AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
AUDJPY trade ideas
AUDJPY: Key Resistance Ahead 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY is approaching an important resistance cluster on a daily.
The price formed a cup and handle pattern on that on an hourly.
Its neckline has just been broken.
I expect a pullback at least to 92.55 level.
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AUDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 93.104 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 94.128
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 91.339
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish continuation?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 92.12
1st Support: 90.68
1st Resistance: 94.59
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Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 93.33
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 94.40
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 92.12
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bullish rise?AUD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 92.12
1st Support: 90.68
1st Resistance: 95.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUDJPY: H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:AUDJPY
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AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist Plan(Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (89.000) Day/Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 94.200
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💰💵💴💸AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
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Detailed Explanation Point-by-Point 🧠
1. **Fundamental Analysis** 📊: AUD strength hinges on RBA policy and China’s demand, while JPY reacts to BoJ dovishness and safe-haven flows. A tug-of-war dynamic. ⚔️
2. **Macro Economics** 🌎: Australia’s trade-driven growth contrasts Japan’s structural challenges, supporting a balanced but AUD-leaning pair. 🦘🏯
3. **Global Market Analysis** 🌍: Risk sentiment drives the pair, with commodities and equities as key influencers. 🎢
4. **COT Data** 📑: Bullish speculator positioning aligns with price stability but warns of reversal risks. ⚠️
5. **Seasonality** 📅: Mixed April trends emphasize real-time catalysts over historical patterns. 🤔
6. **Intermarket Analysis** 🔗: Yield spreads and equity correlations reinforce risk sensitivity. 📈
7. **Quantitative Analysis** 📉: Consolidation at 90.900 signals a looming breakout with defined levels. 🚀
8. **Market Sentiment** 😊: Retail bullishness vs. institutional caution suggests potential surprises. 🗣️
9. **Trend Prediction** 🔮: Multi-timeframe targets offer actionable levels for bullish and bearish scenarios. 🎯
10. **Outlook** 📝: A 6/10 score reflects optimism tempered by risks, guiding a long bias with vigilance. 😊
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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AUD_JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_JPY will be retesting a resistance level of 93.500 soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 92.152
Target Level: 91.545
Stop Loss: 92.554
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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AUD-JPY Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY went up and hit
A horizontal supply area
Around 93.597 from where
We are already seeing a local
Bearish pullback so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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AUDJPYAUD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and May 2025 Fundamental Outlook
Current Interest Rate Differential
RBA Cash Rate: 4.10% (held steady in April 2025, with gradual easing expected later in 2025).
BoJ Policy Rate: 0.50% (maintained in May 2025 amid trade war risks).
Interest Rate Differential: 3.60 percentage points (AUD yield advantage).
This significant gap typically supports AUD/JPY appreciation as investors favor higher-yielding AUD assets. However, the BoJ has signaled willingness to hike rates if economic conditions improve, while the RBA plans further cuts, which could narrow the differential later in 2025.
Key May 2025 Fundamental Events
Australia (AUD)
Retail Sales (May 2):
March retail sales beat expectations (0.4% vs. 0.2% forecast). A repeat could bolster AUD.
Services/Composite PMI (May 4):
Forecast: 51.6 (Services) and 51.6 (Composite). A reading above 50 indicates expansion, supporting AUD.
Monthly CPI Indicator (May 28):
Critical for RBA policy. Persistent inflation may delay rate cuts, favoring AUD strength.
Japan (JPY)
Q1 GDP (May 16):
BoJ slashed 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% due to trade war impacts. Weak data could pressure JPY.
BoJ Rhetoric:
Governor Ueda emphasized uncertainty over tariffs and delayed inflation targets. Dovish tones may weaken JPY.
Global Risk Factors
US-China Trade War: Escalating tariffs threaten export-reliant Japan and commodity-driven Australia. Risk-off sentiment could boost JPY as a safe haven.
RBA vs. BoJ Policy Paths:
RBA’s gradual easing (forecast: 2.6% by 2026) vs. BoJ’s conditional hikes creates a dynamic rate gap.
Directional Bias for May 2025
Scenario AUD/JPY Impact
Bullish AUD/JPY - Strong AU retail sales/PMI data
- Sticky AU inflation (delays RBA cuts)
- Weak Japan GDP
Bearish AUD/JPY - Risk-off sentiment (JPY safe-haven demand)
- BoJ hints at future hikes
- Soft AU data
Base Case:
AUD/JPY likely trades with an upward bias in May, supported by the wide rate differential and resilient Australian data. However, JPY strength could emerge if global risk aversion spikes or BoJ adopts a hawkish tilt. Monitor:
May 2 (AU Retail Sales), May 4 (PMIs), May 16 (Japan GDP), May 28 (AU CPI).
In summary, the interest rate differential and AU fundamentals favor AUD/JPY gains, but trade war risks and BoJ policy nuances warrant caution.
AUDJPY Breakout: Can the Rally Continue?AUDJPY Breakout: Can the Rally Continue?
Last week, AUDJPY broke out of a bullish triangle, signaling a potential upward move. The Japanese yen has been influenced by concerns over the country's economy, particularly the impact of tariffs, which may be affecting its strength.
So far, the breakout appears solid, increasing the chances for AUDJPY to rise further. The first resistance level is near 93.10, while the second key resistance is around 95.00. In both areas, the price could struggle to break through due to strong historical resistance from previous market structures on the left side of the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
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14-04-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ AUDJPY H11- Double Bottom coupled with Divergence and followed by Convergence.
2- Correction happened in the form of Bullish Flag.
3- After correction strong Bullish Impulse.
4- AB = CD pattern anticipated.
5- Therefore, one can expect a push to the upside.
6- Look for BUY Entry after correction, not (when price action is) on the way down.
AUDJPY INTRADAY oversold bounce back retesting 92.90The AUDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 92.90 (critical level), 93.84, 94.60, and 95.50
Support Levels: 90.33, 89.79, 88.70
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 92.90 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 90.33, with extended declines targeting 89.79 and 88.70 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 92.90 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 93.84, followed by 94.60 and 95.50.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 92.90 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Japanese Yen Pairs: A Short Guide on Relative StrengthIndicators are a popular choice among many traders, and they certainly have their place in my own toolkit. But sometimes it is best to simply look the price to gauge strength. And doing so, it can help us scenario plan for future events. After I take a quick look at Japanese yen pairs, I wrap up on my preferred setup.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
AUDJPY, our risk on/off monitor, is near a key resistance areaAUDJPY has been on a good run lately. The driving force behind it was the improved market sentiment due to the calming moment in the tariff wars. Can this be sustained?
Let's look at the technical picture of AUDJPY.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15' order block targets
✅Weekly imbalance fill targets
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X