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AUDJPY trade ideas

AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
54
AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the AUD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 88.446 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
"Epic AUD/JPY Forex Raid Plan Bullish Swing Trade to 96.600!"Ultimate AUD/JPY Forex Heist Plan 🚨 Swing Trade Mastery for Epic Gains! 🚀 Greetings, Wealth Warriors & Market Mavericks! 👋💸 Get ready to execute a legendary heist on the AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex market with our exclusive Thief Trading Style! 🎯 This meticulously crafted strategy blends technical precision and fundamental firepower to maximize your profits. Follow the plan outlined in the chart, focusing on a long entry to conquer the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—a battleground of overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish bandits lurk. 🐻 Stay sharp, lock in profits, and trade safely! 💪🎉 Entry 📈: The heist begins! Watch for the MA pullback in the market maker’s trap zone (91.500 OR above) to strike. Bullish riches await! Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe’s recent swing low/high. Pro tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout entry in action! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low/high on the 4H timeframe (90.200) for swing trades. Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and multiple orders. Target 🎯: Aim for 96.600 or make a swift exit before the target to secure your loot! 🧲 Scalpers, listen up! 👀 Stick to long-side scalps. Big players can jump in now; others, join the swing trade heist. Use a trailing SL to protect your stash. 💰 💵 AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Yen" Forex Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is riding a bullish wave 🐂, fueled by critical market drivers. Dive into the fundamentals—Macro Economics, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, and Future Trends—before launching your heist. Check the linkKs for the full scoop! 🔗👉 📌 Markets move fast, so stay vigilant and adapt your analysis to the latest developments. ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰🚨 News releases can shake up prices and volatility. Protect your positions by: Avoiding new trades during news events Using trailing stop-loss orders to lock in gains 💖 Boost our heist plan! 💥 Hit the Boost Button to supercharge our team’s strength and make stealing profits a breeze. With the Thief Trading Style, you’ll conquer the market daily with ease! 🏆🤝🎉 Stay tuned for the next epic heist plan, Money Makers! 🤑🐱‍👤🚀
Long
by Thief_Trader
AUDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term descending channel and is currently trading around 94.50. The breakout is clean and supported by solid bullish volume, which confirms that momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. This setup indicates a clear trend reversal on the daily timeframe, and with the pair establishing higher lows and breaking resistance, the path toward 100.00 looks technically achievable in the coming weeks. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained a firm stance on inflation management. The latest CPI figures remain above the RBA’s comfort zone, and recent wage growth data has further reduced the probability of near-term rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to lag due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary stance and consistent verbal intervention that lacks follow-through, keeping JPY broadly weaker across the board. Technically, we’ve seen strong follow-through after the breakout, with price now holding firmly above prior resistance turned support. If this momentum sustains, we could see buyers step in aggressively, targeting 96.50 short-term and extending toward the key psychological level of 100.00 in the medium term. The risk-reward remains attractive with a clearly defined invalidation point below 91.00. Overall, AUDJPY stands out as one of the most bullish JPY crosses on my radar. With a clean breakout, supportive fundamentals from the Australian side, and persistent weakness in the yen, this trade aligns with broader macro sentiment and could offer strong upside potential heading into the next quarter.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
8
Potential bearish drop?AUD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullbac resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 93.33 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance leel. Stop loss: 94.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that i slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 91.04 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish Outlook on AUD/JPY – Watching for Entry After Retrace!I'm currently focused on the AUD/JPY currency pair 📉. We’re seeing a clear, sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, marked by a recent break of market structure — a key sign that sellers are firmly in control 🐻. At the moment, price appears overextended and is trading directly into a major liquidity pool — specifically, a cluster of sell-side liquidity sitting below previous lows 🧲. I’m watching for a retracement or pullback into a zone of interest. If that happens, I’ll be on the lookout for a bearish break of structure on the lower timeframes to confirm a high-probability short setup 🎯. As always, this is not financial advice, just a look at how I’m approaching the current price action ⚠️.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
AUDJPY Long: Buy the Dip into Trendline + Seasonal AUD Surge🔹 Pair: AUD/JPY 🔹 Timeframe: 4H 🔹 Direction: Long 🔹 Status: Retesting Trendline Support 🔹 Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40 (Live Entry Area) ⸻ 📊 Macro & Fundamental Confluence 🇦🇺 AUD – Bullish • Strong Seasonality: Historically bullish May 19 – June 10. • Conditional Score Rise: From 21 → 24 = Positive momentum shift. • Dovish CB, But Risk-On: Supports carry trade flows into AUD. • Macro View: Rebalancing inflation & trend recovery, AUD outperforming. 🇯🇵 JPY – Bearish • BoJ Hawkish Talk, Dovish Action: Delayed inflation targets (to 2027). • Score Flat: Minor rise (11 → 12), showing underperformance. • Risk-On Mood: With VIX under 20, safe-haven demand fading. • Macro Lag: JPY weakest G7 performer year-to-date. 🧠 Confluences Supporting the Trade ✅ Seasonal AUD strength ✅ Fundamental divergence: AUD strong, JPY weak ✅ Risk-on regime (favoring carry trades like AUDJPY) ✅ Trendline respected since April (bullish market structure) ✅ Support zone at 93.00–93.30 area ⸻ 📈 Technical Setup • Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40 • Stop Loss: 92.08 (below structure and ascending trendline) • Take Profit: • TP1: 95.40 (resistance zone) • TP2: 96.00 (supply zone retest) • Risk:Reward: ~1.8 – 2.2 depending on final entry 📌 Execution Notes Watching for candle closure confirmation above 93.50. Break below 92.08 invalidates the bullish bias. This setup combines macro divergence, seasonal strength, and clean 4H market structure. ⸻ 💬 Are you trading AUDJPY this week? Drop your thoughts below ⬇️
Long
by wajahatarif
AUDJPY – Short Setup | Volume Trap + Order Flow + Multi-TimeframWhy I'm Selling AUDJPY Here: 1. Massive Volume Trap Exposed 📊 On the left chart (5min), there's a huge cluster of volume** between 93.20–93.50 (67K–76K contracts). That’s not retail – that’s institutional distribution. Price pumped into that zone and dumped hard, confirming it was a liquidity grab. Now we’re retesting the low-volume void (LVN) just under that cluster = perfect re-entry short zone. 2. Smart Money is Exiting (VBSM Indicator) 🧠 On the 20h Heikin Ashi chart (right), the VBSM 25 line just dropped below the moving average: From 21+ down to 16.6 16.6 < 17.05 MA = Smart money is exiting the market, not buying the dip. 3. OBV Confirmation 📉 OBV 30 and OBV 200 are both trending downward Price is moving sideways/slightly up, but OBV is leaking = hidden bearish divergence This confirms distribution, not accumulation. 4. Money Flow Index Reversal MFI 30 dropped from 80 to 62.28 Losing buyer momentum = another sign of buyer exhaustion 5. Heikin Ashi Candles: No Upper Wicks 🚫 On the 20h timeframe, the last two candles are solid red with no upper wicks This confirms selling pressure is increasing — clean bearish price action --- Trade Plan (Execution): Sell Entry Zone: 93.05 – 93.20 (while price is testing the trap zone) Stop Loss: Above 93.55 (above the highest volume spike) Take Profit: 92.00 area (next demand zone + low-volume pocket) Risk: Under 50% capital, in line with my risk strategy --- Final Thoughts – From Shavarie Gordon: This setup is the result of 7 years of deep volume analysis, order flow study, and market psychology. I only pull the trigger when all components line up — and this one checks every box. If you're looking to learn how smart money really operates, this chart is your textbook case: liquidity grab, volume trap, weakening buyers, and stealthy exit. Stay sharp, stay patient — 1 quality setup is all it takes.
Short
by shavarieg
AUDJPYAUD/JPY Bond Yield Differential and Carry Trade Analysis ,the current interest rate differential Bond price will be watched as carry are looking for directional bias on a cautious note . Australia 10-year bond yield: drops from 4.5 % to 4.391 a drop today Japan 10-year bond yield: 1.53% Interest rate differential: 3.00% (AUD yield − JPY yield) Carry Trade Mechanics The AUD/JPY carry trade involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) to invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the 3% yield spread. For example: Borrow ¥15 million at 0.1% (JPY rate) and convert to AUD. Invest in Australian bonds or deposits yielding 4.53%. Annual profit: ~3% (minus transaction costs and currency fluctuations). Key Drivers and Risks Opportunities Yield Advantage: The 3% differential offers steady returns in low-volatility conditions. AUD Resilience: Improved global trade sentiment (e.g., US-China tariff reductions ) supports AUD demand. BoJ Policy: Japan’s gradual monetary tightening (10-year JGB yield at 1.53%, up from 0.99% in 2024 ) has not yet erased the yield gap. Risks RBA Rate Cuts: The Reserve Bank of Australia recently cut rates to 3.85% , which could pressure AUD yields downward. JPY Appreciation: BoJ’s hawkish tilt and safe-haven demand during market stress could strengthen JPY, eroding carry profits. Currency Volatility: AUD/JPY has faced downward pressure, trading near 93.00 in May 2025 . A 5% JPY rally could wipe out the annual interest gain. Strategic Considerations for Traders Factor Impact on Carry Trade Yield Spread 3% provides baseline return AUD/JPY Stability Critical to preserving capital Central Bank Policies Monitor RBA/BoJ for rate changes Global Trade Dynamics US-China tensions affect AUD Historical Performance and Outlook In 2024, similar yield spreads generated 4–5% annual returns for AUD/JPY carry trades . Forecasts suggest the spread may narrow slightly if the RBA continues easing, but remains attractive compared to other pairs like USD/JPY (4.25% vs. 0.1% ). Conclusion The AUD/JPY carry trade remains viable in May 2025, leveraging a 3% yield differential. However, traders must hedge against JPY strength and monitor RBA/BoJ policy shifts. While the strategy offers steady returns in stable markets, currency volatility and central bank actions pose significant risks. #forex #audjpy
Short
by Shavyfxhub
WHO'S PRINTING PIPS AND CASH? AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25WHO'S PRINTING PIPS AND CASH? AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅HTF 50 EMA acting as support and resistance. ✅Gap to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 92.666 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 93.784 Recommended Stop Loss - 92.004 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Will AUDJPY rebound?FX_IDC:AUDJPY had recently corrected lower, but continues to trade above a broken downside resistance line. Will we see a push back up anytime soon? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY - AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25 HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅4H 50EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025 - AUDJPY reversed from key resistance level 95.30 - Likely to fall to support level 92.00 AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of March). The downward reversal from the resistance level 95.30 started the active intermediate correction (B). Given the strength of the resistance level 95.30 and clear daily downtrend, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 92.00.
Short
by FxProGlobal
AUDJPYReserve Bank of Australia (RBA): Current cash rate: 4.10% (expected to cut to 3.85% on May 20). RBA on a dovish pivot driven by progress on inflation (trimmed mean CPI: 2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Current policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ signaled potential hikes if economic conditions improve, but weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1) and U.S. tariffs (24% on Japanese goods) limit tightening scope The upcoming Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut, widely expected to be a 25 basis point reduction at the May 20, 2025 meeting, is anticipated to have a short-term bearish impact on AUD/JPY, primarily by putting downward pressure on the Australian dollar (AUD) relative to the Japanese yen (JPY). Here’s why: Key Points on the Impact of the RBA Rate Cut on AUD/JPY AUD Under Pressure Due to Rate Cut Expectations: Growing market consensus around the RBA’s rate cut has already led to AUD depreciation, causing AUD/JPY to edge lower below the 92.21 level as of late April 2025. Lower interest rates reduce the yield advantage of the AUD, making it less attractive to carry traders and investors seeking higher returns. Economic Uncertainties and Trade Outlook: The RBA’s cautious, data-dependent approach amid rising economic uncertainties and global trade tensions (especially U.S.-China relations) adds to downward momentum for AUD/JPY. However, signs of easing U.S.-China trade tensions could provide some support to the AUD, limiting the downside. JPY Dynamics: The Japanese yen has weakened recently due to reduced safe-haven demand amid improving global trade sentiment, which has somewhat offset AUD weakness. However, ongoing expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes in 2025 support the yen, applying pressure on AUD/JPY. Moderating Factors: Reduced Aggressive Rate Cut Bets: Recent data, including a hotter-than-expected Australian Wage Price Index, has tempered expectations for aggressive RBA cuts, which could limit AUD/JPY losses. BoJ Policy Outlook: BoJ’s commitment to possible further rate hikes supports the yen, creating a headwind for AUD/JPY. Technical and Sentiment Outlook: The pair has paused recent gains and is vulnerable to further downside if the RBA confirms the cut and signals a cautious path forward. However, dip-buying interest could emerge on declines due to improving trade optimism and softer USD dynamics. Summary Factor Impact on AUD/JPY RBA 25 bps rate cut (May 20) Bearish AUD, downward pressure Signs of easing US-China trade Potential support for AUD BoJ rate hike expectations Yen strength, bearish for AUD/JPY Wage growth in Australia Limits aggressive AUD weakness Global trade sentiment Supports yen weakness, offsets AUD pressure Conclusion The anticipated RBA rate cut is expected to weigh on AUD/JPY in the short term, primarily due to reduced yield appeal of the AUD. However, improving global trade sentiment and tempered expectations for aggressive rate cuts may cushion losses. The yen’s strength from BoJ tightening expectations will also continue to exert downward pressure on the pair.
by Shavyfxhub