AUDJPY trade ideas
AUD_JPY GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_JPY is approaching a demand level of 95.500
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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BEARISH CONTINUATION ON AUDJPYAm seeing a continuation ofthe bearish sentiment if the pair brekas level 95.5 and the new target would be the weekly resistance come support at 94.4 which is a valid psychlogical level.if the yen continues to get stronger then we r in for a massive downside aiming at the lower lows on the weekly and monthly.
AUD / JPY STILL DO NOT MISS THE CHANCE !!!
CONTEXT
If you have previously seen my analysis on AUD / JPY I have explained about the potential of bearish momentum on this pair ( if you haven't seen it please see my previous published analysis , will make you much clear to understand this potential oncoming trade opportunity ).
This pair as I have explained on my previous analysis has followed head and shoulder pattern and has been heavily bearish as expected . As such it is very simple for a trader to look and trade on opportunity that presents a bearish character on smaller TF and just simply trade with correct parameters. i.e. risk management and time of entries etc.
This pair I believe has the characteristics of providing us those opportunity as seen on the chart.
TRADE IDEA
As seen on the chart when we know the bigger TF and swing structure of the pair is bearish supported by other factors i.e. chart patterns , we are now looking on this pair to see the break of 4hr fractal candle wick and potentially enter on 1hr TF or 15 min TF , most preferably in NY session. chances might arrive on London session but I would personally see it through NY session to take this trade coming week.
Pair will be posted as we go through week and see how the pair reacts and what opportunity it gives us.
NOTE Do look on my analysis on this pair which I have published earlier this month. ( November 2024 )
ENTRY IDEA
What I am looking on smaller TF on coming week for entry .
AUDJPY Sell Opportunity!The supply zone near 96.674 is still marked as a key resistance area. Price is expected to test this zone before a potential reversal.
The arrow suggests a bearish move from the supply zone down to the highlighted support level near 95.881.
Enter short positions at 96.674 upon confirmation of bearish price action—place stop loss above the supply zone (around 96.800).
JPY: Is the potential rate hike priced in?Hello traders
I have the opportunity to catch the opening bell of the NY, Asian and London/Europe markets.
It does come at a cost with interrupted sleep when necessary but the pay off is worth it.
I trade EUR/USD in the morning and the JPY crosses in the afternoon with the focus on AUD/JPY.
The technical indicators, in my opinion, point to the possibility that a rate HIKE by the BOJ has been priced in against the majors. The Federal Reserve USD rate CUT is also baked into the markets outlook.
Fundamentally, the USD still has the upper hand with more Fed speak pointing to "no rush to lower rates" by Fed Powell and San Francisco's Mary Daly earlier today.
BOJ's Nakamura also commented today that consumption lacks momentum.
Japan also showed an uptick in the most recent unemployment rate.
This could of course change in a heart beat if labor markets show a significant slowdown over the next few months or if inflation picks up again if/when Trump enforces all the threats of tariffs.
The next rate cut from Australia is factored in for May 2025 but the lower print on GDP was unexpected. And the Chinese economy's performance obviously plays a huge role in the AUD performance.
BUT, proceed with caution over the next few weeks until all the central bank rate decisions are out of the way.
Surprisingly, the EURO has taken the political turmoil in France in it's stride. It does not appear as if it will precipitate another Greece-like debt crisis, yet.
Here is a look at the EUR/JPY
Stay nimble. There are a lot of balls up in the air at the moment. Best of luck.
AUD/JPY BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD-JPY downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 99.286 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the AUD/JPY pair.
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AUD/JPY Analysis: Speculators Eye Potential Downside Amid RetailAUD/JPY presents a compelling case for downside potential as large speculators increasingly position short, according to COT data. This shift in institutional sentiment contrasts with the prevailing retail bullish bias, with many traders still holding long positions, expecting the pair to continue its upward momentum.
However, when retail sentiment becomes too optimistic, especially near critical resistance levels, it often signals a reversal opportunity for larger players. With institutions positioning for further downside, AUD/JPY could be primed for a pullback or breakdown as retail traders’ stop-losses become targets for liquidity grabs.
Given the contrast between institutional positioning and retail sentiment, AUD/JPY remains vulnerable to downside pressure. Monitoring sentiment extremes and watching for liquidity events around key levels could provide key insights into the next major move for the pair.
AUD/JPY: Is the Downtrend Losing Steam?Monthly Chart Overview
On the monthly chart, AUD/JPY is exhibiting significant downside extension, reaching a key rejection zone. This area has historically acted as a strong support or resistance, which could indicate potential for price exhaustion. However, patience is required, as the bearish trend remains intact for now.
Weekly Chart Perspective
Zooming into the weekly chart, the price appears even more overextended to the downside. The pair is approaching important zones of interest, suggesting the possibility of a retracement. This could present buying opportunities as the price potentially rebalances. However, the bearish momentum remains strong, making it crucial to wait for confirmation since the downward trend could persist.
4-Hour Chart Dynamics
On the 4-hour chart, the key lies in observing whether:
Price breaks aggressively to the upside, signaling the beginning of a potential retracement, or
Price continues its downward movement, confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
This timeframe is crucial for fine-tuning your entry and taking a directional stance. Any aggressive bullish momentum or clear bearish continuation will dictate the strategy.
Fundamental Insights (COT Report)
A notable signal suggesting the potential for a long setup is visible in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report:
The JPY positions are showing aggressive additions to long positions, with a simultaneous unwinding of short positions.
In contrast, the AUD remains stable, indicating less aggressive positioning on the AUD side of the pair.
This shift in sentiment toward the JPY could be an early indication of a potential reversal in AUD/JPY, as the market might be anticipating a weakening of the downtrend or a possible retracement.
Trading Approach
Bullish Plan: Wait for confirmation of a reversal (e.g., bullish engulfing candles, breaks of recent highs, or strong momentum). Enter on the retracement with targets at resistance levels identified on the weekly chart. The shift in JPY positioning strengthens the case for this setup.
Bearish Plan: If the price continues to break lower, consider shorting after a pullback to resistance, in line with the higher timeframe trend.
Key Takeaways
The combination of price reaching historical rejection zones and the COT report sentiment shift suggests potential for a reversal, but patience is critical for confirmation.
Monitor the 4-hour chart for key breakouts or confirmations in price direction.
Use defined zones on the monthly and weekly charts for targets and risk management.
AUDJPY The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 96.617
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 97.989
Safe Stop Loss - 95.840
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#018 DCA AUDJPY ShortI just closed the USDJPY Sell for a small overall profit but I opened the AUDJPY and sold it instead, now.
I decided to short the AUDJPY because I realised that some pairs have just broken out of the Minor Consolidation on the 15 Minutes Time Frame, and AUDJPY is one of it.
I am entering on a push wave, but if price pulls back and shows and overbought that is lower, I could also DCA at that point.
I have also drawn two horizontal lines where I think that price could retrace back to if the push wave isn't strong enough to push price all the way to TP.
Besides, the TP size is quite big as compared to my usual TP size of 20+ to 40+ pips I think. This AUDJPY TP size is 140.7 pips. But of course, if price isn't moving much I will close the positions as I deem fit.
2156SGT 02122024
AUDJPY is Holding After Channel BreakoutHello Traders
In This Chart AUDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
AUD/JPY re-entry into an ascending patternHi, dear investors we are revisiting the AUD/JPY pair after the strong support level was broken and the pair went out of structure , making our previous entry as a fail, but as we can see written on the chart we have successfully touched the botom and we have entered and confiremd an ascending pattern -
Entry : 97.550
Target 1 : 98.100
Target 2 : 99.500
After we go back in the 99.00 area we will revisit the pair if we can in put our previous strategy and continue forward so we can follow up with the next high targets of 100,101 and finalize at 102 at the upper Resistance Level.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!