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AUDJPY trade ideas

The Chart Says ''Cheer Up Japan'' – JPY Looks Safe📊🇯🇵 The Chart Says "Cheer Up Japan" – JPY Looks Safe 💙✨ There’s been talk, worry, even viral prophecy this week… but I’m here to say: I read charts — not fear. And right now, the JPY is showing strength, not weakness. After running a full scan with my AI-powered Precision Master Mode, the cleanest trade setup aligned with this view is: AUDJPY SHORT 📉 🗾 Cheer up, Japan — the Yen’s got this. No panic in the charts. Just structure, volume, and momentum confirming that JPY is holding its ground as a safe-haven currency. 🔍 TRADE SETUP – AUDJPY SHORT ENTRY: Market (or 94.85 for better R:R) STOP LOSS: 95.70 (above trap high) TARGETS: TP1: 93.50 TP2: 91.57 TP3: 87.84 (macro target) 📈 What the chart shows: – Strong rejection from top channel zone (structure is King!) – SuperTrend flip starting on multiple TFs – VWRSI fading = momentum loss – Volume Profile confirms resistance So while the headlines play on emotions, my execution comes from structure. Let’s ride this JPY strength into next week — calmly, confidently. 📸 Chart attached (8H view – AI tuned) 📰 Article on the 'prophecy' that sparked the buzz: www.telegraphindia.com Have a nice weekend Japan and all Asia! After a 'scary prophecy' troubling your minds the weekend can end up being a crazy happy one! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Short
by FX_Professor
1
Weekly Review: Risk remains positive, but tariffs in focus. The week starting Monday 30 June began with the USD on the back foot in a continuation of the previous week's narrative. With the market anticipating at least two cuts from the FED before year end. Alongside USD weakness, the overall market mood remained positive, the S&P hovers near all time highs and the VIX remains well below 20 as Middle East concerns ebbed and tariff concerns are put to one side (how long for?). The 'risk on / weak dollar' narrative remained throughout the week, at least until Fridays 'upside surprise' NFP data. Which is a reminder to expect the unexpected, many analysts predicted a below forecast number, especially given Wednesday's 'soft' ADP data. But a much stronger than forecast headline number gave the USD a boost. And hit the JPY particularly hard as we got an old fashioned stocks up / yields up = risk on day. I'm doubtful NFP will be a game changer for the USD though. And I begin the new week with my 'risk on' bias intact, comparing the USD and JPY against each other to determine which currency is the best short option. Not ruling out the CHF as a potential short, but the Swiss franc is still having bouts of strength at odds with the overall positive tone. The potential spanner in the works this coming week will be the tariff narrative. The 90 day reprieve ends on July 9 and we could get some fireworks. It seems the market is 'hoping' for a blanket 10% across the board. I suspect the best we can hope for this week is a 'kicking of the can down the road'. The worst case scenario would be a resumption of the chaos we saw in April. In other news, the GBP came under pressure as the government's fiscal policies are scurtinised. I suspect that the UK's relatively high interest rate and the overall 'risk on' market mood, stopped the pound from depreciating further. But it could be a bumpy road ahead for the GBP. On a personal note. It was a week of 'only' one trade. But that was due to my busy schedule rather than a lack of opportunities. I missed Monday's USD weakness, the potential GBP short catalyst and Thursdays post NFP 'risk on' catalyst. I did manage an AUD JPY long 'risk on' trade on Wednesday. Which I ultimately closed pre NFP for small profit. Not ideal, I'd much rather get back to an average of three trades per week. But nonetheless, after a disappointing June, it was nice to get back to winning ways of sorts. All eyes on the tariff narrative as we move into the new week.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUD/JPY: Rejection at Key ResistanceThis is a high-conviction short setup on AUD/JPY based on a powerful rejection pattern that has formed on the 4-hour chart. As you can see, the price spiked into the critical resistance zone between 95.00 and 95.55 but was immediately and forcefully rejected, leaving behind a long "Exhaustion Spike." This is a classic sign of buyer exhaustion and seller dominance. It tells us that despite the recent rally, there is significant supply waiting at these higher levels. This price action provides a clear opportunity to short the pair in anticipation of a significant move down. 🏦 Fundamental Analysis The fundamental backdrop provides a strong tailwind for this trade, with two key drivers: 1️⃣ Central Bank Divergence: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in an easing cycle, having recently cut rates to 3.85% with more cuts expected. In stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is on a path of normalization, having already raised its rate to 0.50%. This divergence in monetary policy is structurally bearish for AUD/JPY. 2️⃣ Imminent Catalysts: This week is packed with event risk that is skewed to the downside for this pair. We have the RBA interest rate decision on Tuesday, July 8th , and the U.S. tariff deadline on Wednesday, July 9th . A dovish RBA or a "risk-off" move from the tariff news would likely accelerate the decline in AUD (a risk currency) and strengthen the JPY (a safe-haven currency). 📊 Technical Analysis The price action on the chart confirms the bearish bias: 1️⃣ 4-Hour Rejection: The "Exhaustion Spike" at the 95.00 - 95.55 supply zone is the primary signal. It shows a clear failure by buyers and a strong takeover by sellers at a key level. 2️⃣ Long-Term Trend: On the daily chart, the price is trading below the critical 200-day moving average , confirming the long-term trend remains bearish. 3️⃣ Waning Momentum: There is a clear bearish divergence on the daily RSI. The price made a higher high, but the momentum indicator made a lower high, signaling that the rally is internally weak and losing steam. 📋 Trading Setup This is a swing trade designed to capture a significant correction with a simple "set and forget" plan. 📉 Direction: SHORT / SELL 👉 Entry: Sell Limit @ 94.85 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 95.60 🎯 Take Profit: 91.10 💡 Rationale: The entry is placed strategically to capitalize on a potential retest of the rejection area. The stop loss is placed safely above the rejection wick and the major resistance zone. The take profit targets the major structural support from the May 2025 lows, offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
1
chart shows a Long setup on AUD/JPY based on multi-timeframeThis chart shows a **buy setup on AUD/JPY** based on multi-timeframe bullish confluence and a key structure level. Here's a breakdown of the idea: --- ### 🟢 **Trade Type:** Buy ### 📈 Pair: AUD/JPY (1H Chart) --- ### ✅ **Technical Confluences:** * **Trend Bias:** * **Weekly (W): Bullish** * **Daily (D): Bullish** * **12H: Bullish** * **Structure:** * Price retraced into a **Weekly Area of Interest (AOI)** marked in blue and red zone. * It bounced off the lower trendline of the ascending channel. * Price is currently forming higher lows near the support of the AOI. * **Indicators:** * The **50 EMA (blue)** and **200 EMA (red)** are holding as dynamic support, especially the 200 EMA just below current price. * EMAs show bullish alignment (short-term EMA above long-term EMA). * **Candle Action:** * Price rejected the AOI and is trying to push higher. * The bullish engulfing near the EMA zone confirms buy interest. --- ### 🟦 **Entry Zone:** * Around **94.70–94.72**, aligned with the Weekly AOI and just above 200 EMA. ### 📍 Stop Loss: * Below the red support zone, around **94.50–94.53**, under 200 EMA and key rejection wick. ### 🎯 Take Profit: * Around **95.30–95.32**, targeting the previous swing high for a favorable risk-reward ratio. --- ### 📊 Summary: This is a bullish continuation trade, buying from a retracement into a strong support zone with higher timeframe bullish structure and clear confirmation through price action and EMA alignment.
Long
by andreabiondo13
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025AUDJPY 7/6/2025 AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bearish 4hour - Ranging We’re getting some mixed signals here on AJ so i’ll keep this as a neutral idea as we need more info from price action. Most of the major trends seem bearish but the 4hour trend seems to have some bullish pressure. Let’s see how this could play out this week: Bullish Breakout - We already saw a pretty significant bullish attempt to break out of this range around 94.500. If we can spot some bullish conviction, now that we're retesting what seems to be a broken range, then we can confirm a bullish 4hour trend and prepare for potential long scenarios. I’ll be looking higher toward key resistance around 96.500 if this happens. Bearish Breakout - For us to consider comfortable bearish scenarios, we would need to see price action fall back through our 94.500 zone and form a lower high. If we see structure formed below 94.500 we can begin targeting lower for potential short positions. Look toward key support levels as targets.
by ForexLeague
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY H4 LONG SETUPTECHNICAL ANALYSIS This week AUDJPY broke out of the range to the upside. The price is currently at the weekly target. Given that it's Thursday and the end of the week is approaching, a possible take profit could occur from now until the end of Friday. Support is at the previous resistance price level of 94.830, which is now the future buy zone. I will wait for the price to drop to this level before considering a long position. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Institutional traders are long JPY(79.46%) and Short AUD(80.47%) according to the COT data, which means long term it's possible to see a stronger JPY and weaker AUD. Retail traders are short JPY(54%) and long AUD(46%). The strength meter is slightly tilted in favour of JPY strength. Although institutional traders are long JPY, the technicals, however, show that a possible bullish trend is beginning, so while keeping that in mind, the current price and market direction are bullish in favour of AUD.
Short
by Pedro_07
AUD/JPY# AUD/JPY: Two High-Probability Bearish Setups 🎯 ## Overview AUD/JPY continues to respect its macro downtrend structure, offering two compelling bearish opportunities as price approaches critical resistance levels. Currently trading at 94.398, the pair sits at an inflection point between key support and resistance zones. --- ## 📊 Setup 1: Resistance Zone Rejection (Primary) ### Key Level: 95.289 (Major Resistance) This level has proven its significance multiple times: - ✅ Strong resistance throughout recent months - ✅ Clear seller dominance at this zone - ✅ Confluence with descending channel structure ### Entry Strategy: 1. **Wait** for price to approach 95.289 2. **Identify** bearish rejection patterns: - Pin bars / Shooting stars - Bearish engulfing candles - Multiple wick rejections 3. **Enter** short on confirmed rejection 4. **Stop Loss**: 95.50-95.60 (above resistance) 5. **Targets**: - TP1: 93.240 (1:2 RR) - TP2: 92.271 (1:3.5 RR) --- ## 📊 Setup 2: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Secondary) ### Pattern Recognition: A textbook rising wedge has formed since the May lows - a bearish reversal pattern within the larger downtrend context. ### Entry Strategy: 1. **Monitor** the lower wedge trendline 2. **Wait** for decisive breakdown with volume 3. **Enter** short on retest of broken support 4. **Stop Loss**: Above recent swing high 5. **Target**: 93.240 support zone --- ## 📈 Market Structure Analysis ### Macro Trend: BEARISH 📉 - Consistent lower highs and lower lows from 102+ levels - Currently in corrective bounce phase - Respecting descending channel boundaries ### Current Position: Price trapped between: - **Resistance**: 95.289 - **Support**: 93.240 - **Deep Support**: 92.271 --- ## ⚠️ Risk Management **Patience is key!** Current price offers poor risk/reward. Wait for: 1. **Scenario A**: Test of 95.289 resistance → Short opportunity 2. **Scenario B**: Break below wedge support → Short opportunity 3. **Scenario C**: Break above 95.289 → Invalidation, stay flat ### Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: 1-2% of account - Adjust position size based on stop distance --- ## 🎯 Trade Summary **Bias**: BEARISH 🐻 **Preferred Setup**: Resistance rejection at 95.289 **Risk/Reward**: Minimum 1:2 **Timeframe**: Daily --- *Remember: The best trades come to those who wait. Let price come to your levels, don't chase!* **What's your view? Drop a comment below! 👇** *Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.* ---
Short
by ThulaniMtetwa
AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the AUD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 93.578 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDJPY - let's do it again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last AUDJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the first blue circle zone and surged in a parabolic manner. 📈AUDJPY is currently retesting the intersection of the blue trendline and red support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY is around the latest blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
AUD/JPY pair exhibits a strong buy signalThe AUD/JPY cross attracts some buyers around 94.50 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen edges lower against the Aussie following domestic weaker than expected inflation data for May as the relative interest rate differentials between the two currencies will play a crucial role in determining the AUD/JPY direction. From a technical perspective, the AUD/JPY appears poised to test higher prices in the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish, while price action posting a series of higher lows, despite lacking higher highs, could pave the way for challenging the 95.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the April 2 high of 95.30, followed by the May 13 swing high of 95.64. Conversely, a reversal that drives AUD/JPY below the June 30 swing low of 93.98 could sponsor a drop to challenge a seventh month-old support trendline near 93.50/75. If cleared, down lies 93.00. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
Long
by Blueberry
AUDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 94.200 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 94.441 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT