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AUDJPY trade ideas

AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Ready To "Drop A Shoulder"? Multi-Timeframe May Help!OANDA:AUDJPY is beginning to form a very convincingly strong Reversal Pattern, the Head & Shoulders! Starting with the Daily Chart we can see that Price is Forming a Doji Candle just after trying to Breakout of a Major Resistance Zone created from the Highs of March 18th and if Price is unable to close above this level, this strengthens the Bearish and Reversal Bias. Now the 4 Hr Chart shows both the "First Shoulder" or Previous Higher High that was surpassed by the "Head" which is the New Higher High, has formed quite quickly with a slightly Ascending "Neckline" or Support Line where Bulls were able to make their Last Stand. With a Reversal Pattern, you want to see a Change in Trend, in this case, would be a Lower High then that of the Higher High or "Head" @ 96.204. *If Bulls are able to Push Price above the "Left Shoulder" or Previous Higher High @ 95.952, this will Invalidate the Head & Shoulders Set-up! **If Bulls are unable to Break Above 95.952 and Price is pushed back down to the Confirmation or "Neckline" for a 3rd time, this Confirms the Head & Shoulders Set-up!! Based on the Distance between the Head and Neckline, we can project a potential drop down to the next Support Level as a Price Target @ 95.00 once: 1) Pattern is Confirmed 2) Breakout is Validated
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! The BB upper band is nearby so AUD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 95.252. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs. 🧠 Fundamentals: AUD Strength Drivers: RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks. Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD. Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns. JPY Weakness Drivers: BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July. Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening. Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY. 🔍 Technical Structure: Strong upward channel since early June remains valid. Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg. Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry. Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63. Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break). ⚠️ Risk Factors: Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY. China growth fears can weigh on AUD. A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets. ✅ Trade Bias: Bullish TP1: 94.77 TP2: 95.36 TP3 (aggressive): 95.63 SL: Below 93.80 Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11) 📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
Long
by ultreosforex
1
AUDJPY – Liquidity Trap Short Setup Box framed between 95.961–94.719, with layered buyside liquidity swept at 95.859 and 95.961. Price printed a bearish body below structural shift (-CISD), confirming trap activation. Entry executed post-shift → targeting sellside liquidity at 95.521, with extended draw potential toward 94.719. Liquidation heatmap shows dim clusters above, bright gold clusters below = strong directional bias. Narrative: smart money sweep complete → trap symmetry locked → discount magnet engaged. 📉🎯
Short
by liambillo35
1
AUD-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUD-JPY is trading in a Strong uptrend and the pair Made a bullish breakout of The key horizontal level Of 95.650 which is now a Support and the breakout Is confirmed so we are bullish Biased and we will be expecting A further bullish move up Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
RBA in focus: AUD JPY to continue up? It's a week bereft of major US data. In the main it'll be up to the 'risk environment' to determine proceedings (which currently means tariff headlines). But we do have the RBA and RBNZ rate decisions to potentially create opportunities. First up, during Tuesday's Asian session is the RBA, a central bank with a preference for high interest rates (hawkish). *Reminder: (risk environment aside) high interest rates 'generally' equals strong currency. Analyst concencious is for a 0.25bp cut. I can envision two scenarios: A rate cut with 'hawkish narrative' (non or limited cuts on the horizon). No rate cut (hold), with data dependent forward guidance. Both scenarios 'should' be AUD positive. Possibly creating another AUD JPY long trade. Of course, especially after Friday's NFP, we know that anything can happen and the RBA could deliver a 'dovish cut'. But considering inflation is still relatively high in Australia, I would be surprised with that outcome. And, of course, a lot depends on the overall 'risk environment'. We could very well have 200% tariffs across the board in 12 hours time. And I would only long the AUD in a 'positive risk environment'. *Side note: With the S&P 'near all time highs', it's only natural that it could pull back a little. So, I'm more focused on the actual narrative at the moment rather than correlations. **Second side note: I'm slowly starting to revisit the ' buy / sell stop anticipation trade'. And arguably, an 'AUD long' pre-rate decision is viable. (Whereby you place an 'AUD long' stop order pre event, if it's a dovish outcome the order doesn't trigger). It's not something I endorse in a 'live account' but it's a strategy worth considering. Particularly as I suspect 'red flag' US releases could become important moving forward. Ultimately, no matter the type of trade you take, it's very important to remember that 50% will hit profit and 50% will stop out. That's why we use a higher risk/ reward per trade.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
1