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AUDJPY trade ideas

Bullish rise?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 92.87 1st Support: 92.06 1st Resistance: 94.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY Short Setup – Fair Value Gap + 61.8% Precision Tap📊 AUDJPY | 1H Bearish Setup Breakdown (SMC Perspective) This is a clean setup for sniper traders 🧠 — a perfect blend of FVG, Fib retracement, and a reaction from Smart Money zones. Let’s dig in: 🔻 1. Macro Context: Bearish Bias Market structure is still bearish, with lower highs and lows Price just completed a correction phase We're seeing price react at a high probability distribution zone 🟪 2. Confluence Zones: FVG + Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – Price has just tapped into the FVG between 92.92 and 93.12 📌 61.8% Fib Level – Price perfectly aligns with golden pocket zone 📌 OB Above – Strong bearish order block lies around 93.60, with a Strong High marking retail’s target stop area This stack of confluences makes this zone ripe for a short entry. 💣 3. Entry Logic Entry was triggered after a clean tap into the FVG zone Price shows signs of rejection with long upper wicks and slowing momentum Ideal Smart Money scenario: Price mitigates FVG, avoids OB sweep (for now), and targets internal liquidity 🎯 4. Target Zone TP = 91.651 Clean equal lows and imbalance just above Channel midpoint & liquidity resting below Matches 0% Fib level on the move ⚖️ 5. Trade Setup 📍 Entry: 92.926 🔐 Stop Loss: ~93.390 (above FVG + structural high) 🎯 Target: 91.651 🧮 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:4.5+ 🧠 Smart Money Flow Retail longs are eyeing a break above that “Strong High” — but Smart Money will likely: Tap into FVG Drive price down for a liquidity grab Possibly retest or sweep OB after internal liquidity is cleared 💬 Drop “FVG ZONE SNIPED 🧨” if you took the entry 🧠 Save this post to study FVG + Fib reactions 👀 Tag your trading buddy who needs to level up their confluence game
Short
by ChartNinjas88
2
AUD/JPY Continues to Defend Monthly LowAUD/JPY continues to defend the monthly low (91.42) as it extends the rebound from last week, with a move/close above the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone bringing the 95.10 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 95.20 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region on the radar. A breach above the monthly high (95.65) may lead to a test of the March high (95.75), with the next area of interest coming in around the February high (97.34). At the same time, lack of momentum to trade above the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push AUD/JPY back toward the monthly low (91.42), with a break/close below the 91.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 91.70 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region opening up 90.50 (61.8% Fibonacci extension). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
WICK INTO HTF 50 EMA AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 😎🫡TAP INTO HTF 50 EMA BEFORE ROLLOVER SOUTH Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block identification ✅4H 50EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bearish Outlook on AUD/JPY – Watching for Entry After Retrace!I'm currently focused on the AUD/JPY currency pair 📉. We’re seeing a clear, sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, marked by a recent break of market structure — a key sign that sellers are firmly in control 🐻. At the moment, price appears overextended and is trading directly into a major liquidity pool — specifically, a cluster of sell-side liquidity sitting below previous lows 🧲. I’m watching for a retracement or pullback into a zone of interest. If that happens, I’ll be on the lookout for a bearish break of structure on the lower timeframes to confirm a high-probability short setup 🎯. As always, this is not financial advice, just a look at how I’m approaching the current price action ⚠️.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
2
AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 92.915. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 92.593 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDJPY: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is also an overlap support. Pivot: 93.36 1st Support: 91.10 1st Resistance: 94.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅4H Order block identification ✅15' Order block identification ✅4H 50EMA target ✅Daily 50 EMA target 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
AUD/JPY “Aussie vs. Yen” Skyrocketing Safari!🌈 G’day, Forex Adventurers & PIP Hunters! 🌏✨ Join our epic AUD/JPY Forex expedition! 🦘🚀 Our Stellar Navigator Strategy fuses pinpoint technicals with powerful fundamentals to chase profits in the Aussie-Yen jungle. Ready to soar to new heights and grab those pips? Let’s embark on this bullish quest! 🌍💰 🌟 The Stellar Navigator Plan Entry Points 🛫: 🦅 Bullish Launch: Jump in after a breakout above the Sky High at 94.800—your cue for bullish gains! 🐾 Pullback Path: Place buy limit orders near the 15M/30M support (94.200) for a savvy entry. Pro Tip: Set alerts to spot the breakout spark! 🔔 Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️: Bullish Trade: Secure SL at the 2H support (93.600) for day trades. Tailor SL to your risk, lot size, and order count. This is your safety net—keep it snug! ⚠️ Take Profit (TP) 🎯: Bullish Explorers: Aim for the Star Peak at 96.500 or exit if the momentum dips. Scalpers: Grab quick pips on the long side, but lock in gains with trailing stops! 🚨 🌏 Why AUD/JPY? The Aussie’s soaring 📈 as of May 12, 2025, powered by: Fundamentals: RBA’s 4.35% rate dwarfs BoJ’s 0.1%, boosting AUD. Macroeconomics: Australia’s commodity boom (gold, iron ore) outpaces Japan’s slow recovery. COT Data (May 9, 2025): Rising AUD net longs signal bullish sentiment (source: CFTC). Intermarket: AUD/JPY tracks Nikkei 225’s risk-on rally. Quantitative: RSI (14) at 59 and a break above the 50-day SMA (93.57) confirm upward momentum. 📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1) Retail Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 53% 😊 (RBA strength, China trade optimism) 🔴 Bearish: 37% 😣 (Yen safe-haven demand on tariff risks) ⚪ Neutral: 10% 🤔 Institutional Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 46% 💼 (Commodity demand, risk-on flows) 🔴 Bearish: 39% ⚠️ (BoJ intervention fears, US yields) ⚪ Neutral: 15% 🧐 📰 Market Buzz (May 12, 2025) - US-China trade progress lifts risk appetite, pushing AUD/JPY to 94.50. - Easing tariff concerns weaken JPY safe-haven appeal. - Japan’s soft consumer spending data pressures JPY. 📡 Risk Navigation ⚡ Markets can be wild—tread carefully: - Avoid new trades during major news (RBA, BoJ, US CPI). - Use trailing stops to protect profits and cap losses. - Watch for BoJ moves if JPY weakens sharply! 🌪️ 💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1) - Forex: AUD/JPY at 94.50, up 0.5% daily (source: Financial Juice). - Commodities CFD: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, up 0.2%; Iron Ore at 105.50, flat. - Metals: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.820, down 1.3%. - Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.40, up 0.6%. - Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,300, down 0.5%. - Indices: Nikkei 225 at 39,200, up 0.7%; ASX 200 at 7,850, up 0.4%. 🚀 Join the Stellar Navigator Squad! Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Stellar Navigator Strategy and make this safari epic! 🌟 Every boost empowers our crew to dominate the markets. Let’s conquer AUD/JPY together! 🤝 Stay glued to your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, adventurers! 🤑🎉 #StellarNavigator #AUDJPY #AussieYen #TradingView #ChaseThePips
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY - AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25 HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅4H 50EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPYAUD/JPY Bond Yield Differential and Carry Trade Analysis ,the current interest rate differential Bond price will be watched as carry are looking for directional bias on a cautious note . Australia 10-year bond yield: drops from 4.5 % to 4.391 a drop today Japan 10-year bond yield: 1.53% Interest rate differential: 3.00% (AUD yield − JPY yield) Carry Trade Mechanics The AUD/JPY carry trade involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) to invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the 3% yield spread. For example: Borrow ¥15 million at 0.1% (JPY rate) and convert to AUD. Invest in Australian bonds or deposits yielding 4.53%. Annual profit: ~3% (minus transaction costs and currency fluctuations). Key Drivers and Risks Opportunities Yield Advantage: The 3% differential offers steady returns in low-volatility conditions. AUD Resilience: Improved global trade sentiment (e.g., US-China tariff reductions ) supports AUD demand. BoJ Policy: Japan’s gradual monetary tightening (10-year JGB yield at 1.53%, up from 0.99% in 2024 ) has not yet erased the yield gap. Risks RBA Rate Cuts: The Reserve Bank of Australia recently cut rates to 3.85% , which could pressure AUD yields downward. JPY Appreciation: BoJ’s hawkish tilt and safe-haven demand during market stress could strengthen JPY, eroding carry profits. Currency Volatility: AUD/JPY has faced downward pressure, trading near 93.00 in May 2025 . A 5% JPY rally could wipe out the annual interest gain. Strategic Considerations for Traders Factor Impact on Carry Trade Yield Spread 3% provides baseline return AUD/JPY Stability Critical to preserving capital Central Bank Policies Monitor RBA/BoJ for rate changes Global Trade Dynamics US-China tensions affect AUD Historical Performance and Outlook In 2024, similar yield spreads generated 4–5% annual returns for AUD/JPY carry trades . Forecasts suggest the spread may narrow slightly if the RBA continues easing, but remains attractive compared to other pairs like USD/JPY (4.25% vs. 0.1% ). Conclusion The AUD/JPY carry trade remains viable in May 2025, leveraging a 3% yield differential. However, traders must hedge against JPY strength and monitor RBA/BoJ policy shifts. While the strategy offers steady returns in stable markets, currency volatility and central bank actions pose significant risks. #forex #audjpy
Short
by Shavyfxhub