AUDJPY trade ideas
AUDJPYWe see in Australia against the Japanese yen two scenarios, i.e. the trend is completed to the downside, or if 90.449 is breached, it begins to rise, and we target 93.498 and 92.332, but most likely the scenario is an upward trend that will be activated, i.e. we wait for the taki candle after the breach.
AUDJPY – Buy Limit Setup (Intraday)Published: 11/04/2025 11:26 (BST)
Expires: 11/04/2025 21:00 (BST)
🧠 Trade Summary
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 88.00
Target: 90.00
Stop Loss: 87.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Duration: Intraday
Confidence Level: 53%
News Sentiment: 47%
📊 Technical View
The recent dip offers a better risk/reward entry compared to current levels.
No signs of exhaustion in the current rally.
A confirmed break above 89.50 would validate bullish momentum.
The measured move target sits at 90.50.
Key support at 88.00, aligning with the Buy Limit order.
🔍 Levels to Watch
Resistance: 89.50 / 90.00 / 90.50
Support: 88.50 / 88.00 / 87.50
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY Elliott Wave Analysishello friends
In the AUDJPY currency pair, we see the formation of a 5-wave pattern in the dominant wave (B). Before these 5-waves, we see a strong downward movement. which we call wave (A).
These 5 waves have modified the previous powerful movement, and the corrective movements are always more complicated and time-consuming than their previous wave.
Therefore, it is more likely that the price will return to its original movement.
Therefore, with the hypothesis of continued downward movement, we are waiting for the break of the trend line drawn at the 5-wave bottom (wave B) and with the break and pullback, we can enter into a sale transaction.
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AUDJPY Bearish continuation below 91.85The AUDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 91.85 (critical level), 92.84, 93.62
Support Levels: 87.87, 86.60, 85.70
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 91.85 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 87.87, with extended declines targeting 86.60 and 85.70 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 91.85 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 92.84, followed by 93.60.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 91.85 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
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AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/JPY with the target of 85.454 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPY to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 91.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 92.00.
We look to Buy at 89.50 (stop at 88.50)
Our profit targets will be 91.50 and 92.00
Resistance: 91.00 / 91.50 / 92.00
Support: 90.00 / 89.50 / 89.00
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 89.50
1st Support: 87.82
1st Resistance: 93.06
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Bearish Setup on AUDJPY – Waiting for POI ReactionCurrently bearish on AUDJPY due to higher time frame structure showing signs of weakness. However, I’m exercising patience as I have two key areas of interest (POIs) I’m watching closely:
Primary POI (Point of Interest):
This is a refined supply zone within the premium zone, where I expect price to retrace before giving any bearish confirmation. Ideally, I want to see a clear rejection or distribution pattern here before executing a short position.
Extreme POI (Last Line of Defense):
In case price breaks through the primary POI without a solid rejection, I will wait for price to reach this deeper, more extreme supply zone. This is my most conservative entry area and aligns with higher risk-to-reward expectations.
Trade Plan:
No entry until price pulls back into one of the POIs.
Looking for confirmation (e.g., break of structure, bearish engulfing, supply taking over demand) before executing a sell.
Targeting previous demand levels or liquidity zones below current price.
Stop loss will depend on the POI used, with risk managed accordingly.
Bias: Bearish
Status: Waiting for retracement and confirmation.
AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Wave 5 Completion in SightIn AUD/JPY, the 4th wave has been completed, and the 5th wave is in progress. According to Elliott Wave theory, there is a high probability of the market continuing its downward movement.
Regarding potential targets, the price may reach 88.151 and 87.365 on the downside. However, a bullish move could also emerge if the market breaks above 89.645 .
AUDJPY Sell Opportunity: Analyzing Market Trends with EASY TradiBased on the latest EASY Trading AI analysis, AUDJPY presents an attractive selling scenario. The recommended entry is precisely at 87.061, targeting a Take Profit at the 86.05 mark, with a cautious Stop Loss at 88.869.The sell signal arises from reliable indicators showing weakening upward momentum and bearish pressure forming clearly at current resistance levels. EASY Trading AI’s evaluation of recent price action identifies increased selling volume and reduced bullish participation, signaling a likely downward correction.Carefully monitor your risk parameters and follow this clearly defined trading plan for optimal risk-reward management.
AUD/JPY Selloff Keeps RSI in Oversold TerritoryAUD/JPY marks a five-day selloff as it extends the decline from the start of the week, with the recent weakness in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in oversold territory.
AUD/JPY Outlook
Keep in mind, AUD/JPY cleared the 2024 low (90.40) following the failed attempts to close above the 50-Day SMA (94.38), and the move below 30 in the RSI is likely to be accompanied by a further decline in the exchange rate like the price action from last year.
A move/close below the 0.8660 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8740 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone brings the 2023 low (86.06) back on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 85.20 (100% Fibonacci extension.
At the same time, lack of momentum to close below the 0.8660 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8740 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may pull the RSI back from overbought territory, with a breach/close above 89.20 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) raising the scope for a move towards 90.50 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
AUD/JPY H1 | Upward momentum gaining traction?AUD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 88.75 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 87.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 90.63 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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A Practical Framework for Overcoming Fear in Trading“Fear is not real. The only place that fear can exist is in our thoughts of the future. It is a product of our imagination, causing us to fear things that do not at present and may not ever exist. Do not misunderstand me, danger is very real, but fear is a choice.” - Will Smith, After Earth
Although I firmly agree with this statement, I also have to acknowledge that while fear is a choice, it’s also a biological response to perceived threats like uncertainty, lack of control, and experience.
When faced with these threats the brain activates the amygdala which triggers the fight or flight response releasing hormones like cortisol and adrenaline, preparing the body to respond quickly and instinctively.
If left alone, traders consumed with fear will either seek to take vengeance against the markets, typically referred to as “Revenge Trading” or they’ll hesitate when taking the next position fearing that it would be a repeat of the last. Either way, it never ends well.
In today’s article we’re going to be breaking down fear both figuratively and literally, by gaining a deeper understanding on how it works and what steps we should take to overcome it.
Three Types of Fears in Trading:
Now I’m sure most of you reading this article are familiar with the three types of fears related to trading, so I’ll go through these quite briefly but for those of you who might not be that familiar I’ll leave a short explanation for each of the fears highlighted.
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO):
The apprehension of missing profitable opportunities leads traders to enter trades impulsively without proper analysis, often resulting in poor outcomes. Traders experiencing FOMO generally find themselves in trading signal groups or rely on social media for direction, see my previous article on Trading Vs. Social Media
Fear of Losing Money:
The anxiety associated with potential financial loss can cause traders to exit positions prematurely or avoid taking necessary risks. This fear is closely linked to loss aversion, where the pain of losing is felt more intensely than the pleasure of equivalent gains.
Fear of Being Wrong:
The discomfort of making incorrect decisions can deter traders from executing trades or cause them to hold onto losing positions in an attempt to prove their initial decision was right.
In many respects, traders try to deal with these fears directly but usually without much success. This is because they’re treating the symptom but not the cause.
In order to deal with any of these fears either independently or collectively you’d need to first learn to become comfortable in three very specific areas.
Uncertainty - At its core, trading is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Certainty in trading comes only when you’re able to shift your focus from the outcome of any one trade to your ability to take any one trade regardless of the outcome. Remember, it's not your job to predict the future, rather you should prepare for it.
Past Losses - The outcome of one trade has absolutely no impact on the outcome of the next, and the best way to deal with past losses is to embrace the lessons that came with it.
Lack of Control - Although we cannot control the outcome of a trade, we do control the type of trade we take. We can control when we enter, exit, and how much we risk, which when examined closely carries far more significance than merely seeking to control the outcome.
Debunking The Biggest Myth In Trading
If you won then you were right, if you lost then you were wrong. This is the biggest myth in trading today and one of the main reasons why so many traders chose being right over being profitable.
Instead of accepting a loss, they’ll remove whatever stop loss they had in place in the hope that the market will eventually turn in their favor, refusing to accept that they may have been wrong.
There are very good reasons for this type of behaviour which is tied directly to our identity, social belonging and self-worth. When we’re faced with the possibility of being wrong our intellect, competency and self-image is challenged.
In order to protect ourselves from this challenge, we begin to resist any new information that could conflict or even threaten our existing belief, creating discomfort even when the evidence is clear.
This can trigger emotions like anxiety and avoidance behaviour which can show up in the form of hesitation, overthinking, or avoiding placing trades altogether. However, I’m about to share a framework with you that will help you overcome the fear of being wrong and instead of avoiding it, if you follow this framework, you’ll begin to embrace it.
3 Step Process To Profit From Being Wrong
In trading Losses are inevitable. In fact, some of the most successful traders lose far more times than they actually win, and yet they’re still able to make money. This is because you don’t need to be a winning trader in order to be a profitable one.
It’s under this principle that you’ll apply the 3 step process to profit from being wrong.
1. Reframe “Wrong” as “Feedback”
Generally being wrong comes with consequences, in trading those consequences comes in the form of losses. However, you determine how much you’re willing to lose on any given trade. This means that because you control how much you’re willing to lose, you ultimately control the consequences.
The market is a nearly endless pool of trade opportunities and no one trade can determine the outcome of the next. Therefore, a losing trade cannot mean you were wrong, because as long as you still have capital to trade there is another opportunity lining up.
Instead, what the losing trade does uncover is the market conditions in relation to your plan. It’s at this point where you review your initial analysis and see if anything has changed. If nothing changed, then it's likely you may have gotten in a bit too early and you’d just have to wait for the next setup.
However, upon your review, you discover the market conditions have changed, and you now have to re-evaluate your approach, then this is the feedback the market is giving you. This is what it means to take feedback from the markets and this is what it takes to be profitable instead of being right.
2. Separate Identity From Outcome
The mistake many trades tend to make is measuring their success on the outcome of a trade. This is a recipe for disaster because in order for them to feel successful they’d have to win every single time.
This of course is impossible, instead I’d encourage you to separate yourself from the outcome of the trade and focus on just trading. There are only one of three outcomes you can experience in a trade. 1. Loss, 2. Win, 3. Breakeven. When you’re able to accept 1. Loss then you don’t have to worry about numbers 2,3.
Because you control how much you’re willing to lose you should be able to accept what you’re willing to lose, and by accepting what you're willing to lose you’ve then separated yourself from the outcome of the trade and you can now focus on just trading.
To keep you in check with this step here is a very simple but highly effective practice:
✅ Practice saying: “This was a good trade with a bad outcome — and that’s okay.”
3. Celebrate The Process, Not Perfection
“That which gets rewarded gets repeated” If you’re only rewarding yourself when you close a winning trade then you’re simply reinforcing the notion of viewing the markets through the lens of right and wrong.
As we’ve already discovered this view is detrimental to your longevity as a trader and so I would argue that instead of celebrating a winning trade, celebrate your process. Reward yourself every time you follow your plan regardless if the trade resulted in a win, loss or breakeven.
This approach will help you improve your process which in turn will improve your overall returns and performance.
Conclusion
📣 You are not here to be perfect. You’re here to grow, to learn, and to keep showing up — fear and all.
The market rewards the trader who is calm under pressure, humble in defeat and focused on the long game.
Go into this week knowing that fear may still show up — but you’re more prepared than ever to handle it.
Let fear be a signal, not a stop sign.
You've got this. 🚀
Long AUD/JPY at 87.00 with Target Near 92.00I’m looking to go long AUD/JPY around the 87.00 price area, based on levels on the Daily chart. My stop will be placed below 85.00, with a profit target just before 92.00.
Currently, there are no trade opportunities using the Weekly or Monthly levels, but I’m watching for potential longs around 83.50 and a short opportunity around 93.50.