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AUDJPY trade ideas

AUDJPY💡The chart shows a technical analysis of the AUDJPY currency pair on the 4H frame. The price broke the previous swing low and gathered liquidity, a common behavior before a reversal. Emerging Bullish Momentum: After gathering liquidity, the price rose and broke through a previous resistance area, indicating the market's intention to move upward. The green shaded area represents a new support level, which the price could return to and test before continuing its upward trend. MACD Indicator: Demonstrates bullish divergence, as the price was falling while positive momentum began to emerge (green bars), reinforcing the possibility of a continued uptrend. ⛔️Not investment advice for educational purposes only.
by Adhamcurrency
AUDJPY: HIGH RISK, HIGH REWARD🏆 Trade Setup & Recommendation 📉 BEARISH SCENARIO (Primary Bias) Sell Zone: 94.50 - 95.50 (retest of resistance) Entry Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle near resistance Targets: TP1: 93.47 ✅ TP2: 92.99 ✅ TP3: 91.82 🎯 Stop Loss: Above 96.00 (invalidates bearish setup) 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO (Alternative Setup) Buy Zone: 91.82 - 92.50 (if support holds) Entry Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, RSI > 45 Targets: TP1: 94.00 🏁 TP2: 95.50 🏁 Stop Loss: Below 91.50 (breaks key support) 📌 Final Thoughts 🔴 Dominant Trend: Bearish 🔴 Indicators: MAs confirm selling pressure, Oscillators neutral 🔴 Watch for retracement to resistance for shorting opportunities 🟢 If 91.82 holds, a bounce to 94+ is possible 🚨 Trade Smart – Use Stop Losses & Manage Risk Properly! 🚨
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵 On a today's live stream, we spotted a confirmed bullish reversal on AUDJPY. The price formed a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4H and violated its neckline during the London session today. A bullish movement is now expected at least to 94.0 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
AUDJPY The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDJPY is below: The market is trading on 92.761 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 93.288 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDJPY SHORT 8K PROFIT LIVE TRADE UPDATE The Australian dollar is a cyclical currency which is sensitive to the global economic cycle. When the economy is doing well (economic expansion), companies increase demand for raw materials (think Chinese companies, one of Australia’s major trading partners). And given that Australia is a commodity-linked currency, known for its exports in metals and minerals—such as iron ore, copper, gold and lithium—the increased demand for commodities and inflows into AUD often underpins the currency, and vice versa for an economy doing poorly (economic contraction). The Japanese yen, on the other hand, is a safe-haven currency; in times of economic uncertainty, funds tend to flow into the JPY during risk-off markets, making it more of a defensive play, if you will. As a result, the AUD/JPY currency pair is sensitive to changes in global commodity prices, and will often rise when the global economy is doing well and fall when the economy is contracting (as traders and investors bid the JPY). This is why some refer to this currency pair as a risk barometer. In other words, it tends to rise when investors are feeling more confident about the global economy and fall when investors are feeling more risk-averse. It should also not surprise you to note that there is a strong positive correlation between the AUD/JPY and the S&P 500. As you can see, based on a 60-day rolling correlation coefficient, the two markets correlate most of the time.
Short
by THEPROTRADERZA
AUDJPY LIVE TRADE UPDATE 6K PROFITSFactors Contributing to AUD Weakness: Commodity Price Fluctuations: The Australian Dollar is closely tied to commodity prices, particularly those of raw materials like iron ore and coal. Any decline in these prices can put downward pressure on the AUD. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy: RBA policy decisions, including interest rate adjustments and forward guidance, significantly impact the AUD. If the RBA adopts a dovish stance (indicating potential rate cuts or a slower pace of tightening), it can weaken the AUD. Australian Economic Data: Economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation data play a crucial role. Weaker-than-expected data can lead to a decline in the AUD. Global Risk Sentiment: The AUD is often considered a risk-on currency. During periods of global economic uncertainty or risk aversion, investors tend to move away from the AUD, weakening it.
Short
by THEPROTRADERZA
1
**AUD/JPY Short Trade Recap – 30-Day Swing Trade** **AUD/JPY Short Trade Recap – 30-Day Swing Trade** I recently exited a **30-day swing short trade** on AUD/JPY, capturing a well-structured move based on multiple confluences. ### **Technical Reasons for the Trade:** - 📉 **Trend:** Clear **downtrend** alignment. - 🔴 **Oscillators:** **Overbought** conditions signaled exhaustion. - 📊 **Price Action:** Strong **sell signal** at a key **supply zone**. - 🔄 **Mean Reversion:** Price **retraced to the mean** after completing a **5-wave structure** on the 4H timeframe. ### **Fundamental Reasons for the Trade:** - 📉 **COT Data:** - **Bearish AUD:** Commercials were aggressively shorting AUD. - **Bullish JPY:** Commercials increased their long positions on JPY. - 💰 **Monetary Policy Divergence:** - **RBA Rate Cuts:** The **Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)** cut rates to **4.10%** on **February 18, 2025**, citing **slowing inflation**. - **Japan’s Strength:** Japan’s economy showed **2.8% annualized GDP growth** in **Q4 2024**, strengthening the Yen. - 🛑 **Market Sentiment:** - **Risk-Off Environment:** A shift in sentiment favored the safe-haven JPY over the risk-sensitive AUD. - **Bond Yields:** Rising **Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields** further supported JPY strength. ### **Trade Outcome:** This trade played out exactly as planned, reaching its target as AUD/JPY moved lower. A textbook **combination of technical structure, COT positioning, and macro fundamentals**. ✅ **Executed the plan, managed risk, and booked profits. On to the next trade!** 🚀
Short
by Wainainarobert