP LOSS: 95.000 🔐 Locked tight at the institutional panic zone – let them get triggered, we reload with confidence. Built for multiple orders – size wisely, survive the fakeouts. 🎯 TARGET: 97.300 💸 Targeting the upper vault room, stacked with JPY weakness. Ride the bullish getaway car all the way to the Tokyo vault rooftop. 🧠 Scalpers? Ride the trend. Swingers? Load your clip. Investors? Sit back and sip that profit. ☕💵 Use trailing SL to protect the bag as price moves in your favor. 🕵️‍♂️ THIEF TRADER SECRETS: 📊 Backed by technicals, macro juice, and liquidity-sniffing analysis. 🗞️ Don’t forget: News releases = volatility = sniper mode ON. ⚠️ MONEY HEIST PROTOCOL: ✅ Avoid entries during high-impact news 📉 ✅ Use risk-adjusted sizing on your orders ✅ Be patient – layering needs discipline, not desperation ❤️‍🔥 Hit that 💥 BOOST BUTTON 💥 if you're with the Thief Squad! Support the robbery. Respect the style. Make money like a true Market Outlaw. 🔔 Follow for the next HEIST PLAN. Big bags only. 💼💰🚀 “Markets don’t move randomly – they move for the ones who rob it correctly.” – Thief Trader 🤑📈🐂 #AUDJPY #ForexHeist #ThiefTrader #BankTheMarket #LayeredEntries #ForexTrading #RobTheMarket
Long
by The-Thief
AUD/JPY H4 SHORT SETUP – 4 August 2025📊 Trade Plan: AUD/JPY – August 2025 🧠 Summary: AUD/JPY has broken a clear ascending channel and retested the breakdown area, aligning with a marked sell zone. Institutional data supports JPY strength and AUD weakness, while trend projections suggest downside momentum into mid-August. 1. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Channel Break: Price broke below the rising trendline after a multi-week uptrend. Sell Zone: 95.98 area, acting as broken structure + pivot resistance. TP Target: ~92.30 — near key historical support and S2 area. Bearish Structure: Lower highs forming after failed breakouts above 97.15. Pivot Resistance & Supply Clusters align with the sell zone. 🔔 Technical Bias: Bearish 2. COT (Commitment of Traders) Sentiment Currency Long % Short % Δ Weekly AUD 20.22% 79.78% +1.14% (slightly more bearish) JPY 68.99% 31.01% -5.01% (stronger bullish sentiment) Institutions are highly short AUD and long JPY, supporting bearish AUD/JPY. 🔔 COT Bias: Strongly Bearish 3. Retail Sentiment Retail Traders: 64% long AUD/JPY, 36% short. This contrarian signal supports a bearish bias, since retail is heavily long while price is breaking down. 🔔 Retail Bias: Bearish 4. Trend Projection All models (green, black, red) suggest: Short-term bounce around 96.5–97.2 Medium-term decline into 95.5, 95.0, then 94.5–94.0 by Aug 6–7 Bearish scenario points to 93.5 and lower. 🔔 Projection Bias: Bearish
Short
by Pedro_07
AUDJPY Forming Bullish MomentumAUDJPY has recently bounced from a strong demand zone near the 94.50–95.00 region, as seen on the 4H chart. This zone has acted as a key support area in previous price action, and the market is now printing higher lows after rejecting it multiple times. Price is showing bullish momentum, and with buyers stepping in aggressively from this area, we are now anticipating a continuation to the upside toward 96.80 and beyond. From a fundamental perspective, the Australian dollar is gaining traction due to recent upbeat economic sentiment, especially as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains its data-dependent stance. Although rate hikes are on pause, the RBA is leaving the door open for further tightening should inflation remain sticky. On the flip side, the Japanese yen remains weak across the board, with the Bank of Japan maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy and no near-term signals of change. This divergence in central bank policy continues to support bullish pressure on AUDJPY. Technically, the risk-reward profile is favorable. The bullish engulfing candles off the demand zone suggest strong buyer intent. A break and hold above the intraday resistance around 96.00 would confirm bullish continuation, with upside targets stretching toward 96.80–97.20. Meanwhile, stops can be managed tightly below 94.50, keeping the setup clean and structured. With the yen facing broad weakness and Aussie resilience in play, this pair offers momentum trading potential. Overall, AUDJPY is primed for upside as long as the support zone holds. Traders should monitor price action around current levels for bullish confirmation and scale in on minor pullbacks. This setup aligns with market sentiment and fundamental divergence, creating a high-probability opportunity in the current forex landscape.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 96.11 1st Support: 94.30 1st Resistance: 97.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY-Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern at Reversal levelThe AUDJPY pair has formed a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, typically a strong bullish reversal signal. As seen on the daily chart, the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder have all developed with a clearly defined neckline near the 95.80–96.00 zone. Price action recently broke above this neckline but has since entered a consolidation phase between 95.00–97.00. Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation) If AUDJPY decisively breaks above the 97.00 resistance with strong bullish momentum and volume, the inverted head and shoulders pattern will be fully confirmed. In this case, traders can expect an upward continuation toward: Short-term Target: 99.00 Medium-term Target: 101.00 Measured Move Target: ~102.00 based on pattern height Risk: False breakout followed by quick pullback under neckline Sudden JPY strength due to geopolitical or fundamental news AUD weakness due to interest rate decisions or economic data Sideways/Neutral Scenario (Extended Consolidation) Another possibility is that AUDJPY continues to range between 95.00–97.00 for an extended period without a decisive breakout. This may happen if the market awaits more macroeconomic cues or central bank guidance. Risk: Whipsaws and fakeouts within the range Frustration due to lack of clear direction Risk Management Tips: Wait for confirmation: Only trade post breakout or breakdown with candle close above 97.00 or below 95.00 Use tight stop-loss: Keep stops just below support or above resistance zones Position sizing: Avoid overleveraging in rangebound conditions Diversify exposure: Don’t put all capital into one trade setup Conclusion: AUDJPY is at a critical decision point. The inverted head and shoulders structure is bullish in nature, but the current consolidation adds uncertainty. Traders should stay alert for either a breakout for trend continuation or a breakdown invalidating the setup. Use proper risk management in all cases. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Long
by TradZoo
AUDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
Long
by Matej_trader
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - August 3rd,2025🟦 AUDJPY 4H Analysis Bearish Idea 📅 August 3rd, 2025 🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias: • Monthly – Bullish • Weekly – Bullish • Daily – Bullish • 4H – Bearish AUDJPY has broken cleanly below prior structure around 96.15, signaling short term bearish momentum within a higher timeframe bullish environment. Price is currently approaching key decision zones. 🔍 Key Zone: 96.15 – 96.45 This former support zone may now act as a bearish retest area and new resistance. This offers a potential entry for continuation plays if structure holds below. ✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path) 1.If price retests and rejects from 96.15–96.45 2.Look for bearish confirmation (rejection wicks, engulfing, LTF structure shift) Target: 94.50 This setup is trend aligned with current 4H momentum and offers a clean structure based downside. ⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Reclaim (Orange Path) 1.If price breaks and holds above 96.45 2.Could signal a shift back toward higher timeframe bullish continuation Target: 97.20 resistance zone This is a counter-trend idea on the 4H and requires confirmation 🧠 Final Notes • Short-term bearish bias while price remains below 96.45 • Let the retest confirm the direction • Clean structure = clean setups
Short
by ForexLeague
AUDJPY Bullish Continuation Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 97.527 Resistance Level 2: 98.091 Resistance Level 3: 99.00 Support Level 1: 96.00 Support Level 2: 95.574 Support Level 3: 95.060 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation